Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwayMETRO

3:2

HomeNEC

Manhattan def. Central Conn. St. 3–2

(25-23, 26-28, 25-20, 19-25, 16-14)

Set	1*	2	3	4	5	Sets
MANHAT	25	26	25	19	16	3
C CONN	23	28	20	25	14	2

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

C CONN above 50 · MANHAT below

Biggest swing: 30.5% to Manhattan — set 5, MANHAT 16-14 C CONN. Attack error by Hanley Schmidt. C CONN win probability 31% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MANHAT 29.2%70.8% C CONN

Manhattan wins

3-0

5.5%

3-1

10.2%

3-2

13.5%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

23.8%

3-1

27.2%

3-2

19.8%

MANHAT break %: 40.1% vs this opp
C CONN break %: 44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Hanley SchmidtAttack error+30.5%
Attack error by Hanley Schmidt
Set 5 · MANHAT 16-14 C CONN · MANHAT 69% → 100%
02
TeamKill+27.7%
Kill by Team (set by Team)
Set 5 · MANHAT 15-14 C CONN · MANHAT 42% → 69%
03
MANHAT serverAce+25.1%
Manhattan ace on Aubrey Stitcher
Set 5 · MANHAT 14-14 C CONN · MANHAT 17% → 42%
04
Aubrey StitcherKill+13.0%
Kill by Aubrey Stitcher (set by Team)
Set 5 · MANHAT 12-14 C CONN · C CONN 78% → 91%
05
TeamKill+12.4%
Kill by Team
Set 2 · MANHAT 24-24 C CONN · C CONN 33% → 45%
06
TeamAttack error+11.2%
Attack error by Team
Set 2 · MANHAT 26-27 C CONN · C CONN 45% → 56%
07
TeamKill+11.2%
Kill by Team (set by Team)
Set 5 · MANHAT 11-13 C CONN · C CONN 75% → 86%
08
TeamAttack error+10.6%
Team stuffed by Team & Hanna Kaczynska
Set 5 · MANHAT 10-11 C CONN · MANHAT 17% → 27%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Manhattanaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
28Hanna KaczynskaOH	1	11	4	27	.259	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	13
10Ori BrigerS	1	2	0	5	.400	28	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	3
4Emilia KuzniarS	5	2	0	2	1.000	10	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
9Kaitlyn DoyleL/DS	5	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Anna DuncanDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	3	5	0	0	0	2
3Julia PflegerL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
7Margaret OBrienOH	3	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Karsyn HarrisOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
22Brooke JohnsonOH	2	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Team totals		55	27	151	.185	50	10	7	68	10	1	10	6	111

Central Conn. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Hanley SchmidtOH	2	11	8	34	.088	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	13
6Meg BerklandL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	13	3	0	0	0	1
4Gabriella BurdierDS	5	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	9	0	0	0	0	1
7Aubrey StitcherOH	4	16	4	35	.343	0	0	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	16.5
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	3	0	4	9	0	0	0	0	0
15Madison FulgencioOH	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
12Valeria TorresMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		65	26	169	.231	60	10	19	61	10	1	19	10.5	110

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 MANHAT · C CONN 5

Set 1*

25-23

Longest run 5 MANHATC CONN 5

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 3 MANHATC CONN 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 7 MANHATC CONN 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 5 MANHATC CONN 4

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 4 MANHATC CONN 4

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Manhattan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	48%10/21	25%3/12
2	45%9/20	50%9/18
3	89%8/9	58%11/19
4	67%8/12	20%2/10
5	50%7/14	38%5/13
6	64%7/11	50%7/14
All	56%49/87	43%37/86

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%10/12	47%7/15
2	38%9/24	57%13/23
3	57%8/14	31%4/13
4	73%8/11	11%1/9
5	64%7/11	56%9/16
6	50%7/14	36%4/11
All	57%49/86	44%38/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

221 rallies

Rally log

#	MANHAT-C CONN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Team	blk Team, Hanna Kaczynska	+2.2
2	1-1	MANHAT	C CONN	Serve err	MANHAT server		+1.6
3	2-1	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.7
4	2-2	MANHAT	C CONN	Serve err	MANHAT server		+1.6
5	3-2	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+1.7
6	3-3	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+1.6
7	4-3	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.8
8	5-3	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Team	+2.5
9	5-4	MANHAT	C CONN×5	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Team	+1.7
10	5-5	C CONN	C CONN×5	Ace	C CONN server	aced Anna Duncan	+2.4
11	5-6	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.4
12	5-7	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.2
13	5-8	C CONN	C CONN×5	Attack err	Kaitlyn Doyle	blk Team	+2.0
14	6-8	C CONN	MANHAT×3	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.4
15	7-8	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Team	+2.2
16	8-8	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio	blk Team	+2.5
17	8-9	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+1.9
18	9-9	C CONN	MANHAT×5	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.9
19	10-9	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Team	+2.9
20	11-9	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+3.0
21	12-9	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Annabelle Denomme		+3.0
22	13-9	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+2.8
23	13-10	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+1.7
24	14-10	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Emilia Kuzniar	set Ori Briger	+2.1
25	14-11	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+1.7
26	15-11	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Ori Briger	set Team	+2.2
27	15-12	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+1.7
28	16-12	C CONN	MANHAT	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio		+2.2
29	16-13	MANHAT	C CONN×5	Serve err	MANHAT server		+1.7
30	16-14	C CONN	C CONN×5	Attack err	Team		+2.9
31	16-15	C CONN	C CONN×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.3
32	16-16	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.6
33	16-17	C CONN	C CONN×5	Ace	C CONN server	aced Anna Duncan	+3.7
34	17-17	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.7
35	17-18	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+2.8
36	18-18	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.9
37	19-18	MANHAT	MANHAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+4.5
38	19-19	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+3.2
39	19-20	C CONN	C CONN×3	Bad set	Emilia Kuzniar		+4.6
40	19-21	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Team	set Team	+4.3
41	20-21	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Emilia Kuzniar	set Team	+2.7
42	20-22	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.4
43	21-22	C CONN	MANHAT×4	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+2.8
44	22-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Julia Pfleger	+5.7
45	23-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Team	+7.4
46	24-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Team		+7.6
47	24-23	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Kaitlyn Doyle	blk Hanley Schmidt, Team	+3.1
48	25-23	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Anna Duncan	+7.6
Set 2
1	0-1	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Team	blk Hanley Schmidt, Team	+2.7
2	1-1	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.0
3	1-2	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.0
4	2-2	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+2.1
5	2-3	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.0
6	3-3	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.1
7	4-3	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.1
8	4-4	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.2
9	4-5	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	C CONN server	aced Team	+3.0
10	5-5	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.2
11	6-5	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.3
12	6-6	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.3
13	6-7	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Brooke Johnson		+3.1
14	7-7	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.4
15	8-7	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Team		+3.5
16	8-8	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+2.4
17	8-9	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+3.3
18	9-9	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.5
19	10-9	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Team		+3.7
20	10-10	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+2.6
21	11-10	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.8
22	11-11	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Serve err	MANHAT server		+2.7
23	11-12	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Team	blk Team, Hanley Schmidt	+3.7
24	11-13	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.5
25	12-13	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+2.5
26	13-13	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Team		+3.9
27	13-14	MANHAT	C CONN	Serve err	MANHAT server		+2.9
28	14-14	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+3.0
29	14-15	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.0
30	15-15	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.2
31	16-15	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Ori Briger	+4.8
32	16-16	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+3.3
33	17-16	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+3.7
34	18-16	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Team	+5.3
35	18-17	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Brooke Johnson		+3.4
36	18-18	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+5.3
37	19-18	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Brooke Johnson	set Ori Briger	+4.3
38	20-18	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Team, Hanna Kaczynska	+6.1
39	20-19	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+3.7
40	20-20	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	C CONN server	aced Team	+6.2
41	21-20	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+5.2
42	21-21	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+4.9
43	21-22	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+7.5
44	22-22	C CONN	MANHAT×3	Serve err	C CONN server		+5.4
45	23-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+9.6
46	24-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Team		+9.8
47	24-23	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.9
48	24-24	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Team		+12.4
49	25-24	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+8.9
50	25-25	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+8.9
51	26-25	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+8.9
52	26-26	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Kill	Team	set Team	+8.9
53	26-27	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Team		+11.2
54	26-28	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+10.2
Set 3
1	0-1	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.1
2	0-2	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+2.8
3	1-2	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Anna Duncan	+2.0
4	1-3	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Team	+2.1
5	1-4	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	C CONN server	aced Team	+2.6
6	2-4	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+1.9
7	3-4	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Team		+2.9
8	3-5	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.2
9	4-5	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.2
10	4-6	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+2.2
11	5-6	C CONN	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Aubrey Stitcher		+2.2
12	6-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Team		+3.4
13	7-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Team	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.7
14	7-7	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.6
15	7-8	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Margaret OBrien		+3.5
16	8-8	C CONN	MANHAT×3	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.7
17	9-8	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+3.9
18	10-8	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Margaret OBrien, Team	+4.1
19	10-9	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.8
20	10-10	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+4.0
21	11-10	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+3.1
22	12-10	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Meg Berkland	+4.4
23	12-11	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+2.9
24	13-11	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+3.4
25	13-12	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.0
26	14-12	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+3.5
27	14-13	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.1
28	15-13	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Ori Briger	set Ori Briger	+3.7
29	15-14	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+3.3
30	15-15	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Team		+4.9
31	15-16	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+4.9
32	16-16	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+3.6
33	16-17	MANHAT	C CONN	Serve err	MANHAT server		+3.7
34	17-17	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.9
35	17-18	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+4.0
36	18-18	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Team	+4.1
37	18-19	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+4.3
38	18-20	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+5.6
39	19-20	C CONN	MANHAT×7	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+3.6
40	20-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Meg Berkland	+6.5
41	21-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+7.8
42	22-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+8.0
43	23-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Kill	Team		+6.7
44	24-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+4.0
45	25-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Meg Berkland	+1.3
Set 4
1	0-1	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	C CONN server	aced Team	+3.7
2	1-1	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+2.8
3	2-1	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+4.0
4	2-2	MANHAT	C CONN×4	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Team, Aubrey Stitcher	+2.8
5	2-3	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Team		+3.8
6	2-4	C CONN	C CONN×4	Ace	C CONN server	aced Anna Duncan	+3.6
7	2-5	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Gabriella Burdier	+3.3
8	3-5	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+2.3
9	3-6	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+2.5
10	4-6	C CONN	MANHAT	Attack err	Aubrey Stitcher		+2.4
11	4-7	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+2.5
12	5-7	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.4
13	5-8	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.6
14	5-9	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+3.1
15	6-9	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+2.1
16	6-10	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.3
17	7-10	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.1
18	7-11	MANHAT	C CONN×4	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.3
19	7-12	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska		+2.7
20	7-13	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Team	set Team	+2.1
21	7-14	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher		+1.5
22	8-14	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+0.8
23	8-15	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Kill	Team	set Team	+1.1
24	8-16	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Team		+1.0
25	8-17	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Team		+0.6
26	9-17	C CONN	MANHAT×5	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+0.3
27	10-17	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Kill	Team	set Team	+0.6
28	11-17	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Team		+0.9
29	12-17	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Aubrey Stitcher		+1.4
30	13-17	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Team		+2.1
31	13-18	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+2.0
32	14-18	C CONN	MANHAT	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Hanna Kaczynska, Team	+1.4
33	15-18	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.9
34	15-19	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+2.8
35	16-19	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Margaret OBrien	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.1
36	17-19	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Team	+4.2
37	17-20	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Kill	Team	set Team	+3.9
38	17-21	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Margaret OBrien	blk Team	+3.9
39	17-22	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Team		+2.3
40	18-22	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+0.9
41	18-23	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+1.5
42	18-24	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+0.8
43	19-24	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.1
44	19-25	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+1.4
Set 5
1	0-1	MANHAT	C CONN×4	Kill	Team	set Team	+5.9
2	0-2	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+7.7
3	0-3	C CONN	C CONN×4	Ace	C CONN server	aced Anna Duncan	+6.9
4	0-4	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+5.8
5	1-4	C CONN	MANHAT×3	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+3.7
6	2-4	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Aubrey Stitcher		+6.4
7	3-4	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+7.9
8	3-5	MANHAT	C CONN×3	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+6.3
9	3-6	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	C CONN server	aced Anna Duncan	+7.7
10	3-7	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Annabelle Denomme	+6.2
11	4-7	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+3.7
12	4-8	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Team	+4.6
13	5-8	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+3.6
14	5-9	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Team		+4.6
15	5-10	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Team	+4.4
16	6-10	C CONN	MANHAT	Attack err	Team		+2.1
17	6-11	MANHAT	C CONN	Attack err	Team	blk Team	+3.1
18	7-11	C CONN	MANHAT×4	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Ori Briger	+1.8
19	8-11	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Team	set Ori Briger	+4.2
20	9-11	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Team	set Team	+6.9
21	10-11	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Team	blk Team, Hanna Kaczynska	+10.6
22	10-12	MANHAT	C CONN	Serve err	MANHAT server		+10.0
23	11-12	C CONN	MANHAT	Serve err	C CONN server		+8.1
24	11-13	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Team	set Team	+11.2
25	12-13	C CONN	MANHAT	Kill	Team	set Team	+8.2
26	12-14	MANHAT	C CONN	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Team	+13.0
27	13-14	C CONN	MANHAT×4	Bad set	Team		+7.4
28	14-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Ace	MANHAT server	aced Aubrey Stitcher	+25.1
29	15-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Team	set Team	+27.7
30	16-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+30.5

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.