Ball State vs Ohio Volleyball: Ball State Wins 3-0 (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Ball St. 74.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ball St. won at Ohio 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Ball St.'s Ava Smith led with 11 kills, and Sophie Ledbetter added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BALLST	25	25	25	3
OHIO	18	17	15	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ava Smith hit .400 with 11 kills as Ball St. rolled past Ohio.

Win probability never moved more than 2.8 points on one rally; Ohio topped out at 29% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Ball St. 74% before first serve.

Ball St.Ohio

Break %+21.5 pts
56.835.3
On serve: 42/74 against 18/51 (Ohio sideout 43.2%).
Hitting+.217
.299.082
33 K / 7 E against 32 K / 23 E.
Longest run+2
64
Ball St. opened the set in the third set with 6 straight points for a 6–0 lead. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Ohio above 50Ball St. belowMax swing 2.8%

Ball St.Ohio

Aces: Ball St. 9·Ohio 3
Serve err: Ball St. 5·Ohio 9
Blocks: Ball St. 6·Ohio 34 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Ball St. 46·Ohio 38

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ohio above 50 · Ball St. below

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Ohio — set 1, BALLST 9-10 OHIO. Attack error by Tiffany Snook. OHIO win probability 26% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 73.4%26.6% OHIO

Ball St. wins

3-0

25.8%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

19.5%

Ohio wins

3-0

4.8%

3-1

9.2%

3-2

12.6%

BALLST break %: 41.7% vs this opp
OHIO break %: 37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Tiffany SnookAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Tiffany Snook
Set 1 · BALLST 9-10 OHIO · OHIO 26% → 29%
02
Olivia GardnerAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Olivia Gardner
Set 1 · BALLST 11-10 OHIO · BALLST 73% → 76%
03
Rose MahinBlock+2.5%
Tiffany Snook stuffed by Rose Mahin
Set 1 · BALLST 9-9 OHIO · OHIO 23% → 26%
04
Mallory PikeAce+2.5%
Ace by Mallory Pike on Rose Mahin
Set 1 · BALLST 12-10 OHIO · BALLST 76% → 78%
05
Camryn WiseAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Camryn Wise
Set 1 · BALLST 7-7 OHIO · OHIO 23% → 26%
06
Merritt Sliwa&Camryn WiseBlock+2.3%
Olivia Gardner stuffed by Merritt Sliwa & Camryn Wise
Set 1 · BALLST 9-7 OHIO · BALLST 76% → 78%
07
Ava SmithKill+2.2%
Kill by Ava Smith (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 1 · BALLST 13-10 OHIO · BALLST 78% → 80%
08
Ava SmithKill+2.0%
Kill by Ava Smith (set by Sophie Ledbetter)
Set 1 · BALLST 1-0 OHIO · BALLST 74% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ball St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ava SmithOH	3	11	1	25	.400	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
11Tiffany SnookMB	3	7	4	15	.200	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	11
17Camryn WiseMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	2	3	6	0	1	2	2	6
13Gwen CrullMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
8Lindsey GreenS	3	3	0	3	1.000	25	1	0	8	0	1	0	1	5
9Mallory PikeOH	3	0	0	3	.000	0	2	1	6	1	0	0	0	2
6Merritt SliwaOH	3	6	1	25	.200	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
15Allie WuestenfeldDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Elizabeth TabelingDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
12Sophie LedbetterDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	7	87	.299	30	9	5	46	3	4	4	6	75

Ohiohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Rose MahinOH	3	8	4	28	.143	0	1	2	3	2	1	1	1.5	10.5
11Emily WaddellMB	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
17Bailey BlairOPP	3	6	5	26	.038	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	0	6
10Rowan KellyS	3	2	1	3	.333	22	2	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
23Olivia GardnerMB	3	0	7	13	-.538	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Gentry BrownOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
4Torre KildowOH	3	8	2	22	.273	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	8
2Kendall HickeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
22Lacy MarxL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
16Darbi RickettsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Sierra EvansMB	1	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
18Lillie MeinhartS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	23	110	.082	29	3	9	38	9	1	4	3	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ball St. vs Ohio

Season series · Ball St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Ball St. at Ohio · Ball St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Ball St. at Ohio · Ball St. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BALLST · OHIO 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 BALLSTOHIO 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 BALLSTOHIO 2

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 BALLSTOHIO 4

Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	78%18/23
2	86%6/7	57%8/14
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	100%5/5	44%4/9
5	71%5/7	44%4/9
6	42%5/12	44%4/9
All	65%33/51	57%42/74

Ohio

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	26%6/23	67%10/15
2	55%6/11	33%3/9
3	50%6/12	14%1/7
4	56%5/9	25%2/8
5	56%5/9	17%1/6
6	40%4/10	17%1/6
All	43%32/74	35%18/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	BALLST-OHIO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Sophie Ledbetter	+2.0
2	2-0	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+1.9
3	3-0	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+1.7
4	3-1	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Gentry Brown	+1.1
5	3-2	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Rose Mahin	aced Mallory Pike	+1.9
6	4-2	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
7	4-3	BALLST	OHIO	Bad set	Camryn Wise		+1.3
8	5-3	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
9	5-4	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.4
10	6-4	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.4
11	6-5	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.4
12	7-5	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.4
13	7-6	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.4
14	7-7	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Camryn Wise		+2.4
15	8-7	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Sophie Ledbetter	+1.6
16	9-7	BALLST	BALLST	Blocked	Olivia Gardner	blk Merritt Sliwa, Camryn Wise	+2.3
17	9-8	BALLST	OHIO×3	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+1.5
18	9-9	OHIO	OHIO×3	Blocked	Tiffany Snook	blk Rose Mahin	+2.5
19	9-10	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+2.8
20	10-10	OHIO	BALLST×5	Serve err	Rowan Kelly		+1.8
21	11-10	BALLST	BALLST×5	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+2.7
22	12-10	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	Mallory Pike	aced Rose Mahin	+2.5
23	13-10	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+2.2
24	14-10	BALLST	BALLST×5	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Ava Smith, Camryn Wise	+1.8
25	14-11	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Mallory Pike		+1.0
26	15-11	OHIO	BALLST×5	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
27	16-11	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Rowan Kelly	+1.4
28	17-11	BALLST	BALLST×5	Blocked	Olivia Gardner	blk Gwen Crull	+1.0
29	18-11	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	Camryn Wise	aced Rose Mahin	+0.6
30	19-11	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	Camryn Wise	aced Lacy Marx	+0.3
31	19-12	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Camryn Wise		+0.1
32	20-12	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.2
33	20-13	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.1
34	21-13	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Bailey Blair		+0.2
35	21-14	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ava Smith		+0.1
36	22-14	OHIO	BALLST	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+0.1
37	22-15	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	·
38	23-15	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
39	23-16	BALLST	OHIO×3	Kill	Rowan Kelly		·
40	23-17	OHIO	OHIO×3	Ace	Rowan Kelly		+0.1
41	23-18	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.2
42	24-18	OHIO	BALLST	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+0.2
43	25-18	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	OHIO	OHIO	Bad set	Sophie Ledbetter		+1.8
2	0-2	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Torre Kildow	+1.9
3	1-2	OHIO	BALLST×4	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
4	2-2	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.8
5	3-2	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+1.7
6	4-2	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+1.6
7	4-3	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+1.1
8	5-3	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.1
9	5-4	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.1
10	6-4	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.1
11	7-4	BALLST	BALLST	Ace	Tiffany Snook	aced Bailey Blair	+1.5
12	7-5	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.0
13	8-5	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
14	8-6	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.0
15	8-7	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Merritt Sliwa	+1.7
16	9-7	OHIO	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.2
17	9-8	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.2
18	10-8	OHIO	BALLST×5	Serve err	Emily Waddell		+1.2
19	11-8	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.7
20	12-8	BALLST	BALLST×5	Blocked	Rowan Kelly	blk Camryn Wise	+1.4
21	13-8	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	Lindsey Green		+1.1
22	14-8	BALLST	BALLST×5	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+0.8
23	14-9	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.4
24	14-10	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Rowan Kelly		+0.9
25	15-10	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.7
26	15-11	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+0.6
27	15-12	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.2
28	16-12	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
29	16-13	BALLST	OHIO	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+0.8
30	16-14	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.7
31	17-14	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
32	18-14	BALLST	BALLST	Ace	Tiffany Snook		+1.6
33	18-15	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.8
34	19-15	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.1
35	20-15	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.1
36	21-15	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+0.6
37	21-16	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+0.2
38	22-16	OHIO	BALLST×3	Serve err	Torre Kildow		+0.3
39	23-16	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Lindsey Green	set Allie Wuestenfeld	+0.2
40	24-16	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+0.1
41	24-17	BALLST	OHIO	Blocked	Merritt Sliwa	blk Emily Waddell, Rowan Kelly	·
42	25-17	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Emily Waddell		·
Set 3
1	1-0	BALLST	BALLST×6	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Sophie Ledbetter	+0.8
2	2-0	BALLST	BALLST×6	Kill	Ava Smith	set Rowan Kelly	+0.8
3	3-0	BALLST	BALLST×6	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+0.7
4	4-0	BALLST	BALLST×6	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+0.6
5	5-0	BALLST	BALLST×6	Ace	Ball St.		+0.5
6	6-0	BALLST	BALLST×6	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+0.4
7	6-1	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.3
8	6-2	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
9	7-2	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.4
10	8-2	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.4
11	8-3	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Camryn Wise		+0.2
12	9-3	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
13	10-3	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
14	11-3	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	Ball St.	aced Emily Waddell	+0.2
15	11-4	BALLST	OHIO×3	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Kendall Hickey	+0.1
16	11-5	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Ava Smith		+0.2
17	11-6	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.3
18	12-6	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.3
19	13-6	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+0.3
20	13-7	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+0.2
21	14-7	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Lindsey Green	set Elizabeth Tabeling	+0.2
22	15-7	BALLST	BALLST×3	Bad set	Rowan Kelly		+0.2
23	16-7	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Emily Waddell		+0.1
24	16-8	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	·
25	17-8	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Lindsey Green	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
26	18-8	BALLST	BALLST	Blocked	Sierra Evans	blk Merritt Sliwa	+0.1
27	18-9	BALLST	OHIO×4	Blocked	Tiffany Snook	blk Rose Mahin, Sierra Evans	·
28	18-10	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Sierra Evans	set Lillie Meinhart	·
29	18-11	OHIO	OHIO×4	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Gentry Brown	+0.1
30	18-12	OHIO	OHIO×4	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+0.2
31	19-12	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.2
32	19-13	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Sierra Evans	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.1
33	20-13	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.1
34	20-14	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Camryn Wise		+0.1
35	21-14	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
36	22-14	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Emily Waddell		+0.1
37	23-14	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	Tiffany Snook	aced Torre Kildow	·
38	23-15	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Lillie Meinhart	·
39	24-15	OHIO	BALLST	Blocked	Emily Waddell	blk Lindsey Green	·
40	25-15	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Bailey Blair		·

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Ball St. def. Ohio 3–0

Ava Smith hit .400 with 11 kills as Ball St. rolled past Ohio.