Middle Tenn. vs Western Ky. Volleyball: Western Ky. Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ky. 85.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ky. beat visiting Middle Tenn. 3-0 (25-19, 25-17, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Western Ky.'s Kaira Knox led with 12 kills, and Tayler Baron added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MIDTEN	19	17	20	0
W KY	25	25	25	3

Match story · from the official box score

Kaira Knox hit .500 with 12 kills as Western Ky. rolled past Middle Tenn.

From the official box score. Without play-by-play that matches the result, there are no win-probability numbers here. Western Ky. went in as RallyIQ's 86% pick.

No one stat built this: no phase gap reached 8 points, .080 hitting or a 5-point run.

Middle Tenn.Western Ky.

Hitting: Middle Tenn. .276·Western Ky. .323
Aces: Middle Tenn. 3·Western Ky. 12
Serve err: Middle Tenn. 11·Western Ky. 6
Blocks: Middle Tenn. 2·Western Ky. 71 BS · 2 BA vs 3 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Middle Tenn. 43·Western Ky. 42

Win probability

Western Ky. above 50 · Middle Tenn. below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Middle Tenn. — set 1, MIDTEN 15-15 W KY. Middle Tenn. ace on Tayler Baron. W KY win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIDTEN 12.0%88.0% W KY

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.6%

Western Ky. wins

3-0

41.2%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.2%

MIDTEN break %: 38.2% vs this opp
W KY break %: 47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Middle Tenn.Ace+2.3%
Middle Tenn. ace on Tayler Baron
Set 1 · MIDTEN 15-15 W KY · MIDTEN 14% → 16%
02
Western Ky.Ace+2.1%
Western Ky. ace on Ellie Watts
Set 1 · MIDTEN 15-17 W KY · W KY 86% → 88%
03
Faith YoungKill+1.9%
Kill by Faith Young (set by Alivia Skidmore)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 17-20 W KY · W KY 88% → 90%
04
Sonja LaaksonenAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Sonja Laaksonen
Set 1 · MIDTEN 14-15 W KY · MIDTEN 12% → 14%
05
Kaira KnoxKill+1.7%
Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 17-19 W KY · W KY 86% → 88%
06
Middle Tenn.Service error+1.7%
Middle Tenn. service error
Set 1 · MIDTEN 15-16 W KY · W KY 84% → 86%
07
Faith YoungKill+1.6%
Kill by Faith Young (set by Kate Rush)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 16-18 W KY · W KY 86% → 88%
08
Logan CarrKill+1.6%
Kill by Logan Carr (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 17-18 W KY · MIDTEN 12% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Middle Tenn.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Sophia HenryOH	3	12	6	29	.207	0	1	4	4	2	0	0	0	13
13Michaela DlouháMB	3	8	1	15	.467	2	0	1	4	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
7Jaslyn ReedOH	3	4	3	14	.071	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Logan CarrMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
14Kendall Mignerey	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	2	5	0	0	0	1
16Caroline MacanderS	2	1	0	2	.500	9	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
3Gabrielle ClinkscaleOH	3	10	2	27	.296	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	10
4Addison BurksL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
0Ellie WattsOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
8Marianne GarciaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	14	1	0	0	0	0
19Danit CohenS	2	1	0	1	1.000	21	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		40	13	98	.276	37	3	11	43	12	1	2	2	56

Western Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Kaira KnoxOH	3	12	2	20	.500	0	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	14
17Alivia SkidmoreOH	3	8	1	18	.389	1	3	1	3	0	1	3	2.5	13.5
22Faith YoungOH	3	10	0	18	.556	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
20Kate RushS	3	5	1	16	.250	29	4	2	5	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
25Izzy Van De WieleMB	3	1	0	3	.333	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2
3Kennedy CherryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	4	2	0	0	0	1
2Tayler BaronL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	12	1	0	0	0	2
21Eliza McKnightOH	3	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
8Cali FosterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
18Aubrey SearsOH	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
16Sonja LaaksonenOH	2	0	2	13	-.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	7	99	.323	37	12	6	42	3	3	8	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Middle Tenn. vs Western Ky.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Middle Tenn. at Western Ky. · Western Ky. won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Middle Tenn. at Western Ky. · Western Ky. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MIDTEN · W KY 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 6 MIDTENW KY 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 MIDTENW KY 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 MIDTENW KY 4

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Middle Tenn.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	60%6/10
2	56%5/9	17%1/6
3	40%4/10	38%3/8
4	50%4/8	0%0/4
5	38%3/8	33%2/6
6	75%3/4	25%1/4
All	49%24/49	34%13/38

Western Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	60%6/10
2	56%5/9	44%4/9
3	100%5/5	50%5/10
4	67%4/6	20%1/5
5	100%3/3	63%5/8
6	50%3/6	57%4/7
All	66%25/38	51%25/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	MIDTEN-W KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Kennedy Cherry	+0.9
2	1-1	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
3	1-2	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.0
4	2-2	W KY	MIDTEN	Attack err	Kate Rush		+1.1
5	2-3	MIDTEN	W KY	Blocked	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Izzy Van De Wiele	+1.0
6	2-4	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		+1.3
7	3-4	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
8	3-5	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.9
9	3-6	W KY	W KY×3	Blocked	Gabrielle Clinkscale	blk Kate Rush, Faith Young	+1.1
10	3-7	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Ellie Watts	+1.0
11	4-7	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.7
12	4-8	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.7
13	5-8	W KY	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Michaela Dlouhá	+0.7
14	6-8	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+1.2
15	7-8	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Marianne Garcia	+1.4
16	7-9	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+1.1
17	7-10	W KY	W KY×3	Blocked	Sophia Henry	blk Kate Rush	+1.3
18	7-11	W KY	W KY×3	Blocked	Jaslyn Reed	blk Alivia Skidmore	+1.1
19	8-11	W KY	MIDTEN	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.7
20	8-12	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Kill	Kate Rush	set Tayler Baron	+0.8
21	8-13	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Izzy Van De Wiele	+0.8
22	8-14	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.6
23	9-14	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
24	9-15	MIDTEN	W KY	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
25	10-15	W KY	MIDTEN×6	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
26	11-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×6	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Michaela Dlouhá	+0.7
27	12-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×6	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
28	13-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×6	Blocked	Eliza McKnight	blk Michaela Dlouhá	+1.4
29	14-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×6	Attack err	Sonja Laaksonen		+1.8
30	15-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×6	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Tayler Baron	+2.3
31	15-16	MIDTEN	W KY	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+1.7
32	15-17	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Ellie Watts	+2.1
33	16-17	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.5
34	16-18	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.6
35	17-18	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+1.6
36	17-19	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.7
37	17-20	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Faith Young	set Alivia Skidmore	+1.9
38	17-21	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.3
39	18-21	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.7
40	18-22	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.9
41	19-22	W KY	MIDTEN	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+0.6
42	19-23	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.9
43	19-24	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.5
Set 2
1	0-1	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Sophia Henry	+0.9
2	0-2	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Sophia Henry	+0.9
3	0-3	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Izzy Van De Wiele	+0.8
4	1-3	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Kendall Mignerey	+0.6
5	1-4	MIDTEN	W KY×4	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.6
6	1-5	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.7
7	1-6	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Marianne Garcia	+0.5
8	1-7	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.4
9	2-7	W KY	MIDTEN	Blocked	Sonja Laaksonen	blk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá	+0.3
10	2-8	MIDTEN	W KY×6	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.3
11	2-9	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Faith Young	set Marianne Garcia	+0.3
12	2-10	W KY	W KY×6	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.2
13	2-11	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.2
14	2-12	W KY	W KY×6	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.1
15	2-13	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Faith Young		+0.1
16	3-13	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	·
17	3-14	MIDTEN	W KY	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		·
18	4-14	W KY	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Kaira Knox		·
19	5-14	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Logan Carr	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
20	6-14	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
21	6-15	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Tayler Baron	+0.1
22	6-16	W KY	W KY	Blocked	Logan Carr	blk Faith Young, Alivia Skidmore	+0.1
23	7-16	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Danit Cohen	·
24	7-17	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	·
25	8-17	W KY	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	·
26	9-17	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
27	10-17	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Kennedy Cherry	+0.1
28	10-18	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.1
29	10-19	W KY	W KY×3	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.1
30	10-20	W KY	W KY×3	Attack err	Sophia Henry		·
31	11-20	W KY	MIDTEN	Serve err	Western Ky.		·
32	11-21	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	·
33	11-22	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Kendall Mignerey	·
34	12-22	W KY	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	·
35	13-22	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	·
36	14-22	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Danit Cohen	·
37	15-22	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Danit Cohen	·
38	15-23	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	·
39	16-23	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Danit Cohen	·
40	16-24	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	·
41	17-24	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	·
42	17-25	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		+0.5
2	2-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Kennedy Cherry	+0.6
3	3-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá		+0.6
4	3-1	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Izzy Van De Wiele	set Kate Rush	+0.4
5	4-1	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Danit Cohen	+0.5
6	4-2	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.4
7	5-2	W KY	MIDTEN	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.5
8	5-3	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.4
9	6-3	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	+0.5
10	6-4	MIDTEN	W KY×4	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
11	6-5	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Ellie Watts	+0.6
12	6-6	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+0.6
13	6-7	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.6
14	7-7	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	+0.4
15	7-8	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.4
16	7-9	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kate Rush	set Faith Young	+0.5
17	7-10	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.5
18	8-10	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	+0.3
19	8-11	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.3
20	9-11	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Danit Cohen	set Marianne Garcia	+0.3
21	9-12	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.3
22	10-12	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Addison Burks	+0.3
23	10-13	MIDTEN	W KY	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
24	11-13	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	+0.4
25	11-14	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+0.4
26	11-15	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Ellie Watts	+0.4
27	12-15	W KY	MIDTEN	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.3
28	12-16	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.3
29	12-17	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Cali Foster	+0.3
30	13-17	W KY	MIDTEN	Serve err	Kaira Knox		+0.2
31	13-18	MIDTEN	W KY×3	Serve err	Kendall Mignerey		+0.2
32	13-19	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.2
33	13-20	W KY	W KY×3	Blocked	Jaslyn Reed	blk Faith Young, Alivia Skidmore	+0.1
34	14-20	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Danit Cohen	·
35	15-20	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
36	15-21	MIDTEN	W KY	Serve err	Marianne Garcia		+0.1
37	15-22	W KY	W KY	Blocked	Jaslyn Reed	blk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight	+0.1
38	16-22	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Danit Cohen	·
39	17-22	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Marianne Garcia	+0.1
40	17-23	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.1
41	18-23	W KY	MIDTEN	Serve err	Kate Rush		·
42	19-23	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
43	19-24	MIDTEN	W KY	Serve err	Sophia Henry		+0.1
44	20-24	W KY	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Danit Cohen	·
45	20-25	MIDTEN	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Western Ky. def. Middle Tenn. 3–0

Kaira Knox hit .500 with 12 kills as Western Ky. rolled past Middle Tenn.