FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026

FDU def. Chicago St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 99.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU beat visiting Chicago St. 3-0 (25-14, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Mila Samardzija led FDU with 9 kills; Chicago St.'s Nina Mitchell had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
CHI ST1419230
FDU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

FDU served Chicago St. off the court: 9 aces.

Win probability never moved more than 0.2 points on one rally; Chicago St. topped out at 1% in Set 3. FDU went in as RallyIQ's 99% pick.

Chicago St.FDU
  • Break %+15.1 pts
    39.754.8

    40 of 73 on serve vs 23 of 58, so Chicago St.'s sideout was 45.2%.

  • Hitting+.228
    .059.287

    38 kills, 9 errors vs 29 kills, 23 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    FDU scored 6 straight in the second set to open the set 6–0. The set finished 25–19.

FDU above 50Chicago St. belowMax swing 0.2%

Chicago St.FDU

Aces
Chicago St. 6·FDU 9
Serve err
Chicago St. 3·FDU 10
Blocks
Chicago St. 2·FDU 30 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Chicago St. 39·FDU 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · Chicago St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 131 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: FDU stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHI ST 0.7%99.3% FDU

Chicago St. wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.5%

FDU wins

3-0
77.5%
3-1
18.9%
3-2
2.9%
CHI ST break %
36.2% vs this opp
FDU break %
55.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310627.1480115200011
39734.059100620009
3416.500000100004
3328.12510020010.53.5
3015-.200400500000
2129-.11110020010.51.5
3102.500140430005
3024-.500610400001
3113.0001101200001
2014-.250101200211
2000–000610000
1000–000000000
Team totals2923102.059266339904256
FDUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39126.308102600009
34113.231040400219
37013.53810000010.57.5
3608.75000010111.57.5
36113.385110400007
32115.0672724400004
3000–2221440002
3000–000100000
2102.500001100001
2022-1.000000000000
1237-.143001300002
1102.500000000001
1000–000310000
Team totals389101.2873291041614375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chicago St. vs FDU

Season series · FDU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CHI ST · FDU 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 CHI STFDU 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 5 CHI STFDU 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 CHI STFDU 4

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = Chicago St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chicago St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%4/13
63%5/8
2
44%4/9
20%1/5
3
50%4/8
20%1/5
4
67%4/6
33%2/6
5
57%4/7
43%3/7
6
33%2/6
67%8/12
All
45%22/49
47%20/43

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%4/6
81%13/16
2
100%4/4
33%2/6
3
80%4/5
50%4/8
4
57%4/7
56%5/9
5
50%4/8
0%0/4
6
23%3/13
50%3/6
All
53%23/43
55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#CHI ST-FDUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1CHI STFDU×4KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
20-2FDU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

30-3FDUFDU×4KillIsabella Scarfoneset Mila Samardzija
40-4FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Nayella George
51-4FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad
61-5CHI STFDU×3KillIsabella Scarfone
71-6FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Nayella George
81-7FDUFDU×3Attack errNayella George
92-7FDUCHI STServe errFDU
102-8CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
113-8FDUCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Kristine Bakhad
123-9CHI STFDUAttack errNayella George
134-9FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Reece Mazzier
144-10CHI STFDU×3KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
154-11FDUFDU×3BlockedKristine Bakhadblk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman
164-12FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Nina Mitchell
175-12FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad
185-13CHI STFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
196-13FDUCHI STKillHailee Collinsset Emeli Muagututi'a
206-14CHI STFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
216-15FDUFDU×3Bad setNina Mitchell
226-16FDUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
237-16FDUCHI STServe errFDU
248-16CHI STCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
258-17CHI STFDU×3KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
268-18FDUFDU×3Attack errNayella George
278-19FDUFDU×3Bad setEmeli Muagututi'a
289-19FDUCHI STServe errFDU
299-20CHI STFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Madeline Joyce
309-21FDUFDUAttack errNina Mitchell
3110-21FDUCHI STServe errFDU
3210-22CHI STFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
3311-22FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
3411-23CHI STFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
3511-24FDUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Madeline Joyce
3612-24FDUCHI ST×3KillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
3713-24CHI STCHI ST×3KillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
3814-24CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errNina Jasiecka
3914-25CHI STFDUKillNora Marginean
Set 2
10-1FDUFDU×6Attack errNayella George
20-2FDUFDU×6AceFDUaced Reece Mazzier
30-3FDUFDU×6KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
40-4FDUFDU×6KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
50-5FDUFDU×6Attack errCamryn McCollum
60-6FDUFDU×6AceFDUaced Reece Mazzier
71-6FDUCHI STAttack errMila Samardzija
82-6CHI STCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
92-7CHI STFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
102-8FDUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez
112-9FDUFDU×3Attack errCamryn McCollum
123-9FDUCHI STServe errFDU
133-10CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Madeline Joyce
143-11FDUFDUAceFDUaced Nina Mitchell
154-11FDUCHI STServe errFDU
164-12CHI STFDUAttack errJenesis Perrin
174-13FDUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Emeli Muagututi'a
185-13FDUCHI STServe errFDU
195-14CHI STFDUAttack errEmeli Muagututi'a
206-14FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Emeli Muagututi'a
216-15CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Alessia Zampieri
227-15FDUCHI ST×5Serve errFDU
238-15CHI STCHI ST×5BlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Camryn McCollum, Rayon Thigpen
249-15CHI STCHI ST×5Bad setNora Marginean
2510-15CHI STCHI ST×5Attack errNina Jasiecka
2611-15CHI STCHI ST×5KillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
2711-16CHI STFDU×4KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
2811-17FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Reece Mazzier
2911-18FDUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
3011-19FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Eliza Covrig
3112-19FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
3212-20CHI STFDUAttack errNina Mitchell
3313-20FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
3413-21CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Madeline Joyce
3514-21FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
3614-22CHI STFDUAttack errNina Mitchell
3714-23FDUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Mila Samardzija
3815-23FDUCHI STKillJenesis Perrinset Emeli Muagututi'a
3916-23CHI STCHI STAceChicago St.
4016-24CHI STFDUServe errChicago St.
4117-24FDUCHI ST×3Bad setAgnes Shakirova
4218-24CHI STCHI ST×3AceChicago St.aced Madeline Joyce
4319-24CHI STCHI ST×3AceChicago St.aced Madeline Joyce
4419-25CHI STFDUKillAgnes Shakirovaset Isabella Scarfone
Set 3
10-1CHI STFDUServe errChicago St.
21-1FDUCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Rayon Thigpen
31-2CHI STFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
41-3FDUFDUAttack errNina Mitchell
52-3FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
62-4CHI STFDU×4KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
72-5FDUFDU×4Attack errNina Mitchell
82-6FDUFDU×4KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
92-7FDUFDU×4BlockedNina Mitchellblk Ava DeGuzman
103-7FDUCHI ST×3KillNina Mitchellset Camryn McCollum
114-7CHI STCHI ST×3Attack errKatarina Trutina
125-7CHI STCHI ST×3AceChicago St.aced Madeline Joyce
135-8CHI STFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
146-8FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Emeli Muagututi'a
157-8CHI STCHI STAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez
167-9CHI STFDUKillKatarina Trutinaset Isabella Scarfone
178-9FDUCHI ST×6Attack errIsabella Scarfone
189-9CHI STCHI ST×6BlockedKatarina Trutinablk Jenesis Perrin, Rayon Thigpen
1910-9CHI STCHI ST×6KillReece Mazzierset Jenesis Perrin
2011-9CHI STCHI ST×6AceChicago St.aced Brooke Kamelchuk
2112-9CHI STCHI ST×6Attack errKatarina Trutina
2213-9CHI STCHI ST×6KillNayella Georgeset Emeli Muagututi'a
2313-10CHI STFDU×3Attack errEmeli Muagututi'a
2413-11FDUFDU×3KillKatarina Trutinaset Isabella Scarfone
2513-12FDUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
2614-12FDUCHI STServe errFDU
2715-12CHI STCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Camryn McCollum
2815-13CHI STFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
2916-13FDUCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Nayella George
3016-14CHI STFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
3116-15FDUFDU×3Attack errNina Mitchell
3216-16FDUFDU×3Attack errRayon Thigpen
3317-16FDUCHI STServe errFDU
3418-16CHI STCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
3518-17CHI STFDUServe errChicago St.
3619-17FDUCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
3719-18CHI STFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
3820-18FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchell
3921-18CHI STCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Emeli Muagututi'a
4021-19CHI STFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
4121-20FDUFDU×4KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
4221-21FDUFDU×4Attack errNayella George
4321-22FDUFDU×4Attack errGraci Littlejohn
4422-22FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Emeli Muagututi'a
4523-22CHI STCHI STAceChicago St.aced Madeline Joyce
4623-23CHI STFDU×3Serve errChicago St.
4723-24FDUFDU×3Attack errJenesis Perrin
4823-25FDUFDU×3Attack errNayella George

Score shown after each rally, Chicago St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).