Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

LIU def. Central Conn. St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: LIU 97.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LIU beat visiting Central Conn. St. 3-1 (24-26, 26-24, 25-14, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. LIU's Sara van Gisteren led with 25 kills, and Reese Teves added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
C CONN262414161
LIU242625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.432 on 44 swings: Sara van Gisteren and LIU edged Central Conn. St.

The match turned twice; each line shows LIU's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had LIU at 98%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Central Conn. St. 14–15 LIU

    7 straight Central Conn. St. points turned a 14–15 deficit into a 21–15 lead.

    LIU 88% → 64%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Central Conn. St. 23–20 LIU

    Down 20–23, LIU scored 4 straight to lead 24–23.

    LIU 67% → 89%

LIU above 50Central Conn. St. belowMax swing 7.1%

Central Conn. St.LIU

Sideout %
Central Conn. St. 50.5·LIU 63.0
Break %
Central Conn. St. 37.0·LIU 49.5
Hitting
Central Conn. St. .102·LIU .265
Longest run
Central Conn. St. 7·LIU 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

LIU above 50 · Central Conn. St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.1% LIUrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.1% to LIU — set 2, C CONN 23-24 LIU. Attack error by Breanna Ginley. LIU win probability 82% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C CONN 2.5%97.5% LIU

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.6%

LIU wins

3-0
64.6%
3-1
26.3%
3-2
6.6%
C CONN break %
36.3% vs this opp
LIU break %
51.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Breanna GinleyAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Breanna Ginley

    Set 2 · C CONN 23-24 LIU · LIU 82% → 89%

  2. 02

    Breanna Ginley stuffed by Yasmeen Muhammad

    Set 2 · C CONN 23-23 LIU · LIU 75% → 82%

  3. 03

    Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Anja Milosevic)

    Set 2 · C CONN 24-24 LIU · C CONN 11% → 16%

  4. 04
    Central Conn. St.Service error+5.2%

    Central Conn. St. service error

    Set 2 · C CONN 24-25 LIU · LIU 84% → 89%

  5. 05

    Olivia Keckler stuffed by Dilara Elmacioglu & Yasmeen Muhammad

    Set 2 · C CONN 23-22 LIU · LIU 70% → 75%

  6. 06
    LIUAce+5.0%

    LIU ace on Olivia Keckler

    Set 2 · C CONN 24-26 LIU · LIU 89% → 94%

  7. 07

    Kill by Breanna Ginley (set by Anja Milosevic)

    Set 2 · C CONN 23-20 LIU · C CONN 28% → 33%

  8. 08
    Central Conn. St.Ace+4.3%

    Central Conn. St. ace on Reese Teves

    Set 2 · C CONN 19-15 LIU · C CONN 24% → 29%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410647.08502496010.512.5
48420.200000200219
46519.053023000219
45219.15800030010.55.5
4001.000152500005
4217.143311050010.53.5
49734.05900020010.59.5
4000–125430002
4000–4221000002
1000–000000000
Team totals4025147.102371416401108480
LIUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
425644.43201113000026
48227.22201095132.511.5
45313.1540000042510
47412.25010020052.59.5
4103.3333921501436
2012-.500011130001
42211.0001311410005
4001.0003321930003
1000–001010000
Team totals4818113.26544117631461413100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Conn. St. vs LIU

Season series · LIU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 C CONN · LIU 6

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 C CONNLIU 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 7 C CONNLIU 6

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 C CONNLIU 6

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 C CONNLIU 5

Bars above the line = LIU leads, below = Central Conn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Conn. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
56%10/18
2
63%10/16
29%4/14
3
60%9/15
23%3/13
4
57%8/14
31%4/13
5
37%7/19
42%5/12
6
40%6/15
36%4/11
All
51%50/99
37%30/81

LIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
58%11/19
2
71%10/14
23%3/13
3
63%10/16
41%7/17
4
62%8/13
47%8/17
5
64%7/11
59%10/17
6
60%6/10
63%10/16
All
63%51/81
49%49/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#C CONN-LIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LIULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
21-1LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.2
31-2C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
42-2LIUC CONNBlockedSara Garciablk Isabella Aviles, Breanna Ginley+0.3
52-3C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
63-3LIUC CONNAttack errMia Rojas-Avila+0.3
74-3C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Bella Correia+0.4
84-4C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
95-4LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.4
105-5C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.3
115-6LIULIUAceLIUaced Olivia Keckler+0.4
126-6LIUC CONN×4Serve errLIU+0.3
137-6C CONNC CONN×4Attack errSara van Gisteren+0.5
148-6C CONNC CONN×4BlockedYasmeen Muhammadblk Hanley Schmidt, Adele Macer+0.6
159-6C CONNC CONN×4Attack errBella Correia+0.7
169-7C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
179-8LIULIUBlockedIsabella Avilesblk Dilara Elmacioglu, Sara Garcia+0.6
1810-8LIUC CONN×3KillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.5
1911-8C CONNC CONN×3AceCentral Conn. St.aced Bella Correia+0.8
2012-8C CONNC CONN×3KillIsabella Avilesset Anja Milosevic+0.9
2112-9C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.5
2213-9LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.7
2313-10C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.5
2414-10LIUC CONNKillIsabella Avilesset Anja Milosevic+0.7
2514-11C CONNLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.5
2615-11LIUC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.8
2716-11C CONNC CONN×3AceCentral Conn. St.aced Mia Rojas-Avila+1.0
2817-11C CONNC CONN×3Attack errYasmeen Muhammad+0.9
2917-12C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
3018-12LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.7
3118-13C CONNLIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
3218-14LIULIU×5Attack errHanley Schmidt+0.7
3318-15LIULIU×5AceLIUaced Annabelle Denomme+0.8
3418-16LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
3518-17LIULIU×5AceLIUaced Olivia Keckler+1.0
3619-17LIUC CONNServe errLIU+1.0
3719-18C CONNLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
3820-18LIUC CONNServe errLIU+1.1
3921-18C CONNC CONNBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Olivia Keckler, Adele Macer+1.5
4021-19C CONNLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
4121-20LIULIUAttack errAdele Macer+1.2
4222-20LIUC CONNServe errLIU+1.4
4322-21C CONNLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
4423-21LIUC CONNKillIsabella Avilesset Anja Milosevic+1.6
4523-22C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.0
4624-22LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+2.0
4724-23C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.1
4824-24LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.9
4925-24LIUC CONNServe errLIU+2.1
5026-24C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Bella Correia+3.7
Set 2
11-0C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+1.3
21-1C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.9
32-1LIUC CONN×5Serve errLIU+1.1
43-1C CONNC CONN×5KillOlivia Keckler+1.7
54-1C CONNC CONN×5AceCentral Conn. St.aced Mia Rojas-Avila+2.0
65-1C CONNC CONN×5AceCentral Conn. St.aced Mia Rojas-Avila+2.3
76-1C CONNC CONN×5KillOlivia Kecklerset Meg Berkland+2.5
86-2C CONNLIU×6Attack errOlivia Keckler+1.5
96-3LIULIU×6KillYasmeen Muhammad+2.0
106-4LIULIU×6BlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Yasmeen Muhammad+1.9
116-5LIULIU×6Attack errIsabella Aviles+1.7
126-6LIULIU×6KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.6
136-7LIULIU×6Attack errOlivia Keckler+1.4
147-7LIUC CONN×3KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+1.2
158-7C CONNC CONN×3AceCentral Conn. St.aced Neela Feliberty+1.9
169-7C CONNC CONN×3Attack errSara van Gisteren+2.3
179-8C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.5
1810-8LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Gabriella Burdier+1.9
1911-8C CONNC CONNBlockedYasmeen Muhammadblk Breanna Ginley, Anja Milosevic+2.8
2011-9C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+1.7
2112-9LIUC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Gabriella Burdier+2.3
2213-9C CONNC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+3.2
2313-10C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.8
2413-11LIULIUBlockedHanley Schmidtblk Dilara Elmacioglu, Sara Garcia+2.6
2514-11LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+2.6
2614-12C CONNLIU×4Attack errOlivia Keckler+2.0
2714-13LIULIU×4AceLIUaced Olivia Keckler+2.6
2814-14LIULIU×4BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Bella Correia, Sara Garcia+2.5
2914-15LIULIU×4KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.2
3015-15LIUC CONN×7KillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+1.9
3116-15C CONNC CONN×7AceCentral Conn. St.aced Reese Teves+3.1
3217-15C CONNC CONN×7Attack errSara van Gisteren+3.7
3318-15C CONNC CONN×7AceCentral Conn. St.aced Reese Teves+4.2
3419-15C CONNC CONN×7AceCentral Conn. St.aced Reese Teves+4.3
3520-15C CONNC CONN×7AceCentral Conn. St.aced Bella Correia+3.9
3621-15C CONNC CONN×7Attack errSara Garcia+3.0
3721-16C CONNLIU×3KillDilara Elmaciogluset Miabella Musignac+1.1
3821-17LIULIU×3Attack errOlivia Keckler+2.1
3921-18LIULIU×3KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.8
4022-18LIUC CONNAttack errMiabella Musignac+3.8
4122-19C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.9
4222-20LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Sara Garcia+3.7
4323-20LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+4.9
4423-21C CONNLIU×4Serve errCentral Conn. St.+2.5
4523-22LIULIU×4BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Dilara Elmacioglu, Yasmeen Muhammad+5.1
4623-23LIULIU×4BlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Yasmeen Muhammad+6.9
4723-24LIULIU×4Attack errBreanna Ginley+7.1
4824-24LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+5.2
4924-25C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+5.2
5024-26LIULIUAceLIUaced Olivia Keckler+5.0
Set 3
11-0LIUC CONNKillIsabella Avilesset Anja Milosevic+0.9
21-1C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
32-1LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.9
42-2C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.8
52-3LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
63-3LIUC CONNBad setSara Garcia+0.8
73-4C CONNLIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
83-5LIULIU×3BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Dilara Elmacioglu, Yasmeen Muhammad+0.8
93-6LIULIU×3AceLIUaced Olivia Keckler+0.7
104-6LIUC CONN×3Attack errBella Correia+0.5
115-6C CONNC CONN×3AceCentral Conn. St.+0.9
126-6C CONNC CONN×3Attack errSara van Gisteren+1.2
136-7C CONNLIU×3KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
146-8LIULIU×3BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Yasmeen Muhammad+0.9
156-9LIULIU×3Attack errAnja Milosevic+0.7
167-9LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.6
177-10C CONNLIUBlockedAdele Macerblk Dilara Elmacioglu+0.6
188-10LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.6
198-11C CONNLIU×6KillBella Correiaset Anja Milosevic+0.6
208-12LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Reese Teves+0.6
218-13LIULIU×6Attack errAdele Macer+0.5
228-14LIULIU×6AceLIUaced Olivia Keckler+0.3
238-15LIULIU×6KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
248-16LIULIU×6KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
259-16LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
269-17C CONNLIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
2710-17LIUC CONNKillIsabella Avilesset Anja Milosevic+0.1
2810-18C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
2911-18LIUC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Annabelle Denomme+0.1
3011-19C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.1
3112-19LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic·
3213-19C CONNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.1
3313-20C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+0.1
3414-20LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.1
3514-21C CONNLIU×5Attack errAdele Macer+0.1
3614-22LIULIU×5BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Bella Correia+0.1
3714-23LIULIU×5KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3814-24LIULIU×5AceLIU·
3914-25LIULIU×5BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Sara Garcia, Bella Correia·
Set 4
10-1C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
20-2LIULIUAceLIU+0.5
31-2LIUC CONNAttack errSara Garcia+0.4
41-3C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
52-3LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.4
62-4C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
73-4LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.5
83-5C CONNLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
94-5LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Gabriella Burdier+0.5
104-6C CONNLIU×5Serve errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
114-7LIULIU×5KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.5
124-8LIULIU×5AceLIUaced Annabelle Denomme+0.4
134-9LIULIU×5AceLIUaced Annabelle Denomme+0.3
144-10LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
155-10LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
166-10C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Bella Correia+0.3
176-11C CONNLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
187-11LIUC CONNAttack errSara van Gisteren+0.2
197-12C CONNLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
208-12LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.2
218-13C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
229-13LIUC CONNAttack errMiabella Musignac+0.2
2310-13C CONNC CONNAceAnnabelle Denommeaced Miabella Musignac+0.4
2410-14C CONNLIUServe errAnnabelle Denomme+0.3
2511-14LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.4
2611-15C CONNLIU×3Serve errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
2711-16LIULIU×3BlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Yasmeen Muhammad+0.3
2811-17LIULIU×3KillMiabella Musignacset Anja Milosevic+0.2
2912-17LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Gabriella Burdier+0.1
3012-18C CONNLIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
3113-18LIUC CONNServe errLIU+0.1
3213-19C CONNLIUBlockedHanley Schmidtblk Sara Garcia, Bella Correia+0.2
3313-20LIULIUKillSara van Gisteren+0.1
3414-20LIUC CONNAttack errSara Garcia+0.1
3514-21C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
3615-21LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic·
3715-22C CONNLIUServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.1
3816-22LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic·
3916-23C CONNLIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu·
4016-24LIULIU×3Attack errBreanna Ginley·
4116-25LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu·

Score shown after each rally, Central Conn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).