FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026

FDU def. Chicago St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 99.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU beat visiting Chicago St. 3-0 (25-14, 25-15, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. FDU's Ava DeGuzman led with 13 kills, and Madeline Joyce added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
CHI ST1415160
FDU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ava Deguzman hit .414 with 13 kills as FDU rolled past Chicago St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.2 points. Chicago St. peaked at 1% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had FDU at 99%.

Chicago St.FDU
  • Break %+27.7 pts
    29.857.5

    Points won on own serve: 42 of 73 vs 14 of 47. Chicago St. sided out 42.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.302
    .000.302

    Kills and errors: 43–14 vs 21–21.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    7 straight FDU points in the second set stretched a 13–7 lead to 20–7. That set ended 25–15.

FDU above 50Chicago St. belowMax swing 0.2%

Chicago St.FDU

Aces
Chicago St. 3·FDU 6
Serve err
Chicago St. 3·FDU 7
Blocks
Chicago St. 5·FDU 82 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Chicago St. 37·FDU 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · Chicago St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 120 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: FDU stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHI ST 0.7%99.3% FDU

Chicago St. wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.5%

FDU wins

3-0
77.5%
3-1
18.9%
3-2
2.9%
CHI ST break %
36.2% vs this opp
FDU break %
55.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37630.03332031010.59.5
33617-.176000001225
3104.250000400212
3000–1010500001
3003.00000200010.50.5
2000–000410000
36622.000000230006
34315.067000001015
3003.000601900000
3001.000000700000
3000–000300000
2000–000000000
Team totals212195.000193337626545
FDUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313129.41411380010.514.5
38321.23812011000010
35111.364100100427
3518.50000000031.56.5
3001.000271110010.51.5
2238-.125000200213
3000–111100001
3000–1121830001
2304.75000010031.54.5
2449.000000000004
22021.000800100002
1112.000000000001
1001.000000001011
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals431496.3024067443114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chicago St. vs FDU

Season series · FDU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHI ST · FDU 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 CHI STFDU 4

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 4 CHI STFDU 7

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 CHI STFDU 5

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = Chicago St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chicago St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%6/14
29%2/7
2
75%6/8
40%4/10
3
33%6/18
50%6/12
4
75%6/8
0%0/6
5
25%4/16
14%1/7
6
33%3/9
20%1/5
All
42%31/73
30%14/47

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
69%9/13
2
75%6/8
25%2/8
3
55%6/11
40%4/10
4
100%6/6
63%10/16
5
86%6/7
45%5/11
6
75%3/4
80%12/15
All
70%33/47
58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#CHI ST-FDUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0CHI STCHI STAceHailee Collinsaced Madeline Joyce
22-0CHI STCHI STAttack errMila Samardzija
32-1CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Ava DeGuzman
43-1FDUCHI STServe errFDU
53-2CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
64-2FDUCHI STBlockedIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezblk Jenesis Perrin, Rayon Thigpen
75-2CHI STCHI STBlockedIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezblk Jenesis Perrin, Graci Littlejohn
85-3CHI STFDU×4Serve errRayon Thigpen
95-4FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Nina Mitchell
105-5FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Nayella George
115-6FDUFDU×4Attack errNina Mitchell
126-6FDUCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
136-7CHI STFDUAttack errNina Mitchell
147-7FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Kristine Bakhad
157-8CHI STFDU×4KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
167-9FDUFDU×4KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
177-10FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
187-11FDUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
198-11FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
209-11CHI STCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad
219-12CHI STFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
229-13FDUFDU×4Attack errCamryn McCollum
239-14FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Emeli Muagututi'a
249-15FDUFDU×4KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
2510-15FDUCHI STServe errFDU
2610-16CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
2711-16FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
2811-17CHI STFDUBlockedNina Mitchellblk Angela Marchetto, Isabella Scarfone
2912-17FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
3012-18CHI STFDU×4Serve errRayon Thigpen
3112-19FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
3212-20FDUFDU×4BlockedNina Mitchellblk Angela Marchetto, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez
3312-21FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Mila Samardzija
3413-21FDUCHI STAttack errMila Samardzija
3513-22CHI STFDUServe errKristine Bakhad
3614-22FDUCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Kristine Bakhad
3714-23CHI STFDU×3KillAva DeGuzmanset Madeline Joyce
3814-24FDUFDU×3Attack errGraci Littlejohn
3914-25FDUFDU×3Attack errNayella George
Set 2
11-0FDUCHI STServe errFDU
21-1CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
32-1FDUCHI STAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez
43-1CHI STCHI STAttack errAngela Marchetto
53-2CHI STFDU×3KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
63-3FDUFDU×3KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
73-4FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Nina Mitchell
84-4FDUCHI STKillGraci Littlejohnset Hailee Collins
94-5CHI STFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
105-5FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Nayella George
115-6CHI STFDU×4Bad setKristine Bakhad
125-7FDUFDU×4BlockedNayella Georgeblk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Alessia Zampieri
135-8FDUFDU×4BlockedCamryn McCollumblk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman
145-9FDUFDU×4AceFDU
156-9FDUCHI STServe errFDU
166-10CHI STFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone
176-11FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Emeli Muagututi'a
186-12FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
196-13FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
207-13FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
217-14CHI STFDU×7KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone
227-15FDUFDU×7Attack errNina Mitchell
237-16FDUFDU×7BlockedNayella Georgeblk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka
247-17FDUFDU×7KillMila Samardzija
257-18FDUFDU×7KillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean
267-19FDUFDU×7KillNora Margineanset Alessia Zampieri
277-20FDUFDU×7BlockedNayella Georgeblk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka
288-20FDUCHI ST×4Serve errFDU
299-20CHI STCHI ST×4AceNayella Georgeaced Madeline Joyce
3010-20CHI STCHI ST×4KillNina Mitchellset Hailee Collins
3111-20CHI STCHI ST×4AceNayella Georgeaced Madeline Joyce
3211-21CHI STFDUKillSzonja Csabaiset Nora Marginean
3312-21FDUCHI STServe errFDU
3412-22CHI STFDUBlockedNina Mitchellblk Nina Jasiecka, Angela Marchetto
3513-22FDUCHI STServe errFDU
3613-23CHI STFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
3714-23FDUCHI STAttack errAshlyn Gualtieri
3814-24CHI STFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
3915-24FDUCHI STBlockedSzonja Csabaiblk Graci Littlejohn, Nayella George
4015-25CHI STFDUKillAshlyn Gualtieriset Isabella Scarfone
Set 3
10-1CHI STFDU×3KillAshlyn Gualtieriset Isabella Scarfone
20-2FDUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
30-3FDUFDU×3Attack errCamryn McCollum
41-3FDUCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Hailee Collins
51-4CHI STFDU×3KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone
61-5FDUFDU×3KillAshlyn Gualtieriset Isabella Scarfone
71-6FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Nina Mitchell
82-6FDUCHI ST×4KillCamryn McCollumset Hailee Collins
93-6CHI STCHI ST×4BlockedAlessia Zampieriblk Graci Littlejohn
104-6CHI STCHI ST×4Attack errAshlyn Gualtieri
115-6CHI STCHI ST×4Attack errAshlyn Gualtieri
125-7CHI STFDU×5Bad setCamryn McCollum
135-8FDUFDU×5KillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean
145-9FDUFDU×5KillAva DeGuzman
155-10FDUFDU×5KillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean
165-11FDUFDU×5Attack errGraci Littlejohn
176-11FDUCHI STKillJenesis Perrinset Hailee Collins
186-12CHI STFDU×3KillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean
196-13FDUFDU×3Attack errGraci Littlejohn
206-14FDUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean
217-14FDUCHI STAttack errMila Samardzija
227-15CHI STFDUAttack errGraci Littlejohn
238-15FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
248-16CHI STFDUAttack errNayella George
259-16FDUCHI STKillCamryn McCollumset Kristine Bakhad
269-17CHI STFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone
2710-17FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
2811-17CHI STCHI STBlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Camryn McCollum
2911-18CHI STFDUKillAshlyn Gualtieriset Isabella Scarfone
3012-18FDUCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Hailee Collins
3113-18CHI STCHI STAttack errAshlyn Gualtieri
3213-19CHI STFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone
3314-19FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Nayella George
3414-20CHI STFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean
3515-20FDUCHI STKillNina Mitchellset Nayella George
3616-20CHI STCHI STKillNayella Georgeset Kristine Bakhad
3716-21CHI STFDU×5KillAlessia Zampieriset Nora Marginean
3816-22FDUFDU×5BlockedGraci Littlejohnblk Kaylie Jensen
3916-23FDUFDU×5Attack errNayella George
4016-24FDUFDU×5KillNora Margineanset Kayla Green
4116-25FDUFDU×5Attack errGraci Littlejohn

Score shown after each rally, Chicago St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).