Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Winthrop def. UNC Asheville 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Winthrop 72.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Winthrop beat visiting UNC Asheville 3-2 (25-18, 25-16, 19-25, 10-25, 15-9) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Paige Bennett led Winthrop with 17 kills; UNC Asheville's Addie Brookbank had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set12345Sets
UNC A1816252592
WINTHR25251910153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Lindsay Langner, and Winthrop needed each of them.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Winthrop's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Winthrop 72% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · UNC Asheville 11–5 Winthrop

    11 straight Winthrop points turned a 5–11 deficit into a 16–11 lead.

    Winthrop 58% → 82%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · UNC Asheville 0–3 Winthrop

    7 straight UNC Asheville points turned a 0–3 deficit into a 7–3 lead.

    Winthrop 92% → 73%

Winthrop above 50UNC Asheville belowMax swing 7.7%

UNC AshevilleWinthrop

Sideout %
UNC Asheville 57.0·Winthrop 57.4
Break %
UNC Asheville 42.6·Winthrop 43.0
Hitting
UNC Asheville .260·Winthrop .222
Longest run
UNC Asheville 7·Winthrop 11

Paige Bennett
4 kills inside the turning points, 17 K and .128 for the match (17 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Winthrop above 50 · UNC Asheville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+7.7% WINTHRrally 187 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Winthrop — set 5, UNC A 0-2 WINTHR. Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher). WINTHR win probability 67% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC A 26.9%73.1% WINTHR

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
4.9%
3-1
9.3%
3-2
12.7%

Winthrop wins

3-0
25.5%
3-1
28.0%
3-2
19.6%
UNC A break %
39.2% vs this opp
WINTHR break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Paige BennettKill+7.7%

    Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 5 · UNC A 0-2 WINTHR · WINTHR 67% → 75%

  2. 02
    Reece RhoadsKill+7.1%

    Kill by Reece Rhoads (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 5 · UNC A 1-4 WINTHR · WINTHR 75% → 82%

  3. 03
    Reece RhoadsKill+6.0%

    Kill by Reece Rhoads (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 5 · UNC A 2-6 WINTHR · WINTHR 83% → 89%

  4. 04
    Laila GloverKill+5.7%

    Kill by Laila Glover (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 5 · UNC A 0-1 WINTHR · WINTHR 61% → 67%

  5. 05
    KeAra BowenKill+5.6%

    Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 5 · UNC A 1-3 WINTHR · WINTHR 70% → 75%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Olivia Callipo)

    Set 5 · UNC A 1-2 WINTHR · UNC A 25% → 30%

  7. 07
    KeAra BowenKill+5.1%

    Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 5 · UNC A 2-5 WINTHR · WINTHR 78% → 83%

  8. 08

    Kill by Addie Brookbank (set by Olivia Callipo)

    Set 5 · UNC A 2-4 WINTHR · UNC A 18% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521648.31310172010.521.5
516143.349032102010.519.5
58333.1520115014312
5116.00012220031.54.5
5216.16700030031.53.5
5115.00033001200001
5002.0004001810000
4000–000000000
4000–1300100000
3306.50000020010.53.5
2001.00000000010.50.5
2000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5213150.2605266616114893
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5171147.12810112400017
510217.4711123010112
510430.20000010010.510.5
57425.120000200007
55212.25053111200006
5000–6401110004
516533.33300020111.517.5
5001.0003021700000
5001.0001011300000
1105.200000010001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6628171.222656773622394

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNC Asheville vs Winthrop

Season series · Winthrop leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UNC A · WINTHR 11

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 6 UNC AWINTHR 11

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 UNC AWINTHR 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 UNC AWINTHR 2

Set 4

25-10

Longest run 7 UNC AWINTHR 3

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 2 UNC AWINTHR 4

Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = UNC Asheville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
17%2/12
2
59%10/17
61%19/31
3
69%9/13
36%5/14
4
80%8/10
47%7/15
5
33%7/21
38%5/13
6
64%7/11
22%2/9
All
57%53/93
43%40/94

Winthrop

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
40%6/15
2
44%12/27
45%10/22
3
42%8/19
38%6/16
4
62%8/13
27%3/11
5
100%7/7
65%13/20
6
78%7/9
22%2/9
All
57%54/94
43%40/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#UNC A-WINTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WINTHRUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.6
21-1UNC AWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
31-2WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+2.1
42-2WINTHRUNC AServe errWinthrop+1.5
52-3UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+1.5
63-3WINTHRUNC A×6KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.6
74-3UNC AUNC A×6KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.4
85-3UNC AUNC A×6Attack errLaila Glover+2.5
96-3UNC AUNC A×6Attack errGiselle Little+2.5
107-3UNC AUNC A×6BlockedPaige Bennettblk Albertine van der Goot+2.5
118-3UNC AUNC A×6AceUNC Ashevilleaced Paige Bennett+2.3
128-4UNC AWINTHRAttack errGiselle Little+1.4
138-5WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+2.2
149-5WINTHRUNC A×3Serve errWinthrop+1.9
1510-5UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Paige Bennett+2.4
1611-5UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.1
1711-6UNC AWINTHR×11KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
1811-7WINTHRWINTHR×11Attack errCadence Nichols+2.0
1911-8WINTHRWINTHR×11AceWinthropaced Sarah Wadsworth+2.3
2011-9WINTHRWINTHR×11AceWinthropaced Sarah Wadsworth+2.6
2111-10WINTHRWINTHR×11Attack errAddie Brookbank+2.8
2211-11WINTHRWINTHR×11BlockedOlivia Callipoblk KeAra Bowen+2.9
2311-12WINTHRWINTHR×11KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.8
2411-13WINTHRWINTHR×11KillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+2.7
2511-14WINTHRWINTHR×11KillLexi Thatcherset Alyah Cadavid+2.3
2611-15WINTHRWINTHR×11KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.9
2711-16WINTHRWINTHR×11KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
2812-16WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.8
2912-17UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
3013-17WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.8
3113-18UNC AWINTHRKillLexi Thatcherset Lindsay Langner+1.0
3214-18WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.8
3314-19UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
3414-20WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.9
3515-20WINTHRUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.4
3615-21UNC AWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
3716-21WINTHRUNC AServe errWinthrop+0.3
3817-21UNC AUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+0.8
3917-22UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.9
4018-22WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.4
4118-23UNC AWINTHR×3Serve errUNC Asheville+0.8
4218-24WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset KeAra Bowen+0.4
4318-25WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.1
Set 2
10-1UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Paige Bennett+1.2
20-2WINTHRWINTHRAceWinthrop+1.6
31-2WINTHRUNC AServe errWinthrop+1.1
41-3UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
51-4WINTHRWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
62-4WINTHRUNC ABlockedLaila Gloverblk Cadence Nichols, Addie Brookbank+1.0
72-5UNC AWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Paige Bennett+1.0
82-6WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.3
93-6WINTHRUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.9
103-7UNC AWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.9
114-7WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Izzy Perkins+0.9
124-8UNC AWINTHR×3KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
134-9WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
144-10WINTHRWINTHR×3KillLexi Thatcherset Lindsay Langner+0.9
155-10WINTHRUNC AKillOlivia Calliposet Izzy Perkins+0.5
166-10UNC AUNC AAttack errKeAra Bowen+1.0
176-11UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
187-11WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.7
197-12UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
208-12WINTHRUNC AServe errWinthrop+0.7
218-13UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
229-13WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.7
2310-13UNC AUNC ABlockedReece Rhoadsblk Leah Okogbenin, Albertine van der Goot+1.3
2410-14UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
2511-14WINTHRUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+0.9
2611-15UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
2711-16WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Addison Torain+1.2
2812-16WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.7
2912-17UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
3013-17WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.6
3113-18UNC AWINTHR×4KillLexi Thatcherset Lindsay Langner+0.8
3213-19WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errSarah Wadsworth+0.8
3313-20WINTHRWINTHR×4Bad setOlivia Callipo+0.5
3413-21WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lindsay Langner+0.2
3514-21WINTHRUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+0.1
3614-22UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+0.1
3715-22WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen·
3816-22UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+0.1
3916-23UNC AWINTHR×3Attack errAddie Brookbank+0.2
4016-24WINTHRWINTHR×3BlockedAlbertine van der Gootblk Laila Glover, Giselle Little+0.1
4116-25WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthropaced Izzy Perkins·
Set 3
10-1WINTHRWINTHRKillLexi Thatcherset Lindsay Langner+0.9
21-1WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.7
31-2UNC AWINTHRBad setSarah Wadsworth+0.6
42-2WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.7
52-3UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
62-4WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+0.9
73-4WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Addie Brookbank+0.6
84-4UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.0
94-5UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
105-5WINTHRUNC A×3KillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+0.7
116-5UNC AUNC A×3Attack errPaige Bennett+1.1
127-5UNC AUNC A×3BlockedPaige Bennettblk Lily Bannister, Cadence Nichols+1.2
137-6UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
148-6WINTHRUNC AServe errWinthrop+0.8
158-7UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
169-7WINTHRUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.9
179-8UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
1810-8WINTHRUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.9
1911-8UNC AUNC A×4KillAlbertine van der Gootset Izzy Perkins+1.3
2012-8UNC AUNC A×4Attack errPaige Bennett+1.2
2113-8UNC AUNC A×4BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+1.1
2213-9UNC AWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.6
2314-9WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.8
2414-10UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+0.6
2514-11WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+1.0
2615-11WINTHRUNC AAttack errLaila Glover+0.9
2715-12UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
2816-12WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+0.9
2917-12UNC AUNC AAttack errLexi Thatcher+1.1
3017-13UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+0.5
3118-13WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.8
3218-14UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
3319-14WINTHRUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.8
3419-15UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
3519-16WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
3620-16WINTHRUNC A×3BlockedLaila Gloverblk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+1.0
3721-16UNC AUNC A×3Attack errGiselle Little+1.0
3822-16UNC AUNC A×3KillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+0.6
3922-17UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Addison Torain+0.2
4022-18WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
4123-18WINTHRUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.6
4224-18UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Lydia Pate+0.3
4324-19UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher·
4425-19WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Izzy Perkins+0.1
Set 4
10-1UNC AWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lindsay Langner+1.7
20-2WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errAlbertine van der Goot+2.3
30-3WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+2.1
41-3WINTHRUNC A×7KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.5
52-3UNC AUNC A×7KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.3
63-3UNC AUNC A×7Attack errGiselle Little+2.6
74-3UNC AUNC A×7AceUNC Ashevilleaced Lindsay Langner+2.9
85-3UNC AUNC A×7KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+3.0
96-3UNC AUNC A×7Attack errReece Rhoads+3.1
107-3UNC AUNC A×7AceUNC Ashevilleaced Paige Bennett+3.0
117-4UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+1.8
128-4WINTHRUNC A×4KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.2
139-4UNC AUNC A×4BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Cadence Nichols, Albertine van der Goot+2.9
1410-4UNC AUNC A×4KillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.5
1511-4UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC Ashevilleaced Paige Bennett+2.2
1611-5UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+1.1
1712-5WINTHRUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+1.5
1812-6UNC AWINTHRBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Laila Glover+1.1
1913-6WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.5
2013-7UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
2114-7WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.5
2215-7UNC AUNC AAttack errKeAra Bowen+1.5
2315-8UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
2416-8WINTHRUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.0
2517-8UNC AUNC AAttack errLexi Thatcher+1.0
2617-9UNC AWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
2718-9WINTHRUNC A×7KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.6
2819-9UNC AUNC A×7Attack errPaige Bennett+0.5
2920-9UNC AUNC A×7KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.2
3021-9UNC AUNC A×7AceUNC Ashevilleaced Trabrece Marbley+0.1
3122-9UNC AUNC A×7KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo·
3223-9UNC AUNC A×7Attack errPaige Bennett·
3324-9UNC AUNC A×7Attack errGiselle Little·
3424-10UNC AWINTHRAttack errLydia Pate·
3525-10WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.3
Set 5
10-1UNC AWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+5.7
20-2WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+7.7
31-2WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+5.3
41-3UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+5.6
51-4WINTHRWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+7.1
62-4WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+4.6
72-5UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+5.1
82-6WINTHRWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+6.0
93-6WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+3.5
103-7UNC AWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+4.3
114-7WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+3.5
124-8UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+4.3
135-8WINTHRUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+3.4
145-9UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+4.4
155-10WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+4.3
166-10WINTHRUNC AServe errWinthrop+1.9
177-10UNC AUNC ABlockedLaila Gloverblk Lydia Pate, Sarah Wadsworth+4.4
187-11UNC AWINTHR×4KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+4.5
197-12WINTHRWINTHR×4AceLindsay Langneraced Addie Brookbank+3.8
207-13WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
217-14WINTHRWINTHR×4AceLindsay Langneraced Addie Brookbank+0.5
228-14WINTHRUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+0.1
239-14UNC AUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+0.2
249-15UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.4

Score shown after each rally, UNC Asheville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).