Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 16, 2026

Bryant def. Manhattan 3–1

Bryant beat visiting Manhattan 3-1 (25-21, 25-19, 23-25, 25-20) on Wed, Sep 16, 2026. Bryant's Kaitlin Curran led with 18 kills, and Carrina Barron added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 16

Set1234Sets
MANHAT211925201
BRYANT252523253

Win probability

Bryant above 50 · Manhattan below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.2% MANHATrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Manhattan — set 4, MANHAT 20-21 BRYANT. Kill by Hanna Kaczynska (set by Emilia Kuzniar). BRYANT win probability 97% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MANHAT 6.7%93.3% BRYANT

Manhattan wins

3-0
0.8%
3-1
1.9%
3-2
3.9%

Bryant wins

3-0
51.1%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
11.5%
MANHAT break %
35.8% vs this opp
BRYANT break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Hanna Kaczynska (set by Emilia Kuzniar)

    Set 4 · MANHAT 20-21 BRYANT · MANHAT 3% → 5%

  2. 02
    Abby MorrealeBlock+2.1%

    Layla Olatunde stuffed by Abby Morreale

    Set 4 · MANHAT 15-15 BRYANT · MANHAT 5% → 7%

  3. 03
    BryantAce+2.0%

    Bryant ace

    Set 4 · MANHAT 16-18 BRYANT · BRYANT 94% → 96%

  4. 04

    Kill by Hanna Kaczynska (set by Anna Duncan)

    Set 4 · MANHAT 18-19 BRYANT · MANHAT 3% → 5%

  5. 05

    Kill by Madison Koeller (set by Carrina Barron)

    Set 4 · MANHAT 20-22 BRYANT · BRYANT 95% → 97%

  6. 06

    Helenn Montilla stuffed by Brookelyn Talmadge & Kaitlin Curran

    Set 4 · MANHAT 20-23 BRYANT · BRYANT 97% → 99%

  7. 07

    Kill by Hanna Kaczynska (set by Ori Briger)

    Set 3 · MANHAT 25-23 BRYANT · MANHAT 3% → 5%

  8. 08

    Hanna Kaczynska stuffed by Brookelyn Talmadge & Kaitlin Curran

    Set 4 · MANHAT 18-21 BRYANT · BRYANT 97% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411838.0791004002112
49328.214101100111.510.5
48633.06110211212210
42211.000200103668
43314.000300101225
4006.0009111000001
4002.0001102700211
4102.500000700001
4001.0004101000001
4000–011100001
2116.00000000010.51.5
1000–000100000
Team totals3523141.08532376376161485
Bryanthome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418440.35012213106323
47314.28600010073.510.5
48519.15800120010.58.5
4309.33324111100004
43621-.14300001010.53.5
36314.21400040010.56.5
46319.15833390010.59.5
44415.000000400004
4104.2503131910002
4204.5001504500002
3000–001100000
2124-.25000000010.51.5
Team totals5930163.17846715693018998

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MANHAT · BRYANT 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 MANHATBRYANT 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 MANHATBRYANT 7

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 MANHATBRYANT 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 MANHATBRYANT 4

Bars above the line = Bryant leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
38%5/13
2
45%10/22
17%2/12
3
67%10/15
33%5/15
4
56%10/18
41%7/17
5
80%8/10
40%6/15
6
35%6/17
43%6/14
All
56%54/97
36%31/86

Bryant

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
62%13/21
2
71%10/14
23%3/13
3
56%10/18
57%13/23
4
69%9/13
23%3/13
5
50%8/16
43%6/14
6
73%8/11
38%5/13
All
64%55/86
44%43/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#MANHAT-BRYANTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BRYANTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Helenn Montilla+0.7
21-1MANHATBRYANT×3KillCara Lewandowskiset Kaitlin Curran+0.6
31-2BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+0.8
41-3BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryantaced Katie Powers+0.7
52-3BRYANTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger+0.5
62-4MANHATBRYANTBlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Brookelyn Talmadge+0.5
72-5BRYANTBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.6
83-5BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+0.4
94-5MANHATMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Madison Koeller+0.7
104-6MANHATBRYANTServe errManhattan+0.5
115-6BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.5
125-7MANHATBRYANTBad setKatie Powers+0.5
136-7BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.6
147-7MANHATMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+1.0
157-8MANHATBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.6
168-8BRYANTMANHATKillMargaret OBrienset Emilia Kuzniar+0.7
178-9MANHATBRYANTBlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Brookelyn Talmadge+0.7
189-9BRYANTMANHATBad setMadison Koeller+0.8
199-10MANHATBRYANTServe errManhattan+0.7
2010-10BRYANTMANHATAttack errCara Lewandowski+0.8
2110-11MANHATBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.7
2211-11BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.8
2311-12MANHATBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.8
2411-13BRYANTBRYANTAttack errAbby Morreale+1.0
2512-13BRYANTMANHATBlockedHannah Jacksonblk Emma Francesconi+0.7
2612-14MANHATBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.7
2713-14BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.8
2814-14MANHATMANHATBlockedHannah Jacksonblk Katie Powers+1.3
2914-15MANHATBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+0.9
3015-15BRYANTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emma Francesconi+1.0
3115-16MANHATBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+1.0
3215-17BRYANTBRYANT×5KillBrookelyn Talmadge+1.2
3315-18BRYANTBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+1.0
3415-19BRYANTBRYANT×5KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.7
3515-20BRYANTBRYANT×5KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.4
3616-20BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.2
3716-21MANHATBRYANTServe errManhattan+0.3
3817-21BRYANTMANHAT×3Serve errBryant+0.2
3918-21MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedBrookelyn Talmadgeblk Abby Morreale+0.5
4019-21MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errKalia Alvarado+0.8
4119-22MANHATBRYANTServe errManhattan+0.8
4220-22BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Abby Morreale+0.6
4320-23MANHATBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.8
4420-24BRYANTBRYANTAttack errEmma Francesconi+0.6
4521-24BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.1
4621-25MANHATBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Carrina Barron+0.3
Set 2
11-0MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errCara Lewandowski+0.6
22-0MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Nina Gavin+0.7
33-0MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedNina Gavinblk Abby Morreale, Hanna Kaczynska+0.8
43-1MANHATBRYANTAttack errHanna Kaczynska+0.5
54-1BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+0.6
64-2MANHATBRYANT×7KillMadison Koeller+0.5
74-3BRYANTBRYANT×7KillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.7
84-4BRYANTBRYANT×7KillLayla Olatunde+0.6
94-5BRYANTBRYANT×7KillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.6
104-6BRYANTBRYANT×7Attack errHelenn Montilla+0.5
114-7BRYANTBRYANT×7Attack errKatie Powers+0.4
124-8BRYANTBRYANT×7AceBryant+0.3
135-8BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.2
145-9MANHATBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.2
156-9BRYANTMANHAT×3KillEmma Francesconiset Katie Powers+0.2
167-9MANHATMANHAT×3KillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+0.4
178-9MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedLayla Olatundeblk Margaret OBrien, Abby Morreale+0.6
188-10MANHATBRYANTServe errManhattan+0.4
198-11BRYANTBRYANTAttack errKatie Powers+0.5
209-11BRYANTMANHAT×3Attack errHannah Jackson+0.3
2110-11MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errKaitlin Curran+0.6
2211-11MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errHannah Jackson+0.8
2311-12MANHATBRYANTKillMadison Keem+0.5
2412-12BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.6
2513-12MANHATMANHATBlockedBrookelyn Talmadgeblk Helenn Montilla+1.0
2613-13MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Emma Francesconi+0.6
2714-13BRYANTMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.8
2814-14MANHATBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.7
2915-14BRYANTMANHATAttack errNina Gavin+0.8
3015-15MANHATBRYANT×3KillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.7
3115-16BRYANTBRYANT×3Attack errEmma Francesconi+1.0
3215-17BRYANTBRYANT×3Attack errHanna Kaczynska+0.8
3316-17BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.6
3416-18MANHATBRYANTKillCara Lewandowskiset Madison Koeller+0.6
3517-18BRYANTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Abby Morreale+0.6
3617-19MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.6
3717-20BRYANTBRYANTKillHannah Jackson+0.7
3818-20BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.4
3918-21MANHATBRYANTKillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+0.5
4018-22BRYANTBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Kalia Alvarado+0.5
4119-22BRYANTMANHATAttack errBrookelyn Talmadge+0.2
4219-23MANHATBRYANT×3KillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+0.3
4319-24BRYANTBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+0.2
4419-25BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedMargaret OBrienblk Kaitlin Curran, Brookelyn Talmadge·
Set 3
11-0BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.2
21-1MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.2
31-2BRYANTBRYANTAttack errHanna Kaczynska+0.2
42-2BRYANTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+0.2
52-3MANHATBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+0.2
63-3BRYANTMANHAT×4KillKatie Powersset Anna Duncan+0.2
74-3MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedCara Lewandowskiblk Hanna Kaczynska, Abby Morreale+0.3
85-3MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedNina Gavinblk Emma Francesconi, Abby Morreale+0.3
96-3MANHATMANHAT×4Attack errNina Gavin+0.4
106-4MANHATBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.2
117-4BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Anna Duncan+0.3
127-5MANHATBRYANTAttack errHanna Kaczynska+0.2
138-5BRYANTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger+0.3
149-5MANHATMANHATBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Helenn Montilla, Emilia Kuzniar+0.4
159-6MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curran+0.2
169-7BRYANTBRYANTBlockedHelenn Montillablk Brookelyn Talmadge+0.4
1710-7BRYANTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
1811-7MANHATMANHATKillJulia Pflegerset Carrina Barron+0.5
1911-8MANHATBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.3
2012-8BRYANTMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
2112-9MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Kalia Alvarado+0.3
2213-9BRYANTMANHATAttack errNina Gavin+0.4
2313-10MANHATBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Koeller+0.3
2413-11BRYANTBRYANTAttack errAbby Morreale+0.4
2514-11BRYANTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.4
2614-12MANHATBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.3
2715-12BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.4
2815-13MANHATBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+0.3
2916-13BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Helenn Montilla+0.4
3017-13MANHATMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Helenn Montilla+0.6
3117-14MANHATBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.3
3217-15BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedEmma Francesconiblk Brookelyn Talmadge, Sophia Gonzalez+0.5
3317-16BRYANTBRYANT×3KillMadison Keemset Emilia Kuzniar+0.5
3418-16BRYANTMANHATAttack errKaitlin Curran+0.5
3518-17MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.4
3618-18BRYANTBRYANTAceBryantaced Katie Powers+0.6
3719-18BRYANTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.5
3819-19MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.4
3920-19BRYANTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+0.5
4020-20MANHATBRYANT×3Serve errManhattan+0.5
4120-21BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Layla Olatunde, Nina Gavin+0.7
4220-22BRYANTBRYANT×3KillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+0.5
4321-22BRYANTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.3
4422-22MANHATMANHATBlockedLayla Olatundeblk Abby Morreale+0.8
4522-23MANHATBRYANTServe errManhattan+0.6
4623-23BRYANTMANHAT×3Attack errKalia Alvarado+0.6
4724-23MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Kaitlin Curran+1.4
4825-23MANHATMANHAT×3KillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.9
Set 4
10-1MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+0.8
21-1BRYANTMANHAT×3KillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.9
32-1MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedNina Gavinblk Abby Morreale, Katie Powers+1.4
43-1MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Carrina Barron+1.6
53-2MANHATBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+1.0
63-3BRYANTBRYANTAttack errKatie Powers+1.4
74-3BRYANTMANHATBad setSophia Gonzalez+1.1
84-4MANHATBRYANTKillSophia Gonzalezset Madison Koeller+1.0
94-5BRYANTBRYANTBlockedKatie Powersblk Kaitlin Curran, Kalia Alvarado+1.3
105-5BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+1.0
115-6MANHATBRYANT×3KillLayla Olatundeset Kalia Alvarado+0.9
125-7BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+1.2
135-8BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+1.0
146-8BRYANTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.7
157-8MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Anna Duncan+1.2
167-9MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.8
178-9BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.9
188-10MANHATBRYANT×4KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.9
198-11BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errKatie Powers+1.1
208-12BRYANTBRYANT×4KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.8
218-13BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errKatie Powers+0.6
229-13BRYANTMANHATAttack errSophia Gonzalez+0.4
2310-13MANHATMANHATBlockedKaitlin Curranblk Helenn Montilla, Katie Powers+0.8
2410-14MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.6
2511-14BRYANTMANHATServe errBryant+0.6
2611-15MANHATBRYANTKillMadison Koellerset Madison Koeller+0.6
2712-15BRYANTMANHAT×4BlockedKalia Alvaradoblk Emilia Kuzniar, Abby Morreale+0.6
2813-15MANHATMANHAT×4Attack errLayla Olatunde+1.2
2914-15MANHATMANHAT×4Attack errSophia Gonzalez+1.6
3015-15MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedLayla Olatundeblk Abby Morreale+2.1
3115-16MANHATBRYANTBad setOri Briger+1.5
3216-16BRYANTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Hanna Kaczynska+1.7
3316-17MANHATBRYANT×3KillHannah Jacksonset Madison Keem+1.6
3416-18BRYANTBRYANT×3AceBryant+2.0
3516-19BRYANTBRYANT×3KillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.5
3617-19BRYANTMANHATAttack errLayla Olatunde+0.9
3718-19MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Anna Duncan+2.0
3818-20MANHATBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+1.6
3918-21BRYANTBRYANTBlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Brookelyn Talmadge, Kaitlin Curran+1.7
4019-21BRYANTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger+0.9
4120-21MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+2.2
4220-22MANHATBRYANT×4KillMadison Koellerset Carrina Barron+1.9
4320-23BRYANTBRYANT×4BlockedHelenn Montillablk Brookelyn Talmadge, Kaitlin Curran+1.9
4420-24BRYANTBRYANT×4KillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+0.9
4520-25BRYANTBRYANT×4KillCarrina Barronset Emilia Kuzniar+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).