FinalTue, Oct 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rider def. Saint Peter's 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Rider 62.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rider beat visiting Saint Peter's 3-0 (25-21, 25-11, 25-22) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Rider's Rylah Robinson led with 10 kills, and Simone Langford added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set123Sets
ST PTR2111220
RIDER2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.625 and 10 kills for Rylah Robinson as Rider rolled past Saint Peter's.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.5 points. Saint Peter's peaked at 42% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Rider went in as RallyIQ's 62% pick.

Saint Peter'sRider
  • Break %+17.7 pts
    35.753.4

    On serve: 39/73 against 20/56 (Saint Peter's sideout 46.6%).

  • Hitting+.300
    .131.431

    Kills and errors: 40–9 vs 32–21.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Down 12–13 in the first set, Rider scored 6 straight to lead 18–13. That set ended 25–21.

Rider above 50Saint Peter's belowMax swing 3.5%

Saint Peter'sRider

Aces
Saint Peter's 5·Rider 5
Serve err
Saint Peter's 9·Rider 7
Blocks
Saint Peter's 3·Rider 80 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Saint Peter's 20·Rider 26

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rider above 50 · Saint Peter's below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.5% RIDERrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Rider — set 1, ST PTR 13-14 RIDER. Attack error by Addison Baglio. RIDER win probability 61% → 64%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST PTR 28.4%71.6% RIDER

Saint Peter's wins

3-0
5.3%
3-1
9.9%
3-2
13.2%

Rider wins

3-0
24.4%
3-1
27.4%
3-2
19.7%
ST PTR break %
40.3% vs this opp
RIDER break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addison BaglioAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Addison Baglio

    Set 1 · ST PTR 13-14 RIDER · RIDER 61% → 64%

  2. 02
    Molly RohdeKill+3.5%

    Kill by Molly Rohde (set by Makenna Mason)

    Set 3 · ST PTR 21-22 RIDER · RIDER 90% → 94%

  3. 03
    Addison BaglioAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Addison Baglio

    Set 1 · ST PTR 13-15 RIDER · RIDER 64% → 68%

  4. 04

    Anja Kelly stuffed by Natasha Tejada & Julia Whaley

    Set 1 · ST PTR 12-11 RIDER · ST PTR 38% → 41%

  5. 05
    RiderAce+3.2%

    Rider ace on Alicia Valladares

    Set 3 · ST PTR 21-23 RIDER · RIDER 94% → 97%

  6. 06
    Anja KellyAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Anja Kelly

    Set 3 · ST PTR 21-20 RIDER · ST PTR 9% → 12%

  7. 07

    Addison Baglio stuffed by Tori Bonacci & Anja Kelly

    Set 1 · ST PTR 13-16 RIDER · RIDER 68% → 71%

  8. 08

    Kill by Addison Baglio (set by Kylee Gilbert)

    Set 1 · ST PTR 10-10 RIDER · ST PTR 35% → 38%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39515.26700110010.59.5
36413.15400010010.56.5
35722-.091110500006
3305.600000000214
2428.250001210004
2000–1112100001
31011.0001121200003
2308.375000000214
2000–112100001
2017-.143001210000
2000–100200000
11011.000401000001
1013-.333100000000
1011-1.000000310000
1000–000020000
Team totals322184.131305920506354
Riderhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37212.4170012016411
39418.2780001002110
37314.28610011010.57.5
3508.62500000010.55.5
3103.3333300200212
3000–111410001
310016.6251001102111
31011.000112920002
3000–021300002
3000–012300001
Team totals40972.4313757265114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Saint Peter's vs Rider

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ST PTR · RIDER 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 ST PTRRIDER 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 ST PTRRIDER 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 ST PTRRIDER 4

Bars above the line = Rider leads, below = Saint Peter's leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Peter's

SlotSideout %Break %
1
32%6/19
30%3/10
2
43%6/14
25%2/8
3
75%6/8
50%6/12
4
55%6/11
33%3/9
5
38%5/13
25%2/8
6
63%5/8
44%4/9
All
47%34/73
36%20/56

Rider

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
33%3/9
2
75%6/8
70%14/20
3
50%6/12
54%7/13
4
67%6/9
50%6/12
5
71%5/7
50%5/10
6
50%5/10
44%4/9
All
64%36/56
53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#ST PTR-RIDERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ST PTRRIDER×5KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+1.7
20-2RIDERRIDER×5KillSimone Langfordset Meleksu Ozmen+2.3
30-3RIDERRIDER×5KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.1
40-4RIDERRIDER×5KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.0
50-5RIDERRIDER×5KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.7
61-5RIDERST PTR×3KillVictoria Pruvostset Meleksu Ozmen+1.1
72-5ST PTRST PTR×3AceAddison Baglioaced Olivia DeSaro+1.8
83-5ST PTRST PTR×3KillElina Arsovset Meleksu Ozmen+2.1
93-6ST PTRRIDER×3KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.6
103-7RIDERRIDER×3BlockedElina Arsovblk Tori Bonacci, Makenna Mason+2.1
113-8RIDERRIDER×3BlockedElina Arsovblk Makenna Mason, Tori Bonacci+1.8
124-8RIDERST PTR×3Serve errRider+1.1
135-8ST PTRST PTR×3KillVictoria Pruvostset Briana Tuten+1.9
146-8ST PTRST PTR×3AceBriana Tutenaced Aubrey Baker+2.2
156-9ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+1.7
167-9RIDERST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Meleksu Ozmen+1.6
178-9ST PTRST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+2.6
188-10ST PTRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.0
199-10RIDERST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.9
2010-10ST PTRST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Kylee Gilbert+3.0
2110-11ST PTRRIDERAttack errAddison Baglio+2.2
2211-11RIDERST PTRKillNatasha Tejadaset Alondra Fargas+2.3
2312-11ST PTRST PTRBlockedAnja Kellyblk Natasha Tejada, Julia Whaley+3.3
2412-12ST PTRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.3
2513-12RIDERST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Alondra Fargas+2.5
2613-13ST PTRRIDER×6KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.4
2713-14RIDERRIDER×6Attack errAddison Baglio+3.5
2813-15RIDERRIDER×6Attack errAddison Baglio+3.4
2913-16RIDERRIDER×6BlockedAddison Baglioblk Tori Bonacci, Anja Kelly+3.0
3013-17RIDERRIDER×6Attack errAddison Baglio+2.5
3113-18RIDERRIDER×6AceRideraced Elina Arsov+1.9
3214-18RIDERST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Meleksu Ozmen+1.0
3314-19ST PTRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Aubrey Baker+1.3
3415-19RIDERST PTRKillElina Arsovset Meleksu Ozmen+0.9
3516-19ST PTRST PTRKillElina Arsovset Meleksu Ozmen+1.9
3616-20ST PTRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.9
3717-20RIDERST PTRKillElina Arsovset Meleksu Ozmen+1.3
3818-20ST PTRST PTRAceAlondra Fargasaced Rylah Robinson+2.7
3918-21ST PTRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.6
4019-21RIDERST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.9
4119-22ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+2.8
4220-22RIDERST PTRKillNatasha Tejadaset Alondra Fargas+1.8
4320-23ST PTRRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+2.9
4421-23RIDERST PTRBlockedAubrey Bakerblk Natasha Tejada, Julia Whaley+1.6
4521-24ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+2.9
4621-25RIDERRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.5
Set 2
11-0RIDERST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Meleksu Ozmen+1.6
21-1ST PTRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.5
32-1RIDERST PTRServe errRider+1.6
42-2ST PTRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.6
53-2RIDERST PTRAttack errAubrey Baker+1.6
63-3ST PTRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.6
74-3RIDERST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.7
84-4ST PTRRIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.6
94-5RIDERRIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.3
104-6RIDERRIDER×4Attack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.2
114-7RIDERRIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.1
125-7RIDERST PTRServe errRider+1.4
135-8ST PTRRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+1.5
145-9RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinson+1.9
156-9RIDERST PTRKillNatasha Tejadaset Alondra Fargas+1.2
167-9ST PTRST PTRAceMeleksu Ozmenaced Simone Langford+2.0
177-10ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+1.6
187-11RIDERRIDERAttack errVictoria Pruvost+2.0
198-11RIDERST PTRKillJulia Whaleyset Meleksu Ozmen+1.2
208-12ST PTRRIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.4
218-13RIDERRIDER×3Attack errVictoria Pruvost+1.7
228-14RIDERRIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Simone Langford+1.3
239-14RIDERST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Meleksu Ozmen+0.7
249-15ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+0.9
259-16RIDERRIDERBlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Aubrey Baker, Tori Bonacci+0.9
2610-16RIDERST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Meleksu Ozmen+0.4
2710-17ST PTRRIDER×6Attack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+0.6
2810-18RIDERRIDER×6AceRideraced Valeria Pagan Munoz+0.5
2910-19RIDERRIDER×6BlockedKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezblk Tori Bonacci+0.3
3010-20RIDERRIDER×6Attack errAddison Baglio+0.1
3110-21RIDERRIDER×6BlockedKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezblk Rylah Robinson, Tori Bonacci+0.1
3210-22RIDERRIDER×6KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason·
3311-22RIDERST PTRKillAlondra Fargas·
3411-23ST PTRRIDER×3KillMakenna Masonset Rylah Robinson·
3511-24RIDERRIDER×3KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason·
3611-25RIDERRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason·
Set 3
10-1ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+0.9
20-2RIDERRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.2
31-2RIDERST PTRServe errRider+0.9
41-3ST PTRRIDER×4KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+0.9
51-4RIDERRIDER×4Attack errVictoria Pruvost+1.2
61-5RIDERRIDER×4AceRideraced Drew Leonardis+1.1
71-6RIDERRIDER×4KillAubrey Bakerset Simone Langford+0.9
82-6RIDERST PTR×4KillJulia Whaleyset Alondra Fargas+0.6
93-6ST PTRST PTR×4BlockedTori Bonacciblk Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez, Victoria Pruvost+1.0
104-6ST PTRST PTR×4KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.2
115-6ST PTRST PTR×4Attack errMakenna Mason+1.3
125-7ST PTRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Olivia DeSaro+1.0
135-8RIDERRIDERAceRideraced Drew Leonardis+1.3
146-8RIDERST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+0.9
157-8ST PTRST PTRAttack errTori Bonacci+1.4
167-9ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+1.0
178-9RIDERST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Zumra Yavuz+1.0
188-10ST PTRRIDERAttack errValeria Pagan Munoz+1.1
198-11RIDERRIDERBlockedIndira T. Benitez Dumengblk Molly Rohde, Rylah Robinson+1.4
209-11RIDERST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+0.9
2110-11ST PTRST PTRKillJulia Whaleyset Addison Baglio+1.5
2210-12ST PTRRIDERServe errSaint Peter's+1.1
2311-12RIDERST PTR×3Serve errRider+1.1
2412-12ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errAubrey Baker+1.7
2513-12ST PTRST PTR×3AceAlondra Fargasaced Simone Langford+1.9
2613-13ST PTRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.3
2714-13RIDERST PTRAttack errAnja Kelly+1.4
2814-14ST PTRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.4
2914-15RIDERRIDERAttack errAlicia Valladares+2.0
3015-15RIDERST PTRServe errRider+1.4
3115-16ST PTRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.5
3216-16RIDERST PTRServe errRider+1.5
3316-17ST PTRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.6
3417-17RIDERST PTRKillZumra Yavuzset Indira T. Benitez Dumeng+1.6
3518-17ST PTRST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.4
3618-18ST PTRRIDER×3Serve errSaint Peter's+1.7
3718-19RIDERRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.5
3818-20RIDERRIDER×3Attack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.4
3919-20RIDERST PTR×3KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+1.5
4020-20ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errAnja Kelly+2.7
4121-20ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errAnja Kelly+3.2
4221-21ST PTRRIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.2
4321-22RIDERRIDER×3KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+3.5
4421-23RIDERRIDER×3AceRideraced Alicia Valladares+3.2
4522-23RIDERST PTRKillAddison Baglioset Zumra Yavuz+1.6
4622-24ST PTRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.7
4722-25RIDERRIDERBlockedAddison Baglioblk Anja Kelly, Tori Bonacci+2.0

Score shown after each rally, Saint Peter's first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).