Murray State vs NIU Volleyball: NIU Wins 3-0 (Aug 28, 2026)

FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

0:3

NIU beat Murray St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 25-16) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. NIU's Katie Pahl led with 12 kills, and Delaney Steers added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Aug 28

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MURRAY	21	22	16	0
NIU	25	25	25	3

Win probability

NIU above 50 · Murray St. below

Biggest swing: 4.5% to NIU — set 2, MURRAY 21-23 NIU. Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Kylie Schulze). NIU win probability 86% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MURRAY 30.0%70.0% NIU

Murray St. wins

3-0

5.7%

3-1

10.5%

3-2

13.8%

NIU wins

3-0

23.3%

3-1

26.9%

3-2

19.9%

MURRAY break %: 39.0% vs this opp
NIU break %: 43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ava GrevengoedKill+4.5%
Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 2 · MURRAY 21-23 NIU · NIU 86% → 90%
02
Rylea AlvinKill+4.4%
Kill by Rylea Alvin (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 1 · MURRAY 19-21 NIU · NIU 73% → 77%
03
Rylea AlvinKill+4.4%
Kill by Rylea Alvin (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 2 · MURRAY 20-21 NIU · NIU 81% → 85%
04
Paige BrockAce+4.2%
Ace by Paige Brock on Ava Grevengoed
Set 2 · MURRAY 20-19 NIU · MURRAY 18% → 22%
05
Anne MakowskiKill+3.6%
Kill by Anne Makowski (set by Ada Tamturk)
Set 2 · MURRAY 19-19 NIU · MURRAY 14% → 18%
06
Autumn FlynnKill+3.6%
Kill by Autumn Flynn
Set 1 · MURRAY 15-16 NIU · NIU 68% → 72%
07
Murray St.Service error+3.5%
Murray St. service error
Set 2 · MURRAY 22-24 NIU · NIU 88% → 91%
08
Autumn FlynnKill+3.5%
Kill by Autumn Flynn (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 1 · MURRAY 15-15 NIU · NIU 65% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Murray St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Anne MakowskiOH	3	12	7	40	.125	0	0	2	2	1	0	2	1	13
5Lily BurnettOH	3	8	1	17	.412	0	0	1	3	0	1	2	2	10
15Alexa WattsOH	3	6	0	17	.353	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
12Ceren DurakOH	3	4	1	22	.136	0	0	2	4	3	0	0	0	4
11Maezi SnyderMB	3	2	1	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
2Paige BrockS	3	0	0	2	.000	21	2	1	11	0	0	0	0	2
1Ada TamturkL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
4Melis AydinS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Samantha NelsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
22Bailey KeuschDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Burcu GulomurMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	10	108	.204	31	2	9	38	6	2	6	5	59

NIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Katie PahlOH	3	12	2	26	.385	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	1	14
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	9	7	20	.100	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	2	11
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	10	2	18	.444	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	7	2	20	.250	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	0	8
9Delaney SteersOH	3	5	3	19	.105	0	2	0	17	1	0	0	0	7
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	2	0	3	.667	23	1	3	9	0	0	0	0	3
14Naomi DowdOH	3	3	0	9	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
7Ellie SmithS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	16	116	.276	42	6	7	52	2	2	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Murray St. vs NIU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Aug 28, 2026Murray St. at NIU · NIU won 3-0This match
Fri, Sep 4, 2026Murray St. at NIU · Murray St. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MURRAY · NIU 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 MURRAYNIU 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 MURRAYNIU 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 MURRAYNIU 7

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Murray St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Murray St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	42%5/12
2	47%8/17	20%2/10
3	50%6/12	27%3/11
4	40%6/15	14%1/7
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	86%6/7	50%6/12
All	54%40/74	32%19/60

NIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	30%3/10
2	73%8/11	47%7/15
3	100%7/7	53%8/15
4	67%6/9	63%10/16
5	67%6/9	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	25%2/8
All	68%41/60	46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	MURRAY-NIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		+1.6
2	2-0	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Delaney Steers		+2.4
3	2-1	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+1.6
4	2-2	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+2.3
5	3-2	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.7
6	3-3	MURRAY	NIU	Bad set	Samantha Nelson		+1.6
7	4-3	NIU	MURRAY	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+1.7
8	4-4	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.7
9	4-5	NIU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+2.4
10	5-5	NIU	MURRAY×3	Bad set	Kylie Schulze		+1.7
11	6-5	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Bad set	Ellie Smith		+2.6
12	7-5	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+2.7
13	7-6	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Ellie Smith	+1.8
14	7-7	NIU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Ellie Smith	+2.6
15	8-7	NIU	MURRAY×3	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Ada Tamturk	+1.9
16	9-7	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Anne Makowski, Maezi Snyder	+2.9
17	10-7	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+2.9
18	10-8	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Ellie Smith	+1.8
19	11-8	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Ada Tamturk	+2.1
20	11-9	MURRAY	NIU×3	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Ellie Smith	+1.8
21	11-10	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	NIU	aced Samantha Nelson	+2.9
22	11-11	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Anne Makowski	blk Rylea Alvin, Katie Pahl	+3.0
23	12-11	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		+2.2
24	12-12	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+2.1
25	13-12	NIU	MURRAY×3	Blocked	Rylea Alvin	blk Anne Makowski, Lily Burnett	+2.3
26	14-12	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Lily Burnett, Alexa Watts	+3.4
27	15-12	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Lily Burnett		+3.4
28	15-13	MURRAY	NIU×4	Serve err	Murray St.		+2.0
29	15-14	NIU	NIU×4	Ace	NIU	aced Samantha Nelson	+3.3
30	15-15	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+3.5
31	15-16	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Autumn Flynn		+3.6
32	16-16	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Ada Tamturk	+2.5
33	16-17	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+2.6
34	17-17	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+2.7
35	17-18	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Ellie Smith	+2.8
36	18-18	NIU	MURRAY	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Maezi Snyder	+2.8
37	18-19	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+3.0
38	19-19	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		+3.0
39	19-20	MURRAY	NIU	Attack err	Lily Burnett		+3.2
40	19-21	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+4.4
41	20-21	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		+2.6
42	20-22	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Charlotte Gramzow	+3.3
43	20-23	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+3.5
44	21-23	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.4
45	21-24	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+2.4
46	21-25	NIU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.2
Set 2
1	0-1	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.2
2	0-2	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU	aced Ceren Durak	+1.7
3	1-2	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.2
4	1-3	MURRAY	NIU	Bad set	Alexa Watts		+1.2
5	2-3	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		+1.2
6	2-4	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Charlotte Gramzow	+1.2
7	3-4	NIU	MURRAY	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+1.2
8	3-5	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Ellie Smith	+1.2
9	4-5	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+1.3
10	4-6	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Ellie Smith	+1.3
11	5-6	NIU	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Delaney Steers		+1.3
12	6-6	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+2.0
13	7-6	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Melis Aydin	+2.2
14	8-6	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+2.3
15	8-7	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+1.5
16	9-7	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.7
17	9-8	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Ava Grevengoed	+1.5
18	10-8	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.7
19	10-9	MURRAY	NIU×4	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Rylea Alvin	+1.6
20	10-10	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+2.4
21	10-11	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Charlotte Gramzow	+2.4
22	10-12	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+2.2
23	11-12	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.5
24	11-13	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.6
25	11-14	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+2.1
26	12-14	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+1.3
27	13-14	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+2.3
28	13-15	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+1.7
29	13-16	NIU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Ellie Smith	+2.2
30	14-16	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Melis Aydin	+1.3
31	14-17	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+1.6
32	14-18	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+1.8
33	15-18	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.0
34	15-19	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Ellie Smith	+1.3
35	16-19	NIU	MURRAY×5	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.9
36	17-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+2.0
37	18-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+2.8
38	19-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Ada Tamturk	+3.6
39	20-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Ace	Paige Brock	aced Ava Grevengoed	+4.2
40	20-20	MURRAY	NIU	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+2.8
41	20-21	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+4.4
42	21-21	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+3.0
43	21-22	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+3.4
44	21-23	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+4.5
45	22-23	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+2.2
46	22-24	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+3.5
47	22-25	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU	aced Anne Makowski	+2.6
Set 3
1	1-0	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+0.7
2	2-0	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	Paige Brock	aced Delaney Steers	+1.1
3	2-1	MURRAY	NIU×3	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
4	2-2	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	NIU	aced Ceren Durak	+1.0
5	2-3	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+1.0
6	3-3	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.7
7	3-4	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
8	4-4	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+0.7
9	4-5	MURRAY	NIU×7	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
10	4-6	NIU	NIU×7	Blocked	Maezi Snyder	blk Autumn Flynn	+1.0
11	4-7	NIU	NIU×7	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.9
12	4-8	NIU	NIU×7	Attack err	Ceren Durak		+0.8
13	4-9	NIU	NIU×7	Blocked	Anne Makowski	blk Autumn Flynn	+0.7
14	4-10	NIU	NIU×7	Kill	Autumn Flynn		+0.5
15	4-11	NIU	NIU×7	Kill	Kylie Schulze		+0.4
16	5-11	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.2
17	5-12	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Ellie Smith	+0.3
18	6-12	NIU	MURRAY	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+0.2
19	6-13	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Autumn Flynn	+0.3
20	7-13	NIU	MURRAY	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+0.2
21	8-13	MURRAY	MURRAY	Blocked	Delaney Steers	blk Lily Burnett	+0.4
22	8-14	MURRAY	NIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+0.4
23	9-14	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Ada Tamturk	+0.3
24	9-15	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.4
25	9-16	NIU	NIU	Blocked	Anne Makowski	blk Rylea Alvin, Katie Pahl	+0.4
26	10-16	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.2
27	11-16	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Ada Tamturk	+0.4
28	11-17	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
29	12-17	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.2
30	12-18	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
31	12-19	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kylie Schulze	set Paige Brock	+0.3
32	13-19	NIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Ada Tamturk	+0.1
33	13-20	MURRAY	NIU×3	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Ellie Smith	+0.2
34	13-21	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+0.1
35	13-22	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	NIU	aced Ceren Durak	+0.1
36	14-22	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		·
37	15-22	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Ada Tamturk	·
38	15-23	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Ellie Smith	·
39	15-24	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Ellie Smith	·
40	16-24	NIU	MURRAY	Serve err	NIU		·
41	16-25	MURRAY	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Ellie Smith	·

Score shown after each rally, Murray St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

NIU def. Murray St. 3–0