Bellarmine vs Stetson Volleyball: Bellarmine Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Bellarmine 78.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bellarmine won at Stetson 3-0 (25-21, 25-12, 25-19) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Bellarmine's Natalie Bland led with 13 kills, and Payton Parsons added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 11

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BELLAR	25	25	25	3
STETSN	21	12	19	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.404 to .132: Bellarmine outhit Stetson.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.8 points, and Stetson's high was 30% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Bellarmine 78% before first serve.

BellarmineStetson

Break %+20.6 pts
52.732.1
39 of 74 on serve vs 17 of 53, so Stetson's sideout was 47.3%.
Hitting+.272
.404.132
48 K / 8 E against 28 K / 16 E.
Longest run+4
84
8 straight Bellarmine points in the second set stretched a 14–9 lead to 22–9. The set finished 25–12.

Stetson above 50Bellarmine belowMax swing 3.8%

BellarmineStetson

Aces: Bellarmine 7·Stetson 6
Serve err: Bellarmine 9·Stetson 2
Blocks: Bellarmine 7·Stetson 33 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Bellarmine 36·Stetson 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stetson above 50 · Bellarmine below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Bellarmine — set 1, BELLAR 22-20 STETSN. Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes). STETSN win probability 20% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELLAR 77.8%22.2% STETSN

Bellarmine wins

3-0

29.4%

3-1

29.6%

3-2

18.8%

Stetson wins

3-0

3.7%

3-1

7.5%

3-2

11.0%

BELLAR break %: 47.2% vs this opp
STETSN break %: 41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Mary HermanKill+3.8%
Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 1 · BELLAR 22-20 STETSN · BELLAR 80% → 83%
02
Mary HermanKill+3.6%
Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 1 · BELLAR 23-21 STETSN · BELLAR 81% → 84%
03
Alessia BracchiKill+3.5%
Kill by Alessia Bracchi (set by Vitoria Stedile)
Set 1 · BELLAR 16-18 STETSN · STETSN 26% → 30%
04
Maddie CarnesKill+3.4%
Kill by Maddie Carnes (set by Abbie Lyttle)
Set 1 · BELLAR 21-20 STETSN · BELLAR 76% → 80%
05
Mary Herman&Mya WhiteBlock+3.4%
Alessia Bracchi stuffed by Mary Herman & Mya White
Set 1 · BELLAR 19-18 STETSN · BELLAR 76% → 79%
06
Natalie BlandBlock+3.4%
Soraya Teston stuffed by Natalie Bland
Set 1 · BELLAR 18-18 STETSN · BELLAR 73% → 76%
07
StetsonAce+3.3%
Stetson ace on Payton Parsons
Set 1 · BELLAR 16-17 STETSN · STETSN 23% → 26%
08
Alessia BracchiKill+3.2%
Kill by Alessia Bracchi (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)
Set 1 · BELLAR 20-20 STETSN · STETSN 21% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Bellarmineaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Natalie BlandOH	3	13	1	25	.480	0	0	1	8	1	1	0	1	14
20Mary HermanMB	3	7	2	13	.385	0	1	3	1	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
22Mya WhiteOH	3	8	2	21	.286	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	10
1Mady YadenOH	3	9	2	23	.304	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
11Abby JuliusOH	3	6	1	10	.500	0	2	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Maddie CarnesS	3	4	0	6	.667	35	3	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
24Ava LongDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	1
12Abbie LyttleDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	5	2	0	0	0	1
4Payton ParsonsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	8	99	.404	41	7	9	36	6	3	8	7	75

Stetsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Karsu BayraktarOH	3	10	3	22	.318	1	1	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
21Sofia TorcelloMB	3	7	3	16	.250	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	9
7Vanessa ShevchenkoS	3	2	1	6	.167	22	1	0	5	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
12Kayla BalfourMB	3	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
9Soraya TestonOH	2	1	3	10	-.200	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
2Jannelize PerezL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
14Alessia BracchiMB	3	5	2	20	.150	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
11Andrea Diaz Dominguez	3	2	2	8	.000	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	3
4Vitoria StedileL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	1	9	1	0	0	0	1
33Maria OzaetaOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
16Keely StarnesMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Maia Keely PouS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	16	91	.132	26	6	2	36	7	1	4	3	52

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bellarmine vs Stetson

Season series · Bellarmine leads 2-0

Sun, Oct 11, 2026Bellarmine at Stetson · Bellarmine won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 23, 2026Stetson at Bellarmine · Bellarmine won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 BELLAR · STETSN 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 BELLARSTETSN 4

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 8 BELLARSTETSN 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 BELLARSTETSN 3

Bars above the line = Stetson leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bellarmine

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	54%7/13
2	64%7/11	50%7/14
3	86%6/7	68%13/19
4	55%6/11	33%3/9
5	67%6/9	45%5/11
6	80%4/5	50%4/8
All	68%36/53	53%39/74

Stetson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	29%2/7
2	30%7/23	22%2/9
3	50%6/12	36%4/11
4	67%6/9	25%2/8
5	63%5/8	40%4/10
6	44%4/9	38%3/8
All	47%35/74	32%17/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#	BELLAR-STETSN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Sofia Torcello		+1.6
2	2-0	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Jannelize Perez	+1.5
3	3-0	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Soraya Teston		+1.4
4	3-1	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.2
5	3-2	STETSN	STETSN	Blocked	Abby Julius	blk Kayla Balfour	+1.6
6	4-2	STETSN	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
7	5-2	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Abbie Lyttle	+1.4
8	6-2	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Jannelize Perez	+1.3
9	6-3	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.0
10	6-4	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+1.5
11	7-4	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
12	8-4	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland		+1.3
13	8-5	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.1
14	8-6	STETSN	STETSN	Blocked	Mya White	blk Karsu Bayraktar, Kayla Balfour	+1.5
15	9-6	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
16	9-7	BELLAR	STETSN×4	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.3
17	9-8	STETSN	STETSN×4	Ace	Stetson	aced Abbie Lyttle	+1.8
18	9-9	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.1
19	9-10	STETSN	STETSN×4	Attack err	Mary Herman		+2.4
20	10-10	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.9
21	11-10	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.2
22	11-11	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.9
23	11-12	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+2.6
24	12-12	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+2.0
25	13-12	BELLAR	BELLAR	Blocked	Sofia Torcello	blk Mady Yaden, Abby Julius	+2.4
26	13-13	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.1
27	14-13	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Payton Parsons	+2.1
28	15-13	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Jannelize Perez	+2.3
29	15-14	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Payton Parsons	+1.9
30	15-15	STETSN	STETSN	Ace	Stetson	aced Natalie Bland	+2.7
31	16-15	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.3
32	16-16	BELLAR	STETSN×3	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.4
33	16-17	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	Stetson	aced Payton Parsons	+3.3
34	16-18	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vitoria Stedile	+3.5
35	17-18	STETSN	BELLAR×3	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.6
36	18-18	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Blocked	Soraya Teston	blk Natalie Bland	+3.4
37	19-18	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Blocked	Alessia Bracchi	blk Mary Herman, Mya White	+3.4
38	19-19	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		+3.0
39	20-19	STETSN	BELLAR	Blocked	Kayla Balfour	blk Mary Herman	+3.1
40	20-20	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+3.2
41	21-20	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Abbie Lyttle	+3.4
42	22-20	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+3.8
43	22-21	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.7
44	23-21	STETSN	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+3.6
45	24-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Bad set	Karsu Bayraktar		+3.0
46	25-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
Set 2
1	0-1	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko		+1.4
2	1-1	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+1.1
3	1-2	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.2
4	2-2	STETSN	BELLAR×3	Kill	Abby Julius	set Maddie Carnes	+1.1
5	3-2	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Karsu Bayraktar		+1.3
6	4-2	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Blocked	Soraya Teston	blk Mya White	+1.2
7	4-3	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		+1.1
8	5-3	STETSN	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.0
9	6-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.1
10	7-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Alessia Bracchi		+1.0
11	7-4	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.8
12	7-5	STETSN	STETSN	Ace	Stetson	aced Abbie Lyttle	+1.1
13	8-5	STETSN	BELLAR×3	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.0
14	9-5	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Blocked	Karsu Bayraktar	blk Maddie Carnes, Mary Herman	+1.0
15	10-5	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Kayla Balfour		+0.9
16	10-6	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.7
17	11-6	STETSN	BELLAR	Attack err	Andrea Diaz Dominguez		+0.7
18	11-7	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		+0.7
19	12-7	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
20	13-7	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Maria Ozaeta	+0.7
21	13-8	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
22	14-8	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Abby Julius	set Maddie Carnes	+0.6
23	14-9	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
24	15-9	STETSN	BELLAR×8	Kill	Abby Julius	set Abby Julius	+0.6
25	16-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Kill	Natalie Bland		+0.5
26	17-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Attack err	Karsu Bayraktar		+0.3
27	18-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Blocked	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	blk Mya White, Mary Herman	+0.2
28	19-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Attack err	Vanessa Shevchenko		+0.1
29	20-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Bad set	Maia Keely Pou		+0.1
30	21-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Vanessa Shevchenko	·
31	22-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Vitoria Stedile	·
32	22-10	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Maia Keely Pou	·
33	23-10	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Payton Parsons	·
34	23-11	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Vitoria Stedile	·
35	24-11	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	·
36	24-12	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	·
37	25-12	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	·
Set 3
1	1-0	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Abby Julius		+0.6
2	2-0	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Keely Starnes	+0.6
3	2-1	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
4	3-1	STETSN	BELLAR×6	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.5
5	4-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Kill	Abby Julius	set Payton Parsons	+0.6
6	5-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Kill	Mya White	set Payton Parsons	+0.5
7	6-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Attack err	Sofia Torcello		+0.4
8	7-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.4
9	8-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.3
10	8-2	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		+0.2
11	9-2	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Abby Julius	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
12	9-3	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.2
13	10-3	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
14	11-3	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Ava Long	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
15	11-4	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.1
16	12-4	STETSN	BELLAR	Serve err	Stetson		+0.2
17	13-4	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Ava Long	+0.1
18	13-5	BELLAR	STETSN	Attack err	Mary Herman		+0.1
19	14-5	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
20	15-5	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	Bellarmine	aced Andrea Diaz Dominguez	+0.1
21	15-6	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		+0.1
22	16-6	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
23	16-7	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		·
24	17-7	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
25	17-8	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	·
26	18-8	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
27	18-9	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		·
28	19-9	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	·
29	19-10	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	·
30	19-11	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.1
31	20-11	STETSN	BELLAR	Serve err	Stetson		+0.1
32	20-12	BELLAR	STETSN×3	Serve err	Bellarmine		·
33	20-13	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	Stetson	aced Ava Long	+0.1
34	20-14	STETSN	STETSN×3	Blocked	Mady Yaden	blk Vanessa Shevchenko, Keely Starnes	+0.1
35	21-14	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
36	21-15	BELLAR	STETSN	Serve err	Bellarmine		+0.1
37	21-16	STETSN	STETSN	Ace	Stetson	aced Ava Long	+0.2
38	22-16	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
39	22-17	BELLAR	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Karsu Bayraktar	+0.1
40	23-17	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
41	23-18	BELLAR	STETSN	Attack err	Mya White		+0.1
42	23-19	STETSN	STETSN	Bad set	Maddie Carnes		+0.2
43	24-19	STETSN	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.3
44	25-19	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Bellarmine def. Stetson 3–0

.404 to .132: Bellarmine outhit Stetson.