Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Bryant def. Merrimack 3–1

Bryant beat visiting Merrimack 3-1 (21-25, 25-18, 25-13, 25-13) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Bryant's Nina Gavin led with 20 kills, and Madison Koeller added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
MERMCK251813131
BRYANT212525253

Win probability

Bryant above 50 · Merrimack below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.3% MERMCKrally 165 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.3% to Merrimack — set 2, MERMCK 12-10 BRYANT. Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis). BRYANT win probability 77% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERMCK 5.5%94.5% BRYANT

Merrimack wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
3.3%

Bryant wins

3-0
54.0%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
10.4%
MERMCK break %
38.4% vs this opp
BRYANT break %
50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 12-10 BRYANT · MERMCK 23% → 26%

  2. 02

    Kill by Brookelyn Talmadge (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 16-17 BRYANT · BRYANT 78% → 81%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sophia DeBonis

    Set 2 · MERMCK 16-15 BRYANT · MERMCK 22% → 25%

  4. 04
    BryantAce+3.0%

    Bryant ace on Ella Maldonado

    Set 2 · MERMCK 17-19 BRYANT · BRYANT 81% → 84%

  5. 05
    Tamilore AfolaluAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Tamilore Afolalu

    Set 2 · MERMCK 13-13 BRYANT · BRYANT 76% → 79%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sophia DeBonis (set by Madison Koeller)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 15-14 BRYANT · MERMCK 22% → 25%

  7. 07

    Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 17-17 BRYANT · MERMCK 19% → 22%

  8. 08
    Madison KoellerBad set+2.9%

    Bad set by Madison Koeller

    Set 2 · MERMCK 9-7 BRYANT · MERMCK 22% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410327.2590025030313
411536.16700050010.511.5
49330.20001112000010
44211.18210130111.55.5
43016.1882911800004
41310-.200000101012
41011.000002810001
4001.000100930000
4000–001100000
2001.000000000000
2000–001000000
1013-.333000000000
1001.000000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals3917137.1613229521152669
Bryanthome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420437.43200040010.520.5
48729.03414281010.512.5
44111.27335211900006
4308.375000202236
1114.000000100001
1011-1.000000000000
412332.28100040010.512.5
4002.0007211700002
4000–000300000
38011.72700020010.58.5
3113.000002100001
2000–021000002
1005.000411100001
Team totals5718143.2734711862226596

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MERMCK · BRYANT 8

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MERMCKBRYANT 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 MERMCKBRYANT 7

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 MERMCKBRYANT 5

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKBRYANT 8

Bars above the line = Bryant leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Merrimack

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
43%6/14
2
36%10/28
23%3/13
3
78%7/9
40%6/15
4
64%7/11
13%1/8
5
64%7/11
22%2/9
6
35%6/17
36%4/11
All
49%47/95
31%22/70

Bryant

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
50%8/16
2
69%9/13
44%8/18
3
75%9/12
64%16/25
4
88%7/8
36%4/11
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
75%6/8
54%7/13
All
69%48/70
51%48/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

165 rallies

#MERMCK-BRYANTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
22-0MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.8
32-1MERMCKBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.6
42-2BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryantaced Ella Maldonado+0.7
52-3BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+0.6
63-3BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant+0.6
73-4MERMCKBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.5
84-4BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
95-4MERMCKMERMCKBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Mia Izzo+0.8
105-5MERMCKBRYANT×4KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.6
115-6BRYANTBRYANT×4BlockedTamilore Afolalublk Layla Olatunde, Hannah Jackson+0.7
125-7BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errMia Izzo+0.6
135-8BRYANTBRYANT×4AceBryant+0.5
146-8BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant+0.4
157-8MERMCKMERMCKAttack errHannah Jackson+0.7
167-9MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.5
177-10BRYANTBRYANTAttack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.6
188-10BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
199-10MERMCKMERMCKBlockedAlicia Johansenblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand+0.7
209-11MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.6
219-12BRYANTBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.6
2210-12BRYANTMERMCKKillSophia DeBonis+0.5
2310-13MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack+0.5
2410-14BRYANTBRYANTAttack errMckenna Shotwell+0.5
2511-14BRYANTMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curran+0.4
2611-15MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.4
2712-15BRYANTMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.4
2813-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.7
2914-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.9
3015-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.2
3115-16MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack+0.9
3216-16BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.1
3316-17MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack+1.0
3417-17BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.1
3517-18MERMCKBRYANTAttack errTamilore Afolalu+1.1
3618-18BRYANTMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.2
3719-18MERMCKMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
3820-18MERMCKMERMCK×3Bad setHannah Jackson+2.2
3920-19MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+1.4
4021-19BRYANTMERMCKKillMia Izzo+2.0
4122-19MERMCKMERMCKBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+2.4
4222-20MERMCKBRYANTKillMadison Koeller+1.2
4323-20BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+2.2
4424-20MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimackaced Kaitlin Curran+1.9
4524-21MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.5
4625-21BRYANTMERMCKAttack errCara Lewandowski+1.2
Set 2
10-1MERMCKBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+1.2
20-2BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+1.3
31-2BRYANTMERMCKBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.1
41-3MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jackson+1.1
52-3BRYANTMERMCKBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.2
62-4MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack+1.1
73-4BRYANTMERMCKAttack errNina Gavin+1.2
83-5MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Carrina Barron+1.1
94-5BRYANTMERMCKAttack errMadison Koeller+1.3
105-5MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Ella Maldonado+1.9
115-6MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+1.4
126-6BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
137-6MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
147-7MERMCKBRYANTKillMadison Koellerset Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.7
158-7BRYANTMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+2.0
169-7MERMCKMERMCKBad setMadison Koeller+2.9
179-8MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+2.0
1810-8BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.5
1910-9MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+2.1
2010-10BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+2.5
2111-10BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.3
2212-10MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+3.3
2312-11MERMCKBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+2.3
2413-11BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant+2.9
2513-12MERMCKBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+2.4
2613-13BRYANTBRYANTAttack errTamilore Afolalu+2.9
2714-13BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.8
2814-14MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack+2.4
2915-14BRYANTMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Madison Koeller+2.9
3015-15MERMCKBRYANTKillSophia Gonzalezset Madison Koeller+2.6
3116-15BRYANTMERMCKKillSophia DeBonis+3.1
3216-16MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+2.8
3316-17BRYANTBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Sophia DeBonis+3.3
3417-17BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+2.9
3517-18MERMCKBRYANT×7KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+2.8
3617-19BRYANTBRYANT×7AceBryantaced Ella Maldonado+3.0
3717-20BRYANTBRYANT×7KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+2.4
3817-21BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.6
3917-22BRYANTBRYANT×7AceBryant+0.9
4017-23BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.4
4117-24BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavin+0.1
4218-24BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant·
4318-25MERMCKBRYANTBad setMaddy Fennessy·
Set 3
10-1BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.3
21-1BRYANTMERMCKAttack errHannah Jackson+1.2
31-2MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.0
42-2BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Kaitlyn Oxceus+1.2
52-3MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+1.1
62-4BRYANTBRYANTBlockedMia Izzoblk Layla Olatunde+1.2
73-4BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant+1.1
83-5MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack+1.0
94-5BRYANTMERMCKKillSienna Franksset Sophia DeBonis+1.1
104-6MERMCKBRYANTAttack errMckenna Shotwell+1.0
114-7BRYANTBRYANTKillMadison Koellerset Ella Maldonado+1.1
125-7BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.9
135-8MERMCKBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.9
145-9BRYANTBRYANT×5KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.9
155-10BRYANTBRYANT×5AceBryant+0.7
165-11BRYANTBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.5
175-12BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.4
186-12BRYANTMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curran+0.3
196-13MERMCKBRYANT×3KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.3
206-14BRYANTBRYANT×3Attack errFabiola Betancourt+0.2
216-15BRYANTBRYANT×3KillHannah Jackson+0.2
227-15BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
238-15MERMCKMERMCKAttack errNina Gavin+0.2
248-16MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.2
258-17BRYANTBRYANTAceBryant+0.1
269-17BRYANTMERMCKBlockedNina Gavinblk Tamilore Afolalu+0.1
2710-17MERMCKMERMCKAttack errHannah Jackson+0.2
2810-18MERMCKBRYANTAttack errMia Izzo+0.2
2911-18BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
3011-19MERMCKBRYANTKillMadison Koeller+0.1
3112-19BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Elizabeth Kenney+0.1
3212-20MERMCKBRYANT×3Serve errMerrimack+0.1
3312-21BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+0.1
3412-22BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryantaced Ella Maldonado·
3513-22BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant·
3613-23MERMCKBRYANT×3KillMckenna Shotwellset Madison Koeller·
3713-24BRYANTBRYANT×3KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller·
3813-25BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryantaced Sienna Franks·
Set 4
11-0MERMCKMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.2
22-0MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errKaitlin Curran+1.3
33-0MERMCKMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.5
43-1MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.0
54-1BRYANTMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Ella Maldonado+1.3
64-2MERMCKBRYANT×8Bad setSophia DeBonis+1.1
74-3BRYANTBRYANT×8Attack errTamilore Afolalu+1.3
84-4BRYANTBRYANT×8BlockedTamilore Afolalublk Nina Gavin, Layla Olatunde+1.2
94-5BRYANTBRYANT×8AceBryant+1.1
104-6BRYANTBRYANT×8KillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+0.9
114-7BRYANTBRYANT×8KillNina Gavinset Sophia DeBonis+0.8
124-8BRYANTBRYANT×8Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.6
134-9BRYANTBRYANT×8KillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+0.5
145-9BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Ella Maldonado+0.4
155-10MERMCKBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.4
166-10BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant+0.4
176-11MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+0.4
187-11BRYANTMERMCKAttack errSophia Gonzalez+0.4
197-12MERMCKBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.4
208-12BRYANTMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+0.4
218-13MERMCKBRYANT×5Serve errMerrimack+0.4
228-14BRYANTBRYANT×5BlockedKaitlyn Oxceusblk Brookelyn Talmadge, Kaitlin Curran+0.4
238-15BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.3
248-16BRYANTBRYANT×5KillBrookelyn Talmadge+0.2
258-17BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.1
269-17BRYANTMERMCKServe errBryant+0.1
2710-17MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimack+0.1
2810-18MERMCKBRYANT×4KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.1
2910-19BRYANTBRYANT×4KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.1
3010-20BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand·
3110-21BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errKaitlyn Oxceus·
3211-21BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis·
3311-22MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller·
3411-23BRYANTBRYANTBlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Layla Olatunde·
3512-23BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis·
3613-23MERMCKMERMCKAttack errNina Gavin·
3713-24MERMCKBRYANTServe errMerrimack·
3813-25BRYANTBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Kaitlin Curran·

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).