Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Davidson def. VCU 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Davidson 52.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Davidson won at VCU 3-1 (25-20, 25-19, 23-25, 25-19) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Davidson's Meile Songaila led with 22 kills, and Brooke Briscoe added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set1234Sets
DAVID252523253
VCU201925191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Davidson won all four, start to finish.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Davidson's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Davidson at 53%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Davidson 10–6 VCU

    VCU scored 5 straight to turn a 6–10 deficit into an 11–10 lead.

    Davidson 90% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Davidson 13–14 VCU

    4 straight Davidson points turned a 13–14 deficit into a 17–14 lead.

    Davidson 72% → 90%

VCU above 50Davidson belowMax swing 4.9%

DavidsonVCU

Sideout %
Davidson 61.9·VCU 52.6
Break %
Davidson 47.4·VCU 38.1
Hitting
Davidson .276·VCU .227
Longest run
Davidson 4·VCU 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

VCU above 50 · Davidson below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.9% DAVIDrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.9% to Davidson — set 4, DAVID 15-14 VCU. Davidson ace on Dominika Kasinska. VCU win probability 25% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAVID 56.4%43.6% VCU

Davidson wins

3-0
15.4%
3-1
21.4%
3-2
19.6%

VCU wins

3-0
10.0%
3-1
16.1%
3-2
17.5%
DAVID break %
43.2% vs this opp
VCU break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    DavidsonAce+4.9%

    Davidson ace on Dominika Kasinska

    Set 4 · DAVID 15-14 VCU · DAVID 75% → 80%

  2. 02
    Letizia GalliAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Letizia Galli

    Set 4 · DAVID 16-14 VCU · DAVID 80% → 85%

  3. 03
    Lara Del CoreKill+4.7%

    Kill by Lara Del Core (set by Cansin Sendir)

    Set 3 · DAVID 23-25 VCU · VCU 19% → 23%

  4. 04
    Mia CompasBlock+4.4%

    Letizia Galli stuffed by Mia Compas

    Set 4 · DAVID 17-14 VCU · DAVID 85% → 90%

  5. 05

    Kill by Dominika Kasinska (set by Kayla Foley)

    Set 4 · DAVID 10-11 VCU · VCU 23% → 28%

  6. 06

    Myla Young stuffed by Nina Boledovicova & Dominika Kasinska

    Set 4 · DAVID 10-10 VCU · VCU 19% → 23%

  7. 07

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 2 · DAVID 18-16 VCU · DAVID 74% → 78%

  8. 08

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · DAVID 19-15 VCU · DAVID 90% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422461.295013150010.523.5
414426.3850006002115
410841.04902017412214
410116.5630001022313
48113.53800000132.510.5
4119.000540250010.51.5
4000–5312100003
4002.000020710002
4000–000200000
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
1102.50000000010.51.5
Team totals6619170.27659867454121098
VCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412324.3750001014315
411439.1790118304214
46326.115000100428
4409.4444311800216
4001.000100720000
4000–2002000000
413526.3080224000015
46228.14300021010.56.5
4001.0002121420001
4000–000000000
2000–00010010.50.5
Team totals5217154.2274856668116983

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Davidson vs VCU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DAVID · VCU 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 DAVIDVCU 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 DAVIDVCU 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 DAVIDVCU 7

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 DAVIDVCU 5

Bars above the line = VCU leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
29%4/14
2
75%9/12
36%5/14
3
73%8/11
60%12/20
4
73%8/11
60%12/20
5
42%8/19
50%8/16
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
62%52/84
47%46/97

VCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
29%4/14
2
53%8/15
33%5/15
3
40%8/20
27%3/11
4
50%8/16
20%2/10
5
50%8/16
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
65%15/23
All
53%51/97
38%32/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#DAVID-VCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1DAVIDVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+1.9
21-1VCUDAVIDBad setDunja Martic+1.8
32-1DAVIDDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+2.5
42-2DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.9
53-2VCUDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.9
64-2DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errLara Del Core+2.5
75-2DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.4
85-3DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.7
96-3VCUDAVIDServe errVCU+1.9
106-4DAVIDVCUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.7
116-5VCUVCUAceVCUaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+2.6
127-5VCUDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.0
138-5DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.6
149-5DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedLara Del Coreblk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila+2.4
1510-5DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedNina Boledovicovablk Mia Compas+2.1
1610-6DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+1.3
1711-6VCUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.6
1811-7DAVIDVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.3
1912-7VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.6
2012-8DAVIDVCUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.3
2113-8VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+1.6
2213-9DAVIDVCUServe errMeile Songaila+1.3
2314-9VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.6
2415-9DAVIDDAVIDAttack errDominika Kasinska+1.7
2515-10DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.0
2616-10VCUDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.3
2717-10DAVIDDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.2
2818-10DAVIDDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2919-10DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.4
3019-11DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+0.2
3120-11VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.3
3220-12DAVIDVCU×4KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+0.1
3320-13VCUVCU×4KillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.3
3420-14VCUVCU×4AceVCUaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+0.5
3520-15VCUVCU×4AceVCUaced Ellie Ocampo+0.8
3621-15VCUDAVID×3Serve errVCU+1.0
3722-15DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedNina Boledovicovablk Myla Young+0.7
3823-15DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songaila+0.3
3923-16DAVIDVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.1
4023-17VCUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+0.2
4124-17VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.2
4224-18DAVIDVCU×3KillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir·
4324-19VCUVCU×3KillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+0.1
4424-20VCUVCU×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.3
4525-20VCUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.6
Set 2
11-0VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.8
21-1DAVIDVCUKillCansin Sendirset Dunja Martic+1.8
32-1VCUDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+1.8
43-1DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+2.4
53-2DAVIDVCU×3BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Dominika Kasinska, Letizia Galli+1.8
63-3VCUVCU×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+2.5
73-4VCUVCU×3BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Letizia Galli, Lannah Price+2.6
84-4VCUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.9
95-4DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.6
105-5DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.0
116-5VCUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.0
126-6DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.0
137-6VCUDAVIDAttack errLannah Price+2.1
148-6DAVIDDAVIDAttack errNina Boledovicova+2.7
158-7DAVIDVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+2.0
169-7VCUDAVIDKillKinsey Smithset Brooke Briscoe+2.1
179-8DAVIDVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+2.0
189-9VCUVCUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+2.9
1910-9VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.3
2011-9DAVIDDAVIDBlockedDominika Kasinskablk Ariyana Johnson, Myla Young+3.0
2111-10DAVIDVCU×3KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.1
2211-11VCUVCU×3AceVCUaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+3.1
2311-12VCUVCU×3KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+3.3
2412-12VCUDAVID×3KillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2513-12DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+3.4
2614-12DAVIDDAVID×3KillMia Compas+3.3
2714-13DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.3
2815-13VCUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.6
2915-14DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.4
3015-15VCUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Kinsey Smith+3.7
3116-15VCUDAVIDServe errVCU+2.9
3216-16DAVIDVCUKillLannah Priceset Jordan Baksh+2.9
3317-16VCUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+3.1
3418-16DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+4.0
3518-17DAVIDVCUAttack errKinsey Smith+2.7
3619-17VCUDAVID×3KillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+3.2
3720-17DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.8
3821-17DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.9
3921-18DAVIDVCUServe errKinsey Smith+1.4
4022-18VCUDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.1
4123-18DAVIDDAVID×3KillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+1.6
4224-18DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Dunja Martic+0.6
4324-19DAVIDVCUServe errMeile Songaila+0.1
4425-19VCUDAVIDBlockedLara Del Coreblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios+0.2
Set 3
10-1DAVIDVCUServe errKinsey Smith+1.2
21-1VCUDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+1.1
31-2DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+1.2
42-2VCUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.2
53-2DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Dominika Kasinska+1.6
63-3DAVIDVCUServe errBrooke Briscoe+1.2
73-4VCUVCUKillCansin Sendir+1.7
84-4VCUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.2
94-5DAVIDVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.3
104-6VCUVCUBlockedMeile Songailablk Letizia Galli, Dominika Kasinska+1.7
115-6VCUDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.2
126-6DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Jordan Baksh+1.7
137-6DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Dunja Martic+1.8
147-7DAVIDVCU×7BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Dominika Kasinska, Letizia Galli+1.3
157-8VCUVCU×7BlockedMeile Songailablk Cansin Sendir, Nina Boledovicova+1.8
167-9VCUVCU×7Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.8
177-10VCUVCU×7KillCansin Sendirset Cansin Sendir+1.8
187-11VCUVCU×7KillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+1.6
197-12VCUVCU×7Attack errMia Compas+1.4
207-13VCUVCU×7BlockedMeile Songailablk Nina Boledovicova, Cansin Sendir+1.2
218-13VCUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.7
229-13DAVIDDAVIDBlockedDominika Kasinskablk Kinsey Smith, Myla Young+1.1
239-14DAVIDVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.1
2410-14VCUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2510-15DAVIDVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.1
2610-16VCUVCUAceVCUaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.1
2711-16VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.6
2811-17DAVIDVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.8
2911-18VCUVCUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.8
3012-18VCUDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.4
3113-18DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedLara Del Coreblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Melanie Tilles+0.7
3214-18DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Lannah Price+1.0
3314-19DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.1
3415-19VCUDAVID×4KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.7
3516-19DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.4
3617-19DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.9
3718-19DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errLetizia Galli+2.5
3818-20DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.2
3919-20VCUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.9
4020-20DAVIDDAVIDAttack errDominika Kasinska+3.2
4120-21DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.7
4220-22VCUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+3.6
4321-22VCUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.1
4421-23DAVIDVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+3.0
4521-24VCUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.9
4622-24VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.9
4723-24DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.7
4823-25DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+4.7
Set 4
10-1VCUVCUAttack errAriyana Johnson+3.2
21-1VCUDAVIDServe errVCU+2.4
31-2DAVIDVCUServe errMeile Songaila+2.5
42-2VCUDAVID×4BlockedLara Del Coreblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Myla Young+2.5
53-2DAVIDDAVID×4KillAriyana Johnson+3.4
64-2DAVIDDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.3
75-2DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidsonaced Jordan Baksh+3.2
85-3DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.2
96-3VCUDAVID×3BlockedLannah Priceblk Ariyana Johnson, Mia Compas+2.4
107-3DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Dominika Kasinska+3.0
118-3DAVIDDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.7
128-4DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.7
139-4VCUDAVIDServe errVCU+2.0
149-5DAVIDVCUKillCansin Sendirset Jordan Baksh+1.7
159-6VCUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.8
1610-6VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.4
1710-7DAVIDVCU×5KillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+2.1
1810-8VCUVCU×5KillDominika Kasinskaset Kayla Foley+3.3
1910-9VCUVCU×5Bad setKinsey Smith+3.7
2010-10VCUVCU×5BlockedMyla Youngblk Nina Boledovicova, Dominika Kasinska+4.0
2110-11VCUVCU×5KillDominika Kasinskaset Kayla Foley+4.2
2211-11VCUDAVIDServe errVCU+3.1
2311-12DAVIDVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+3.3
2412-12VCUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.2
2512-13DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+3.4
2613-13VCUDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+3.4
2713-14DAVIDVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+3.6
2814-14VCUDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.5
2915-14DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidsonaced Dominika Kasinska+4.9
3016-14DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errLetizia Galli+4.9
3117-14DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedLetizia Galliblk Mia Compas+4.4
3217-15DAVIDVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+2.8
3318-15VCUDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.5
3419-15DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.8
3520-15DAVIDDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.8
3620-16DAVIDVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.3
3721-16VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.0
3821-17DAVIDVCUBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Letizia Galli+1.1
3921-18VCUVCUBlockedMeile Songailablk Nina Boledovicova, Maddalena Fiolo+2.5
4022-18VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.9
4123-18DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+2.2
4223-19DAVIDVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+0.7
4324-19VCUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.3
4425-19DAVIDDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Dominika Kasinska+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).