Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

North Dakota St. def. Kansas City 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: North Dakota St. 89.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Dakota St. beat visiting Kansas City 3-2 (22-25, 22-25, 25-23, 28-26, 18-16) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. North Dakota St.'s Lauren Jansen led with 22 kills, and Rya Borer added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set12345Sets
KC25252326162
ND ST22222528183

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sarah Pfiffner set 60 assists as North Dakota St. outlasted Kansas City.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are North Dakota St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave North Dakota St. 90% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Kansas City 25–25 North Dakota St.

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to North Dakota St., enough to take the set 28–26 and level the match at 2–2. The match swung to North Dakota St.

    North Dakota St. 41% → 70%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Kansas City 3–3 North Dakota St.

    4 straight Kansas City points broke a 3–3 tie and made it 7–3. The match swung to Kansas City.

    North Dakota St. 68% → 30%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Kansas City 12–7 North Dakota St.

    North Dakota St.'s low point. North Dakota St. then won 11 of the next 15 rallies and the set 18–16, and with it the match.

    North Dakota St. 8% → >99%

North Dakota St. above 50Kansas City belowMax swing 29.0%

Kansas CityNorth Dakota St.

Sideout %
Kansas City 60.0·North Dakota St. 60.0
Break %
Kansas City 40.0·North Dakota St. 40.0
Hitting
Kansas City .229·North Dakota St. .230
Longest run
Kansas City 7·North Dakota St. 5

Zoe John
21 kills on .292, 21 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Dakota St. above 50 · Kansas City below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+29.0% ND STrally 230 · set 5

Biggest swing: 29.0% to North Dakota St. — set 5, KC 14-14 ND ST. Ace by Maddy Dombeck on Chloe Kaminski. ND ST win probability 29% → 58%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KC 12.8%87.2% ND ST

Kansas City wins

3-0
1.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
7.0%

North Dakota St. wins

3-0
40.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.6%
KC break %
40.0% vs this opp
ND ST break %
48.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddy DombeckAce+29.0%

    Ace by Maddy Dombeck on Chloe Kaminski

    Set 5 · KC 14-14 ND ST · ND ST 29% → 58%

  2. 02
    Lauren JansenKill+23.4%

    Kill by Lauren Jansen (set by Sarah Pfiffner)

    Set 5 · KC 15-16 ND ST · ND ST 58% → 81%

  3. 03
    Maddy DombeckService error+23.2%

    Service error by Maddy Dombeck

    Set 5 · KC 15-14 ND ST · KC 42% → 65%

  4. 04
    Arianna BlohmKill+23.2%

    Kill by Arianna Blohm (set by Sarah Pfiffner)

    Set 5 · KC 15-15 ND ST · ND ST 35% → 58%

  5. 05
    Emry BrownKill+19.8%

    Kill by Emry Brown (set by Savy Repinski)

    Set 4 · KC 25-24 ND ST · KC 56% → 75%

  6. 06
    Arianna BlohmAce+18.8%

    Ace by Arianna Blohm on Dani Brey

    Set 5 · KC 16-18 ND ST · ND ST 81% → 100%

  7. 07
    Emry BrownKill+18.6%

    Kill by Emry Brown (set by Savy Repinski)

    Set 5 · KC 16-16 ND ST · KC 19% → 37%

  8. 08

    Natalie Ptacek stuffed by Arianna Blohm & Lauren Jansen

    Set 5 · KC 16-17 ND ST · ND ST 63% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519650.2601006210120
518536.36110040031.519.5
57318.22200020233.510.5
57539.051002142010.57.5
5215.20022140031.55.5
5102.5002523400003
513435.2570001002114
5003.0002921800002
5000–4213120002
5000–110420001
1000–000000000
Team totals6724188.22963987883129115
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522870.20023213304227
510424.2500201016416
54112.2506002160031.55.5
5001.0000021020000
38418.222000200219
1012-.50000000010.50.5
521748.2920000000021
5304.750000100214
5001.0002221230002
5000–7112000001
47420.150100310007
2000–000200000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals7529200.230728981911810115

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kansas City vs North Dakota St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 KC · ND ST 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 KCND ST 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 7 KCND ST 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 KCND ST 3

Set 4

26-28

Longest run 3 KCND ST 4

Set 5

16-18

Longest run 4 KCND ST 3

Bars above the line = North Dakota St. leads, below = Kansas City leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas City

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%13/22
33%5/15
2
65%13/20
28%5/18
3
59%13/22
50%13/26
4
67%12/18
40%8/20
5
48%10/21
33%6/18
6
67%8/12
50%9/18
All
60%69/115
40%46/115

North Dakota St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
45%9/20
2
65%13/20
41%9/22
3
50%12/24
32%6/19
4
63%12/19
43%9/21
5
53%10/19
47%9/19
6
64%9/14
29%4/14
All
60%69/115
40%46/115

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

230 rallies

#KC-ND STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ND STKCAttack errAllie Collins+1.0
21-1KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
32-1ND STKCBlockedArianna Blohmblk Mila Zoric, Ryanne Wattree+1.0
42-2KCND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
53-2ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+1.0
64-2KCKCBlockedLauren Jansenblk Stella Smith+1.4
74-3KCND STAttack errMia Weaver+1.0
85-3ND STKC×3KillEmry Brownset Chloe Kaminski+1.2
96-3KCKC×3KillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+1.5
107-3KCKC×3Attack errArianna Blohm+1.6
117-4KCND STKillZoe Johnset Rya Borer+1.1
127-5ND STND STAttack errStella Smith+1.4
138-5ND STKCAttack errSarah Pfiffner+1.4
148-6KCND STServe errKansas City+1.1
159-6ND STKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+1.4
169-7KCND STServe errKansas City+1.2
1710-7ND STKCServe errSadie Johnson+1.5
1811-7KCKCKillEmry Brownset Chloe Kaminski+1.8
1911-8KCND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+1.2
2012-8ND STKC×3BlockedLauren Jansenblk Mila Zoric, Ryanne Wattree+1.6
2113-8KCKC×3KillStella Smithset Coco Buschhorn+1.8
2214-8KCKC×3BlockedLauren Jansenblk Stella Smith, Ryanne Wattree+1.7
2314-9KCND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+1.0
2415-9ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+1.4
2515-10KCND ST×4KillSarah Pfiffnerset Maddy Dombeck+1.0
2615-11ND STND ST×4Attack errEmry Brown+1.4
2715-12ND STND ST×4Attack errNatalie Ptacek+1.6
2815-13ND STND ST×4Attack errEmry Brown+1.8
2916-13ND STKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+1.9
3016-14KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.5
3117-14ND STKCKillMia Weaverset Savy Repinski+2.0
3218-14KCKCAttack errZoe John+2.3
3318-15KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.4
3419-15ND STKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+2.0
3520-15KCKCAceCoco Buschhornaced Lauren Jansen+2.0
3620-16KCND STBlockedMia Weaverblk Emma Tallman, Allie Collins+1.0
3721-16ND STKC×3KillCoco Buschhornset Dani Brey+1.7
3822-16KCKC×3KillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+1.4
3923-16KCKC×3KillMila Zoricset Coco Buschhorn+0.7
4023-17KCND ST×3Serve errMia Weaver+0.2
4123-18ND STND ST×3BlockedRyanne Wattreeblk Lauren Jansen, Arianna Blohm+0.4
4223-19ND STND ST×3AceRya Boreraced Emry Brown+0.7
4324-19ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+1.2
4424-20KCND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+0.3
4524-21ND STND ST×3Attack errStella Smith+0.8
4624-22ND STND ST×3KillArianna Blohm+1.5
4725-22ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+3.0
Set 2
11-0KCKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Emry Brown+2.3
21-1KCND STKillKendall Worwaset Sarah Pfiffner+1.7
31-2ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+2.0
42-2ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+1.8
53-2KCKCAceMila Zoricaced Sadie Johnson+2.5
63-3KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.8
74-3ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Chloe Kaminski+2.1
84-4KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+1.9
95-4ND STKCKillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+2.2
106-4KCKCAttack errLauren Jansen+2.9
116-5KCND STAttack errNatalie Ptacek+2.1
127-5ND STKCKillMia Weaverset Savy Repinski+2.5
137-6KCND ST×3KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+2.2
147-7ND STND ST×3KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+2.6
157-8ND STND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+2.5
168-8ND STKCBlockedEmma Tallmanblk Mia Weaver, Mila Zoric+2.2
178-9KCND STKillKendall Worwaset Sarah Pfiffner+2.0
189-9ND STKCAttack errEmma Tallman+2.3
1910-9KCKCBlockedEmma Tallmanblk Emry Brown+3.2
2010-10KCND ST×3KillKendall Worwaset Sarah Pfiffner+2.4
2110-11ND STND ST×3Attack errEmry Brown+2.8
2210-12ND STND ST×3BlockedRyanne Wattreeblk Arianna Blohm, Lauren Jansen+2.5
2311-12ND STKCServe errRya Borer+2.1
2411-13KCND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+2.1
2512-13ND STKC×7Serve errMaddy Dombeck+2.2
2613-13KCKC×7AceSavy Repinskiaced Maddy Dombeck+3.2
2714-13KCKC×7KillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+3.8
2815-13KCKC×7KillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+4.3
2916-13KCKC×7KillMia Weaverset Savy Repinski+4.5
3017-13KCKC×7AceSavy Repinskiaced Lauren Jansen+4.5
3118-13KCKC×7KillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+4.1
3218-14KCND ST×5BlockedEmry Brownblk Sarah Pfiffner, Arianna Blohm+2.2
3318-15ND STND ST×5Attack errMia Weaver+3.4
3418-16ND STND ST×5AceLauren Jansenaced Emry Brown+4.0
3518-17ND STND ST×5KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+4.5
3618-18ND STND ST×5KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+4.7
3719-18ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+4.5
3820-18KCKCAttack errLauren Jansen+6.0
3920-19KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+4.0
4020-20ND STND STKillSarah Pfiffnerset Lauren Jansen+5.6
4121-20ND STKCKillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+5.5
4222-20KCKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Chloe Kaminski+7.4
4322-21KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+4.6
4422-22ND STND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+7.2
4523-22ND STKC×3KillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+7.6
4624-22KCKC×3AceCoco Buschhornaced Lauren Jansen+10.4
4725-22KCKC×3Attack errZoe John+7.4
Set 3
10-1ND STND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+2.5
21-1ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+2.2
31-2KCND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+2.0
41-3ND STND STBlockedEmry Brownblk Arianna Blohm, Emma Tallman+2.3
52-3ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+2.0
63-3KCKCAttack errEmma Tallman+2.8
73-4KCND STServe errSavy Repinski+2.2
84-4ND STKCKillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+2.4
94-5KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+2.2
105-5ND STKCServe errLauren Jansen+2.5
115-6KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+2.3
126-6ND STKCKillMia Weaverset Savy Repinski+2.6
137-6KCKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+3.6
147-7KCND STServe errCoco Buschhorn+2.7
158-7ND STKCServe errSarah Pfiffner+3.1
168-8KCND ST×3Serve errMia Weaver+2.8
178-9ND STND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+3.2
188-10ND STND ST×3Attack errEmry Brown+2.9
199-10ND STKCServe errSadie Johnson+2.5
209-11KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+2.4
2110-11ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+2.6
2211-11KCKCBlockedArianna Blohmblk Stella Smith+3.8
2311-12KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+3.0
2412-12ND STKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+3.3
2512-13KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+3.1
2613-13ND STKCKillMia Weaverset Savy Repinski+3.4
2714-13KCKCKillMia Weaverset Mila Zoric+4.9
2814-14KCND ST×3KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+3.7
2914-15ND STND ST×3KillZoe John+4.3
3014-16ND STND ST×3AceArianna Blohmaced Chloe Kaminski+3.8
3115-16ND STKC×3KillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+3.2
3216-16KCKC×3KillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+4.9
3317-16KCKC×3KillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+5.9
3417-17KCND STServe errCoco Buschhorn+4.4
3518-17ND STKCAttack errZoe John+5.2
3619-17KCKCBad setSarah Pfiffner+7.1
3719-18KCND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+4.8
3820-18ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+6.4
3920-19KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+5.1
4020-20ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+7.1
4121-20ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+7.0
4221-21KCND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+6.3
4322-21ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+8.1
4422-22KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+7.3
4523-22ND STKCAttack errZoe John+9.7
4623-23KCND ST×3KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+8.8
4723-24ND STND ST×3BlockedMia Weaverblk Kendall Worwa, Sarah Pfiffner+12.7
4823-25ND STND ST×3KillSarah Pfiffnerset Lauren Jansen+10.2
Set 4
11-0KCKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+3.8
21-1KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+2.9
32-1ND STKCAttack errZoe John+3.3
43-1KCKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Mila Zoric+4.4
53-2KCND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+3.2
63-3ND STND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+3.8
73-4ND STND ST×3KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+3.5
84-4ND STKC×3KillEmry Brownset Ryanne Wattree+3.1
95-4KCKC×3KillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+4.4
106-4KCKC×3KillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+4.9
116-5KCND STBlockedStella Smithblk Arianna Blohm+3.6
127-5ND STKC×3Serve errLauren Jansen+4.2
138-5KCKC×3AceDani Breyaced Maddy Dombeck+5.5
149-5KCKC×3KillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+5.7
159-6KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+3.9
1610-6ND STKCBlockedCourtney Petersblk Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith+4.9
1711-6KCKCAceChloe Kaminskiaced Maddy Dombeck+5.9
1811-7KCND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+3.7
1912-7ND STKCAttack errZoe John+5.0
2012-8KCND ST×4Attack errRyanne Wattree+3.8
2112-9ND STND ST×4Attack errRyanne Wattree+5.2
2212-10ND STND ST×4KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+5.4
2312-11ND STND ST×4KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+5.5
2413-11ND STKCKillMia Weaverset Coco Buschhorn+5.4
2513-12KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+4.6
2613-13ND STND STAttack errMila Zoric+5.7
2714-13ND STKCAttack errZoe John+5.3
2814-14KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+4.8
2915-14ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+5.6
3015-15KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Maddy Dombeck+5.1
3116-15ND STKCAttack errCourtney Peters+6.0
3216-16KCND STKillSarah Pfiffnerset Courtney Peters+5.4
3316-17ND STND STBlockedMia Weaverblk Kendall Worwa, Sarah Pfiffner+6.4
3417-17ND STKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+5.6
3517-18KCND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+5.5
3618-18ND STKCServe errSarah Pfiffner+6.1
3719-18KCKCAttack errCourtney Peters+9.0
3819-19KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+6.7
3920-19ND STKCAttack errLauren Jansen+8.2
4020-20KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+7.4
4121-20ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+9.2
4221-21KCND STServe errMila Zoric+8.3
4322-21ND STKCAttack errLauren Jansen+10.5
4422-22KCND STBlockedNatalie Ptacekblk Lauren Jansen, Arianna Blohm+9.5
4522-23ND STND STAceLauren Jansenaced Mia Weaver+12.8
4623-23ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Chloe Kaminski+10.6
4723-24KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+13.2
4824-24ND STKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+13.2
4925-24KCKCKillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+19.8
5025-25KCND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+16.5
5125-26ND STND STKillZoe Johnset Rya Borer+16.6
5226-26ND STKCAttack errCourtney Peters+13.2
5326-27KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+13.2
5426-28ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+12.7
Set 5
11-0ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+6.5
21-1KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+5.8
31-2ND STND STAttack errRyanne Wattree+6.8
42-2ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+6.0
53-2KCKCAceChloe Kaminskiaced Courtney Peters+8.5
63-3KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+6.4
74-3ND STKC×4KillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+7.5
85-3KCKC×4KillEmry Brownset Sarah Pfiffner+10.1
96-3KCKC×4Attack errArianna Blohm+10.6
107-3KCKC×4KillMila Zoric+10.5
117-4KCND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+6.4
128-4ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+9.0
138-5KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+6.4
148-6ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+9.4
159-6ND STKC×3KillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+10.4
1610-6KCKC×3AceMila Zoricaced Sadie Johnson+11.6
1711-6KCKC×3KillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+9.4
1811-7KCND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+4.3
1912-7ND STKCBlockedLauren Jansenblk Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith+7.5
2012-8KCND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+3.7
2112-9ND STND ST×3AceLauren Jansenaced Dani Brey+6.9
2212-10ND STND ST×3KillCourtney Petersset Rya Borer+10.0
2313-10ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+13.5
2413-11KCND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+7.5
2514-11ND STKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+14.4
2614-12KCND ST×3KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+5.7
2714-13ND STND ST×3AceMaddy Dombeckaced Mia Weaver+14.5
2814-14ND STND ST×3AceMaddy Dombeckaced Chloe Kaminski+29.0
2915-14ND STKCServe errMaddy Dombeck+23.2
3015-15KCND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+23.2
3115-16ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+23.4
3216-16ND STKCKillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+18.6
3316-17KCND STBlockedNatalie Ptacekblk Arianna Blohm, Lauren Jansen+18.6
3416-18ND STND STAceArianna Blohmaced Dani Brey+18.8

Score shown after each rally, Kansas City first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).