Weber State vs Northern Ariz. Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026ESPN+

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Weber St. (15-9) at Northern Ariz. (17-9), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 7:30 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Northern Ariz. a 65% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Northern Ariz. won 3-0 on Oct 3.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT

Match prediction

WEB ST 35.3%64.7% NAU

Weber St. wins

3-0

7.2%

3-1

12.7%

3-2

15.4%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

19.8%

3-1

24.8%

3-2

20.1%

WEB ST break %: 41.8% vs this opp
NAU break %: 44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.