FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026

Central Conn. St. def. Chicago St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Central Conn. St. 97.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Conn. St. beat visiting Chicago St. 3-0 (25-16, 25-20, 25-12) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Central Conn. St.'s Hanley Schmidt led with 9 kills, and Gabriella Burdier added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
CHI ST1620120
C CONN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Anja Milosevic served 5 aces in a Central Conn. St. rout.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.6 points, and Chicago St.'s high was 3% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Central Conn. St. 97% before first serve.

Chicago St.Central Conn. St.
  • Break %+23.5 pts
    34.057.5

    42 of 73 on serve vs 17 of 50, so Chicago St.'s sideout was 42.5%.

  • Hitting+.141
    .129.270

    41 K / 14 E against 26 K / 15 E.

  • Longest run+6
    410

    10 straight Central Conn. St. points in the third set turned a 0–1 deficit into a 10–1 lead. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Central Conn. St. above 50Chicago St. belowMax swing 0.6%

Chicago St.Central Conn. St.

Aces
Chicago St. 0·Central Conn. St. 12
Serve err
Chicago St. 6·Central Conn. St. 7
Blocks
Chicago St. 5·Central Conn. St. 53 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Chicago St. 36·Central Conn. St. 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Conn. St. above 50 · Chicago St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 123 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Central Conn. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHI ST 1.8%98.2% C CONN

Chicago St. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.2%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0
68.3%
3-1
24.5%
3-2
5.5%
CHI ST break %
36.9% vs this opp
C CONN break %
53.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39526.1541027110110
34213.15400010010.54.5
33211.09100000111.54.5
33010.30000010111.54.5
32410-.200001620002
32210.000801300002
3000–200920000
3000–1402400000
2304.75000000010.53.5
2000–000020000
1001.000000500000
1000–000000000
Team totals261585.1292506361234548
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37212.4170212014312
38123.3042214002111
38420.200000000008
33031.0003150800008
36318.167100100217
3000–102700000
39424.208000200009
3000–4311000003
3000–002200000
2000–000100000
Team totals4114100.2703912737018575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chicago St. vs Central Conn. St.

Season series · Central Conn. St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHI ST · C CONN 10

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 CHI STC CONN 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 CHI STC CONN 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 CHI STC CONN 10

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Chicago St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chicago St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%6/20
45%5/11
2
60%6/10
25%2/8
3
60%6/10
14%1/7
4
42%5/12
25%2/8
5
33%4/12
44%4/9
6
44%4/9
43%3/7
All
42%31/73
34%17/50

Central Conn. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
64%7/11
2
75%6/8
70%14/20
3
86%6/7
0%0/6
4
86%6/7
45%5/11
5
45%5/11
62%8/13
6
50%4/8
67%8/12
All
66%33/50
58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#CHI ST-C CONNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1CHI STC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
21-1C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
31-2CHI STC CONNServe errChicago St.
42-2C CONNCHI STServe errAnnabelle Denomme
52-3CHI STC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic
62-4C CONNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Olivia Keckler
73-4C CONNCHI STAttack errBreanna Ginley
84-4CHI STCHI STAttack errBreanna Ginley
94-5CHI STC CONN×5KillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
104-6C CONNC CONN×5KillCullen Winter
114-7C CONNC CONN×5Attack errGraci Littlejohn
124-8C CONNC CONN×5KillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
134-9C CONNC CONN×5AceBreanna Ginley
145-9C CONNCHI ST×4KillJenesis Perrinset Hailee Collins
156-9CHI STCHI ST×4KillJenesis Perrinset Hailee Collins
167-9CHI STCHI ST×4Attack errCullen Winter
178-9CHI STCHI ST×4Attack errHanley Schmidt
188-10CHI STC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
199-10C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
2010-10CHI STCHI STBlockedHanley Schmidtblk Nayella George
2110-11CHI STC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
2210-12C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic
2311-12C CONNCHI STAttack errMadison Fulgencio
2411-13CHI STC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic
2512-13C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
2612-14CHI STC CONNBlockedNayella Georgeblk Breanna Ginley
2713-14C CONNCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad
2813-15CHI STC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic
2914-15C CONNCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Kristine Bakhad
3014-16CHI STC CONN×3Serve errChicago St.
3114-17C CONNC CONN×3KillAnja Milosevicset Hailee Collins
3214-18C CONNC CONN×3KillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
3315-18C CONNCHI STAttack errOlivia Keckler
3416-18CHI STCHI STBlockedHanley Schmidtblk Graci Littlejohn, Jenesis Perrin
3516-19CHI STC CONN×7KillHanley Schmidtset Gabriella Burdier
3616-20C CONNC CONN×7Attack errGraci Littlejohn
3716-21C CONNC CONN×7KillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic
3816-22C CONNC CONN×7AceAnja Milosevic
3916-23C CONNC CONN×7KillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
4016-24C CONNC CONN×7AceAnja Milosevicaced Eliza Covrig
4116-25C CONNC CONN×7AceAnja Milosevic
Set 2
10-1C CONNC CONN×4KillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
20-2C CONNC CONN×4KillOlivia Kecklerset Madison Fulgencio
30-3C CONNC CONN×4KillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
40-4C CONNC CONN×4KillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic
51-4C CONNCHI STServe errMeg Berkland
61-5CHI STC CONN×5KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic
71-6C CONNC CONN×5Attack errCamryn McCollum
81-7C CONNC CONN×5KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic
91-8C CONNC CONN×5BlockedNina Mitchellblk Olivia Keckler, Breanna Ginley
101-9C CONNC CONN×5AceGabriella Burdier
112-9C CONNCHI STServe errGabriella Burdier
123-9CHI STCHI STAttack errMadison Fulgencio
133-10CHI STC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Meg Berkland
144-10C CONNCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Nayella George
154-11CHI STC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic
164-12C CONNC CONNAceOlivia Keckleraced Camryn McCollum
175-12C CONNCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
185-13CHI STC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
195-14C CONNC CONNAceBreanna Ginleyaced Skye Riley
206-14C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
216-15CHI STC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
226-16C CONNC CONNAceAnja Milosevicaced Skye Riley
237-16C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Eliza Covrig
248-16CHI STCHI STAttack errCullen Winter
258-17CHI STC CONNServe errChicago St.
269-17C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
2710-17CHI STCHI STBlockedCullen Winterblk Rayon Thigpen
2810-18CHI STC CONNBad setKristine Bakhad
2911-18C CONNCHI STKillRayon Thigpenset Kristine Bakhad
3011-19CHI STC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic
3112-19C CONNCHI STServe errAnnabelle Denomme
3213-19CHI STCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Hailee Collins
3313-20CHI STC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic
3414-20C CONNCHI STKillJenesis Perrinset Eliza Covrig
3514-21CHI STC CONNServe errChicago St.
3614-22C CONNC CONNAttack errCamryn McCollum
3715-22C CONNCHI ST×3Serve errBreanna Ginley
3816-22CHI STCHI ST×3KillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
3917-22CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errHanley Schmidt
4017-23CHI STC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic
4117-24C CONNC CONNAceAnja Milosevicaced Camryn McCollum
4218-24C CONNCHI ST×3KillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
4319-24CHI STCHI ST×3BlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Rayon Thigpen, Nina Mitchell
4420-24CHI STCHI ST×3KillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad
4520-25CHI STC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
Set 3
11-0CHI STCHI STKillKristine Bakhadset Hailee Collins
21-1CHI STC CONN×10Serve errChicago St.
31-2C CONNC CONN×10Attack errNayella George
41-3C CONNC CONN×10AceGabriella Burdier
51-4C CONNC CONN×10AceGabriella Burdieraced Eliza Covrig
61-5C CONNC CONN×10BlockedKristine Bakhadblk Breanna Ginley, Madison Fulgencio
71-6C CONNC CONN×10KillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic
81-7C CONNC CONN×10BlockedNayella Georgeblk Breanna Ginley, Olivia Keckler
91-8C CONNC CONN×10Attack errNayella George
101-9C CONNC CONN×10KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic
111-10C CONNC CONN×10BlockedNayella Georgeblk Breanna Ginley, Madison Fulgencio
122-10C CONNCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
133-10CHI STCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Hailee Collins
143-11CHI STC CONNAttack errCamryn McCollum
154-11C CONNCHI STKillRayon Thigpenset Hailee Collins
164-12CHI STC CONN×4KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic
174-13C CONNC CONN×4Attack errKristine Bakhad
184-14C CONNC CONN×4AceOlivia Keckleraced Nayella George
194-15C CONNC CONN×4Attack errCamryn McCollum
205-15C CONNCHI STServe errOlivia Keckler
215-16CHI STC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic
226-16C CONNCHI STBlockedCullen Winterblk Graci Littlejohn
236-17CHI STC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Olivia Keckler
247-17C CONNCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad
257-18CHI STC CONN×3KillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic
267-19C CONNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Gabriella Burdier
277-20C CONNC CONN×3Attack errNina Mitchell
288-20C CONNCHI STServe errMeg Berkland
299-20CHI STCHI STBad setAnja Milosevic
309-21CHI STC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic
319-22C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Gabriella Burdier
3210-22C CONNCHI STKillRayon Thigpenset Hailee Collins
3310-23CHI STC CONNServe errChicago St.
3411-23C CONNCHI STKillKristine Bakhadset Hailee Collins
3511-24CHI STC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Gabriella Burdier
3612-24C CONNCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
3712-25CHI STC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic

Score shown after each rally, Chicago St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).