FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northern Ariz. def. Weber St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Weber St. 60.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ariz. won at Weber St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-21, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Northern Ariz.'s Hanah Stoddard and Quincey Coyle led with 16 kills each, and Kate Federico added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
NAU2525253
WEB ST2121210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 kills in 3 sets for Quincey Coyle. Northern Ariz. swept Weber St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.2 points. Weber St. peaked at 62% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ had Weber St. at 60% before first serve.

Northern Ariz.Weber St.
  • Break %+10.0 pts
    45.935.9

    34 of 74 on serve vs 23 of 64, so Weber St.'s sideout was 54.1%.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    From 14–14 in the first set, Northern Ariz. scored 6 straight to lead 20–14. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Weber St. above 50Northern Ariz. belowMax swing 4.2%

Northern Ariz.Weber St.

Hitting
Northern Ariz. .264·Weber St. .192
Aces
Northern Ariz. 5·Weber St. 2
Serve err
Northern Ariz. 8·Weber St. 6
Blocks
Northern Ariz. 7·Weber St. 63 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Northern Ariz. 56·Weber St. 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Weber St. above 50 · Northern Ariz. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.2% NAUrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Northern Ariz. — set 2, NAU 23-20 WEB ST. Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Ella Hosfeld). WEB ST win probability 25% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAU 42.4%57.6% WEB ST

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
9.6%
3-1
15.6%
3-2
17.2%

Weber St. wins

3-0
16.0%
3-1
21.9%
3-2
19.7%
NAU break %
42.2% vs this opp
WEB ST break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 2 · NAU 23-20 WEB ST · NAU 75% → 79%

  2. 02
    Laney WilsonBlock+3.7%

    Tennille Gonder stuffed by Laney Wilson

    Set 1 · NAU 16-14 WEB ST · NAU 44% → 48%

  3. 03
    Gigi GreenleeKill+3.5%

    Kill by Gigi Greenlee (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 1 · NAU 17-14 WEB ST · NAU 48% → 51%

  4. 04
    Quincey CoyleKill+3.5%

    Kill by Quincey Coyle (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 2 · NAU 19-15 WEB ST · NAU 73% → 77%

  5. 05
    Maggie LarsenAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Maggie Larsen

    Set 1 · NAU 14-13 WEB ST · NAU 40% → 44%

  6. 06
    Lexie CarlsonAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Lexie Carlson

    Set 3 · NAU 21-18 WEB ST · NAU 91% → 95%

  7. 07
    Lexie CarlsonAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Lexie Carlson

    Set 2 · NAU 13-10 WEB ST · NAU 67% → 71%

  8. 08
    Rose MooreKill+3.4%

    Kill by Rose Moore (set by Addison Eastwood)

    Set 2 · NAU 22-20 WEB ST · WEB ST 22% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316553.20821292010.517.5
316232.4382117000017
37012.58300020031.58.5
3319.22201010212.56.5
33212.083000300214
3000–1802800000
3139-.22200030111.52.5
3102.5001811500002
3000–6121800001
Team totals4713129.264465856238775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312529.2410112002114
310217.4710012014313
37333.12100181010.57.5
3418.37500010010.54.5
3000–2002300000
3000–001630000
35421.048000500005
32210.00000011010.52.5
3000–4101900001
3002.000110090010.50.5
1000–200100000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4017120.1923726585110663

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ariz. vs Weber St.

Season series · Northern Ariz. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NAU · WEB ST 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 6 NAUWEB ST 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 NAUWEB ST 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 NAUWEB ST 4

Bars above the line = Weber St. leads, below = Northern Ariz. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
62%8/13
47%7/15
3
53%8/15
38%5/13
4
86%6/7
60%9/15
5
60%6/10
50%6/12
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
64%41/64
46%34/74

Weber St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
14%1/7
2
67%8/12
38%5/13
3
54%7/13
47%7/15
4
46%6/13
36%4/11
5
40%6/15
25%2/8
6
83%5/6
40%4/10
All
54%40/74
36%23/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#NAU-WEB STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAUWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.8
21-1WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
31-2NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+1.9
42-2WEB STNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
53-2NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.5
64-2NAUNAU×4Attack errRose Moore+2.5
75-2NAUNAU×4KillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+2.5
85-3NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+1.8
95-4WEB STWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Addison Eastwood+2.5
106-4WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Quincey Coyle+2.1
116-5NAUWEB STAttack errLaney Wilson+2.0
126-6WEB STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.6
137-6WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.2
147-7NAUWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Addison Eastwood+2.1
158-7WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.3
169-7NAUNAUAttack errRose Moore+2.9
179-8NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.2
1810-8WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.4
1910-9NAUWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.2
2010-10WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+3.0
2111-10WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.5
2211-11NAUWEB STBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Ziya Munyer, Rose Moore+2.4
2311-12WEB STWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+3.1
2412-12WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+2.5
2512-13NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.6
2613-13WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.6
2714-13NAUNAUAttack errMaggie Larsen+3.5
2814-14NAUWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+2.7
2915-14WEB STNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.9
3016-14NAUNAU×6BlockedTennille Gonderblk Laney Wilson+3.7
3117-14NAUNAU×6KillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+3.5
3218-14NAUNAU×6KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+3.1
3319-14NAUNAU×6Attack errSophia Sparrow+2.5
3420-14NAUNAU×6AceNorthern Ariz.aced Maggie Larsen+1.7
3520-15NAUWEB ST×3KillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+0.8
3620-16WEB STWEB ST×3KillRose Moore+1.6
3720-17WEB STWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.3
3821-17WEB STNAUServe errWeber St.+2.6
3921-18NAUWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+1.7
4022-18WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.6
4122-19NAUWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+1.5
4223-19WEB STNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.5
4323-20NAUWEB STBlockedQuincey Coyleblk Ziya Munyer+1.2
4424-20WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
4524-21NAUWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Morgan Pratt+0.7
4625-21WEB STNAUKillTaryn Davisset Kate Federico+1.7
Set 2
11-0WEB STNAU×4Attack errRose Moore+2.1
22-0NAUNAU×4KillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+2.7
33-0NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.aced Katelynn Albano+2.7
44-0NAUNAU×4BlockedLexie Carlsonblk Masina Perez, Avery Gottschalk+2.6
54-1NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
65-1WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
75-2NAUWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+1.9
85-3WEB STWEB ST×4AceWeber St.aced Hanah Stoddard+2.6
95-4WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedLaney Wilsonblk Lexie Carlson, Ziya Munyer+2.8
105-5WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.9
116-5WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+2.4
127-5NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Lexie Carlson+3.0
137-6NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.3
148-6WEB STNAUAttack errTennille Gonder+2.5
158-7NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+2.3
169-7WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.6
1710-7NAUNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+3.1
1810-8NAUWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Addison Eastwood+2.3
1911-8WEB STNAUServe errWeber St.+2.6
2011-9NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.3
2111-10WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.2
2212-10WEB STNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.8
2313-10NAUNAUAttack errLexie Carlson+3.4
2413-11NAUWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.4
2514-11WEB STNAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+2.8
2614-12NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+2.5
2715-12WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.9
2816-12NAUNAUBlockedZiya Munyerblk Avery Gottschalk+3.3
2916-13NAUWEB STAttack errQuincey Coyle+2.1
3017-13WEB STNAUServe errWeber St.+2.7
3117-14NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+2.1
3217-15WEB STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Morgan Pratt+3.3
3318-15WEB STNAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+3.3
3419-15NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+3.5
3520-15NAUNAU×3BlockedTennille Gonderblk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez+2.7
3620-16NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.4
3720-17WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.5
3821-17WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.9
3921-18NAUWEB STAttack errMasina Perez+1.9
4022-18WEB STNAUServe errWeber St.+2.9
4122-19NAUWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.7
4222-20WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.4
4323-20WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+4.2
4424-20NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Katelynn Albano+3.2
4524-21NAUWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+0.8
4625-21WEB STNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+1.9
Set 3
11-0NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Quincey Coyle+1.9
22-0NAUNAU×3BlockedRose Mooreblk Hanah Stoddard, Gigi Greenlee+2.0
33-0NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.aced Katelynn Albano+2.0
43-1NAUWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+1.4
54-1WEB STNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+1.6
65-1NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+1.9
76-1NAUNAU×4BlockedZiya Munyerblk Avery Gottschalk+1.8
87-1NAUNAU×4KillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
97-2NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.1
107-3WEB STWEB STAttack errAvery Gottschalk+1.6
118-3WEB STNAUServe errWeber St.+1.5
128-4NAUWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+1.2
138-5WEB STWEB ST×4KillZiya Munyer+1.8
148-6WEB STWEB ST×4KillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+2.0
158-7WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Morgan Pratt, Ziya Munyer+2.2
169-7WEB STNAU×6KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.9
1710-7NAUNAU×6Attack errTennille Gonder+2.3
1811-7NAUNAU×6KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.2
1912-7NAUNAU×6KillAvery Gottschalkset Kate Federico+1.9
2013-7NAUNAU×6KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.6
2114-7NAUNAU×6Attack errRose Moore+1.3
2214-8NAUWEB STServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.8
2315-8WEB STNAUServe errWeber St.+1.0
2416-8NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+1.0
2516-9NAUWEB STBlockedLaney Wilsonblk Maggie Larsen, Sophia Sparrow+0.5
2616-10WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+0.9
2717-10WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.0
2817-11NAUWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Morgan Pratt+0.6
2918-11WEB STNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.9
3018-12NAUWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.6
3118-13WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Rose Moore, Ziya Munyer+1.0
3218-14WEB STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+1.5
3318-15WEB STWEB ST×4AceWeber St.aced Hanah Stoddard+1.9
3419-15WEB STNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
3519-16NAUWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+1.5
3619-17WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errMasina Perez+2.5
3719-18WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+3.2
3820-18WEB STNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+3.1
3921-18NAUNAUAttack errLexie Carlson+3.5
4021-19NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+2.0
4122-19WEB STNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+2.9
4223-19NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+2.6
4323-20NAUWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Hailee Garcia+1.0
4424-20WEB STNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.9
4524-21NAUWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Hailee Garcia+0.6
4625-21WEB STNAUBlockedMaggie Larsenblk Gigi Greenlee, Laney Wilson+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ariz. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).