FGCU vs North Florida Volleyball: North Florida Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: FGCU 78.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Florida beat visiting FGCU 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. North Florida's Kaili Doctor led with 11 kills, and Leah McDonald added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:10 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FGCU	18	17	18	0
NO FLA	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Leah Mcdonald, and North Florida needed each of them.

The match turned once. Numbers are North Florida's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, FGCU was RallyIQ's 78% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · FGCU 9–10 North Florida
Up 10–9, North Florida scored 5 straight to make it 15–9. The match swung to North Florida.
North Florida 48% → 65%

North Florida above 50FGCU belowMax swing 4.1%

FGCUNorth Florida

Sideout %: FGCU 52.1·North Florida 72.7
Break %: FGCU 27.3·North Florida 47.9
Hitting: FGCU .046·North Florida .276
Longest run: FGCU 4·North Florida 5

Kaili Doctor
2 kills inside the turning points, 11 K and .194 for the match (14.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Florida above 50 · FGCU below

Biggest swing: 4.1% to North Florida — set 3, FGCU 12-16 NO FLA. Amany Kuwa stuffed by Kaili Doctor & Yarimar Francis Garay. NO FLA win probability 85% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FGCU 68.7%31.3% NO FLA

FGCU wins

3-0

22.3%

3-1

26.4%

3-2

20.0%

North Florida wins

3-0

6.1%

3-1

11.1%

3-2

14.2%

FGCU break %: 43.5% vs this opp
NO FLA break %: 39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kaili Doctor&Yarimar Francis GarayBlock+4.1%
Amany Kuwa stuffed by Kaili Doctor & Yarimar Francis Garay
Set 3 · FGCU 12-16 NO FLA · NO FLA 85% → 90%
02
Katie GielasAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Katie Gielas
Set 2 · FGCU 9-12 NO FLA · NO FLA 51% → 55%
03
Sofia Dawson&Yarimar Francis GarayBlock+3.9%
Katie Gielas stuffed by Sofia Dawson & Yarimar Francis Garay
Set 2 · FGCU 9-13 NO FLA · NO FLA 55% → 59%
04
Haleina Bowers&Sofia DawsonBlock+3.9%
Camila Soto stuffed by Haleina Bowers & Sofia Dawson
Set 3 · FGCU 9-12 NO FLA · NO FLA 80% → 84%
05
Katie GielasAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Katie Gielas
Set 3 · FGCU 9-11 NO FLA · NO FLA 76% → 80%
06
Katie GielasAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Katie Gielas
Set 3 · FGCU 9-13 NO FLA · NO FLA 84% → 87%
07
Camila SotoKill+3.6%
Kill by Camila Soto (set by Dinara Sabitova)
Set 3 · FGCU 12-14 NO FLA · FGCU 14% → 18%
08
Amany KuwaAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Amany Kuwa
Set 2 · FGCU 9-14 NO FLA · NO FLA 59% → 62%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FGCUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Katie GielasOH	3	10	8	28	.071	2	1	2	8	1	1	0.5	11.5
3Julija Grubisic CaboOH	3	8	6	24	.083	2	0	2	7	3	1	0.5	8.5
8Abby ToeniskoetterMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	3	0	4	2	6
11Dinara SabitovaS	3	3	1	9	.222	16	1	1	8	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Maju HildebrandOPP	3	3	5	19	-.105	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	4
18Amany KuwaMB	3	3	3	8	.000	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	4
13Camila SotoOH	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Anna MarzellaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	1	9	0	0	0	0
14Devynn SchulzeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Eliska VytiskovaS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	27	109	.046	29	2	7	45	6	12	6	53

North Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Kaili DoctorOH	3	11	5	31	.194	0	0	2	6	0	2	3	3.5	14.5
11Yarimar Francis GarayMB	3	9	0	16	.563	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	4.5	13.5
9Haleina BowersMB	3	7	0	15	.467	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
2Leah McDonaldOH	3	2	2	14	.000	0	4	1	12	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
3Dakota SpurrierOH	3	6	1	17	.294	0	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	6
1Sofia DawsonS	3	0	0	5	.000	32	1	1	6	0	0	5	2.5	3.5
8Brooklyn StringfellowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
19Emma PohlmannL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	8	98	.276	32	6	7	46	2	4	18	13	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

FGCU vs North Florida

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Sat, Oct 17, 2026FGCU at North Florida · North Florida won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026North Florida at FGCU · FGCU won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 FGCU · NO FLA 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 FGCUNO FLA 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 FGCUNO FLA 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 FGCUNO FLA 4

Bars above the line = North Florida leads, below = FGCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FGCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	33%4/12
2	64%7/11	13%1/8
3	60%6/10	22%2/9
4	46%6/13	25%2/8
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	50%6/12	40%4/10
All	52%38/73	27%15/55

North Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	63%12/19
2	88%7/8	46%6/13
3	75%6/8	33%3/9
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	67%6/9	45%5/11
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	73%40/55	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#	FGCU-NO FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.4
2	1-1	NO FLA	FGCU	Attack err	Kaili Doctor		+1.3
3	1-2	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+1.5
4	1-3	NO FLA	NO FLA	Attack err	Maju Hildebrand		+2.1
5	2-3	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Amany Kuwa	set Dinara Sabitova	+1.4
6	2-4	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.6
7	3-4	NO FLA	FGCU×3	Kill	Dinara Sabitova	set Julija Grubisic Cabo	+1.5
8	4-4	FGCU	FGCU×3	Ace	Katie Gielas	aced Emma Pohlmann	+2.0
9	5-4	FGCU	FGCU×3	Bad set	Sofia Dawson		+1.9
10	5-5	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+1.5
11	6-5	NO FLA	FGCU	Serve err	North Florida		+1.4
12	6-6	FGCU	NO FLA×3	Serve err	FGCU		+1.5
13	6-7	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Ace	North Florida	aced Julija Grubisic Cabo	+2.3
14	6-8	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Ace	North Florida		+2.4
15	7-8	NO FLA	FGCU	Serve err	North Florida		+1.6
16	8-8	FGCU	FGCU	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.3
17	8-9	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+1.8
18	9-9	NO FLA	FGCU×4	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Dinara Sabitova	+1.7
19	10-9	FGCU	FGCU×4	Kill	Maju Hildebrand	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.3
20	11-9	FGCU	FGCU×4	Blocked	Kaili Doctor	blk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter	+2.1
21	12-9	FGCU	FGCU×4	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Dinara Sabitova	+1.9
22	12-10	FGCU	NO FLA×5	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.3
23	12-11	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+2.1
24	12-12	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Blocked	Abby Toeniskoetter	blk Yarimar Francis Garay	+2.5
25	12-13	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Blocked	Maju Hildebrand	blk Kaili Doctor, Yarimar Francis Garay	+2.8
26	12-14	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Attack err	Maju Hildebrand		+3.0
27	13-14	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Maju Hildebrand	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.0
28	13-15	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+2.4
29	14-15	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.0
30	14-16	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+2.5
31	15-16	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Anna Marzella	+2.1
32	15-17	FGCU	NO FLA	Serve err	FGCU		+2.6
33	15-18	NO FLA	NO FLA	Attack err	Maju Hildebrand		+3.5
34	16-18	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Dinara Sabitova	set Katie Gielas	+2.0
35	16-19	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+2.7
36	16-20	NO FLA	NO FLA	Ace	North Florida	aced Katie Gielas	+3.1
37	17-20	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Eliska Vytiskova	+1.5
38	17-21	FGCU	NO FLA×4	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+2.3
39	17-22	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+2.2
40	17-23	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Blocked	Dinara Sabitova	blk Kaili Doctor	+1.2
41	17-24	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Maju Hildebrand		+0.4
42	18-24	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Anna Marzella	+0.1
43	18-25	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	NO FLA	NO FLA	Blocked	Katie Gielas	blk Sofia Dawson, Yarimar Francis Garay	+2.9
2	1-1	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Anna Marzella	+2.0
3	1-2	FGCU	NO FLA×3	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+2.2
4	1-3	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Ace	North Florida	aced Julija Grubisic Cabo	+3.1
5	1-4	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+3.3
6	2-4	NO FLA	FGCU	Blocked	Kaili Doctor	blk Amany Kuwa, Dinara Sabitova	+2.1
7	2-5	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+2.5
8	2-6	NO FLA	NO FLA	Blocked	Julija Grubisic Cabo	blk Yarimar Francis Garay, Leah McDonald	+3.4
9	3-6	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Amany Kuwa	set Eliska Vytiskova	+2.1
10	3-7	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+2.5
11	3-8	NO FLA	NO FLA	Attack err	Julija Grubisic Cabo		+3.3
12	4-8	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Abby Toeniskoetter	set Eliska Vytiskova	+1.9
13	5-8	FGCU	FGCU	Ace	Dinara Sabitova	aced Dakota Spurrier	+3.0
14	5-9	FGCU	NO FLA	Serve err	FGCU		+2.7
15	6-9	NO FLA	FGCU×3	Blocked	Dakota Spurrier	blk Julija Grubisic Cabo, Abby Toeniskoetter	+2.2
16	7-9	FGCU	FGCU×3	Blocked	Leah McDonald	blk Abby Toeniskoetter, Katie Gielas	+3.3
17	8-9	FGCU	FGCU×3	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Dinara Sabitova	+3.5
18	8-10	FGCU	NO FLA	Serve err	FGCU		+2.9
19	9-10	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Dinara Sabitova	set Julija Grubisic Cabo	+2.5
20	9-11	FGCU	NO FLA×5	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+3.0
21	9-12	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Attack err	Katie Gielas		+4.1
22	9-13	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Blocked	Katie Gielas	blk Sofia Dawson, Yarimar Francis Garay	+3.9
23	9-14	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Attack err	Amany Kuwa		+3.6
24	9-15	NO FLA	NO FLA×5	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+3.0
25	10-15	NO FLA	FGCU	Serve err	Brooklyn Stringfellow		+1.5
26	10-16	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+2.2
27	11-16	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Eliska Vytiskova	+1.5
28	11-17	FGCU	NO FLA	Serve err	FGCU		+2.2
29	12-17	NO FLA	FGCU	Serve err	Kaili Doctor		+1.4
30	12-18	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Eliska Vytiskova	+2.1
31	12-19	NO FLA	NO FLA	Attack err	Julija Grubisic Cabo		+2.0
32	13-19	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Eliska Vytiskova	+0.8
33	13-20	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+1.4
34	14-20	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Dinara Sabitova	+0.7
35	14-21	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+1.2
36	15-21	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Abby Toeniskoetter	set Dinara Sabitova	+0.5
37	15-22	FGCU	NO FLA	Serve err	FGCU		+1.0
38	15-23	NO FLA	NO FLA	Ace	North Florida	aced Julija Grubisic Cabo	+0.6
39	16-23	NO FLA	FGCU	Blocked	Kaili Doctor	blk Amany Kuwa, Maju Hildebrand	+0.1
40	16-24	FGCU	NO FLA	Blocked	Amany Kuwa	blk Yarimar Francis Garay	+0.2
41	17-24	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Amany Kuwa	set Anna Marzella	·
42	17-25	FGCU	NO FLA	Attack err	Camila Soto		+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	FGCU	FGCU	Blocked	Kaili Doctor	blk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter	+2.5
2	1-1	FGCU	NO FLA	Serve err	FGCU		+1.9
3	2-1	NO FLA	FGCU	Attack err	Sofia Dawson		+1.8
4	2-2	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.9
5	3-2	NO FLA	FGCU×3	Serve err	Sofia Dawson		+1.9
6	4-2	FGCU	FGCU×3	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Katie Gielas	+2.4
7	5-2	FGCU	FGCU×3	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.2
8	5-3	FGCU	NO FLA×4	Blocked	Katie Gielas	blk Kaili Doctor	+1.5
9	5-4	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+2.5
10	5-5	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+2.8
11	5-6	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Camila Soto		+3.1
12	6-6	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.2
13	6-7	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+2.4
14	6-8	NO FLA	NO FLA	Blocked	Julija Grubisic Cabo	blk Leah McDonald, Sofia Dawson	+3.5
15	7-8	NO FLA	FGCU	Bad set	Sofia Dawson		+2.3
16	8-8	FGCU	FGCU	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Dinara Sabitova	+3.2
17	8-9	FGCU	NO FLA	Attack err	Julija Grubisic Cabo		+2.6
18	9-9	NO FLA	FGCU	Attack err	Leah McDonald		+2.4
19	9-10	FGCU	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Katie Gielas		+2.7
20	9-11	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Katie Gielas		+3.8
21	9-12	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Blocked	Camila Soto	blk Haleina Bowers, Sofia Dawson	+3.9
22	9-13	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Katie Gielas		+3.8
23	10-13	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Julija Grubisic Cabo	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.2
24	10-14	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+2.9
25	11-14	NO FLA	FGCU	Serve err	Brooklyn Stringfellow		+2.2
26	12-14	FGCU	FGCU	Kill	Camila Soto	set Dinara Sabitova	+3.6
27	12-15	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+3.2
28	12-16	NO FLA	NO FLA	Blocked	Amany Kuwa	blk Kaili Doctor, Yarimar Francis Garay	+4.1
29	13-16	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Katie Gielas	set Dinara Sabitova	+2.3
30	13-17	FGCU	NO FLA	Blocked	Katie Gielas	blk Sofia Dawson, Kaili Doctor	+3.1
31	14-17	NO FLA	FGCU	Serve err	Kaili Doctor		+2.3
32	14-18	FGCU	NO FLA×4	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+3.2
33	14-19	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Haleina Bowers		+3.5
34	14-20	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+2.5
35	14-21	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+1.6
36	15-21	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Maju Hildebrand	set Leah McDonald	+0.5
37	15-22	FGCU	NO FLA	Blocked	Julija Grubisic Cabo	blk Leah McDonald, Haleina Bowers	+1.0
38	15-23	NO FLA	NO FLA	Ace	North Florida		+0.5
39	16-23	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Abby Toeniskoetter	set Eliska Vytiskova	+0.1
40	17-23	FGCU	FGCU	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.3
41	17-24	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+0.5
42	18-24	NO FLA	FGCU	Kill	Abby Toeniskoetter	set Julija Grubisic Cabo	+0.1
43	18-25	FGCU	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, FGCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

North Florida def. FGCU 3–0

4 aces from Leah Mcdonald, and North Florida needed each of them.