CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026
1:3
Bryant logo

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Bryant def. Merrimack 31

(21-25, 25-18, 25-13, 25-13)
Set1234Sets
MERMCK251813131
BRYANT212525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BRYANT above 50 · MERMCK below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100BRYANTMERMCKBiggest swing +3.6% BRYANT · S2 16-17rally 165 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Bryant — set 2, MERMCK 16-17 BRYANT. Kill by Brookelyn Talmadge (set by Sophia DeBonis). BRYANT win probability 73%77%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MERMCK 8.0%92.0% BRYANT

Merrimack wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.4%
3-2
4.6%

Bryant wins

3-0
48.2%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
12.6%
MERMCK break %
39.2% vs this opp
BRYANT break %
50.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Brookelyn Talmadge (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 16-17 BRYANT · BRYANT 73%77%

  2. 02

    Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 12-10 BRYANT · MERMCK 28%31%

  3. 03
    BRYANT serverAce+3.4%

    Bryant ace on Ella Maldonado

    Set 2 · MERMCK 17-19 BRYANT · BRYANT 76%80%

  4. 04

    Kill by Sophia DeBonis

    Set 2 · MERMCK 16-15 BRYANT · MERMCK 27%30%

  5. 05
    Tamilore AfolaluAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Tamilore Afolalu

    Set 2 · MERMCK 13-13 BRYANT · BRYANT 71%74%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sophia DeBonis (set by Madison Koeller)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 15-14 BRYANT · MERMCK 26%30%

  7. 07

    Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 2 · MERMCK 17-17 BRYANT · MERMCK 23%27%

  8. 08
    Madison KoellerBad set+3.1%

    Bad set by Madison Koeller

    Set 2 · MERMCK 9-7 BRYANT · MERMCK 27%30%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410327.2590025030313
411536.16700050010.511.5
49330.20001112000010
44211.18210130111.55.5
43016.1882911800004
41310-.200000101012
41011.000002810001
4001.000100930000
4000001100000
2001.000000000000
2000001000000
1013-.333000000000
1001.000000000000
1000100000000
Team totals3917137.1613229521152669
Bryanthome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420437.43200040010.520.5
48729.03414281010.512.5
44111.27335211900006
4308.375000202236
1114.000000100001
1011-1.000000000000
412332.28100040010.512.5
4002.0007211700002
4000000300000
38011.72700020010.58.5
3113.000002100001
2000021000002
1005.000411100001
Team totals5718143.2734711862226596

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MERMCK · BRYANT 8

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MERMCKBRYANT 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 MERMCKBRYANT 7

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 MERMCKBRYANT 5

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKBRYANT 8

Bars above the line = Bryant leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Merrimack

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
43%6/14
2
36%10/28
23%3/13
3
78%7/9
40%6/15
4
64%7/11
13%1/8
5
64%7/11
22%2/9
6
35%6/17
36%4/11
All
49%47/95
31%22/70

Bryant

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
50%8/16
2
69%9/13
44%8/18
3
75%9/12
64%16/25
4
88%7/8
36%4/11
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
75%6/8
54%7/13
All
69%48/70
51%48/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

165 rallies

Rally log

#MERMCK-BRYANTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.8
22-0MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+1.1
32-1MERMCKBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.8
42-2BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBRYANT serveraced Ella Maldonado+0.9
52-3BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBRYANT serveraced Team+0.8
63-3BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+0.8
73-4MERMCKBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.7
84-4BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.8
95-4MERMCKMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curranblk Mia Izzo+1.1
105-5MERMCKBRYANT×4KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.8
115-6BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errTamilore Afolalublk Layla Olatunde, Hannah Jackson+0.9
125-7BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errMia Izzo+0.8
135-8BRYANTBRYANT×4AceBRYANT serveraced Team+0.7
146-8BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+0.6
157-8MERMCKMERMCKAttack errHannah Jackson+0.9
167-9MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.7
177-10BRYANTBRYANTAttack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.8
188-10BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
199-10MERMCKMERMCKAttack errAlicia Johansenblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.0
209-11MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.8
219-12BRYANTBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.8
2210-12BRYANTMERMCKKillSophia DeBonis+0.7
2310-13MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+0.7
2410-14BRYANTBRYANTAttack errMckenna Shotwell+0.7
2511-14BRYANTMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curran+0.5
2611-15MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.6
2712-15BRYANTMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
2813-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.9
2914-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.2
3015-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.5
3115-16MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+1.2
3216-16BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.3
3316-17MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+1.3
3417-17BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.4
3517-18MERMCKBRYANTAttack errTamilore Afolalu+1.4
3618-18BRYANTMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.5
3719-18MERMCKMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.3
3820-18MERMCKMERMCK×3Bad setHannah Jackson+2.7
3920-19MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+1.7
4021-19BRYANTMERMCKKillMia Izzo+2.4
4122-19MERMCKMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curranblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+2.9
4222-20MERMCKBRYANTKillMadison Koeller+1.5
4323-20BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+2.6
4424-20MERMCKMERMCKAceMERMCK serveraced Kaitlin Curran+2.2
4524-21MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.5
4625-21BRYANTMERMCKAttack errCara Lewandowski+1.4
Set 2
10-1MERMCKBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+1.4
20-2BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+1.6
31-2BRYANTMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curranblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.3
41-3MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jackson+1.3
52-3BRYANTMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curranblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.4
62-4MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+1.3
73-4BRYANTMERMCKAttack errNina Gavin+1.4
83-5MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Carrina Barron+1.4
94-5BRYANTMERMCKAttack errMadison Koeller+1.5
105-5MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Ella Maldonado+2.2
115-6MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+1.6
126-6BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
137-6MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+2.6
147-7MERMCKBRYANTKillMadison Koellerset Jocelyn Hammerstrand+1.9
158-7BRYANTMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+2.3
169-7MERMCKMERMCKBad setMadison Koeller+3.1
179-8MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+2.2
1810-8BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.7
1910-9MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+2.3
2010-10BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+2.8
2111-10BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.6
2212-10MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+3.6
2312-11MERMCKBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+2.5
2413-11BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+3.1
2513-12MERMCKBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+2.6
2613-13BRYANTBRYANTAttack errTamilore Afolalu+3.2
2714-13BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+3.0
2814-14MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+2.7
2915-14BRYANTMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Madison Koeller+3.2
3015-15MERMCKBRYANTKillSophia Gonzalezset Madison Koeller+2.8
3116-15BRYANTMERMCKKillSophia DeBonis+3.4
3216-16MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+3.0
3316-17BRYANTBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Sophia DeBonis+3.6
3417-17BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+3.2
3517-18MERMCKBRYANT×7KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+3.1
3617-19BRYANTBRYANT×7AceBRYANT serveraced Ella Maldonado+3.4
3717-20BRYANTBRYANT×7KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+2.7
3817-21BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.9
3917-22BRYANTBRYANT×7AceBRYANT serveraced Team+1.1
4017-23BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.5
4117-24BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavin+0.2
4218-24BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+0.0
4318-25MERMCKBRYANTBad setMaddy Fennessy+0.1
Set 3
10-1BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.6
21-1BRYANTMERMCKAttack errHannah Jackson+1.4
31-2MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.3
42-2BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Kaitlyn Oxceus+1.4
52-3MERMCKBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+1.3
62-4BRYANTBRYANTAttack errMia Izzoblk Layla Olatunde+1.5
73-4BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+1.3
83-5MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+1.2
94-5BRYANTMERMCKKillSienna Franksset Sophia DeBonis+1.3
104-6MERMCKBRYANTAttack errMckenna Shotwell+1.2
114-7BRYANTBRYANTKillMadison Koellerset Ella Maldonado+1.4
125-7BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+1.1
135-8MERMCKBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+1.1
145-9BRYANTBRYANT×5KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+1.2
155-10BRYANTBRYANT×5AceBRYANT serveraced Team+0.9
165-11BRYANTBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.7
175-12BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.5
186-12BRYANTMERMCKAttack errKaitlin Curran+0.3
196-13MERMCKBRYANT×3KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.4
206-14BRYANTBRYANT×3Attack errFabiola Betancourt+0.3
216-15BRYANTBRYANT×3KillHannah Jackson+0.2
227-15BRYANTMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
238-15MERMCKMERMCKAttack errNina Gavin+0.2
248-16MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.2
258-17BRYANTBRYANTAceBRYANT serveraced Team+0.2
269-17BRYANTMERMCKAttack errNina Gavinblk Tamilore Afolalu+0.1
2710-17MERMCKMERMCKAttack errHannah Jackson+0.2
2810-18MERMCKBRYANTAttack errMia Izzo+0.2
2911-18BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
3011-19MERMCKBRYANTKillMadison Koeller+0.2
3112-19BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Elizabeth Kenney+0.1
3212-20MERMCKBRYANT×3Serve errMERMCK server+0.2
3312-21BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBRYANT serveraced Team+0.1
3412-22BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBRYANT serveraced Ella Maldonado+0.0
3513-22BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+0.0
3613-23MERMCKBRYANT×3KillMckenna Shotwellset Madison Koeller+0.0
3713-24BRYANTBRYANT×3KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.0
3813-25BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBRYANT serveraced Sienna Franks+0.0
Set 4
11-0MERMCKMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.4
22-0MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errKaitlin Curran+1.6
33-0MERMCKMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.8
43-1MERMCKBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.2
54-1BRYANTMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Ella Maldonado+1.5
64-2MERMCKBRYANT×8Bad setSophia DeBonis+1.3
74-3BRYANTBRYANT×8Attack errTamilore Afolalu+1.5
84-4BRYANTBRYANT×8Attack errTamilore Afolalublk Nina Gavin, Layla Olatunde+1.4
94-5BRYANTBRYANT×8AceBRYANT serveraced Team+1.3
104-6BRYANTBRYANT×8KillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+1.2
114-7BRYANTBRYANT×8KillNina Gavinset Sophia DeBonis+1.0
124-8BRYANTBRYANT×8Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.8
134-9BRYANTBRYANT×8KillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+0.7
145-9BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Ella Maldonado+0.5
155-10MERMCKBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.5
166-10BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+0.5
176-11MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+0.5
187-11BRYANTMERMCKAttack errSophia Gonzalez+0.5
197-12MERMCKBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.6
208-12BRYANTMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
218-13MERMCKBRYANT×5Serve errMERMCK server+0.6
228-14BRYANTBRYANT×5Attack errKaitlyn Oxceusblk Brookelyn Talmadge, Kaitlin Curran+0.5
238-15BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.4
248-16BRYANTBRYANT×5KillBrookelyn Talmadge+0.2
258-17BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.1
269-17BRYANTMERMCKServe errBRYANT server+0.1
2710-17MERMCKMERMCKAceMERMCK serveraced Team+0.1
2810-18MERMCKBRYANT×4KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.2
2910-19BRYANTBRYANT×4KillNina Gavinset Carrina Barron+0.1
3010-20BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.0
3110-21BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errKaitlyn Oxceus+0.0
3211-21BRYANTMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.0
3311-22MERMCKBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Koeller+0.0
3411-23BRYANTBRYANTAttack errMckenna Shotwellblk Layla Olatunde+0.0
3512-23BRYANTMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.0
3613-23MERMCKMERMCKAttack errNina Gavin+0.0
3713-24MERMCKBRYANTServe errMERMCK server+0.0
3813-25BRYANTBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Kaitlin Curran+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.