FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

Temple def. Manhattan 3–0

(25-18, 25-20, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MANHAT	18	20	22	0
TEMPLE	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TEMPLE above 50 · MANHAT below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Manhattan — set 1, MANHAT 6-6 TEMPLE. Attack error by Ella Sinai. TEMPLE win probability 97% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MANHAT 2.8%97.2% TEMPLE

Manhattan wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.8%

Temple wins

3-0

63.1%

3-1

26.9%

3-2

7.1%

MANHAT break %: 35.7% vs this opp
TEMPLE break %: 50.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ella SinaiAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Ella Sinai
Set 1 · MANHAT 6-6 TEMPLE · MANHAT 3% → 3%
02
Jaya MooreAttack error+0.5%
Jaya Moore stuffed by Brooke Johnson
Set 1 · MANHAT 2-1 TEMPLE · MANHAT 3% → 3%
03
TEMPLE serverAce+0.4%
Temple ace on Team
Set 1 · MANHAT 3-4 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 97% → 97%
04
Jaya MooreKill+0.4%
Kill by Jaya Moore (set by Lexi Yoza)
Set 1 · MANHAT 6-8 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 97% → 98%
05
TEMPLE serverService error+0.4%
Temple service error
Set 1 · MANHAT 3-2 TEMPLE · MANHAT 3% → 3%
06
Olivia HummelKill+0.3%
Kill by Olivia Hummel (set by Lexi Yoza)
Set 1 · MANHAT 3-5 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 97% → 98%
07
MANHAT serverService error+0.3%
Manhattan service error
Set 1 · MANHAT 6-7 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 97% → 97%
08
Khenedi GuestKill+0.3%
Kill by Khenedi Guest (set by Lexi Yoza)
Set 1 · MANHAT 3-3 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Manhattanaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Katie PowersOH	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	8
11Abby MorrealeMB	3	3	1	8	.250	2	2	1	1	0	1	2	2	7
22Brooke JohnsonOH	3	4	1	8	.375	0	1	3	1	2	1	0	1	6
8Emma FrancesconiOH	3	5	3	13	.154	1	0	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
12Helenn MontillaMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4
10Ori BrigerS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
28Hanna KaczynskaOH	3	3	5	12	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Mikalah CurranOH	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
15Anna DuncanDS	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	1
4Emilia KuzniarS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Julia PflegerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
2Karsyn HarrisOH	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		28	14	71	.197	27	5	10	16	5	4	4	6	60

Templehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
4Jaya MooreOH	3	9	3	16	.375	0	2	4	2	0	1	1	12
7Khenedi GuestMB	3	11	4	16	.438	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	11
20Olivia HummelOH	3	9	2	16	.438	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	11
13Kennedy CraytonOH	3	5	1	14	.286	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	5
10Ella SinaiMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	3	0	2	2	4
5Lexi YozaS	3	2	0	6	.333	35	0	2	3	0	0	0	2
6Claudia RiveraL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	1
11Madeline MetcalfL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
2Christiana GreeneOH	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
3Abby JhunL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Sofia HardyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	2
Team totals		41	12	80	.362	39	5	14	24	5	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MANHAT · TEMPLE 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 MANHATTEMPLE 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 MANHATTEMPLE 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 MANHATTEMPLE 4

Bars above the line = Temple leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Manhattan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	43%6/14
2	47%7/15	22%2/9
3	58%7/12	22%2/9
4	60%6/10	36%4/11
5	38%6/16	33%3/9
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	53%39/73	34%21/62

Temple

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	42%5/12
2	70%7/10	30%3/10
3	78%7/9	50%7/14
4	60%6/10	57%8/14
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	50%6/12	57%8/14
All	66%41/62	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	MANHAT-TEMPLE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Claudia Rivera	+0.2
2	1-1	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.3
3	2-1	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Jaya Moore	blk Brooke Johnson	+0.5
4	2-2	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.3
5	3-2	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.4
6	3-3	MANHAT	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.3
7	3-4	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Team	+0.4
8	3-5	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.3
9	4-5	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Bad set	Lexi Yoza		+0.3
10	4-6	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.3
11	5-6	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.3
12	6-6	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Ella Sinai		+0.5
13	6-7	MANHAT	TEMPLE×5	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.3
14	6-8	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.4
15	6-9	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Bad set	Emilia Kuzniar		+0.3
16	6-10	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Kill	Kennedy Crayton	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
17	6-11	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Attack err	Emma Francesconi	blk Ella Sinai	+0.2
18	7-11	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
19	7-12	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
20	8-12	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
21	8-13	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
22	9-13	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.1
23	9-14	MANHAT	TEMPLE×3	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
24	9-15	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Katie Powers		+0.1
25	9-16	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Julia Pfleger	+0.1
26	10-16	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
27	10-17	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Kennedy Crayton	+0.1
28	11-17	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
29	12-17	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Khenedi Guest		+0.1
30	12-18	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Kennedy Crayton	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
31	12-19	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Attack err	Helenn Montilla		+0.1
32	13-19	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.0
33	13-20	MANHAT	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Ella Sinai	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
34	13-21	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Emma Francesconi		+0.0
35	13-22	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska		+0.0
36	14-22	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.0
37	14-23	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Attack err	Emma Francesconi		+0.0
38	14-24	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
39	15-24	TEMPLE	MANHAT×4	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.0
40	16-24	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Julia Pfleger	+0.0
41	17-24	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Olivia Hummel	blk Katie Powers	+0.0
42	18-24	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Jaya Moore	blk Emma Francesconi, Abby Morreale	+0.0
43	18-25	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Ella Sinai	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.2
2	1-1	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
3	1-2	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Lexi Yoza	set Olivia Hummel	+0.2
4	2-2	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.2
5	2-3	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
6	3-3	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.2
7	3-4	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
8	3-5	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
9	4-5	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+0.2
10	4-6	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
11	5-6	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Abby Morreale	+0.2
12	5-7	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Kennedy Crayton	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
13	6-7	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.2
14	7-7	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Kennedy Crayton	blk Helenn Montilla	+0.3
15	7-8	MANHAT	TEMPLE×5	Bad set	Helenn Montilla		+0.2
16	7-9	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska		+0.2
17	7-10	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Jaya Moore	+0.2
18	7-11	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Ella Sinai	+0.2
19	7-12	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Olivia Hummel	+0.1
20	8-12	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emma Francesconi	+0.1
21	8-13	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
22	9-13	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Attack err	Jaya Moore		+0.1
23	9-14	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
24	10-14	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
25	11-14	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Kennedy Crayton	+0.2
26	11-15	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
27	11-16	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Kennedy Crayton	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
28	12-16	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.1
29	13-16	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Khenedi Guest		+0.2
30	13-17	MANHAT	TEMPLE×3	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
31	13-18	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
32	13-19	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Brooke Johnson	+0.1
33	14-19	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Abby Morreale	+0.0
34	14-20	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
35	15-20	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
36	16-20	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Claudia Rivera	+0.1
37	16-21	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
38	17-21	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
39	17-22	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
40	18-22	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.1
41	19-22	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Olivia Hummel	blk Abby Morreale, Hanna Kaczynska	+0.1
42	19-23	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Attack err	Abby Morreale		+0.2
43	20-23	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
44	20-24	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
45	20-25	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
2	0-2	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
3	1-2	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.1
4	2-2	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Kennedy Crayton	+0.1
5	2-3	MANHAT	TEMPLE×4	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
6	2-4	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Anna Duncan	+0.1
7	2-5	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
8	2-6	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Attack err	Helenn Montilla		+0.1
9	3-6	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
10	3-7	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
11	4-7	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.0
12	5-7	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Khenedi Guest	blk Abby Morreale	+0.1
13	5-8	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Kennedy Crayton	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
14	6-8	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.1
15	6-9	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Attack err	Katie Powers		+0.1
16	6-10	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Bad set	Anna Duncan		+0.1
17	7-10	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.1
18	8-10	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Team	+0.1
19	8-11	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Lexi Yoza	set Olivia Hummel	+0.1
20	9-11	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.1
21	10-11	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
22	10-12	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Sofia Hardy	+0.1
23	11-12	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
24	11-13	MANHAT	TEMPLE×3	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
25	11-14	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
26	11-15	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Bad set	Emilia Kuzniar		+0.1
27	12-15	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Attack err	Khenedi Guest		+0.1
28	13-15	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
29	13-16	MANHAT	TEMPLE×4	Serve err	MANHAT server		+0.1
30	13-17	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
31	13-18	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Kill	Claudia Rivera	set Hanna Kaczynska	+0.1
32	13-19	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Bad set	Mikalah Curran		+0.0
33	14-19	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
34	15-19	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Anna Duncan	set Khenedi Guest	+0.0
35	15-20	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
36	16-20	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Karsyn Harris	set Ori Briger	+0.0
37	17-20	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.1
38	17-21	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.1
39	17-22	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Attack err	Brooke Johnson		+0.1
40	18-22	TEMPLE	MANHAT×4	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
41	19-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Olivia Hummel	+0.1
42	20-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Ori Briger	+0.1
43	21-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Christiana Greene		+0.2
44	21-23	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
45	22-23	TEMPLE	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Ori Briger	+0.2
46	22-24	MANHAT	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.3
47	22-25	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Brooke Johnson	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.