FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bowling Green def. Ohio 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Bowling Green 76.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bowling Green beat visiting Ohio 3-0 (25-17, 25-16, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Bowling Green's Avery Hobson led with 14 kills, and Avery Anders added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
OHIO1716200
BGSU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Avery Hobson needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. Bowling Green swept Ohio.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.2 points. Ohio peaked at 27% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Bowling Green 77% before first serve.

OhioBowling Green
  • Break %+22.8 pts
    20.443.2

    32 of 74 on serve vs 11 of 54, so Ohio's sideout was 56.8%.

  • Hitting+.177
    .177.354

    41 K / 6 E against 39 K / 16 E.

Bowling Green above 50Ohio belowMax swing 2.2%

OhioBowling Green

Aces
Ohio 1·Bowling Green 2
Serve err
Ohio 14·Bowling Green 7
Blocks
Ohio 1·Bowling Green 50 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Ohio 47·Bowling Green 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bowling Green above 50 · Ohio below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% OHIOrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Ohio — set 1, OHIO 2-0 BGSU. Kill by Emily Waddell. BGSU win probability 75% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OHIO 18.7%81.3% BGSU

Ohio wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
9.6%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
32.9%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.9%
OHIO break %
37.0% vs this opp
BGSU break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emily WaddellKill+2.2%

    Kill by Emily Waddell

    Set 1 · OHIO 2-0 BGSU · OHIO 25% → 27%

  2. 02
    Torre KildowAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Torre Kildow

    Set 1 · OHIO 2-2 BGSU · BGSU 74% → 76%

  3. 03

    Ace by Anastasija Bozic

    Set 1 · OHIO 2-3 BGSU · BGSU 76% → 78%

  4. 04
    Avery HobsonKill+1.8%

    Kill by Avery Hobson (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 1 · OHIO 2-4 BGSU · BGSU 78% → 80%

  5. 05
    Cecily WaynarKill+1.7%

    Kill by Cecily Waynar (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 1 · OHIO 4-7 BGSU · BGSU 80% → 82%

  6. 06
    Bryn JankeAce+1.7%

    Ace by Bryn Janke on Sydnie Hernandez

    Set 2 · OHIO 2-0 BGSU · OHIO 14% → 16%

  7. 07
    Rose MahinKill+1.6%

    Kill by Rose Mahin (set by Kendall Hickey)

    Set 2 · OHIO 1-0 BGSU · OHIO 13% → 14%

  8. 08
    Helen WilfordAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Helen Wilford

    Set 2 · OHIO 2-2 BGSU · BGSU 85% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ohioaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310121.4290001000010
39531.12900230010.59.5
34519-.053000100004
3107.1432502900001
22Lacy MarxL/DS
31011.000200400001
2106.16700000010.51.5
38323.217103800008
33113.154101300003
3000–2001200000
2216.167003100002
2000–002100000
1003.000711400001
Team totals3916130.1773811447202153
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314134.3820014000014
38219.316220120010.510.5
3529.333290180132.57.5
34112.250001200426
35011.455002000005
3002.0001011010000
35012.417000300005
3000–4011800000
2000–100000000
Team totals41699.354372757118575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ohio vs Bowling Green

Season series · Bowling Green leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 OHIO · BGSU 4

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 OHIOBGSU 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 OHIOBGSU 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 OHIOBGSU 4

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Ohio leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ohio

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
50%8/16
20%2/10
3
53%8/15
11%1/9
4
46%6/13
20%2/10
5
60%6/10
14%1/7
6
86%6/7
25%2/8
All
57%42/74
20%11/54

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
20%2/10
2
80%8/10
53%9/17
3
80%8/10
53%9/17
4
86%6/7
54%7/13
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
100%6/6
25%2/8
All
80%43/54
43%32/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#OHIO-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BGSUOHIOKillLacy Marxset Rowan Kelly+1.5
22-0OHIOOHIOKillEmily Waddell+2.2
32-1OHIOBGSU×4KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+1.4
42-2BGSUBGSU×4Attack errTorre Kildow+2.0
52-3BGSUBGSU×4AceAnastasija Bozic+2.0
62-4BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.8
73-4BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+1.3
83-5OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+1.3
94-5BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+1.3
104-6OHIOBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Anastasija Bozic+1.3
114-7BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.7
124-8BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.5
135-8BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.9
145-9OHIOBGSU×3KillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+1.0
155-10BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+1.2
165-11BGSUBGSU×3KillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+1.0
176-11BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+0.5
186-12OHIOBGSUAttack errRose Mahin+0.6
197-12BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+0.5
207-13OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.6
218-13BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Kendall Hickey+0.5
228-14OHIOBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.6
239-14BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.5
249-15OHIOBGSUBlockedEmily Waddellblk Amanda Otten+0.6
2510-15BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.5
2610-16OHIOBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Amanda Otten+0.6
2711-16BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.5
2811-17OHIOBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+0.6
2912-17BGSUOHIOAttack errAmanda Otten+0.4
3013-17OHIOOHIOBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Olivia Gardner, Bailey Blair+1.0
3113-18OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.9
3214-18BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+0.6
3314-19OHIOBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.9
3415-19BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.6
3515-20OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.8
3616-20BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.5
3716-21OHIOBGSU×4BlockedTorre Kildowblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+0.8
3816-22BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.6
3916-23BGSUBGSU×4KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+0.2
4016-24BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.1
4117-24BGSUOHIOKillRowan Kellyset Lacy Marx·
4217-25OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten·
Set 2
11-0OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Kendall Hickey+1.6
22-0OHIOOHIOAceBryn Jankeaced Sydnie Hernandez+1.7
32-1OHIOBGSU×3Serve errBryn Janke+1.1
42-2BGSUBGSU×3Attack errHelen Wilford+1.6
52-3BGSUBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Sydnie Hernandez+1.5
63-3BGSUOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Bryn Janke+1.1
73-4OHIOBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.1
84-4BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+1.1
94-5OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.1
105-5BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green+1.2
115-6OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+1.1
126-6BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+1.2
136-7OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+1.2
146-8BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.6
157-8BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+1.1
167-9OHIOBGSUAttack errBailey Blair+1.1
177-10BGSUBGSUAttack errRose Mahin+1.5
188-10BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Bryn Janke+1.0
198-11OHIOBGSUBlockedBailey Blairblk Anastasija Bozic, Helen Wilford+1.0
208-12BGSUBGSUAceAnastasija Bozic+1.3
219-12BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Bryn Janke+0.8
2210-12OHIOOHIOAttack errAvery Hobson+1.4
2310-13OHIOBGSU×4BlockedTorre Kildowblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+1.1
2410-14BGSUBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
2510-15BGSUBGSU×4Attack errBailey Blair+1.0
2610-16BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Alivia Brown+0.7
2711-16BGSUOHIOAttack errAmanda Otten+0.4
2811-17OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.5
2911-18BGSUBGSUAttack errBailey Blair+0.4
3012-18BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Bryn Janke+0.2
3112-19OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.3
3212-20BGSUBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+0.2
3313-20BGSUOHIOKillGentry Brownset Bryn Janke+0.1
3413-21OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten+0.1
3513-22BGSUBGSUAttack errBailey Blair+0.1
3614-22BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke·
3714-23OHIOBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Amanda Otten·
3815-23BGSUOHIOServe errBowling Green·
3916-23OHIOOHIOKillBailey Blairset Bryn Janke·
4016-24OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten·
4116-25BGSUBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Bryn Janke·
Set 3
11-0BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.6
21-1OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.5
32-1BGSUOHIOAttack errHelen Wilford+0.6
42-2OHIOBGSU×4Serve errOhio+0.6
52-3BGSUBGSU×4KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+0.8
62-4BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+0.7
72-5BGSUBGSU×4Bad setEmily Waddell+0.7
83-5BGSUOHIOKillGentry Brownset Rowan Kelly+0.4
93-6OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.5
104-6BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.5
114-7OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.5
125-7BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.5
135-8OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.5
146-8BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.5
156-9OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.5
166-10BGSUBGSUBlockedRose Mahinblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+0.6
177-10BGSUOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+0.4
187-11OHIOBGSU×3Serve errOhio+0.4
197-12BGSUBGSU×3Attack errCienna Lapsley+0.5
207-13BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.4
218-13BGSUOHIOKillBailey Blairset Rowan Kelly+0.2
229-13OHIOOHIOKillGentry Brownset Rowan Kelly+0.4
239-14OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.4
2410-14BGSUOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.3
2510-15OHIOBGSUAttack errGentry Brown+0.4
2610-16BGSUBGSUAttack errTorre Kildow+0.4
2711-16BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rose Mahin+0.2
2812-16OHIOOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.4
2912-17OHIOBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.4
3013-17BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.3
3114-17OHIOOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lacy Marx+0.6
3214-18OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.5
3315-18BGSUOHIOKillRose Mahinset Gentry Brown+0.4
3415-19OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.5
3516-19BGSUOHIOAttack errAnastasija Bozic+0.4
3616-20OHIOBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.5
3717-20BGSUOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.4
3817-21OHIOBGSUServe errOhio+0.5
3918-21BGSUOHIO×3KillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.3
4019-21OHIOOHIO×3KillEmily Waddellset Rowan Kelly+0.8
4120-21OHIOOHIO×3KillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+1.3
4220-22OHIOBGSU×4KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.2
4320-23BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+1.2
4420-24BGSUBGSU×4Attack errTorre Kildow+0.6
4520-25BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Ohio first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).