Central Conn. State def. Chicago State 3-0 (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Central Conn. St. 96.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Conn. St. beat visiting Chicago St. 3-0 (25-18, 25-11, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Central Conn. St.'s Breanna Ginley led with 9 kills, and Gabriella Burdier added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CHI ST	18	11	17	0
C CONN	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Chicago St. never reached 20 in a set against Central Conn. St.

Win probability never moved more than 0.5 points on one rally; Chicago St. topped out at 3% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Central Conn. St. 97% before first serve.

Chicago St.Central Conn. St.

Break %+26.2 pts
31.357.5
Points won on own serve: 42 of 73 vs 15 of 48. Chicago St. sided out 42.5% of the time.
Hitting+.333
.000.333
40 K / 11 E against 19 K / 19 E.

Central Conn. St. above 50Chicago St. belowMax swing 0.5%

Chicago St.Central Conn. St.

Aces: Chicago St. 3·Central Conn. St. 10
Serve err: Chicago St. 5·Central Conn. St. 13
Blocks: Chicago St. 4·Central Conn. St. 52 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Chicago St. 33·Central Conn. St. 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Conn. St. above 50 · Chicago St. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Central Conn. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHI ST 1.8%98.2% C CONN

Chicago St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.2%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

68.2%

3-1

24.5%

3-2

5.5%

CHI ST break %: 37.0% vs this opp
C CONN break %: 53.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Chicago St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Camryn McCollumOH	3	7	3	13	.308	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
8Kristine BakhadS	3	5	1	11	.364	7	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	5
11Nayella GeorgeOH	3	2	9	21	-.333	0	0	0	5	2	1	0	1	3
1Rayon ThigpenMB	3	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Graci LittlejohnMB	3	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Emeli Muagututi'aS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Nina MitchellOH	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	4
10Eliza CovrigL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	3	0	0	0	0	3
4Jenesis PerrinMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
17Hailee CollinsS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
7Reece MazzierL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	12	2	0	0	0	0
6Tenese ButtryDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
12Skye RileyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		19	19	73	.000	18	3	5	33	10	2	4	4	46

Central Conn. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Breanna GinleyMB	3	9	2	17	.412	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
5Olivia KecklerOPP	3	8	2	21	.286	0	1	4	4	1	0	2	1	10
11Cullen WinterMB	3	8	1	15	.467	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
15Madison FulgencioOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
10Anja MilosevicS	3	2	0	2	1.000	36	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	4
6Meg BerklandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	4	2	0	0	0	1
9Hanley SchmidtOH	3	8	3	16	.313	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
4Gabriella BurdierDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	3	13	0	0	0	0	3
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		40	11	87	.333	37	10	13	30	3	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chicago St. vs Central Conn. St.

Season series · Central Conn. St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Chicago St. at Central Conn. St. · Central Conn. St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Chicago St. at Central Conn. St. · Central Conn. St. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHI ST · C CONN 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 CHI STC CONN 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 CHI STC CONN 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 CHI STC CONN 3

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Chicago St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chicago St.

No clean sets to split.

Central Conn. St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#	CHI ST-C CONN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio
2	0-2	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kristine Bakhad
3	1-2	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Emeli Muagututi'a
4	1-3	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler
5	2-3	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum
6	2-4	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Attack err	Nayella George
7–10	4-6		CHI ST 2 · C CONN 2	NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
11	5-6	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt
12–15	7-8		CHI ST 2 · C CONN 2	NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
16	7-9	CHI ST	C CONN	Attack err	Kristine Bakhad
17–18	8-10		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
19	9-10	CHI ST	CHI ST	Serve err	Chicago St.
20	9-11	CHI ST	C CONN	Blocked	Camryn McCollum	blk Olivia Keckler, Cullen Winter
21	9-12	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kristine Bakhad
22	10-12	C CONN	CHI ST	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
23	10-13	CHI ST	C CONN×6	Serve err	Chicago St.
24	10-14	C CONN	C CONN×6	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic
25	10-15	C CONN	C CONN×6	Attack err	Nayella George
26	10-16	C CONN	C CONN×6	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Reece Mazzier
27	10-17	C CONN	C CONN×6	Attack err	Nayella George
28–29	11-18		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
30	11-19	CHI ST	C CONN	Attack err	Camryn McCollum
31	11-20	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt
32	12-20	C CONN	CHI ST	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt
33	13-20	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Breanna Ginley
34	13-21	CHI ST	C CONN	Attack err	Breanna Ginley
35	14-21	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Hailee Collins
36	15-21	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt
37	15-22	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic
38	16-22	C CONN	CHI ST	Attack err	Cullen Winter
39	16-23	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic
40	17-23	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Jenesis Perrin	set Hailee Collins
41	18-23		CHI ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
42	18-24	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic
43	18-25	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic
Set 2
1	0-1	C CONN	C CONN	Bad set	Reece Mazzier
2	0-2	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter
3	1-2		CHI ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
4	2-2	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad
5	2-3	CHI ST	C CONN	Serve err	Chicago St.
6	2-4	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic
7	3-4	C CONN	CHI ST	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
8	4-4		CHI ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
9	4-5	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Attack err	Nayella George
10	4-6		C CONN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
11	4-7	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Nayella George
12	5-7	C CONN	CHI ST	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
13–14	6-8		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
15	6-9	CHI ST	C CONN	Serve err	Chicago St.
16	6-10	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Reece Mazzier
17	7-10	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Hailee Collins
18	7-11	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic
19	7-12		C CONN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
20	8-12	C CONN	CHI ST	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt
21	8-13	CHI ST	C CONN×4	Kill	Cullen Winter
22	8-14	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic
23	8-15	C CONN	C CONN×4	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Camryn McCollum
24–25	9-16		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
26	9-17	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Attack err	Nayella George
27	9-18	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley
28–29	10-19		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
30	10-20	CHI ST	C CONN×5	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic
31	10-21	C CONN	C CONN×5	Attack err	Nayella George
32	10-22	C CONN	C CONN×5	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn
33	10-23	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier
34	10-24	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Olivia Keckler
35	11-24		CHI ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
36	11-25	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic
Set 3
1	0-1	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic
2	0-2	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic
3	0-3	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic
4	1-3	C CONN	CHI ST×3	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
5	2-3	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	Eliza Covrig	aced Meg Berkland
6	3-3	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	Eliza Covrig	aced Meg Berkland
7	3-4	CHI ST	C CONN	Attack err	Nayella George
8	4-4	C CONN	CHI ST	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
9	4-5	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Serve err	Chicago St.
10	4-6	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Jenesis Perrin
11–12	5-7		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
13	5-8	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic
14	6-8	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Kristine Bakhad	set Hailee Collins
15	6-9	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic
16	6-10	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Nayella George
17	7-10	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Kristine Bakhad	set Hailee Collins
18	7-11	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic
19	7-12	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic
20	7-13	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Nina Mitchell
21	8-13	C CONN	CHI ST	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
22	8-14	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic
23	8-15	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Nayella George
24	9-15	C CONN	CHI ST×4	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
25	10-15		CHI ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
26	11-15	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Ace	Eliza Covrig	aced Olivia Keckler
27	12-15	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad
28	12-16	CHI ST	C CONN	Attack err	Nayella George
29	12-17		C CONN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
30	13-17	C CONN	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad
31	14-17	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad
32	14-18	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic
33	15-18	C CONN	CHI ST	Serve err	Central Conn. St.
34	15-19	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic
35	15-20	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic
36–37	16-21		CHI ST · C CONN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
38	16-22	CHI ST	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic
39	16-23	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Nina Mitchell
40	16-24	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Nina Mitchell
41	17-24		CHI ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
42	17-25	CHI ST	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic

Score shown after each rally, Chicago St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Central Conn. St. def. Chicago St. 3–0

Chicago St. never reached 20 in a set against Central Conn. St.