FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

St. Thomas (MN) def. Omaha 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: St. Thomas (MN) 56.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

St. Thomas (MN) won at Omaha 3-0 (25-20, 25-18, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Anya Schmidt led St. Thomas (MN) with 10 kills; Omaha's Madison Corf had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
STTHOM2525253
OMAHA2018180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Anya Schmidt hit .421 with 10 kills as St. Thomas (MN) rolled past Omaha.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.1 points, and Omaha's high was 48% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had St. Thomas (MN) at 57%.

St. Thomas (MN)Omaha
  • Break %+16.7 pts
    50.033.3

    37 of 74 on serve vs 19 of 57, so Omaha's sideout was 50.0%.

  • Hitting+.112
    .183.071

    Kills and errors: 29–12 vs 36–28.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    5 straight St. Thomas (MN) points in the second set broke an 11–11 tie and made it 16–11. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Omaha above 50St. Thomas (MN) belowMax swing 3.1%

St. Thomas (MN)Omaha

Aces
St. Thomas (MN) 7·Omaha 4
Serve err
St. Thomas (MN) 4·Omaha 11
Blocks
St. Thomas (MN) 9·Omaha 66 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
St. Thomas (MN) 43·Omaha 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Omaha above 50 · St. Thomas (MN) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.1% STTHOMrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.1% to St. Thomas (MN) — set 2, STTHOM 13-11 OMAHA. St. Thomas (MN) ace on Madison Corf. OMAHA win probability 24% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STTHOM 73.2%26.8% OMAHA

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0
25.6%
3-1
28.0%
3-2
19.6%

Omaha wins

3-0
4.9%
3-1
9.3%
3-2
12.7%
STTHOM break %
44.6% vs this opp
OMAHA break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    St. Thomas (MN)Ace+3.1%

    St. Thomas (MN) ace on Madison Corf

    Set 2 · STTHOM 13-11 OMAHA · STTHOM 76% → 79%

  2. 02
    Lara MaricKill+3.0%

    Kill by Lara Maric (set by Maddie Stuesser)

    Set 2 · STTHOM 11-11 OMAHA · OMAHA 23% → 26%

  3. 03
    St. Thomas (MN)Ace+2.8%

    St. Thomas (MN) ace on Madison Corf

    Set 2 · STTHOM 14-11 OMAHA · STTHOM 79% → 82%

  4. 04

    Dara Obeid stuffed by Anya Schmidt & Reilly Kurth

    Set 1 · STTHOM 6-5 OMAHA · STTHOM 56% → 59%

  5. 05
    St. Thomas (MN)Ace+2.8%

    St. Thomas (MN) ace on Kate Schroetlin

    Set 2 · STTHOM 10-8 OMAHA · STTHOM 76% → 79%

  6. 06
    OmahaAce+2.8%

    Omaha ace on Ellie Gustafson

    Set 2 · STTHOM 8-8 OMAHA · OMAHA 23% → 26%

  7. 07
    Reilly KurthKill+2.7%

    Kill by Reilly Kurth (set by Morgan Kealy)

    Set 1 · STTHOM 7-5 OMAHA · STTHOM 59% → 62%

  8. 08
    OmahaAce+2.7%

    Omaha ace on Taylor McNear

    Set 2 · STTHOM 11-10 OMAHA · OMAHA 20% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310219.421111100313.514.5
34323.04301053212.57.5
37414.21400030010.57.5
35016.31300020010.55.5
3229.000000101224
31111.00024101200002
3000–032100003
3000–010100001
3000–000000000
3000–201810000
1001.000000000000
Team totals291293.183277443466975
Omahahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316730.300004113010.516.5
38824.0001011004210
36429.06900310010.56.5
34416.00000120111.55.5
3114.000282070010.53.5
2023-.667000100211
3001.0002111220001
3000–010310001
3000–200400000
2000–200110000
1126-.167001000001
Team totals3628113.07135411437110656

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. Thomas (MN) vs Omaha

Season series · St. Thomas (MN) leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 STTHOM · OMAHA 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 STTHOMOMAHA 2

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 STTHOMOMAHA 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 STTHOMOMAHA 4

Bars above the line = Omaha leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. Thomas (MN)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
30%3/10
2
70%7/10
56%9/16
3
78%7/9
46%6/13
4
86%6/7
33%3/9
5
63%5/8
62%8/13
6
63%5/8
62%8/13
All
67%38/57
50%37/74

Omaha

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
40%4/10
2
64%7/11
42%5/12
3
54%7/13
42%5/12
4
60%6/10
0%0/7
5
31%5/16
25%2/8
6
45%5/11
38%3/8
All
50%37/74
33%19/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#STTHOM-OMAHASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1STTHOMOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Lara Maric+1.8
21-1OMAHASTTHOMServe errOmaha+1.8
31-2STTHOMOMAHAServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.8
41-3OMAHAOMAHABlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Lara Maric, Dara Obeid+2.6
52-3OMAHASTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.8
63-3STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errLara Maric+2.6
73-4STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.9
84-4OMAHASTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.9
94-5STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.0
105-5OMAHASTTHOM×3BlockedDara Obeidblk Anya Schmidt+1.9
116-5STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedDara Obeidblk Anya Schmidt, Reilly Kurth+2.8
127-5STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.7
137-6STTHOMOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Emma Nash+1.9
148-6OMAHASTTHOM×3Serve errOmaha+2.0
159-6STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errAlizabeth Jacobsen+2.6
1610-6STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errMadison Corf+2.4
1710-7STTHOMOMAHABlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Alizabeth Jacobsen, Faith Venable+1.5
1811-7OMAHASTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.7
1911-8STTHOMOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
2011-9OMAHAOMAHABlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Alizabeth Jacobsen, Lara Maric+2.5
2112-9OMAHASTTHOM×3Serve errOmaha+2.0
2213-9STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.5
2314-9STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errAlizabeth Jacobsen+2.1
2414-10STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.2
2514-11OMAHAOMAHAAceOmahaaced Ellie Gustafson+2.1
2615-11OMAHASTTHOMServe errOmaha+1.8
2715-12STTHOMOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
2816-12OMAHASTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Anya Schmidt+1.9
2916-13STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
3017-13OMAHASTTHOMServe errOmaha+1.9
3118-13STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errMaddie Stuesser+2.1
3218-14STTHOMOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
3319-14OMAHASTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.4
3419-15STTHOMOMAHAAttack errEmory Brosnahan+1.0
3520-15OMAHASTTHOMAttack errLara Maric+1.4
3620-16STTHOMOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.9
3720-17OMAHAOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.9
3821-17OMAHASTTHOMServe errOmaha+2.0
3922-17STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Sarah Galligan+1.7
4022-18STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Kate Schroetlin+0.6
4122-19OMAHAOMAHAKillLara Maricset Kate Schroetlin+1.5
4223-19OMAHASTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.9
4323-20STTHOMOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.8
4424-20OMAHASTTHOMServe errOmaha+1.6
4525-20STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Kate Schroetlin+0.7
Set 2
11-0OMAHASTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+1.6
21-1STTHOMOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.7
32-1OMAHASTTHOMAttack errLara Maric+1.7
42-2STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Julia Owens+1.7
52-3OMAHAOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.5
63-3OMAHASTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.7
73-4STTHOMOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.8
84-4OMAHASTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.8
95-4STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errMadison Corf+2.6
105-5STTHOMOMAHAServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.8
115-6OMAHAOMAHABlockedMorgan Kealyblk Dara Obeid+2.7
126-6OMAHASTTHOM×3Serve errOmaha+1.9
137-6STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Madison Corf+2.7
148-6STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear+2.6
158-7STTHOMOMAHAAttack errReilly Kurth+1.8
168-8OMAHAOMAHAAceOmahaaced Ellie Gustafson+2.8
179-8OMAHASTTHOM×3KillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+2.0
1810-8STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Kate Schroetlin+2.8
1911-8STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errFaith Venable+2.6
2011-9STTHOMOMAHA×3KillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+1.7
2111-10OMAHAOMAHA×3AceOmahaaced Taylor McNear+2.7
2211-11OMAHAOMAHA×3KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+3.0
2312-11OMAHASTTHOM×5BlockedMadison Corfblk Reilly Kurth+2.2
2413-11STTHOMSTTHOM×5AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Madison Corf+3.1
2514-11STTHOMSTTHOM×5AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Madison Corf+2.8
2615-11STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errLara Maric+2.4
2716-11STTHOMSTTHOM×5KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.0
2816-12STTHOMOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
2917-12OMAHASTTHOMBlockedLara Maricblk Ellie Gustafson+1.4
3017-13STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
3117-14OMAHAOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Julia Owens+2.0
3218-14OMAHASTTHOMAttack errLara Maric+1.8
3318-15STTHOMOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.4
3419-15OMAHASTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.8
3519-16STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Emma Nash+1.3
3620-16OMAHASTTHOM×3Serve errOmaha+1.9
3721-16STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.8
3822-16STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
3922-17STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+0.3
4023-17OMAHASTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+0.5
4123-18STTHOMOMAHAAttack errReilly Kurth+0.2
4224-18OMAHASTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+0.4
4325-18STTHOMSTTHOMBlockedLara Maricblk Ellie Gustafson, Addie Schmotzer+0.1
Set 3
10-1STTHOMOMAHAKillCora Metcalfset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
21-1OMAHASTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.0
32-1STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errMadison Corf+1.5
42-2STTHOMOMAHAServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.0
53-2OMAHASTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.1
64-2STTHOMSTTHOMBlockedCora Metcalfblk Ellie Gustafson+1.5
74-3STTHOMOMAHAAttack errEllie Gustafson+1.0
85-3OMAHASTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.1
96-3STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errDara Obeid+1.4
106-4STTHOMOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.9
117-4OMAHASTTHOM×3Serve errOmaha+1.0
128-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.3
139-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.1
149-5STTHOMOMAHA×3KillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+0.7
159-6OMAHAOMAHA×3KillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+1.2
169-7OMAHAOMAHA×3BlockedAnya Schmidtblk Maddie Stuesser, Lara Maric+1.4
1710-7OMAHASTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.1
1811-7STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear+1.4
1912-7STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedLara Maricblk Anya Schmidt+1.2
2012-8STTHOMOMAHA×3KillMaddie Stuesser+0.7
2112-9OMAHAOMAHA×3Attack errAnya Schmidt+1.2
2212-10OMAHAOMAHA×3AceOmahaaced Ellie Gustafson+1.5
2313-10OMAHASTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.2
2414-10STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errFaith Venable+1.5
2514-11STTHOMOMAHA×4Serve errSt. Thomas (MN)+0.9
2614-12OMAHAOMAHA×4Attack errEmory Brosnahan+1.5
2714-13OMAHAOMAHA×4KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.8
2814-14OMAHAOMAHA×4BlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Lara Maric, Madison Corf+2.1
2915-14OMAHASTTHOMBlockedMadison Corfblk Emory Brosnahan, Reilly Kurth+1.5
3015-15STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.6
3116-15OMAHASTTHOM×5KillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.6
3217-15STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errCora Metcalf+2.3
3318-15STTHOMSTTHOM×5AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Julia Owens+2.0
3419-15STTHOMSTTHOM×5KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.6
3520-15STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errMadison Corf+1.1
3620-16STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+0.5
3721-16OMAHASTTHOMServe errOmaha+0.8
3822-16STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errMadison Corf+0.6
3922-17STTHOMOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+0.2
4022-18OMAHAOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.5
4123-18OMAHASTTHOM×3BlockedDara Obeidblk Anya Schmidt+0.6
4224-18STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errFaith Venable+0.3
4325-18STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errFaith Venable+0.1

Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).