FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

LIU def. FDU 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: LIU 88.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LIU won at FDU 3-0 (25-20, 29-27, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. LIU's Bella Correia led with 17 kills, and Sara van Gisteren added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
LIU2529253
FDU2027130

Match story · written from the play-by-play

17 kills in 3 sets for Bella Correia. LIU swept FDU.

Win probability never moved more than 4.3 points on one rally; FDU topped out at 16% in Set 2. RallyIQ gave LIU 89% before first serve.

LIUFDU
  • Break %+15.1 pts
    50.635.5

    39 of 77 on serve vs 22 of 62, so FDU's sideout was 49.4%.

  • Hitting+.083
    .252.169

    57 K / 19 E against 34 K / 13 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    LIU scored 6 straight in the first set to stretch an 18–17 lead to 24–17. The set finished 25–20.

FDU above 50LIU belowMax swing 4.3%

LIUFDU

Aces
LIU 5·FDU 3
Serve err
LIU 3·FDU 3
Blocks
LIU 3·FDU 111 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs
LIU 71·FDU 62

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · LIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.3% FDUrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.3% to FDU — set 2, LIU 26-27 FDU. Kill by Mila Samardzija (set by Isabella Scarfone). FDU win probability 8% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIU 89.2%10.8% FDU

LIU wins

3-0
43.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%

FDU wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%
LIU break %
49.2% vs this opp
FDU break %
39.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Mila Samardzija (set by Isabella Scarfone)

    Set 2 · LIU 26-27 FDU · FDU 8% → 12%

  2. 02

    Ace by Miabella Musignac on Ava DeGuzman

    Set 2 · LIU 28-27 FDU · LIU 92% → 95%

  3. 03
    Dilara ElmaciogluBad set+3.5%

    Bad set by Dilara Elmacioglu

    Set 2 · LIU 24-24 FDU · FDU 4% → 8%

  4. 04
    Isabella ScarfoneBad set+3.5%

    Bad set by Isabella Scarfone

    Set 2 · LIU 27-27 FDU · LIU 88% → 92%

  5. 05

    Alessia Zampieri stuffed by Yasmeen Muhammad & Bella Correia

    Set 2 · LIU 29-27 FDU · LIU 95% → 98%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sara van Gisteren (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)

    Set 2 · LIU 25-24 FDU · LIU 92% → 95%

  7. 07

    Yasmeen Muhammad stuffed by Angela Marchetto

    Set 2 · LIU 25-25 FDU · FDU 5% → 8%

  8. 08

    Kill by Yasmeen Muhammad (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)

    Set 2 · LIU 26-25 FDU · LIU 92% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

LIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317542.28600080010.517.5
313843.116000200111.514.5
311019.5790001000011
310226.30810020010.510.5
3107.14346211000003
23310.000001310003
3214.250021100010.54.5
3000–7101700001
Team totals5719151.252545371314379
FDUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38425.16000030153.511.5
38325.2000001100219
35010.500100001438
34322.04500162031.55.5
35227.1110001120005
3219.1112621110010.54.5
3000–010100001
3000–4001610000
2103.333000000212
2000–101100000
1103.33300020010.51.5
Team totals3413124.16932336252181160

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

LIU vs FDU

Season series · LIU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LIU · FDU 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 LIUFDU 3

Set 2

29-27

Longest run 5 LIUFDU 5

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 6 LIUFDU 2

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
62%8/13
2
64%7/11
30%3/10
3
50%7/14
22%2/9
4
70%7/10
22%2/9
5
67%6/9
70%14/20
6
67%6/9
63%10/16
All
65%40/62
51%39/77

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
25%2/8
2
78%7/9
30%3/10
3
78%7/9
42%5/12
4
37%7/19
42%5/12
5
43%6/14
36%4/11
6
44%4/9
33%3/9
All
49%38/77
35%22/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#LIU-FDUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FDULIUAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.8
22-0LIULIUAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.0
32-1LIUFDU×3KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.8
42-2FDUFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Angela Marchetto+1.2
52-3FDUFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Madeline Joyce+1.3
63-3FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
73-4LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
83-5FDUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
94-5FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.1
105-5LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.3
115-6LIUFDUBlockedBella Correiablk Mila Samardzija, Alessia Zampieri+1.2
126-6FDULIU×3Serve errNora Marginean+1.1
137-6LIULIU×3KillBella Correiaset Reese Teves+1.3
148-6LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+1.2
158-7LIUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+1.0
169-7FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.9
179-8LIUFDUBlockedBella Correiablk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka+1.0
1810-8FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
1910-9LIUFDUAttack errSara van Gisteren+1.0
2011-9FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
2111-10LIUFDUAttack errMia Rojas-Avila+1.1
2212-10FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
2313-10LIULIUKillMia Rojas-Avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
2413-11LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
2513-12FDUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Madeline Joyce+1.4
2614-12FDULIUKillMia Rojas-Avilaset Reese Teves+1.1
2714-13LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
2814-14FDUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
2915-14FDULIU×4KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.4
3016-14LIULIU×4KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.6
3117-14LIULIU×4KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.4
3218-14LIULIU×4KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
3318-15LIUFDU×3Serve errLIU+0.7
3418-16FDUFDU×3BlockedBella Correiablk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka+1.3
3518-17FDUFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieri+1.8
3619-17FDULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Reese Teves+1.5
3720-17LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.6
3821-17LIULIU×6KillSara Garcia+1.1
3922-17LIULIU×6AceReese Tevesaced Mila Samardzija+0.7
4023-17LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
4124-17LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
4224-18LIUFDU×3Attack errSara van Gisteren·
4324-19FDUFDU×3Attack errSara van Gisteren·
4424-20FDUFDU×3AceKayla Green+0.1
4525-20FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
Set 2
11-0LIULIUAceDilara Elmaciogluaced Mila Samardzija+0.7
21-1LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
31-2FDUFDUAceIsabella Scarfoneaced Mia Rojas-Avila+0.9
42-2FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.6
52-3LIUFDUKillIsabella Scarfone+0.7
62-4FDUFDUBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto+1.0
73-4FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
83-5LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
94-5FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
104-6LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
114-7FDUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
125-7FDULIUKillMia Rojas-Avilaset Yasmeen Muhammad+0.8
135-8LIUFDUBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija+1.0
145-9FDUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
156-9FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
166-10LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
176-11FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
187-11FDULIU×3KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
198-11LIULIU×3KillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+1.1
209-11LIULIU×3KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
219-12LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
2210-12FDULIUServe errIsabella Scarfone+0.9
2310-13LIUFDUBlockedMia Rojas-Avilablk Angela Marchetto, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.2
2411-13FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Reese Teves+1.0
2511-14LIUFDU×5KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
2611-15FDUFDU×5BlockedMia Rojas-Avilablk Alessia Zampieri+1.5
2711-16FDUFDU×5Attack errYasmeen Muhammad+1.4
2811-17FDUFDU×5KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Madeline Joyce+1.2
2911-18FDUFDU×5Attack errSara van Gisteren+1.0
3012-18FDULIUBlockedMila Samardzijablk Sara van Gisteren+0.5
3112-19LIUFDUBlockedMiabella Musignacblk Alessia Zampieri, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.7
3213-19FDULIUAttack errAlessia Zampieri+0.4
3313-20LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.7
3414-20FDULIU×5KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
3515-20LIULIU×5Attack errMila Samardzija+0.6
3616-20LIULIU×5Attack errAlessia Zampieri+0.9
3717-20LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
3818-20LIULIU×5KillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.5
3918-21LIUFDUAttack errBella Correia+1.8
4019-21FDULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.2
4120-21LIULIU×5AceDilara Elmaciogluaced Ava DeGuzman+2.0
4221-21LIULIU×5Attack errAva DeGuzman+2.3
4322-21LIULIU×5Attack errIsabella Scarfone+2.4
4423-21LIULIU×5KillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.0
4523-22LIUFDUServe errLIU+1.2
4624-22FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.8
4724-23LIUFDUAttack errSara van Gisteren+1.1
4824-24FDUFDUBad setDilara Elmacioglu+3.5
4925-24FDULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.8
5025-25LIUFDUBlockedYasmeen Muhammadblk Angela Marchetto+2.8
5126-25FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+2.8
5226-26LIUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+2.8
5326-27FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+4.3
5427-27FDULIU×3Bad setIsabella Scarfone+3.5
5528-27LIULIU×3AceMiabella Musignacaced Ava DeGuzman+3.7
5629-27LIULIU×3BlockedAlessia Zampieriblk Yasmeen Muhammad, Bella Correia+3.0
Set 3
11-0FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
22-0LIULIUBlockedMila Samardzijablk Miabella Musignac, Sara van Gisteren+0.3
32-1LIUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.3
43-1FDULIUServe errMila Samardzija+0.3
54-1LIULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
64-2LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+0.2
74-3FDUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+0.4
85-3FDULIUKillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
96-3LIULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
106-4LIUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+0.2
117-4FDULIU×6KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
128-4LIULIU×6KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.3
139-4LIULIU×6Attack errAva DeGuzman+0.2
1410-4LIULIU×6Attack errAlessia Zampieri+0.2
1511-4LIULIU×6Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.1
1612-4LIULIU×6AceMiabella Musignacaced Madeline Joyce+0.1
1712-5LIUFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Madeline Joyce+0.1
1813-5FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
1913-6LIUFDUKillKatarina Trutinaset Isabella Scarfone+0.1
2014-6FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
2115-6LIULIUKillSara Garcia+0.1
2215-7LIUFDUBlockedBella Correiablk Isabella Scarfone, Angela Marchetto·
2315-8FDUFDUAceIsabella Scarfone+0.1
2416-8FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.1
2517-8LIULIUKillSara van Gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu·
2617-9LIUFDUBlockedSara van Gisterenblk Katarina Trutina, Angela Marchetto·
2718-9FDULIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
2818-10LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone·
2919-10FDULIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3019-11LIUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone·
3120-11FDULIU×3KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3221-11LIULIU×3KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3322-11LIULIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3422-12LIUFDUServe errLIU·
3523-12FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3624-12LIULIUKillDilara Elmaciogluset Reese Teves·
3724-13LIUFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone·
3825-13FDULIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).