FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Winthrop def. UNC Asheville 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Winthrop 57.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Winthrop won at UNC Asheville 3-0 (25-20, 25-20, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Winthrop's Paige Bennett led with 12 kills.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
WINTHR2525253
UNC A2020220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UNC Asheville hit .094. Winthrop held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 3.8 points on one rally; UNC Asheville topped out at 51% in Set 1. Winthrop went in as RallyIQ's 57% pick.

WinthropUNC Asheville
  • Break %+10.7 pts
    46.635.9

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 73 vs 23 of 64. UNC Asheville sided out 53.4% of the time.

  • Hitting+.113
    .207.094

    33 K / 15 E against 35 K / 25 E.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Winthrop scored 5 straight in the first set to turn a 7–9 deficit into a 12–9 lead. Final score of the set: 25–20.

UNC Asheville above 50Winthrop belowMax swing 3.8%

WinthropUNC Asheville

Aces
Winthrop 3·UNC Asheville 5
Serve err
Winthrop 7·UNC Asheville 13
Blocks
Winthrop 12·UNC Asheville 73 BS · 18 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Winthrop 39·UNC Asheville 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNC Asheville above 50 · Winthrop below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.8% WINTHRrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Winthrop — set 1, WINTHR 20-17 UNC A. Lydia Pate stuffed by Giselle Little & Lexi Thatcher. UNC A win probability 36% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WINTHR 59.4%40.6% UNC A

Winthrop wins

3-0
16.9%
3-1
22.7%
3-2
19.9%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
8.9%
3-1
14.8%
3-2
16.8%
WINTHR break %
42.4% vs this opp
UNC A break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Lydia Pate stuffed by Giselle Little & Lexi Thatcher

    Set 1 · WINTHR 20-17 UNC A · WINTHR 64% → 68%

  2. 02
    Paige BennettKill+3.7%

    Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher)

    Set 3 · WINTHR 23-21 UNC A · WINTHR 93% → 97%

  3. 03

    Addie Brookbank stuffed by KeAra Bowen & Teagan Sychterz

    Set 1 · WINTHR 16-14 UNC A · WINTHR 60% → 63%

  4. 04

    Ace by Olivia Callipo on Lindsay Langner

    Set 1 · WINTHR 14-14 UNC A · UNC A 39% → 43%

  5. 05

    Addie Brookbank stuffed by KeAra Bowen & Teagan Sychterz

    Set 3 · WINTHR 21-20 UNC A · WINTHR 89% → 92%

  6. 06

    Ace by Reese Kincaid on Addie Brookbank

    Set 2 · WINTHR 18-15 UNC A · WINTHR 81% → 84%

  7. 07
    Lexi ThatcherAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Lexi Thatcher

    Set 1 · WINTHR 14-13 UNC A · UNC A 36% → 39%

  8. 08
    Sarah WadsworthBlock+3.2%

    KeAra Bowen stuffed by Sarah Wadsworth

    Set 2 · WINTHR 16-15 UNC A · UNC A 19% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312317.52911282010.513.5
33210.100000003669
36424.08310030010.56.5
3418.37510020031.55.5
3215.200240290031.53.5
3001.000000120000
36421.095000100428
3000–010600001
3000–011000001
3001.000402900000
Team totals331587.20731373953181275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311327.2960025010112
38931-.03203281010.511.5
35210.30000000052.57.5
35519.000000100427
3417.429101201015
3000–1623600002
32510-.300000000002
3002.000300910000
2000–900200000
2000–002000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
1000–202200000
Team totals3525106.09431513353210762

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Winthrop vs UNC Asheville

Season series · Winthrop leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WINTHR · UNC A 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 WINTHRUNC A 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 WINTHRUNC A 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 WINTHRUNC A 4

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Winthrop leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Winthrop

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
50%6/12
2
57%8/14
47%7/15
3
78%7/9
50%7/14
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
45%5/11
6
60%6/10
50%6/12
All
64%41/64
47%34/73

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
56%9/16
2
73%8/11
43%6/14
3
55%6/11
11%1/9
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
55%6/11
14%1/7
6
63%5/8
25%2/8
All
53%39/73
36%23/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#WINTHR-UNC ASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Lindsay Langner+2.5
20-2UNC AUNC A×3BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Cadence Nichols, Albertine van der Goot+2.6
30-3UNC AUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Goot+2.5
41-3UNC AWINTHR×3Serve errUNC Asheville+1.7
52-3WINTHRWINTHR×3Bad setOlivia Callipo+2.5
63-3WINTHRWINTHR×3KillKeAra Bowenset Paige Bennett+2.6
73-4WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.9
83-5UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+2.7
94-5UNC AWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+1.8
104-6WINTHRUNC AAttack errKeAra Bowen+2.0
115-6UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+1.9
125-7WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.1
135-8UNC AUNC ABlockedGiselle Littleblk Lydia Pate+2.8
146-8UNC AWINTHRServe errUNC Asheville+1.8
157-8WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+2.8
167-9WINTHRUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+2.2
178-9UNC AWINTHR×5Attack errLily Bannister+2.0
189-9WINTHRWINTHR×5KillReece Rhoadsset Giselle Little+3.1
1910-9WINTHRWINTHR×5BlockedLily Bannisterblk Giselle Little, Reece Rhoads+3.1
2011-9WINTHRWINTHR×5KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+3.1
2112-9WINTHRWINTHR×5AcePaige Bennettaced Izzy Perkins+2.8
2212-10WINTHRUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Riley Barr+1.8
2312-11UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Lydia Pate+3.0
2413-11UNC AWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+2.3
2514-11WINTHRWINTHRBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Lexi Thatcher, Teagan Sychterz+3.0
2614-12WINTHRUNC A×3Attack errTeagan Sychterz+1.9
2714-13UNC AUNC A×3Attack errLexi Thatcher+3.2
2814-14UNC AUNC A×3AceOlivia Callipoaced Lindsay Langner+3.6
2915-14UNC AWINTHRAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+2.7
3016-14WINTHRWINTHRBlockedAddie Brookbankblk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz+3.7
3116-15WINTHRUNC ABlockedKeAra Bowenblk Addie Brookbank, Cadence Nichols+2.4
3217-15UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+2.7
3317-16WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.5
3418-16UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+2.9
3518-17WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.6
3619-17UNC AWINTHR×4Serve errRiley Barr+3.1
3720-17WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedLydia Pateblk Giselle Little, Lexi Thatcher+3.8
3821-17WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errSarah Wadsworth+2.8
3922-17WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
4022-18WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Riley Barr+0.6
4123-18UNC AWINTHRServe errSarah Wadsworth+1.1
4224-18WINTHRWINTHRKillLexi Thatcherset Riley Barr+0.6
4324-19WINTHRUNC AServe errPaige Bennett+0.1
4424-20UNC AUNC AAttack errReece Rhoads+0.3
4525-20UNC AWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
Set 2
11-0WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+2.3
21-1WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.6
32-1UNC AWINTHRServe errAddie Brookbank+1.7
42-2WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.7
53-2UNC AWINTHR×3KillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
64-2WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
75-2WINTHRWINTHR×3AceAlyah Cadavid+2.2
85-3WINTHRUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.5
95-4UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.3
106-4UNC AWINTHRBlockedLily Bannisterblk Paige Bennett, Teagan Sychterz+1.7
116-5WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Izzy Perkins+1.7
127-5UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+1.8
137-6WINTHRUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.7
148-6UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.8
159-6WINTHRWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Reece Rhoads+2.4
169-7WINTHRUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.6
179-8UNC AUNC A×3BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Cadence Nichols, Albertine van der Goot+2.6
189-9UNC AUNC A×3KillAlbertine van der Gootset Izzy Perkins+2.8
1910-9UNC AWINTHR×4KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
2011-9WINTHRWINTHR×4KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+2.8
2112-9WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.6
2213-9WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Olivia Callipo+2.3
2313-10WINTHRUNC AServe errAddison Torain+1.4
2413-11UNC AUNC ABlockedReece Rhoadsblk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols+2.4
2514-11UNC AWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
2614-12WINTHRUNC AServe errLexi Thatcher+1.8
2714-13UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+3.0
2815-13UNC AWINTHRServe errOlivia Philpot+2.3
2916-13WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+3.0
3016-14WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.8
3116-15UNC AUNC ABlockedKeAra Bowenblk Sarah Wadsworth+3.2
3217-15UNC AWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.5
3318-15WINTHRWINTHR×3AceReese Kincaidaced Addie Brookbank+3.2
3419-15WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errLily Bannister+2.6
3519-16WINTHRUNC AKillLydia Pateset Alyah Cadavid+1.3
3620-16UNC AWINTHRAttack errLily Bannister+1.8
3720-17WINTHRUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.3
3821-17UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.8
3921-18WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.2
4022-18UNC AWINTHRBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Lexi Thatcher, Giselle Little+1.8
4122-19WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.0
4223-19UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
4323-20WINTHRUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+0.8
4424-20UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
4525-20WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+0.6
Set 3
11-0UNC AWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
22-0WINTHRWINTHRBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Teagan Sychterz+1.4
32-1WINTHRUNC A×4KillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+1.0
42-2UNC AUNC A×4BlockedTeagan Sychterzblk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols+1.5
52-3UNC AUNC A×4AceAddie Brookbankaced Paige Bennett+1.6
62-4UNC AUNC A×4AceAddie Brookbankaced Paige Bennett+1.6
73-4UNC AWINTHRServe errAddie Brookbank+1.1
83-5WINTHRUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.2
94-5UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
104-6WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.2
114-7UNC AUNC AAttack errKeAra Bowen+1.6
125-7UNC AWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+1.0
136-7WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+1.6
146-8WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.2
157-8UNC AWINTHRServe errSarah Wadsworth+1.2
167-9WINTHRUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.3
178-9UNC AWINTHRKillLexi Thatcherset Addison Torain+1.2
189-9WINTHRWINTHRAttack errSarah Wadsworth+1.8
199-10WINTHRUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+1.3
2010-10UNC AWINTHRServe errOlivia Callipo+1.3
2110-11WINTHRUNC AServe errPaige Bennett+1.4
2210-12UNC AUNC AKillCadence Nichols+2.0
2311-12UNC AWINTHR×3BlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Teagan Sychterz, KeAra Bowen+1.3
2412-12WINTHRWINTHR×3BlockedCadence Nicholsblk Teagan Sychterz+2.0
2513-12WINTHRWINTHR×3BlockedCadence Nicholsblk Teagan Sychterz+2.1
2613-13WINTHRUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+1.5
2714-13UNC AWINTHRServe errOlivia Philpot+1.5
2814-14WINTHRUNC AServe errReese Kincaid+1.5
2915-14UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.6
3015-15WINTHRUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Izzy Perkins+1.6
3115-16UNC AUNC AAttack errPaige Bennett+2.4
3216-16UNC AWINTHRAttack errAddie Brookbank+1.7
3316-17WINTHRUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.8
3417-17UNC AWINTHRServe errLydia Pate+1.8
3517-18WINTHRUNC A×3Serve errAddison Torain+2.0
3617-19UNC AUNC A×3KillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.8
3717-20UNC AUNC A×3KillAddie Brookbankset Izzy Perkins+2.5
3818-20UNC AWINTHR×4Serve errOlivia Callipo+1.3
3919-20WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedAlbertine van der Gootblk Teagan Sychterz, KeAra Bowen+2.5
4020-20WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errAlbertine van der Goot+3.1
4121-20WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz+3.5
4221-21WINTHRUNC AServe errLexi Thatcher+2.4
4322-21UNC AWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Lexi Thatcher+2.8
4423-21WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+3.7
4523-22WINTHRUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+1.9
4624-22UNC AWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+3.0
4725-22WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Winthrop first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).