Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

LIU def. FDU 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: LIU 89.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LIU won at FDU 3-2 (25-16, 21-25, 22-25, 25-17, 15-7) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. LIU's Sara van Gisteren led with 32 kills, and Reese Teves added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set12345Sets
LIU25212225153
FDU1625251772

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Dilara Elmacioglu set 58 assists as LIU outlasted FDU.

The match turned once. Numbers are LIU's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had LIU at 89%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · LIU 21–22 FDU

    FDU won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1.

    LIU 71% → 53%

FDU above 50LIU belowMax swing 8.1%

LIUFDU

Sideout %
LIU 57.1·FDU 47.7
Break %
LIU 52.3·FDU 42.9
Hitting
LIU .253·FDU .169
Longest run
LIU 7·FDU 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · LIU below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+8.1% FDUrally 198 · set 5

Biggest swing: 8.1% to FDU — set 3, LIU 21-23 FDU. Attack error by Sara Garcia. FDU win probability 29% → 37%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIU 88.5%11.5% FDU

LIU wins

3-0
42.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.9%

FDU wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
6.3%
LIU break %
49.0% vs this opp
FDU break %
39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sara GarciaAttack error+8.1%

    Attack error by Sara Garcia

    Set 3 · LIU 21-23 FDU · FDU 29% → 37%

  2. 02
    Nina JasieckaAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Nina Jasiecka

    Set 5 · LIU 6-5 FDU · FDU 16% → 23%

  3. 03
    FDUAce+6.8%

    FDU ace on Reese Teves

    Set 3 · LIU 21-24 FDU · FDU 37% → 44%

  4. 04
    Reese TevesAce+6.3%

    Ace by Reese Teves

    Set 5 · LIU 8-5 FDU · LIU 83% → 89%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sara van Gisteren (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)

    Set 5 · LIU 2-0 FDU · LIU 76% → 82%

  6. 06
    FDUService error+5.9%

    FDU service error

    Set 5 · LIU 7-5 FDU · LIU 77% → 83%

  7. 07

    Kill by Nora Marginean (set by Angela Marchetto)

    Set 3 · LIU 21-22 FDU · FDU 23% → 29%

  8. 08

    Kill by Yasmeen Muhammad

    Set 5 · LIU 6-3 FDU · LIU 82% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

LIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5321075.29321119022336
515946.13021016402117
513124.50000010010.513.5
55213.2313214014310
56321.14301033010.57.5
5102.50058001401012
5000–4112320001
5011-1.000000510000
1000–000000000
Team totals7226182.253696385124109108
FDUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5111044.023131110010.514.5
512333.2730005000012
57338.105122100031.510.5
56214.28600000031.57.5
54012.333200002237
5104.2502621800003
5001.0004322340003
5000–021100002
45117.235000302238
4103.3331101400001
Team totals4719166.169451286564119.590

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

LIU vs FDU

Season series · LIU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 LIU · FDU 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 7 LIUFDU 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 LIUFDU 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 LIUFDU 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 LIUFDU 4

Set 5

15-7

Longest run 5 LIUFDU 2

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
31%4/13
2
43%9/21
57%13/23
3
82%9/11
61%14/23
4
67%8/12
56%10/18
5
44%8/18
38%5/13
6
78%7/9
59%10/17
All
57%52/91
52%56/107

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
44%8/18
2
50%9/18
53%10/19
3
50%8/16
44%7/16
4
47%8/17
11%1/9
5
40%8/20
50%8/16
6
64%7/11
38%5/13
All
48%51/107
43%39/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#LIU-FDUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
21-1FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
32-1LIULIUAceBella Correiaaced Madeline Joyce+1.1
42-2LIUFDU×4KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
52-3FDUFDU×4Attack errMia Rojas-Avila+1.3
62-4FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Mia Rojas-Avila+1.5
72-5FDUFDU×4BlockedSara van Gisterenblk Angela Marchetto, Ava DeGuzman+1.6
83-5FDULIU×3KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.1
94-5LIULIU×3AceLIUaced Madeline Joyce+1.4
105-5LIULIU×3AceLIUaced Madeline Joyce+1.3
115-6LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
125-7FDUFDUAceFDUaced Bella Correia+1.6
136-7FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.1
146-8LIUFDUAttack errSara van Gisteren+1.3
156-9FDUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
167-9FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
177-10LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
188-10FDULIU×4KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
199-10LIULIU×4BlockedAlessia Zampieriblk Sara Garcia, Bella Correia+1.6
2010-10LIULIU×4KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.6
2111-10LIULIU×4KillBella Correiaset Reese Teves+1.5
2211-11LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
2312-11FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
2412-12LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
2513-12FDULIU×3KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
2614-12LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+1.5
2715-12LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
2815-13LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
2915-14FDUFDUAceFDUaced Mia Rojas-Avila+1.5
3016-14FDULIU×7KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
3117-14LIULIU×7Bad setIsabella Scarfone+1.3
3218-14LIULIU×7KillSara van Gisterenset Sara Garcia+1.0
3319-14LIULIU×7BlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Sara van Gisteren, Yasmeen Muhammad+0.7
3420-14LIULIU×7KillMia Rojas-Avilaset Sara Garcia+0.4
3521-14LIULIU×7KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
3622-14LIULIU×7KillSara van Gisterenset Sara Garcia+0.1
3722-15LIUFDUAttack errSara van Gisteren·
3822-16FDUFDUAceFDUaced Bella Correia+0.1
3923-16FDULIU×3Serve errFDU+0.1
4024-16LIULIU×3Attack errAva DeGuzman·
4125-16LIULIU×3AceLIUaced Madeline Joyce·
Set 2
11-0LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
21-1LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
32-1FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.6
42-2LIUFDU×4Attack errSara van Gisteren+0.6
52-3FDUFDU×4Attack errBella Correia+0.9
62-4FDUFDU×4AceFDU+1.0
72-5FDUFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
83-5FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
94-5LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
104-6LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
115-6FDULIU×5KillMia Rojas-Avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
126-6LIULIU×5KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
137-6LIULIU×5KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
148-6LIULIU×5KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
159-6LIULIU×5KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
169-7LIUFDU×3KillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+0.5
179-8FDUFDU×3Attack errBella Correia+0.8
189-9FDUFDU×3Attack errMiabella Musignac+1.0
1910-9FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
2011-9LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
2111-10LIUFDUServe errLIU+0.7
2211-11FDUFDUAceFDUaced Bella Correia+1.1
2312-11FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
2412-12LIUFDU×3KillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+0.9
2512-13FDUFDU×3Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.3
2612-14FDUFDU×3Attack errSara van Gisteren+1.5
2713-14FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
2813-15LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
2914-15FDULIUBlockedMila Samardzijablk Sara van Gisteren, Sara Garcia+1.1
3014-16LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
3115-16FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.1
3215-17LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.4
3316-17FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
3417-17LIULIUAceLIU+1.6
3517-18LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+1.4
3618-18FDULIUServe errFDU+1.3
3719-18LIULIUBlockedMila Samardzijablk Sara Garcia+1.6
3819-19LIUFDUAttack errBella Correia+1.4
3919-20FDUFDUAceFDUaced Miabella Musignac+2.1
4020-20FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.5
4120-21LIUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+1.9
4221-21FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.7
4321-22LIUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.2
4421-23FDUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Madeline Joyce+3.1
4521-24FDUFDU×4Attack errSara Garcia+2.6
4621-25FDUFDU×4KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
Set 3
10-1FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Angela Marchetto+2.2
20-2FDUFDUAceFDUaced Mia Rojas-Avila+2.5
31-2FDULIU×4KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.7
42-2LIULIU×4BlockedMila Samardzijablk Sara Garcia, Mia Rojas-Avila+2.2
53-2LIULIU×4Attack errMila Samardzija+2.0
64-2LIULIU×4KillMia Rojas-Avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.8
74-3LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
84-4FDUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.2
95-4FDULIUServe errFDU+1.6
105-5LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
116-5FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.7
126-6LIUFDUServe errLIU+1.9
137-6FDULIUKillMia Rojas-Avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.7
147-7LIUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean+1.9
157-8FDUFDU×3BlockedBella Correiablk Nina Jasiecka+2.8
167-9FDUFDU×3BlockedBella Correiablk Nina Jasiecka, Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija+3.1
178-9FDULIU×4KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.2
189-9LIULIU×4Bad setNina Jasiecka+2.7
1910-9LIULIU×4Attack errMila Samardzija+2.6
2011-9LIULIU×4KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.3
2111-10LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Ava DeGuzman+1.9
2212-10FDULIUServe errFDU+1.8
2313-10LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.0
2413-11LIUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Madeline Joyce+1.5
2513-12FDUFDUAttack errSara van Gisteren+2.5
2614-12FDULIUServe errFDU+2.0
2715-12LIULIUAttack errMila Samardzija+2.2
2815-13LIUFDU×3BlockedMia Rojas-Avilablk Angela Marchetto+1.6
2915-14FDUFDU×3AceFDU+2.7
3015-15FDUFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+3.4
3116-15FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.6
3216-16LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.9
3317-16FDULIUBlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Dilara Elmacioglu+2.8
3417-17LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+3.1
3518-17FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+3.0
3618-18LIUFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Nora Marginean+3.3
3718-19FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Bella Correia+5.1
3818-20FDUFDU×3Attack errBella Correia+5.7
3919-20FDULIUAttack errNina Jasiecka+3.7
4020-20LIULIUAttack errAlessia Zampieri+5.3
4120-21LIUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Mila Samardzija+5.0
4221-21FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+4.5
4321-22LIUFDU×3KillNora Margineanset Angela Marchetto+5.8
4421-23FDUFDU×3Attack errSara Garcia+8.1
4521-24FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Reese Teves+6.8
4622-24FDULIUBlockedMila Samardzijablk Bella Correia, Sara Garcia+2.1
4722-25LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+5.4
Set 4
10-1LIUFDUAttack errBella Correia+3.1
21-1FDULIUBlockedIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezblk Sara van Gisteren+2.8
32-1LIULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+3.4
42-2LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+2.9
53-2FDULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.7
64-2LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+3.2
75-2LIULIU×5Attack errMila Samardzija+2.7
86-2LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Bella Correia+2.3
97-2LIULIU×5Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.9
107-3LIUFDUServe errLIU+1.4
118-3FDULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.5
129-3LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+1.5
1310-3LIULIU×3KillMia Rojas-Avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.1
1410-4LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.7
1510-5FDUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Madeline Joyce+1.3
1611-5FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
1711-6LIUFDU×4BlockedBella Correiablk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman+1.0
1811-7FDUFDU×4Attack errYasmeen Muhammad+1.8
1911-8FDUFDU×4Attack errSara van Gisteren+2.5
2011-9FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Reese Teves+3.2
2112-9FDULIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.6
2213-9LIULIU×3KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.8
2314-9LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.2
2414-10LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean+1.5
2515-10FDULIUAttack errMila Samardzija+1.7
2616-10LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Nina Jasiecka+1.5
2716-11LIUFDUBlockedBella Correiablk Nina Jasiecka+1.0
2817-11FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
2917-12LIUFDU×3KillIsabella Scarfoneset Madeline Joyce+0.9
3017-13FDUFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Nora Marginean+1.8
3117-14FDUFDU×3BlockedSara van Gisterenblk Angela Marchetto, Ava DeGuzman+2.7
3218-14FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.5
3319-14LIULIUKillYasmeen Muhammad+2.2
3419-15LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
3520-15FDULIUServe errFDU+1.7
3621-15LIULIUKillMia Rojas-Avilaset Reese Teves+1.3
3721-16LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
3822-16FDULIU×3Serve errFDU+0.9
3923-16LIULIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.5
4024-16LIULIU×3KillBella Correiaset Sara van Gisteren+0.1
4124-17LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean·
4225-17FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
Set 5
11-0FDULIUBad setIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+5.1
22-0LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+6.0
32-1LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+4.8
43-1FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+4.8
53-2LIUFDUBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Angela Marchetto+5.0
64-2FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+5.0
74-3LIUFDUAttack errMia Rojas-Avila+5.2
85-3FDULIUKillDilara Elmaciogluset Bella Correia+5.3
96-3LIULIUKillYasmeen Muhammad+5.8
106-4LIUFDUBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Nina Jasiecka, Alessia Zampieri+4.2
116-5FDUFDUAttack errNina Jasiecka+7.1
127-5FDULIUServe errFDU+5.9
138-5LIULIUAceReese Teves+6.3
148-6LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean+4.5
159-6FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+5.1
1610-6LIULIUKillBella Correiaset Sara van Gisteren+4.8
1710-7LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Nora Marginean+2.9
1811-7FDULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+3.7
1912-7LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.9
2013-7LIULIU×5Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.3
2114-7LIULIU×5BlockedMila Samardzijablk Sara van Gisteren+0.4
2215-7LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).