FinalTue, Oct 20, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Miami (OH) def. Ball St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Ball St. 61.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 20, 5:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (OH) beat visiting Ball St. 3-0 (25-14, 25-21, 25-20) on Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Miami (OH)'s Grace Kreutz led with 14 kills.

Data through · final Oct 20

Set123Sets
BALLST1421200
MIA OH2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Grace Kreutz. Miami (OH) swept Ball St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.2 points. Ball St. peaked at 59% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Ball St. went in at 61% by RallyIQ.

Ball St.Miami (OH)
  • Break %+17.9 pts
    32.150.0

    On serve: 37/74 against 18/56 (Ball St. sideout 50.0%).

  • Hitting+.135
    .196.331

    48 kills, 9 errors vs 36 kills, 15 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    Miami (OH) scored 7 straight in the third set to turn a 1–2 deficit into an 8–2 lead. The set finished 25–20.

Miami (OH) above 50Ball St. belowMax swing 6.2%

Ball St.Miami (OH)

Aces
Ball St. 1·Miami (OH) 9
Serve err
Ball St. 2·Miami (OH) 9
Blocks
Ball St. 3·Miami (OH) 50 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Ball St. 53·Miami (OH) 52

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (OH) above 50 · Ball St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.2% MIA OHrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.2% to Miami (OH) — set 2, BALLST 19-21 MIA OH. Attack error by Tiffany Snook. MIA OH win probability 66% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 55.4%44.6% MIA OH

Ball St. wins

3-0
14.9%
3-1
21.0%
3-2
19.5%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0
10.4%
3-1
16.5%
3-2
17.7%
BALLST break %
40.5% vs this opp
MIA OH break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tiffany SnookAttack error+6.2%

    Attack error by Tiffany Snook

    Set 2 · BALLST 19-21 MIA OH · MIA OH 66% → 72%

  2. 02
    Tiffany SnookKill+5.5%

    Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Sophie Ledbetter)

    Set 2 · BALLST 19-19 MIA OH · BALLST 33% → 39%

  3. 03
    Lauren CoyneKill+5.2%

    Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 2 · BALLST 19-22 MIA OH · MIA OH 72% → 77%

  4. 04
    Merritt SliwaKill+4.4%

    Kill by Merritt Sliwa (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 2 · BALLST 17-18 MIA OH · BALLST 29% → 34%

  5. 05
    Grace KreutzKill+4.3%

    Kill by Grace Kreutz (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 2 · BALLST 19-20 MIA OH · MIA OH 61% → 66%

  6. 06
    Grace KreutzKill+3.7%

    Kill by Grace Kreutz (set by Kamryn Utley)

    Set 2 · BALLST 17-19 MIA OH · MIA OH 66% → 70%

  7. 07
    Merritt SliwaKill+3.5%

    Kill by Merritt Sliwa (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 2 · BALLST 16-18 MIA OH · BALLST 26% → 29%

  8. 08
    Audrey GeerAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Audrey Geer

    Set 2 · BALLST 19-23 MIA OH · MIA OH 77% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312221.47600060010.512.5
39013.69200110010.59.5
3104.2502610600002
3124-.250000210001
24418.000100230004
2105.200000100001
36522.04510011010.56.5
30111-.0910001120000
3011-1.000000810000
3000–1001210000
2208.250001100213
1000–50020010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals3615107.196341253906355
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314335.314120140010.516.5
310231.25802310100012
37113.46200020031.58.5
37010.70000000031.58.5
3417.429000100215
3102.5002132800004
35220.15000000010.55.5
3000–020200002
3000–1902600000
3000–402900000
Team totals489118.3314599521010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ball St. vs Miami (OH)

Season series · Miami (OH) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 BALLST · MIA OH 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 BALLSTMIA OH 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 BALLSTMIA OH 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 BALLSTMIA OH 7

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%8/21
40%4/10
2
75%6/8
33%4/12
3
50%6/12
0%0/6
4
35%6/17
40%4/10
5
86%6/7
14%1/7
6
56%5/9
45%5/11
All
50%37/74
32%18/56

Miami (OH)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
50%7/14
2
88%7/8
53%8/15
3
75%6/8
50%6/12
4
67%6/9
50%6/12
5
67%6/9
50%6/12
6
63%5/8
44%4/9
All
68%38/56
50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#BALLST-MIA OHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIA OHMIA OH×4AceMiami (OH)aced Sophie Ledbetter+2.5
20-2MIA OHMIA OH×4AceMiami (OH)aced Ava Smith+2.6
30-3MIA OHMIA OH×4AceMiami (OH)aced Ava Smith+2.6
40-4MIA OHMIA OH×4KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+2.5
51-4MIA OHBALLSTKillMallory Pikeset Lindsey Green+1.5
62-4BALLSTBALLSTKillLindsey Greenset Ava Smith+2.4
72-5BALLSTMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+1.9
82-6MIA OHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+2.5
93-6MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.5
103-7BALLSTMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.8
114-7MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.6
125-7BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+2.5
135-8BALLSTMIA OH×4KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+2.0
145-9MIA OHMIA OH×4KillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+2.7
155-10MIA OHMIA OH×4Attack errMallory Pike+2.4
165-11MIA OHMIA OH×4KillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+2.0
176-11MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+1.1
186-12BALLSTMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+1.4
196-13MIA OHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Rachel Morgan+1.6
207-13MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+0.8
217-14BALLSTMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+1.1
228-14MIA OHBALLSTKillMerritt Sliwaset Lindsey Green+0.8
238-15BALLSTMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+1.1
249-15MIA OHBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.7
259-16BALLSTMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+1.0
269-17MIA OHMIA OHAceMiami (OH)aced Ava Smith+1.0
2710-17MIA OHBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.4
2810-18BALLSTMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.6
2911-18MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.3
3011-19BALLSTMIA OH×3KillHolland Van Deusenset Grace Kreutz+0.6
3111-20MIA OHMIA OH×3KillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+0.4
3211-21MIA OHMIA OH×3KillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+0.2
3312-21MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)·
3412-22BALLSTMIA OHAttack errAllie Wuestenfeld+0.1
3513-22MIA OHBALLSTKillMerritt Sliwaset Lindsey Green·
3614-22BALLSTBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.1
3714-23BALLSTMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.1
3814-24MIA OHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley·
3914-25MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errMerritt Sliwa·
Set 2
11-0BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+2.8
21-1BALLSTMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.9
32-1MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.9
42-2BALLSTMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+2.0
53-2MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+2.0
63-3BALLSTMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+2.0
74-3MIA OHBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Lindsey Green+2.0
84-4BALLSTMIA OH×6BlockedMerritt Sliwablk Chelsea Williams, Raegan Lantz+2.1
94-5MIA OHMIA OH×6KillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+3.1
104-6MIA OHMIA OH×6Attack errMerritt Sliwa+3.2
114-7MIA OHMIA OH×6AceMiami (OH)aced Allie Wuestenfeld+3.2
124-8MIA OHMIA OH×6KillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+3.0
134-9MIA OHMIA OH×6AceMiami (OH)aced Audrey Geer+2.7
145-9MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+1.5
155-10BALLSTMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+1.9
166-10MIA OHBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Merritt Sliwa+1.5
176-11BALLSTMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+1.9
187-11MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+1.5
198-11BALLSTBALLSTBlockedGrace Kreutzblk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise+2.7
208-12BALLSTMIA OH×3KillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+2.2
218-13MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Mallory Pike+2.8
228-14MIA OHMIA OH×3BlockedMallory Pikeblk Lauren Coyne, Lydia Michelin+2.3
239-14MIA OHBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.1
249-15BALLSTMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
2510-15MIA OHBALLSTAttack errMolly Creech+1.1
2610-16BALLSTMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Lauren Coyne+1.5
2711-16MIA OHBALLST×3KillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+1.0
2812-16BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errGrace Kreutz+2.1
2913-16BALLSTBALLST×3BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Merritt Sliwa, Leah Pike+2.7
3013-17BALLSTMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+2.5
3114-17MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+1.9
3214-18BALLSTMIA OHAttack errMerritt Sliwa+2.5
3315-18MIA OHBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.8
3416-18BALLSTBALLST×3KillMerritt Sliwaset Lindsey Green+3.5
3517-18BALLSTBALLST×3KillMerritt Sliwaset Lindsey Green+4.4
3617-19BALLSTMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+3.7
3718-19MIA OHBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+3.2
3819-19BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Sophie Ledbetter+5.5
3919-20BALLSTMIA OH×5KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+4.3
4019-21MIA OHMIA OH×5Attack errTiffany Snook+6.2
4119-22MIA OHMIA OH×5KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+5.2
4219-23MIA OHMIA OH×5Attack errAudrey Geer+3.5
4319-24MIA OHMIA OH×5KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
4420-24MIA OHBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.2
4521-24BALLSTBALLSTAttack errGrace Kreutz+0.9
4621-25BALLSTMIA OHServe errCamryn Wise+1.5
Set 3
11-0MIA OHBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.4
21-1BALLSTMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+1.4
32-1MIA OHBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.4
42-2BALLSTMIA OH×7KillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+1.4
52-3MIA OHMIA OH×7KillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+2.2
62-4MIA OHMIA OH×7Attack errLindsey Green+2.2
72-5MIA OHMIA OH×7KillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+2.2
82-6MIA OHMIA OH×7Attack errAva Smith+2.1
92-7MIA OHMIA OH×7KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+1.9
102-8MIA OHMIA OH×7KillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+1.7
113-8MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+0.9
124-8BALLSTBALLSTAttack errRaegan Lantz+1.6
134-9BALLSTMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+1.4
144-10MIA OHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+1.7
155-10MIA OHBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+0.9
165-11BALLSTMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+1.2
176-11MIA OHBALLST×3KillMerritt Sliwaset Lindsey Green+0.9
187-11BALLSTBALLST×3AceLindsey Greenaced Molly Creech+1.6
198-11BALLSTBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Kamryn Utley+2.0
208-12BALLSTMIA OH×3KillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+1.6
218-13MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Merritt Sliwa+2.1
228-14MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Audrey Geer+1.7
239-14MIA OHBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.8
2410-14BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Sophie Ledbetter+1.6
2510-15BALLSTMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+1.4
2610-16MIA OHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
2710-17MIA OHMIA OH×3BlockedTiffany Snookblk Lydia Michelin, Grace Kreutz+1.2
2811-17MIA OHBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+0.5
2911-18BALLSTMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+0.8
3012-18MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Reese Axness+0.4
3112-19BALLSTMIA OHBlockedAva Smithblk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne+0.7
3213-19MIA OHBALLSTServe errMiami (OH)+0.4
3313-20BALLSTMIA OHBlockedMerritt Sliwablk Raegan Lantz, Lauren Coyne+0.6
3414-20MIA OHBALLSTBlockedMolly Creechblk Leah Pike, Reese Axness+0.3
3515-20BALLSTBALLSTAttack errChelsea Williams+0.8
3615-21BALLSTMIA OHServe errLeah Pike+0.9
3716-21MIA OHBALLSTKillMerritt Sliwaset Reese Axness+0.4
3816-22BALLSTMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.7
3917-22MIA OHBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Reese Axness+0.3
4017-23BALLSTMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.6
4117-24MIA OHMIA OHAttack errAva Smith+0.3
4218-24MIA OHBALLST×3Serve errMiami (OH)·
4319-24BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errLydia Michelin+0.1
4420-24BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Reese Axness+0.3
4520-25BALLSTMIA OHAttack errAva Smith+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).