Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on YouTube

Ohio def. Akron 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Ohio 60.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ohio beat visiting Akron 3-1 (25-23, 25-16, 16-25, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Ohio's Bailey Blair led with 12 kills, and Rose Mahin added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
AKRON231625161
OHIO252516253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ohio won 47 of 90 points on its own serve.

Win probability never moved more than 7.6 points on one rally; Akron topped out at 53% in Set 1. Ohio went in as RallyIQ's 61% pick.

AkronOhio
  • Hitting+.100
    .154.254

    48 kills, 19 errors vs 46 kills, 26 errors.

Ohio above 50Akron belowMax swing 7.6%

AkronOhio

Aces
Akron 5·Ohio 9
Serve err
Akron 7·Ohio 6
Blocks
Akron 5·Ohio 64 BS · 2 BA vs 3 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Akron 39·Ohio 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ohio above 50 · Akron below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.6% OHIOrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Ohio — set 1, AKRON 22-23 OHIO. Point Ohio (not logged in NCAA feed). OHIO win probability 59% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AKRON 40.4%59.6% OHIO

Akron wins

3-0
8.9%
3-1
14.8%
3-2
16.8%

Ohio wins

3-0
17.0%
3-1
22.7%
3-2
19.9%
AKRON break %
39.4% vs this opp
OHIO break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.6%

    Point Ohio (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · AKRON 22-23 OHIO · OHIO 59% → 66%

  2. 02
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.0%

    Point Ohio (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · AKRON 22-24 OHIO · OHIO 66% → 73%

  3. 03

    Delaney Gash stuffed by Bailey Blair & Olivia Gardner

    Set 1 · AKRON 23-25 OHIO · OHIO 70% → 77%

  4. 04
    Bailey BlairKill+6.4%

    Kill by Bailey Blair (set by Gentry Brown)

    Set 1 · AKRON 22-22 OHIO · OHIO 52% → 59%

  5. 05
    Noelle ApratiKill+5.9%

    Kill by Noelle Aprati (set by Lyndi Wolf)

    Set 1 · AKRON 22-20 OHIO · AKRON 45% → 51%

  6. 06
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+5.8%

    Point Akron (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · AKRON 21-20 OHIO · AKRON 39% → 45%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+4.7%

    Point Ohio (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · AKRON 18-19 OHIO · OHIO 59% → 64%

  8. 08
    Lyndi WolfAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Lyndi Wolf

    Set 1 · AKRON 18-18 OHIO · OHIO 55% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Akronaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411729.13802070111.514.5
410325.2800003020212
49531.129000330009
46215.26700000111.57.5
45415.067103100005
4000–2101900000
4001.000220900002
4000–011240001
34410.000001100004
2114.000000000001
2000–801300000
2000–800100000
Team totals4626130.154405739942580
Ohiohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412528.25000181031.513.5
411119.5261001002112
46113.38511030212.59.5
47723.000122900009
4406.6673711601016
4011-1.000412810001
48424.167000100008
4000–140700004
22Lacy MarxL/DS
4000–000020000
1000–000100000
Team totals4819114.254459644536691

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Akron vs Ohio

Season series · Ohio leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 AKRON · OHIO 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 AKRONOHIO 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 AKRONOHIO 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 AKRONOHIO 3

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 AKRONOHIO 4

Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Akron leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Akron

No clean sets to split.

Ohio

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#AKRON-OHIOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+2.4
20-2OHIOOHIOAttack errChidera Ozoh+2.3
31-2OHIOAKRON×5KillDelaney Gashset Masa Prascevic+1.7
42-2AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
53-2AKRONAKRON×5Serve errAkron+2.6
64-2AKRONAKRON×5KillChidera Ozohset Masa Prascevic+2.6
75-2AKRONAKRON×5KillLauren Wilsonset Vanessa Del Real+2.6
85-3AKRONOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+1.7
96-3OHIOAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Masa Prascevic+2.0
106-4AKRONOHIO×3Serve errAkron+1.8
116-5OHIOOHIO×3KillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+2.6
126-6OHIOOHIO×3Attack errLyndi Wolf+2.7
137-6OHIOAKRONKillJordyn Aeschlimanset Masa Prascevic+2.1
148-6AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
158-7AKRONOHIOKillTorre Kildow+2.0
168-8OHIOOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+2.9
179-8OHIOAKRONBad setRose Mahin+2.2
189-9AKRONOHIOServe errAkron+2.2
1910-9AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
2011-9AKRONAKRON×3Serve errAkron+3.2
2112-9AKRONAKRON×3Serve errAkron+3.1
2212-10AKRONOHIOServe errAkron+2.0
2313-10OHIOAKRONServe errOhio+2.3
2413-11AKRONOHIOServe errAkron+2.0
2513-12OHIOOHIOAceOhioaced Reilly Chausse+3.2
2614-12OHIOAKRON×3Serve errOhio+2.6
2715-12AKRONAKRON×3KillJordyn Aeschlimanset Masa Prascevic+3.4
2816-12AKRONAKRON×3KillChidera Ozohset Masa Prascevic+3.0
2916-13OHIO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
3016-14OHIOOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+3.0
3116-15OHIO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.5
3217-15OHIOAKRONAttack errBailey Blair+3.0
3317-16AKRONOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+2.7
3418-16OHIOAKRONServe errOhio+3.2
3518-17AKRONOHIO×3KillEmily Waddell+2.8
3618-18OHIOOHIO×3Attack errLyndi Wolf+4.4
37–4121-20AKRON 3 · OHIO 2
NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.6
4222-20AKRONAKRON×3KillNoelle Apratiset Lyndi Wolf+5.9
4322-21AKRONOHIO×4KillRowan Kelly+3.3
4422-22OHIOOHIO×4KillBailey Blairset Gentry Brown+6.4
45–4723-24AKRON · OHIO 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+11.7
4823-25AKRONOHIOBlockedDelaney Gashblk Bailey Blair, Olivia Gardner+6.7
Set 2
11-0AKRONAKRONKillJordyn Aeschliman+2.2
22-0AKRONAKRONKillLyndi Wolfset Masa Prascevic+2.3
32-1AKRONOHIOServe errAkron+1.6
43-1OHIOAKRONServe errOhio+1.7
5–64-2AKRON · OHIO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
74-3AKRONOHIOAttack errNoelle Aprati+1.6
85-3OHIOAKRONKillDelaney Gashset Payton Evans+1.8
96-3AKRONAKRONKillDelaney Gash+2.4
106-4AKRONOHIOAttack errDelaney Gash+1.6
116-5OHIOOHIOKillBailey Blair+2.4
127-5OHIOAKRONAttack errBailey Blair+1.9
137-6AKRONOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+1.8
14–158-7AKRON · OHIO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
169-7AKRONAKRONAttack errRose Mahin+2.7
179-8AKRONOHIO×5KillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+1.8
189-9OHIOOHIO×5AceOhioaced Lauren Wilson+2.7
19–2210-12AKRON · OHIO 3
NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+6.1
2310-13AKRONOHIOAttack errNoelle Aprati+1.8
2411-13OHIOAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Payton Evans+1.7
2511-14AKRONOHIOAttack errNoelle Aprati+1.9
2612-14OHIOAKRONKillDelaney Gashset Payton Evans+1.7
2712-15AKRONOHIOAttack errNoelle Aprati+1.9
2813-15OHIOAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Payton Evans+1.7
2913-16AKRONOHIO×3Serve errAkron+2.0
3013-17OHIOOHIO×3KillRose Mahinset Gentry Brown+2.3
3113-18OHIOOHIO×3Attack errDelaney Gash+1.8
3214-18OHIOAKRONKillJordyn Aeschlimanset Masa Prascevic+0.9
3314-19AKRONOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+1.3
3414-20OHIOOHIOAttack errJordyn Aeschliman+1.1
3515-20OHIOAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Masa Prascevic+0.5
3615-21AKRONOHIO×4Attack errDelaney Gash+0.8
37–4016-24AKRON · OHIO 3
NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
4116-25AKRONOHIOAttack errNoelle Aprati·
Set 3
11-0OHIOAKRON×6KillChidera Ozoh+1.0
22-0AKRONAKRON×6KillDelaney Gash+1.3
33-0AKRONAKRON×6BlockedBailey Blairblk Delaney Gash, Chidera Ozoh+1.3
44-0AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
55-0AKRONAKRON×6Serve errAkron+1.2
66-0AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
76-1AKRONOHIO×3KillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+0.6
86-2OHIOOHIO×3KillBailey Blair+1.0
96-3OHIOOHIO×3Attack errDelaney Gash+1.2
107-3OHIOAKRON×3Serve errOhio+1.0
118-3AKRONAKRON×3KillLyndi Wolfset Masa Prascevic+1.2
129-3AKRONAKRON×3AceAkronaced Lacy Marx+1.1
139-4AKRONOHIOKillTorre Kildow+0.6
149-5OHIOOHIOAceOhio+1.0
1510-5OHIOAKRONKillDelaney Gashset Masa Prascevic+0.9
1611-5AKRONAKRONAttack errTorre Kildow+1.1
1711-6AKRONOHIOAttack errChiara Gennari+0.6
1812-6OHIOAKRON×4Serve errOhio+0.8
1913-6AKRONAKRON×4Attack errTorre Kildow+0.9
2014-6AKRONAKRON×4KillLauren Wilson+0.7
2115-6AKRONAKRON×4AceAkronaced Lacy Marx+0.5
2215-7AKRONOHIOAttack errTorre Kildow+0.2
2316-7AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
2416-8AKRONOHIOKillRowan Kelly+0.2
25–2617-9AKRON · OHIO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2717-10AKRONOHIOAceAkronaced Lauren Wilson+0.2
2818-10OHIOAKRONAttack errBailey Blair+0.4
2919-10AKRONAKRONBlockedOlivia Gardnerblk Chidera Ozoh+0.3
3019-11AKRONOHIOServe errAkron+0.1
31–3221-11AKRON 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3322-11AKRONAKRON×3Serve errAkron·
3422-12OHIO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3522-13OHIOOHIOAceOhioaced Reilly Chausse·
3623-13OHIOAKRONServe errOhio·
3724-13AKRONAKRONServe errAkron·
38–3924-15OHIO 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
4024-16OHIOOHIO×3Attack errLyndi Wolf·
4125-16OHIOAKRONKillLyndi Wolfset Clara Christensen·
Set 4
11-0AKRON
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.0
22-0AKRONAKRONAceAkronaced Gentry Brown+3.1
32-1AKRONOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+2.2
43-1OHIOAKRONKillJordyn Aeschlimanset Masa Prascevic+2.3
53-2AKRONOHIO×4KillBailey Blair+2.2
63-3OHIOOHIO×4BlockedDelaney Gashblk Emily Waddell+3.1
73-4OHIO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
83-5OHIOOHIO×4AceOhioaced Reilly Chausse+3.1
94-5OHIOAKRONKillDelaney Gashset Clara Christensen+2.2
105-5AKRONAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Clara Christensen+3.2
115-6AKRONOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+2.4
125-7OHIOOHIOBlockedLauren Wilsonblk Rowan Kelly+3.2
136-7OHIOAKRONKillChiara Gennariset Clara Christensen+2.3
146-8AKRONOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+2.4
157-8OHIOAKRONAttack errRose Mahin+2.4
167-9AKRONOHIO×3KillEmily Waddell+2.5
177-10OHIOOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+3.2
187-11OHIOOHIO×3KillRowan Kelly+2.8
198-11OHIOAKRON×3BlockedRose Mahinblk Jordyn Aeschliman+1.8
209-11AKRONAKRON×3KillDelaney Gashset Masa Prascevic+3.0
2110-11AKRONAKRON×3KillJordyn Aeschliman+3.5
2210-12AKRONOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+2.7
2311-12OHIOAKRONAttack errGentry Brown+2.6
2411-13AKRONOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+2.8
2511-14OHIOOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+3.5
2612-14OHIOAKRONKillDelaney Gashset Masa Prascevic+2.3
2712-15AKRONOHIO×4Attack errDelaney Gash+2.7
2812-16OHIOOHIO×4Serve errOhio+3.1
29–3314-19AKRON 2 · OHIO 3
NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.3
3414-20OHIOOHIO×4KillEmily Waddell+1.6
3514-21OHIOOHIO×4BlockedLauren Wilsonblk Emily Waddell+0.9
3614-22OHIOOHIO×4AceOhioaced Lauren Wilson+0.4
3715-22OHIOAKRONBad setRowan Kelly+0.1
3816-22AKRONAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Vanessa Del Real+0.3
3916-23AKRONOHIO×3KillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.4
4016-24OHIO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
4116-25OHIOOHIO×3Bad setMasa Prascevic·

Score shown after each rally, Akron first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).