Ball State vs Ohio Volleyball: Ball State Wins 3-0 (Oct 17)

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Ball St. 79.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ball St. won at Ohio 3-0 (25-22, 25-23, 25-15) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Ball St.'s Ava Smith led with 10 kills, and Sophie Ledbetter added 20 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:10 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BALLST	25	25	25	3
OHIO	22	23	15	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ball St. outhit Ohio .301 to .128.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.7 points. Ohio peaked at 30% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Ball St. at 79%.

Ball St.Ohio

Break %+13.7 pts
41.127.4
On serve: 30/73 against 17/62 (Ohio sideout 58.9%).
Hitting+.173
.301.128
40 K / 12 E against 31 K / 19 E.
Longest run+0
55
5 straight Ball St. points in the third set broke a 6–6 tie and made it 11–6. The set finished 25–15.

Ohio above 50Ball St. belowMax swing 5.7%

Ball St.Ohio

Aces: Ball St. 2·Ohio 6
Serve err: Ball St. 9·Ohio 11
Blocks: Ball St. 7·Ohio 44 BS · 6 BA vs 3 BS · 2 BA
Digs: Ball St. 38·Ohio 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ohio above 50 · Ball St. below

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Ball St. — set 2, BALLST 24-23 OHIO. Emily Waddell stuffed by Merritt Sliwa. OHIO win probability 14% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 73.4%26.6% OHIO

Ball St. wins

3-0

25.8%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

19.5%

Ohio wins

3-0

4.8%

3-1

9.2%

3-2

12.6%

BALLST break %: 41.7% vs this opp
OHIO break %: 37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Merritt SliwaBlock+5.7%
Emily Waddell stuffed by Merritt Sliwa
Set 2 · BALLST 24-23 OHIO · BALLST 86% → 91%
02
Emily WaddellAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Emily Waddell
Set 2 · BALLST 25-23 OHIO · BALLST 91% → 96%
03
OhioAce+3.8%
Ohio ace on Elizabeth Tabeling
Set 1 · BALLST 16-18 OHIO · OHIO 26% → 30%
04
Camryn WiseKill+3.7%
Kill by Camryn Wise (set by Merritt Sliwa)
Set 1 · BALLST 19-18 OHIO · BALLST 76% → 80%
05
Merritt SliwaKill+3.7%
Kill by Merritt Sliwa (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 1 · BALLST 18-18 OHIO · BALLST 73% → 76%
06
Camryn WiseKill+3.6%
Kill by Camryn Wise (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 1 · BALLST 21-19 OHIO · BALLST 80% → 84%
07
Bailey BlairKill+3.6%
Kill by Bailey Blair (set by Rowan Kelly)
Set 2 · BALLST 22-23 OHIO · OHIO 14% → 18%
08
Merritt SliwaAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Merritt Sliwa
Set 1 · BALLST 16-17 OHIO · OHIO 22% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ball St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ava SmithOH	3	10	3	27	.259	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	10
13Gwen CrullMB	3	8	0	12	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
17Camryn WiseMB	3	7	0	10	.700	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
11Tiffany SnookMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	5
8Lindsey GreenS	3	1	2	5	-.200	31	0	1	6	0	1	3	2.5	3.5
9Mallory PikeOH	3	0	0	1	.000	1	2	2	4	0	0	0	0	2
6Merritt SliwaOH	3	9	4	24	.208	1	0	0	1	1	3	0	3	12
12Sophie LedbetterDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	2	20	0	0	0	0	0
15Allie WuestenfeldDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
3Elizabeth TabelingDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
7Lucy McCollumS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	12	93	.301	36	2	9	38	6	4	6	7	75

Ohiohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Emily WaddellMB	3	6	2	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
4Torre KildowOH	3	6	6	22	.000	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	7
17Bailey BlairOPP	3	5	3	19	.105	1	1	3	5	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
23Olivia GardnerMB	3	4	3	13	.077	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	1	6
10Rowan KellyS	3	3	0	6	.500	27	2	2	6	0	1	0	1	6
3Gentry BrownOH	3	3	2	7	.143	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	0	3
7Rose MahinOH	3	4	3	14	.071	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
22Lacy MarxL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	1
2Kendall HickeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Darbi RickettsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Caroline CurranL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	19	94	.128	31	6	11	31	2	3	2	4	60

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ball St. vs Ohio

Season series · Ball St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Ball St. at Ohio · Ball St. won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Ball St. at Ohio · Ball St. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BALLST · OHIO 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 BALLSTOHIO 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 BALLSTOHIO 4

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 5 BALLSTOHIO 2

Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%9/9	59%10/17
2	64%9/14	36%5/14
3	73%8/11	11%1/9
4	78%7/9	46%6/13
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	50%6/12	40%4/10
All	73%45/62	41%30/73

Ohio

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	11%1/9
2	80%8/10	18%2/11
3	80%8/10	38%5/13
4	46%6/13	11%1/9
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	43%6/14	50%6/12
All	59%43/73	27%17/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	BALLST-OHIO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	OHIO	BALLST×4	Bad set	Rowan Kelly		+1.2
2	2-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Ace	Mallory Pike		+1.6
3	3-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Ace	Mallory Pike	aced Lacy Marx	+1.4
4	4-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Ava Smith	set Gentry Brown	+1.3
5	4-1	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.8
6	4-2	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio		+1.4
7	5-2	OHIO	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.0
8	5-3	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.0
9	5-4	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Ava Smith		+1.7
10	6-4	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+1.2
11	6-5	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Bailey Blair	+1.2
12	7-5	OHIO	BALLST	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Lindsey Green, Gwen Crull	+1.2
13	7-6	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+1.3
14	8-6	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
15	8-7	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+1.3
16	9-7	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+1.3
17	10-7	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.7
18	10-8	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Lacy Marx	+1.1
19	11-8	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
20	11-9	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.2
21	12-9	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
22	12-10	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.2
23	12-11	OHIO	OHIO	Blocked	Tiffany Snook	blk Emily Waddell	+2.1
24	13-11	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.5
25	13-12	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+1.5
26	14-12	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.6
27	14-13	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+1.6
28	15-13	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.7
29	16-13	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+2.1
30	16-14	BALLST	OHIO×5	Serve err	Ball St.		+1.3
31	16-15	OHIO	OHIO×5	Bad set	Sophie Ledbetter		+2.4
32	16-16	OHIO	OHIO×5	Attack err	Lindsey Green		+3.0
33	16-17	OHIO	OHIO×5	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa		+3.6
34	16-18	OHIO	OHIO×5	Ace	Ohio	aced Elizabeth Tabeling	+3.8
35	17-18	OHIO	BALLST×3	Serve err	Ohio		+2.2
36	18-18	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+3.7
37	19-18	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Merritt Sliwa	+3.7
38	19-19	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+2.6
39	20-19	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+2.7
40	21-19	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+3.6
41	21-20	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+2.1
42	22-20	OHIO	BALLST	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+2.7
43	22-21	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+2.2
44	23-21	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+3.0
45	23-22	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+2.2
46	24-22	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+3.4
47	25-22	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+2.5
Set 2
1	1-0	BALLST	BALLST	Bad set	Rowan Kelly		+1.3
2	1-1	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+1.0
3	2-1	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
4	2-2	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.0
5	3-2	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
6	3-3	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+1.0
7	3-4	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio		+1.6
8	4-4	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
9	5-4	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.5
10	6-4	BALLST	BALLST×3	Bad set	Rowan Kelly		+1.4
11	6-5	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.9
12	7-5	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.9
13	7-6	BALLST	OHIO	Blocked	Merritt Sliwa	blk Rowan Kelly	+1.0
14	8-6	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
15	9-6	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
16	9-7	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.8
17	9-8	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio	aced Merritt Sliwa	+1.4
18	10-8	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
19	11-8	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Sophie Ledbetter	+1.3
20	11-9	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.9
21	12-9	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.9
22	13-9	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Camryn Wise	+1.1
23	13-10	BALLST	OHIO×4	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+0.7
24	13-11	OHIO	OHIO×4	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Bailey Blair, Emily Waddell	+1.3
25	13-12	OHIO	OHIO×4	Attack err	Lindsey Green		+1.6
26	13-13	OHIO	OHIO×4	Bad set	Gwen Crull		+2.0
27	14-13	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+1.4
28	14-14	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+1.5
29	15-14	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.4
30	15-15	BALLST	OHIO×3	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Lacy Marx	+1.5
31	15-16	OHIO	OHIO×3	Ace	Ohio	aced Allie Wuestenfeld	+2.5
32	15-17	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa		+2.7
33	16-17	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.6
34	17-17	BALLST	BALLST	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Lindsey Green, Camryn Wise	+2.6
35	17-18	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+2.0
36	17-19	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio		+3.1
37	18-19	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.8
38	18-20	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+2.3
39	19-20	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+1.9
40	20-20	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+3.2
41	20-21	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+2.6
42	21-21	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+2.4
43	21-22	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+3.0
44	22-22	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+2.7
45	22-23	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+3.6
46	23-23	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+3.2
47	24-23	BALLST	BALLST×3	Blocked	Emily Waddell	blk Merritt Sliwa	+5.7
48	25-23	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Emily Waddell		+4.9
Set 3
1	1-0	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
2	1-1	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.5
3	2-1	OHIO	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+0.5
4	2-2	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
5	3-2	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Ohio		+0.5
6	4-2	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+0.7
7	4-3	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.5
8	5-3	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
9	5-4	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
10	6-4	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Lindsey Green	set Elizabeth Tabeling	+0.5
11	6-5	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Rowan Kelly	set Lacy Marx	+0.5
12	6-6	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa		+0.8
13	7-6	OHIO	BALLST×5	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Lindsey Green, Camryn Wise	+0.6
14	8-6	BALLST	BALLST×5	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+0.8
15	9-6	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+0.7
16	10-6	BALLST	BALLST×5	Attack err	Olivia Gardner		+0.6
17	11-6	BALLST	BALLST×5	Blocked	Bailey Blair	blk Merritt Sliwa	+0.5
18	11-7	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Rowan Kelly	+0.3
19	12-7	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Gentry Brown		+0.3
20	12-8	BALLST	OHIO	Blocked	Tiffany Snook	blk Olivia Gardner	+0.3
21	13-8	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
22	13-9	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.3
23	14-9	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Caroline Curran		+0.3
24	15-9	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Mallory Pike	+0.3
25	15-10	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.2
26	16-10	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.2
27	17-10	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.2
28	18-10	BALLST	BALLST×3	Blocked	Gentry Brown	blk Lindsey Green	+0.1
29	18-11	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Rowan Kelly	·
30	19-11	OHIO	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
31	20-11	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Gentry Brown		+0.1
32	21-11	BALLST	BALLST×3	Blocked	Olivia Gardner	blk Merritt Sliwa	·
33	21-12	BALLST	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Rowan Kelly	·
34	22-12	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	·
35	22-13	BALLST	OHIO	Serve err	Lindsey Green		·
36	23-13	OHIO	BALLST	Serve err	Gentry Brown		·
37	23-14	BALLST	OHIO	Attack err	Lucy McCollum		·
38	23-15	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Ava Smith		·
39	24-15	OHIO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	·
40	25-15	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Torre Kildow		·

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Ball St. def. Ohio 3–0

Ball St. outhit Ohio .301 to .128.