Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bowling Green def. Ohio 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Bowling Green 75.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bowling Green beat visiting Ohio 3-2 (25-13, 25-27, 25-27, 25-23, 15-11) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Bowling Green's Anastasija Bozic and Avery Hobson led with 22 kills each, and Sydnie Hernandez added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set12345Sets
OHIO13272723112
BGSU25252525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Amanda Otten had 51 assists, and Bowling Green outlasted Ohio.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Bowling Green's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Bowling Green 76% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Ohio 24–24 Bowling Green

    Ohio closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 2–1. The match swung to Ohio.

    Bowling Green 65% → 41%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Ohio 5–7 Bowling Green

    3 straight Ohio points turned a 5–7 deficit into an 8–7 lead. The match swung to Ohio.

    Bowling Green 78% → 48%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Ohio 9–8 Bowling Green

    Down 8–9, Bowling Green scored 5 straight to lead 13–9. The match swung to Bowling Green.

    Bowling Green 47% → 97%

Bowling Green above 50Ohio belowMax swing 14.6%

OhioBowling Green

Sideout %
Ohio 60.5·Bowling Green 68.6
Break %
Ohio 31.4·Bowling Green 39.5
Hitting
Ohio .194·Bowling Green .257
Longest run
Ohio 4·Bowling Green 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bowling Green above 50 · Ohio below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.6% OHIOrally 216 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.6% to Ohio — set 3, OHIO 27-25 BGSU. Ohio ace on Avery Hobson. BGSU win probability 56% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OHIO 18.7%81.3% BGSU

Ohio wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
9.6%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
32.9%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.9%
OHIO break %
37.0% vs this opp
BGSU break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    OhioAce+14.6%

    Ohio ace on Avery Hobson

    Set 3 · OHIO 27-25 BGSU · OHIO 44% → 59%

  2. 02

    Bailey Blair stuffed by Helen Wilford & Avery Hobson

    Set 5 · OHIO 9-10 BGSU · BGSU 56% → 70%

  3. 03
    Cienna LapsleyKill+12.5%

    Kill by Cienna Lapsley (set by Emily Waddell)

    Set 5 · OHIO 8-7 BGSU · OHIO 39% → 52%

  4. 04
    Avery HobsonKill+12.3%

    Kill by Avery Hobson (set by Sydnie Hernandez)

    Set 5 · OHIO 9-11 BGSU · BGSU 70% → 82%

  5. 05
    Fetia RoviraKill+11.0%

    Kill by Fetia Rovira (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 4 · OHIO 23-25 BGSU · BGSU 52% → 63%

  6. 06
    Fetia RoviraAttack error+10.8%

    Attack error by Fetia Rovira

    Set 5 · OHIO 7-7 BGSU · OHIO 28% → 39%

  7. 07
    Rose MahinKill+9.9%

    Kill by Rose Mahin (set by Rowan Kelly)

    Set 5 · OHIO 9-8 BGSU · OHIO 43% → 53%

  8. 08
    Avery HobsonKill+9.4%

    Kill by Avery Hobson (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 5 · OHIO 9-12 BGSU · BGSU 82% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ohioaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515536.2783055004217
59838.0261035020211
56110.500482114012210
58319.26330110111.59.5
5014-.250112300001
4528.375000001227
512733.1521001000012
22Lacy MarxL/DS
51011.000100400001
5013-.3330002000000
5002.000103300000
45111.36400020031.56.5
1000–000000000
Team totals6129165.1945931558351211101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522639.4103019112224
5221060.2002015102123
58214.4290041004210
54116.188000102448
53113.154511270031.55.5
5001.0003141300001
5002.0003112200001
34110.300000101015
33211.09100000010.53.5
2000–001000000
2000–000000000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6623167.2576231459341612115

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ohio vs Bowling Green

Season series · Bowling Green leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 OHIO · BGSU 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 OHIOBGSU 4

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 4 OHIOBGSU 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 3 OHIOBGSU 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 OHIOBGSU 3

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 OHIOBGSU 5

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Ohio leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ohio

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%13/26
33%6/18
2
57%13/23
35%7/20
3
100%12/12
24%4/17
4
69%11/16
27%4/15
5
59%10/17
31%5/16
6
50%10/20
38%6/16
All
61%69/114
31%32/102

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
55%12/22
2
68%13/19
48%12/25
3
76%13/17
24%4/17
4
69%11/16
0%0/12
5
69%11/16
42%8/19
6
60%9/15
47%9/19
All
69%70/102
39%45/114

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

216 rallies

#OHIO-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BGSUBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.9
20-2BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.7
30-3BGSUBGSU×4Attack errBailey Blair+1.6
40-4BGSUBGSU×4Attack errOlivia Gardner+1.4
51-4BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.9
61-5OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.0
71-6BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+1.2
82-6BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.8
92-7OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Avery Hobson+0.8
103-7BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.8
113-8OHIOBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.9
124-8BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+0.8
134-9OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+0.9
144-10BGSUBGSUBlockedRose Mahinblk Helen Wilford+1.0
155-10BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+0.6
165-11OHIOBGSU×4Serve errOhio+0.7
175-12BGSUBGSU×4Attack errBailey Blair+0.7
185-13BGSUBGSU×4KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+0.5
195-14BGSUBGSU×4BlockedRose Mahinblk Helen Wilford, Anastasija Bozic+0.3
206-14BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.2
216-15OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Hobson+0.2
227-15BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.1
237-16OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.2
247-17BGSUBGSUAceBowling Green+0.2
258-17BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.1
268-18OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.1
279-18BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.1
289-19OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.1
2910-19BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green·
3011-19OHIOOHIOBlockedKarli Molnaublk Rose Mahin+0.1
3111-20OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+0.1
3211-21BGSUBGSUAttack errRose Mahin+0.1
3312-21BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green·
3412-22OHIOBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten·
3512-23BGSUBGSU×3Attack errRose Mahin·
3612-24BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten·
3713-24BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green·
3813-25OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten·
Set 2
11-0OHIOOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Emily Waddell+1.6
21-1OHIOBGSU×3Serve errOhio+1.1
31-2BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynar+1.5
41-3BGSUBGSU×3Attack errOlivia Gardner+1.4
52-3BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+1.0
62-4OHIOBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Sydnie Hernandez+1.0
73-4BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+1.0
83-5OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.0
94-5BGSUOHIOAttack errEmily Waddell+1.1
104-6OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+1.1
115-6BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+1.1
126-6OHIOOHIOAttack errAvery Hobson+1.7
136-7OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.2
146-8BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.6
157-8BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+1.2
168-8OHIOOHIOAceOhio+1.8
178-9OHIOBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
188-10BGSUBGSU×4Attack errRose Mahin+1.7
198-11BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobson+1.5
208-12BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+1.3
219-12BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.8
229-13OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.9
2310-13BGSUOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+0.8
2410-14OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+0.9
2511-14BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.8
2612-14OHIOOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Bailey Blair+1.5
2712-15OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+1.2
2813-15BGSUOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Rose Mahin+1.1
2914-15OHIOOHIOAceOhioaced Anastasija Bozic+2.0
3014-16OHIOBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.5
3115-16BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+1.5
3215-17OHIOBGSU×3Serve errOhio+1.6
3315-18BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.9
3415-19BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.5
3516-19BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.8
3616-20OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+1.1
3717-20BGSUOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+0.8
3818-20OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+1.7
3918-21OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.6
4019-21BGSUOHIO×4KillBailey Blairset Torre Kildow+1.2
4120-21OHIOOHIO×4Attack errAnastasija Bozic+2.5
4221-21OHIOOHIO×4KillTorre Kildowset Bailey Blair+3.7
4322-21OHIOOHIO×4KillEmily Waddellset Darbi Ricketts+4.6
4422-22OHIOBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+3.1
4522-23BGSUBGSU×3BlockedTorre Kildowblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+5.0
4622-24BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Green+4.3
4723-24BGSUOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+1.7
4824-24OHIOOHIO×3Attack errAvery Hobson+6.1
4925-24OHIOOHIO×3Attack errAvery Hobson+6.9
5025-25OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+5.0
5126-25BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+5.0
5227-25OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+7.8
Set 3
10-1BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.8
21-1BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+2.1
31-2OHIOBGSUAttack errKendall Hickey+2.0
42-2BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+2.1
53-2OHIOOHIOAttack errCecily Waynar+3.2
63-3OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.2
74-3BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+2.4
85-3OHIOOHIOBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Emily Waddell, Rowan Kelly+3.5
95-4OHIOBGSUBad setBailey Blair+2.3
106-4BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+2.6
117-4OHIOOHIOAttack errCecily Waynar+3.7
127-5OHIOBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.3
138-5BGSUOHIO×3Serve errBowling Green+2.7
149-5OHIOOHIO×3KillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+3.7
1510-5OHIOOHIO×3Attack errKarli Molnau+3.5
1610-6OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
1711-6BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+2.6
1811-7OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
1911-8BGSUBGSUBad setGentry Brown+3.2
2012-8BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+2.9
2112-9OHIOBGSUBlockedTorre Kildowblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+2.3
2212-10BGSUBGSUAttack errBailey Blair+3.7
2313-10BGSUOHIOBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Bailey Blair, Cienna Lapsley+3.2
2413-11OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.6
2514-11BGSUOHIOKillLacy Marxset Bailey Blair+3.3
2614-12OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+2.7
2715-12BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+3.4
2815-13OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+2.8
2915-14BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.4
3016-14BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+3.7
3116-15OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+3.2
3217-15BGSUOHIOAttack errAnastasija Bozic+3.9
3318-15OHIOOHIOBlockedHelen Wilfordblk Rose Mahin+5.3
3418-16OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez+3.0
3518-17BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+5.0
3619-17BGSUOHIO×3KillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+4.5
3720-17OHIOOHIO×3KillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+5.8
3821-17OHIOOHIO×3Attack errAvery Hobson+4.7
3921-18OHIOBGSU×4Serve errOhio+2.1
4021-19BGSUBGSU×4BlockedTorre Kildowblk Cecily Waynar, Amanda Otten+4.3
4121-20BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+5.9
4221-21BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+7.3
4322-21BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+6.3
4422-22OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+5.8
4523-22BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+7.5
4623-23OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+6.8
4724-23BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+9.4
4824-24OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+9.4
4925-24BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+9.4
5025-25OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+9.4
5126-25BGSUOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Gentry Brown+9.4
5227-25OHIOOHIOAceOhioaced Avery Hobson+14.6
Set 4
10-1OHIOBGSUAttack errRowan Kelly+2.6
21-1BGSUOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+2.8
32-1OHIOOHIO×3Attack errAmanda Otten+4.2
43-1OHIOOHIO×3KillCienna Lapsley+4.4
53-2OHIOBGSUAttack errTorre Kildow+2.9
64-2BGSUOHIOBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Bailey Blair, Cienna Lapsley+3.3
74-3OHIOBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Emily Waddell+3.0
85-3BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+3.4
96-3OHIOOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Emily Waddell+4.8
106-4OHIOBGSUBlockedTorre Kildowblk Fetia Rovira+3.1
116-5BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.5
127-5BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+3.6
138-5OHIOOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Amanda Otten+5.1
148-6OHIOBGSUAttack errEmily Waddell+3.2
158-7BGSUBGSUBlockedRose Mahinblk Anastasija Bozic, Helen Wilford+4.7
169-7BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+3.8
179-8OHIOBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.4
189-9BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+4.9
199-10BGSUBGSU×3BlockedCienna Lapsleyblk Helen Wilford+4.8
2010-10BGSUOHIOBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Cienna Lapsley, Rowan Kelly+3.6
2111-10OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+5.5
2211-11OHIOBGSUBlockedGentry Brownblk Anastasija Bozic+3.7
2312-11BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+4.1
2412-12OHIOBGSUAttack errRose Mahin+3.9
2512-13BGSUBGSUAceBowling Green+5.4
2613-13BGSUOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+4.0
2713-14OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+4.0
2814-14BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+4.2
2914-15OHIOBGSU×3BlockedEmily Waddellblk Avery Hobson, Cecily Waynar+4.2
3014-16BGSUBGSU×3Attack errTorre Kildow+5.5
3114-17BGSUBGSU×3Attack errEmily Waddell+4.7
3215-17BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+2.9
3315-18OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.4
3416-18BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+3.0
3517-18OHIOOHIOAttack errAnastasija Bozic+5.6
3617-19OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+4.6
3718-19BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+4.3
3819-19OHIOOHIOBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Bailey Blair, Olivia Gardner+7.7
3919-20OHIOBGSUAttack errRose Mahin+5.9
4020-20BGSUOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+6.1
4120-21OHIOBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+6.5
4220-22BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+8.4
4321-22BGSUOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+4.8
4421-23OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+6.6
4522-23BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+4.9
4622-24OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+7.7
4723-24BGSUOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Lacy Marx+4.3
4823-25OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+11.0
Set 5
10-1OHIOBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+5.6
21-1BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+6.0
31-2OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+5.9
42-2BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+6.2
52-3OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+6.1
63-3BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+6.4
73-4OHIOBGSU×3Serve errOhio+6.4
83-5BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+8.4
93-6BGSUBGSU×3Attack errTorre Kildow+7.3
104-6BGSUOHIOBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Emily Waddell+4.6
115-6OHIOOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+8.3
125-7OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+6.5
136-7BGSUOHIO×3BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Rowan Kelly+6.3
147-7OHIOOHIO×3Attack errFetia Rovira+10.8
158-7OHIOOHIO×3KillCienna Lapsleyset Emily Waddell+12.5
168-8OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+8.5
179-8BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+9.9
189-9OHIOBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+9.2
199-10BGSUBGSU×5BlockedBailey Blairblk Helen Wilford, Avery Hobson+13.5
209-11BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+12.3
219-12BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+9.4
229-13BGSUBGSU×5Attack errBailey Blair+5.7
2310-13BGSUOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+1.9
2410-14OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+3.5
2511-14BGSUOHIOBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Bailey Blair, Olivia Gardner+1.1
2611-15OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.4

Score shown after each rally, Ohio first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).