FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

LIU def. Central Conn. St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: LIU 97.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LIU beat visiting Central Conn. St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-17, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. LIU's Bella Correia led with 12 kills, and Reese Teves added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
C CONN2117160
LIU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.326 to .140: LIU outhit Central Conn. St.

Win probability never moved more than 1.0 points on one rally; Central Conn. St. topped out at 5% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave LIU 97% before first serve.

Central Conn. St.LIU
  • Break %+14.9 pts
    47.362.2

    Points won on own serve: 46 of 74 vs 26 of 55. Central Conn. St. sided out 37.8% of the time.

  • Hitting+.186
    .140.326

    40 K / 11 E against 29 K / 15 E.

  • Longest run+5
    510

    LIU scored 10 straight in the second set to go from 2–2 to a 12–2 lead. That set ended 25–17.

LIU above 50Central Conn. St. belowMax swing 1.0%

Central Conn. St.LIU

Aces
Central Conn. St. 4·LIU 8
Serve err
Central Conn. St. 11·LIU 7
Blocks
Central Conn. St. 5·LIU 50 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Central Conn. St. 30·LIU 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

LIU above 50 · Central Conn. St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% C CONNrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Central Conn. St. — set 1, C CONN 17-16 LIU. Kill by Adele Macer. LIU win probability 96% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C CONN 2.5%97.5% LIU

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.6%

LIU wins

3-0
64.6%
3-1
26.3%
3-2
6.6%
C CONN break %
36.3% vs this opp
LIU break %
51.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Adele MacerKill+1.0%

    Kill by Adele Macer

    Set 1 · C CONN 17-16 LIU · C CONN 4% → 5%

  2. 02
    Isabella AvilesAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Isabella Aviles

    Set 1 · C CONN 17-18 LIU · LIU 96% → 97%

  3. 03
    Dilara ElmaciogluBad set+0.8%

    Bad set by Dilara Elmacioglu

    Set 1 · C CONN 16-16 LIU · C CONN 3% → 4%

  4. 04
    Adele MacerAttack error+0.7%

    Attack error by Adele Macer

    Set 1 · C CONN 17-19 LIU · LIU 97% → 98%

  5. 05
    Anja MilosevicService error+0.7%

    Service error by Anja Milosevic

    Set 1 · C CONN 17-17 LIU · LIU 95% → 96%

  6. 06

    Ace by Gabriella Burdier on Bella Correia

    Set 1 · C CONN 14-14 LIU · C CONN 3% → 3%

  7. 07

    Kill by Miabella Musignac (set by Reese Teves)

    Set 1 · C CONN 14-16 LIU · LIU 97% → 98%

  8. 08
    Sara GarciaAce+0.5%

    Ace by Sara Garcia on Hanley Schmidt

    Set 1 · C CONN 17-20 LIU · LIU 98% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310225.32000262010.510.5
34315.06700010031.55.5
34012.333000100215
3215.200240460031.53.5
32522-.13600004010.52.5
3000–020210002
3000–222910002
3000–001000000
3000–002400000
26112.417000100006
1139-.222000000001
Team totals2915100.14026411308010554
LIUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312327.333102112010.512.5
39215.4670027010110
39627.11100170010.59.5
37011.636100401018
3206.333250100218
3103.3332912401013
3000–3101220001
1000–010000001
Team totals401189.326368746434575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Conn. St. vs LIU

Season series · LIU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 C CONN · LIU 10

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 C CONNLIU 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 5 C CONNLIU 10

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 C CONNLIU 6

Bars above the line = LIU leads, below = Central Conn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Conn. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
50%4/8
2
20%5/25
54%7/13
3
42%5/12
55%6/11
4
56%5/9
17%1/6
5
36%4/11
55%6/11
6
50%3/6
33%2/6
All
38%28/74
47%26/55

LIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%6/16
38%3/8
2
46%6/13
63%10/16
3
100%5/5
77%17/22
4
63%5/8
50%5/10
5
40%4/10
67%8/12
6
100%3/3
50%3/6
All
53%29/55
62%46/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#C CONN-LIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LIULIU×3AceDilara Elmaciogluaced Annabelle Denomme+0.3
20-2LIULIU×3KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
30-3LIULIU×3KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
41-3LIUC CONNServe errLIU+0.2
51-4C CONNLIU×4KillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+0.2
61-5LIULIU×4KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
71-6LIULIU×4KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
81-7LIULIU×4BlockedAdele Macerblk Miabella Musignac+0.1
92-7LIUC CONNServe errLIU+0.1
103-7C CONNC CONNBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Hanley Schmidt, Adele Macer+0.1
113-8C CONNLIUServe errAnja Milosevic+0.1
123-9LIULIUAttack errIsabella Aviles+0.1
134-9LIUC CONNAttack errMiabella Musignac+0.1
144-10C CONNLIUServe errMeg Berkland+0.1
154-11LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Anja Milosevic+0.1
165-11LIUC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic·
176-11C CONNC CONN×3BlockedSara van Gisterenblk Breanna Ginley, Olivia Keckler+0.1
187-11C CONNC CONN×3Bad setDilara Elmacioglu+0.1
197-12C CONNLIUKillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
208-12LIUC CONNKillIsabella Avilesset Anja Milosevic+0.1
218-13C CONNLIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
229-13LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
239-14C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
2410-14LIUC CONN×5BlockedBella Correiablk Anja Milosevic, Breanna Ginley+0.1
2511-14C CONNC CONN×5BlockedSara van Gisterenblk Anja Milosevic, Adele Macer+0.2
2612-14C CONNC CONN×5KillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.3
2713-14C CONNC CONN×5Attack errSara van Gisteren+0.5
2814-14C CONNC CONN×5AceGabriella Burdieraced Bella Correia+0.7
2914-15C CONNLIUServe errGabriella Burdier+0.5
3014-16LIULIUKillMiabella Musignacset Reese Teves+0.6
3115-16LIUC CONN×3KillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.4
3216-16C CONNC CONN×3Bad setDilara Elmacioglu+0.8
3317-16C CONNC CONN×3KillAdele Macer+1.0
3417-17C CONNLIU×5Serve errAnja Milosevic+0.7
3517-18LIULIU×5Attack errIsabella Aviles+0.8
3617-19LIULIU×5Attack errAdele Macer+0.7
3717-20LIULIU×5AceSara Garciaaced Hanley Schmidt+0.5
3817-21LIULIU×5Attack errIsabella Aviles+0.3
3918-21LIUC CONNAttack errMiabella Musignac+0.2
4018-22C CONNLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
4118-23LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
4219-23LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
4319-24C CONNLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
4420-24LIUC CONNAttack errSara van Gisteren·
4521-24C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
4621-25C CONNLIUKillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
Set 2
11-0C CONNC CONNBad setDilara Elmacioglu+0.3
21-1C CONNLIUServe errGabriella Burdier+0.2
31-2LIULIUBlockedHanley Schmidtblk Sara van Gisteren, Sara Garcia+0.2
42-2LIUC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.2
52-3C CONNLIU×10KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
62-4LIULIU×10KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
72-5LIULIU×10AceSara Garciaaced Hanley Schmidt+0.1
82-6LIULIU×10Attack errMadison Fulgencio+0.1
92-7LIULIU×10KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
102-8LIULIU×10KillBella Correiaset Yasmeen Muhammad+0.1
112-9LIULIU×10AceSara Garciaaced Hanley Schmidt·
122-10LIULIU×10KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu·
132-11LIULIU×10AceSara Garciaaced Gabriella Burdier·
142-12LIULIU×10KillSara van Gisterenset Sara Garcia·
153-12LIUC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic·
163-13C CONNLIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu·
173-14LIULIU×3KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu·
183-15LIULIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu·
194-15LIUC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic·
205-15C CONNC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic·
215-16C CONNLIUServe errDanielle Caligiuri·
225-17LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
236-17LIUC CONN×5Serve errLIU·
247-17C CONNC CONN×5KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic·
258-17C CONNC CONN×5KillAnja Milosevicset Gabriella Burdier·
269-17C CONNC CONN×5Attack errBella Correia·
2710-17C CONNC CONN×5AceAnnabelle Denommeaced Reese Teves·
2810-18C CONNLIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
2911-18LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic·
3011-19C CONNLIUServe errOlivia Keckler·
3112-19LIUC CONN×4Attack errBella Correia·
3213-19C CONNC CONN×4BlockedSara van Gisterenblk Anja Milosevic, Adele Macer·
3314-19C CONNC CONN×4KillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic·
3415-19C CONNC CONN×4AceGabriella Burdieraced Bella Correia+0.1
3515-20C CONNLIUAttack errAdele Macer+0.1
3615-21LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
3716-21LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic·
3817-21C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.1
3917-22C CONNLIU×4Serve errAnja Milosevic+0.1
4017-23LIULIU×4KillSara van Gisterenset Sara Garcia·
4117-24LIULIU×4AceSara Garciaaced Hanley Schmidt·
4217-25LIULIU×4KillYasmeen Muhammadset Anja Milosevic·
Set 3
11-0LIUC CONNServe errLIU+0.1
22-0C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
32-1C CONNLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
43-1LIUC CONN×4Serve errLIU+0.1
54-1C CONNC CONN×4KillBreanna Ginleyset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
65-1C CONNC CONN×4KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.2
76-1C CONNC CONN×4AceAnnabelle Denommeaced Reese Teves+0.2
86-2C CONNLIUKillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+0.1
97-2LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.2
107-3C CONNLIUServe errOlivia Keckler+0.1
118-3LIUC CONNServe errLIU+0.2
128-4C CONNLIU×6KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
138-5LIULIU×6Attack errHanley Schmidt+0.2
148-6LIULIU×6BlockedAnja Milosevicblk Yasmeen Muhammad+0.2
158-7LIULIU×6Attack errOlivia Keckler+0.2
168-8LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
178-9LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
189-9LIUC CONNServe errLIU+0.1
1910-9C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Gabriella Burdier+0.2
2010-10C CONNLIU×4Serve errAnja Milosevic+0.1
2110-11LIULIU×4AceReese Tevesaced Olivia Keckler+0.1
2210-12LIULIU×4BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Sara Garcia, Bella Correia+0.1
2310-13LIULIU×4Bad setAnja Milosevic+0.1
2411-13LIUC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.1
2511-14C CONNLIUServe errMeg Berkland+0.1
2612-14LIUC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
2713-14C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.1
2813-15C CONNLIU×5KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
2913-16LIULIU×5KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
3013-17LIULIU×5KillMiabella Musignac+0.1
3113-18LIULIU×5KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
3213-19LIULIU×5Attack errOlivia Keckler·
3314-19LIUC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic·
3414-20C CONNLIUKillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3515-20LIUC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic·
3615-21C CONNLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3715-22LIULIUBlockedHanley Schmidtblk Dilara Elmacioglu·
3816-22LIUC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Anja Milosevic·
3916-23C CONNLIU×3KillDilara Elmaciogluset Bella Correia·
4016-24LIULIU×3Attack errHanley Schmidt·
4116-25LIULIU×3AceAnna Ligartaced Olivia Keckler·

Score shown after each rally, Central Conn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).