Robert Morris vs NIU Volleyball: Robert Morris Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: NIU 63.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Robert Morris won at NIU 3-0 (25-23, 26-24, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Addyson Butts led Robert Morris with 11 kills; NIU's Autumn Flynn had a match-high 12.

Data through Nov 3, 8:50 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ROBMOR	25	26	25	3
NIU	23	24	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Outhit .242 to .219, Robert Morris won anyway.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Robert Morris's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had NIU at 63% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Robert Morris 22–22 NIU
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Robert Morris, enough to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Robert Morris.
Robert Morris 38% → 58%
Turning point 2: Set 2 · Robert Morris 23–21 NIU
Down 21–23, NIU scored 3 straight to lead 24–23.
Robert Morris 74% → 50%
Turning point 3: Set 2 · Robert Morris 23–24 NIU
Robert Morris had 3 straight kills to turn a 23–24 deficit into a 26–24 lead.
Robert Morris 50% → 82%

NIU above 50Robert Morris belowMax swing 12.3%

Robert MorrisNIU

Sideout %: Robert Morris 65.7·NIU 60.0
Break %: Robert Morris 40.0·NIU 34.3
Hitting: Robert Morris .219·NIU .242
Longest run: Robert Morris 5·NIU 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NIU above 50 · Robert Morris below

Biggest swing: 12.3% to Robert Morris — set 2, ROBMOR 26-24 NIU. Kill by Addyson Butts (set by Viktoria Djukic). NIU win probability 31% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ROBMOR 36.5%63.5% NIU

Robert Morris wins

3-0

7.6%

3-1

13.2%

3-2

15.7%

NIU wins

3-0

19.1%

3-1

24.3%

3-2

20.0%

ROBMOR break %: 39.2% vs this opp
NIU break %: 41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Addyson ButtsKill+12.3%
Kill by Addyson Butts (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 26-24 NIU · ROBMOR 69% → 82%
02
Layla ToddKill+11.6%
Kill by Layla Todd (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 25-24 NIU · ROBMOR 58% → 69%
03
Natalie StepanovichAttack error+11.1%
Attack error by Natalie Stepanovich
Set 2 · ROBMOR 23-24 NIU · NIU 39% → 50%
04
Keira Hornung&Tia SchultzBlock+10.7%
Ava Grevengoed stuffed by Keira Hornung & Tia Schultz
Set 1 · ROBMOR 25-23 NIU · ROBMOR 48% → 58%
05
Katie PahlKill+8.8%
Kill by Katie Pahl (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 23-23 NIU · NIU 30% → 39%
06
Katie PahlAttack error+8.1%
Attack error by Katie Pahl
Set 1 · ROBMOR 23-22 NIU · ROBMOR 38% → 46%
07
Keira HornungKill+7.5%
Kill by Keira Hornung (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 24-24 NIU · ROBMOR 50% → 58%
08
Kiana ShieldsAttack error+7.0%
Attack error by Kiana Shields
Set 2 · ROBMOR 22-20 NIU · ROBMOR 65% → 72%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Robert Morrisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	11	2	24	.375	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	13.5
15Keira HornungMB	3	10	3	25	.280	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
9Layla ToddOH	3	7	4	27	.111	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	7
13Lauren DeckerOH	3	5	5	19	.000	0	0	1	14	1	1	1	1.5	6.5
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	1	0	10	.100	39	1	0	7	0	0	2	1	3
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
3Tia SchultzOH	3	9	1	16	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
16Addison FowlerDS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	14	1	0	0	0	1
4Natalie StepanovichOH	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		44	16	128	.219	42	4	3	60	2	3	8	7	76

NIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	12	2	21	.476	0	0	3	1	0	1	2	2	14
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	11	3	37	.216	1	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
11Katie PahlOH	3	11	2	32	.281	0	0	1	10	2	0	0	0	11
4Kiana ShieldsMB	3	7	5	24	.083	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	7
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	2	0	6	.333	34	1	0	15	0	0	2	1	4
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	0	1
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
14Naomi DowdOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	15	132	.242	39	2	10	55	4	2	12	8	69

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Robert Morris vs NIU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Robert Morris at NIU · Robert Morris won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Robert Morris at NIU · NIU won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ROBMOR · NIU 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 ROBMORNIU 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 ROBMORNIU 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 ROBMORNIU 3

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Robert Morris leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%6/13	29%2/7
2	86%6/7	50%6/12
3	60%6/10	33%3/9
4	67%4/6	50%4/8
5	67%4/6	43%3/7
6	67%4/6	43%3/7
All	63%30/48	42%21/50

NIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	44%4/9
2	67%6/9	33%3/9
3	56%5/9	40%4/10
4	44%4/9	29%2/7
5	100%4/4	20%1/5
6	50%4/8	50%4/8
All	58%29/50	38%18/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

145 rallies

#	ROBMOR-NIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.6
2	1-1	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.7
3	2-1	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Blocked	Kiana Shields	blk Keira Hornung	+2.6
4	2-2	ROBMOR	NIU	Serve err	Robert Morris		+1.7
5	3-2	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+1.8
6	3-3	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
7	3-4	NIU	NIU	Blocked	Keira Hornung	blk Autumn Flynn, Viktoria Djukic	+2.6
8	4-4	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
9	4-5	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.8
10	5-5	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+1.8
11	5-6	ROBMOR	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Anahi Alvarado	+1.8
12	5-7	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Tia Schultz	blk Ava Grevengoed, Rylea Alvin	+2.6
13	5-8	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	NIU	aced Lauren Decker	+2.4
14	6-8	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.5
15	7-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.6
16	7-9	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.9
17	8-9	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
18	8-10	ROBMOR	NIU	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+1.9
19	9-10	NIU	ROBMOR	Blocked	Kiana Shields	blk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts	+1.9
20	9-11	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed		+2.0
21	10-11	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+1.9
22	10-12	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.0
23	11-12	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.0
24	12-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Bad set	Viktoria Djukic		+3.3
25	12-13	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Viktoria Djukic		+2.3
26	12-14	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+3.3
27	13-14	NIU	ROBMOR	Blocked	Rylea Alvin	blk Lauren Decker	+2.1
28	13-15	ROBMOR	NIU	Attack err	Layla Todd		+2.3
29	14-15	NIU	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.2
30	15-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.7
31	16-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.1
32	16-16	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.7
33	17-16	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+3.0
34	18-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.4
35	18-17	ROBMOR	NIU×4	Blocked	Lauren Decker	blk Rylea Alvin	+2.6
36	18-18	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Charlotte Gramzow	+4.5
37	18-19	NIU	NIU×4	Blocked	Layla Todd	blk Autumn Flynn, Kiana Shields	+4.8
38	18-20	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Katie Pahl		+4.5
39	19-20	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.7
40	20-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Katie Pahl	+5.1
41	20-21	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Viktoria Djukic	+3.9
42	20-22	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU	aced Anahi Alvarado	+5.4
43	21-22	NIU	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.9
44	22-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+6.3
45	23-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+8.1
46	23-23	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+5.1
47	24-23	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+6.9
48	25-23	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz	+10.7
Set 2
1	0-1	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+2.8
2	1-1	NIU	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.9
3	2-1	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.0
4	3-1	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+3.1
5	3-2	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Charlotte Gramzow	+2.0
6	4-2	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+2.1
7	4-3	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.0
8	5-3	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.2
9	5-4	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Ava Grevengoed	+2.0
10	5-5	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+3.1
11	6-5	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.2
12	6-6	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.2
13	7-6	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.3
14	7-7	ROBMOR	NIU×3	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.2
15	7-8	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Layla Todd		+3.3
16	7-9	NIU	NIU×3	Bad set	Lauren Decker		+3.2
17	8-9	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.1
18	8-10	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.2
19	9-10	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Anahi Alvarado	+2.2
20	9-11	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Keira Hornung	+2.3
21	10-11	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.2
22	11-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Kiana Shields		+3.7
23	11-12	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.6
24	11-13	NIU	NIU	Blocked	Keira Hornung	blk Autumn Flynn	+3.6
25	12-13	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.4
26	12-14	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.5
27	13-14	NIU	ROBMOR×4	Serve err	NIU		+2.4
28	14-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.1
29	15-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	Robert Morris		+4.5
30	16-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Bad set	Ava Grevengoed		+4.6
31	16-15	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Viktoria Djukic		+2.8
32	17-15	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.3
33	17-16	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.9
34	18-16	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.5
35	19-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.7
36	19-17	ROBMOR	NIU×4	Serve err	Robert Morris		+2.5
37	19-18	NIU	NIU×4	Blocked	Lauren Decker	blk Rylea Alvin, Kiana Shields	+4.7
38	19-19	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Charlotte Gramzow	+5.6
39	19-20	NIU	NIU×4	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+6.0
40	20-20	NIU	ROBMOR×3	Blocked	Rylea Alvin	blk Addyson Butts, Kenlee Barnard	+4.0
41	21-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+6.9
42	22-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Kiana Shields		+7.0
43	22-21	ROBMOR	NIU	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+3.6
44	23-21	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Anahi Alvarado	+5.4
45	23-22	ROBMOR	NIU×3	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+3.7
46	23-23	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+8.8
47	23-24	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich		+11.1
48	24-24	NIU	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+7.5
49	25-24	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+11.6
50	26-24	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Viktoria Djukic	+12.3
Set 3
1	0-1	ROBMOR	NIU×3	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Charlotte Gramzow	+1.4
2	0-2	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.0
3	0-3	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.9
4	1-3	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+1.2
5	1-4	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.3
6	2-4	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.2
7	2-5	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.3
8	3-5	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
9	3-6	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.3
10	4-6	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+1.3
11	4-7	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
12	5-7	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
13	5-8	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
14	6-8	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
15	6-9	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
16	7-9	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.4
17	7-10	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
18	8-10	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+1.4
19	9-10	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+2.4
20	9-11	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
21	10-11	NIU	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.7
22	11-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Addyson Butts	+2.7
23	12-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Katie Pahl	+3.0
24	12-12	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.0
25	12-13	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+3.0
26	13-13	NIU	ROBMOR	Serve err	NIU		+2.0
27	14-13	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+3.2
28	14-14	ROBMOR	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.1
29	14-15	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.2
30	14-16	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Layla Todd	blk Kiana Shields	+3.1
31	15-16	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.0
32	16-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.4
33	16-17	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.4
34	17-17	NIU	ROBMOR	Blocked	Kiana Shields	blk Lauren Decker, Addyson Butts	+2.5
35	17-18	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.6
36	18-18	NIU	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.6
37	19-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+4.3
38	20-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.4
39	21-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Anahi Alvarado	+3.8
40	22-18		ROBMOR	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.8
41	22-19	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.0
42	23-19	NIU	ROBMOR	Bad set	Viktoria Djukic		+1.8
43	23-20	ROBMOR	NIU	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.8
44	24-20	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.6
45	24-21	ROBMOR	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.4
46	24-22	NIU	NIU	Blocked	Addyson Butts	blk Viktoria Djukic, Rylea Alvin	+1.5
47	25-22	NIU	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.6

Score shown after each rally, Robert Morris first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Robert Morris def. NIU 3–0

Outhit .242 to .219, Robert Morris won anyway.