FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

NIU def. Robert Morris 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: NIU 60.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

NIU beat visiting Robert Morris 3-0 (25-23, 25-16, 27-25) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. NIU's Autumn Flynn led with 13 kills, and Viktoria Djukic added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
ROBMOR2316250
NIU2525273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

NIU broke it open with an 8–0 run in the second set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.3 points. Robert Morris peaked at 52% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave NIU 60% before first serve.

Robert MorrisNIU
  • Break %+10.2 pts
    38.548.7

    Points won on own serve: 37 of 76 vs 25 of 65. Robert Morris sided out 51.3% of the time.

  • Hitting+.130
    .229.359

    49 K / 12 E against 38 K / 14 E.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    Up 8–5 in the second set, NIU scored 8 straight to make it 16–5. The set finished 25–16.

NIU above 50Robert Morris belowMax swing 6.3%

Robert MorrisNIU

Aces
Robert Morris 5·NIU 7
Serve err
Robert Morris 6·NIU 7
Blocks
Robert Morris 7·NIU 54 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Robert Morris 37·NIU 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NIU above 50 · Robert Morris below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.3% NIUrally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.3% to NIU — set 1, ROBMOR 23-25 NIU. Robert Morris service error. NIU win probability 70% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ROBMOR 36.5%63.5% NIU

Robert Morris wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.2%
3-2
15.7%

NIU wins

3-0
19.1%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%
ROBMOR break %
39.2% vs this opp
NIU break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Robert MorrisService error+6.3%

    Robert Morris service error

    Set 1 · ROBMOR 23-25 NIU · NIU 70% → 77%

  2. 02
    Keira HornungBlock+5.2%

    Rylea Alvin stuffed by Keira Hornung

    Set 3 · ROBMOR 24-24 NIU · ROBMOR 3% → 9%

  3. 03
    Tia SchultzAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Tia Schultz

    Set 3 · ROBMOR 25-27 NIU · NIU 95% → 100%

  4. 04
    Rylea AlvinBlock+4.3%

    Addyson Butts stuffed by Rylea Alvin

    Set 1 · ROBMOR 16-17 NIU · NIU 59% → 63%

  5. 05
    Autumn FlynnKill+4.2%

    Kill by Autumn Flynn (set by Viktoria Djukic)

    Set 1 · ROBMOR 21-23 NIU · NIU 67% → 71%

  6. 06
    Katie PahlKill+4.1%

    Kill by Katie Pahl (set by Viktoria Djukic)

    Set 1 · ROBMOR 21-24 NIU · NIU 71% → 75%

  7. 07
    Lauren DeckerKill+4.1%

    Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)

    Set 1 · ROBMOR 20-21 NIU · ROBMOR 30% → 34%

  8. 08
    NIUAce+4.1%

    NIU ace

    Set 1 · ROBMOR 16-18 NIU · NIU 63% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311128.3570028200011
34216.12500000233.57.5
33213.077011101015
3239-.111000900002
31011.0003103700212
2001.000010410001
37420.15000001010.57.5
3000–310500001
29114.5711103210111
2000–000000000
1113.000000000001
1000–110000001
Team totals3814105.229365637746764
NIUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313124.50001221111.515.5
311223.39101071010.512.5
311529.2070009100011
39112.6671000012211
34314.07100010010.54.5
31011.0003711110010.52.5
3000–423900002
3000–021500002
Team totals4912103.359427744526577

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Robert Morris vs NIU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ROBMOR · NIU 8

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 ROBMORNIU 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 ROBMORNIU 8

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 ROBMORNIU 4

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Robert Morris leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Robert Morris

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
33%3/9
2
67%8/12
43%6/14
3
41%7/17
33%4/12
4
60%6/10
50%7/14
5
36%5/14
40%4/10
6
50%5/10
17%1/6
All
51%39/76
38%25/65

NIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
22%2/9
2
62%8/13
50%8/16
3
54%7/13
59%10/17
4
67%6/9
25%2/8
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
69%11/16
All
62%40/65
49%37/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#ROBMOR-NIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NIUROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
22-0ROBMORROBMORBlockedKiana Shieldsblk Keira Hornung+2.6
32-1ROBMORNIUKillKiana Shieldsset Charlotte Gramzow+1.7
42-2NIUNIUKillKiana Shieldsset Charlotte Gramzow+2.6
53-2NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
64-2ROBMORROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.7
74-3ROBMORNIU×3KillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.7
84-4NIUNIU×3AceNIUaced Lauren Decker+2.7
94-5NIUNIU×3AceNIUaced Tia Schultz+2.7
105-5NIUROBMOR×3KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+1.9
116-5ROBMORROBMOR×3KillTia Schultzset Anahi Alvarado+2.9
127-5ROBMORROBMOR×3KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.9
137-6ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.9
148-6NIUROBMORBlockedAva Grevengoedblk Tia Schultz, Keira Hornung+2.0
159-6ROBMORROBMORBad setViktoria Djukic+2.9
169-7ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.8
1710-7NIUROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
1810-8ROBMORNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.8
1911-8NIUROBMORBlockedKiana Shieldsblk Addyson Butts+2.1
2011-9ROBMORNIUAttack errLauren Decker+1.8
2112-9NIUROBMORKillKenlee Barnard+2.2
2213-9ROBMORROBMORAttack errKatie Pahl+2.9
2313-10ROBMORNIUKillKatie Pahlset Charlotte Gramzow+1.6
2414-10NIUROBMORServe errNIU+2.0
2514-11ROBMORNIU×3Serve errRobert Morris+1.6
2614-12NIUNIU×3Attack errTia Schultz+2.9
2714-13NIUNIU×3KillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+3.4
2815-13NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+2.6
2915-14ROBMORNIUServe errRobert Morris+2.3
3015-15NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoed+3.9
3116-15NIUROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.8
3216-16ROBMORNIU×3BlockedLayla Toddblk Viktoria Djukic, Autumn Flynn+2.7
3316-17NIUNIU×3BlockedAddyson Buttsblk Rylea Alvin+4.3
3416-18NIUNIU×3AceNIU+4.1
3517-18NIUROBMORAttack errAva Grevengoed+2.5
3617-19ROBMORNIUKillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+2.9
3718-19NIUROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+2.6
3818-20ROBMORNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+3.1
3918-21NIUNIUAceNIUaced Maddie Siphakongviseth+3.8
4019-21NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
4120-21ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+4.1
4220-22ROBMORNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+3.7
4321-22NIUROBMORBlockedKatie Pahlblk Keira Hornung, Kenlee Barnard+2.9
4421-23ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+4.2
4521-24NIUNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+4.1
4622-24NIUROBMORServe errNIU+1.0
4723-24ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+3.8
4823-25ROBMORNIUServe errRobert Morris+6.3
Set 2
11-0ROBMORROBMORBlockedKatie Pahlblk Keira Hornung, Kenlee Barnard+2.3
21-1ROBMORNIU×5KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+1.5
31-2NIUNIU×5KillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+2.3
41-3NIUNIU×5KillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+2.2
51-4NIUNIU×5KillKiana Shieldsset Viktoria Djukic+2.1
61-5NIUNIU×5Attack errKeira Hornung+1.9
72-5NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.2
82-6ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
93-6NIUROBMORAttack errKatie Pahl+1.2
103-7ROBMORNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
114-7NIUROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+1.2
124-8ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
135-8NIUROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.2
145-9ROBMORNIU×8KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+1.4
155-10NIUNIU×8KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+1.7
165-11NIUNIU×8BlockedLayla Toddblk Kiana Shields, Rylea Alvin+1.4
175-12NIUNIU×8KillAva Grevengoedset Charlotte Gramzow+1.1
185-13NIUNIU×8Attack errLayla Todd+0.8
195-14NIUNIU×8KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+0.5
205-15NIUNIU×8KillRylea Alvinset Kenlee Barnard+0.3
215-16NIUNIU×8KillKiana Shieldsset Kenlee Barnard+0.2
226-16NIUROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard+0.1
236-17ROBMORNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+0.1
246-18NIUNIUBad setKenlee Barnard+0.1
257-18NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard·
268-18ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.1
278-19ROBMORNIUKillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+0.1
289-19NIUROBMORServe errCharlotte Gramzow·
2910-19ROBMORROBMORAttack errKatie Pahl+0.1
3010-20ROBMORNIUServe errKenlee Barnard+0.1
3111-20NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard·
3211-21ROBMORNIUAttack errKeira Hornung+0.1
3312-21NIUROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard·
3413-21ROBMORROBMORBlockedAutumn Flynnblk Natalie Stepanovich+0.1
3513-22ROBMORNIU×3KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+0.1
3613-23NIUNIU×3BlockedTia Schultzblk Rylea Alvin, Ava Grevengoed·
3713-24NIUNIU×3KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic·
3814-24NIUROBMOR×3KillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard·
3915-24ROBMORROBMOR×3AceMaddie Siphakongvisethaced Katie Pahl·
4016-24ROBMORROBMOR×3KillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard·
4116-25ROBMORNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic·
Set 3
11-0NIUROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.9
22-0ROBMORROBMORAttack errKiana Shields+1.4
32-1ROBMORNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+0.9
42-2NIUNIUAceCharlotte Gramzowaced Natalie Stepanovich+1.4
53-2NIUROBMOR×4KillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard+1.0
64-2ROBMORROBMOR×4KillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard+1.5
75-2ROBMORROBMOR×4KillNatalie Stepanovichset Anahi Alvarado+1.4
86-2ROBMORROBMOR×4AceAnahi Alvaradoaced Autumn Flynn+1.4
96-3ROBMORNIU×4KillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+0.8
106-4NIUNIU×4KillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
116-5NIUNIU×4KillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.5
126-6NIUNIU×4Attack errTia Schultz+1.5
137-6NIUROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard+1.1
148-6ROBMORROBMORBad setViktoria Djukic+1.6
158-7ROBMORNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.0
169-7NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Natalie Stepanovich+1.1
1710-7ROBMORROBMORAceNatalie Stepanovich+1.6
1810-8ROBMORNIUBlockedAddyson Buttsblk Autumn Flynn+1.0
1911-8NIUROBMORServe errAutumn Flynn+1.1
2012-8ROBMORROBMORAceAddyson Butts+1.5
2112-9ROBMORNIUServe errAddyson Butts+0.9
2212-10NIUNIUAceViktoria Djukicaced Lauren Decker+1.5
2313-10NIUROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Isabelle Jackson+1.2
2413-11ROBMORNIUKillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+1.0
2514-11NIUROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.2
2614-12ROBMORNIU×3KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+1.1
2714-13NIUNIU×3KillAutumn Flynnset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
2814-14NIUNIU×3AceCharlotte Gramzowaced Natalie Stepanovich+2.0
2915-14NIUROBMORKillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard+1.4
3015-15ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.4
3115-16NIUNIUKillKatie Pahlset Rylea Alvin+2.2
3216-16NIUROBMOR×3KillNatalie Stepanovichset Kenlee Barnard+1.5
3317-16ROBMORROBMOR×3KillAddyson Buttsset Isabelle Jackson+2.4
3418-16ROBMORROBMOR×3AceIsabelle Jacksonaced Ava Grevengoed+2.4
3518-17ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.4
3618-18NIUNIUAttack errNatalie Frost+2.5
3719-18NIUROBMORKillNatalie Frostset Anahi Alvarado+1.8
3819-19ROBMORNIUAttack errNatalie Stepanovich+1.8
3920-19NIUROBMORServe errAutumn Flynn+2.0
4020-20ROBMORNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.9
4120-21NIUNIU×4KillViktoria Djukicset Isabelle Jackson+3.2
4220-22NIUNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+3.0
4320-23NIUNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+2.2
4421-23NIUROBMORServe errViktoria Djukic+0.8
4522-23ROBMORROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
4622-24ROBMORNIUServe errKenlee Barnard+2.6
4723-24NIUROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.4
4824-24ROBMORROBMORBlockedRylea Alvinblk Keira Hornung+5.2
4924-25ROBMORNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+3.5
5025-25NIUROBMORServe errCharlotte Gramzow+3.5
5125-26ROBMORNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+3.5
5225-27NIUNIUAttack errTia Schultz+5.0

Score shown after each rally, Robert Morris first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).