St. Thomas (MN) def. Kansas City 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 15)

FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026Midco Sports+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: St. Thomas (MN) 83.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

St. Thomas (MN) won at Kansas City 3-0 (25-19, 25-14, 25-8) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. St. Thomas (MN)'s Anya Schmidt and Audrey Kocon led with 9 kills each, and Taylor McNear added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 11:15 PM CT · final Oct 15

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STTHOM	25	25	25	3
KC	19	14	8	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kansas City never reached 20 in a set against St. Thomas (MN).

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.4 points, and Kansas City's high was 25% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had St. Thomas (MN) at 83%.

St. Thomas (MN)Kansas City

Break %+27.1 pts
67.640.5
50 of 74 on serve vs 17 of 42, so Kansas City's sideout was 32.4%.
Hitting+.285
.434.149
44 K / 8 E against 25 K / 12 E.
Longest run+2
75
7 straight St. Thomas (MN) points in the third set stretched a 7–5 lead to 14–5. The set finished 25–8.

Kansas City above 50St. Thomas (MN) belowMax swing 2.4%

St. Thomas (MN)Kansas City

Aces: St. Thomas (MN) 10·Kansas City 3
Serve err: St. Thomas (MN) 5·Kansas City 7
Blocks: St. Thomas (MN) 4·Kansas City 31 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: St. Thomas (MN) 45·Kansas City 27

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kansas City above 50 · St. Thomas (MN) below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Kansas City — set 1, STTHOM 10-12 KC. Kill by Stella Smith (set by Savy Repinski). KC win probability 20% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STTHOM 83.1%16.9% KC

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0

34.8%

3-1

31.0%

3-2

17.3%

Kansas City wins

3-0

2.6%

3-1

5.5%

3-2

8.8%

STTHOM break %: 49.4% vs this opp
KC break %: 42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Stella SmithKill+2.4%
Kill by Stella Smith (set by Savy Repinski)
Set 1 · STTHOM 10-12 KC · KC 20% → 22%
02
Mia WeaverKill+2.2%
Kill by Mia Weaver (set by Savy Repinski)
Set 1 · STTHOM 10-11 KC · KC 18% → 20%
03
Anya SchmidtKill+2.2%
Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Taylor McNear)
Set 1 · STTHOM 12-12 KC · STTHOM 80% → 82%
04
Natalie PtacekKill+2.1%
Kill by Natalie Ptacek (set by Morgan Kealy)
Set 1 · STTHOM 5-9 KC · KC 23% → 25%
05
Reilly Kurth&Anya SchmidtBlock+2.1%
Natalie Ptacek stuffed by Reilly Kurth & Anya Schmidt
Set 1 · STTHOM 13-12 KC · STTHOM 82% → 84%
06
Mila ZoricAce+2.0%
Ace by Mila Zoric
Set 1 · STTHOM 3-7 KC · KC 22% → 24%
07
Anya SchmidtKill+1.9%
Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Morgan Kealy)
Set 1 · STTHOM 8-9 KC · STTHOM 78% → 80%
08
Emry BrownKill+1.9%
Kill by Emry Brown (set by Coco Buschhorn)
Set 1 · STTHOM 2-5 KC · KC 20% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

St. Thomas (MN)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Anya SchmidtOH	3	9	1	15	.533	3	3	0	11	0	0	2	1	13
21Reilly KurthMB	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	9
7Ellie GustafsonOH	3	7	3	19	.211	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	7
12Heidi WingateMB	3	5	0	8	.625	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
5Morgan KealyS	3	3	0	4	.750	27	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	3
9Emory BrosnahanOH	1	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
24Audrey KoconOH	3	9	2	13	.538	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
2Bryn LunskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3
6Kira BrundageL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	2	6	1	0	0	0	3
3Taylor McNearL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	2	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	2
10Sophia Del ValleL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Maddy BenkaOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
4Ella ThorsonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	8	83	.434	40	10	5	45	3	1	6	4	75

Kansas Cityhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ryanne WattreeOH	3	6	2	23	.174	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
9Emry BrownOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	6
11Stella SmithMB	3	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
14Mila ZoricMB	3	3	1	7	.286	2	1	2	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
20Mia WeaverOH	3	3	4	14	-.071	0	0	1	8	2	1	0.5	3.5
10Coco BuschhornS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Savy RepinskiS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	2	1	2	0	0	0	2
12Chloe KaminskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0
4Natalie PtacekOH	2	1	1	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Dani BreyDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Megan LawsonDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0
13Clarke HenryOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
19Gizem ErogluMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	12	87	.149	21	3	7	27	10	6	3	41

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. Thomas (MN) vs Kansas City

Season series · St. Thomas (MN) leads 1-0

Thu, Oct 15, 2026St. Thomas (MN) at Kansas City · St. Thomas (MN) won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 14, 2026Kansas City at St. Thomas (MN)Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 STTHOM · KC 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 STTHOMKC 5

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 5 STTHOMKC 5

Set 3

25-8

Longest run 7 STTHOMKC 1

Bars above the line = Kansas City leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. Thomas (MN)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%4/6	70%7/10
2	100%4/4	64%7/11
3	100%2/2	82%9/11
4	33%2/6	0%0/2
5	100%2/2	33%1/3
6	67%2/3	83%10/12
All	70%16/23	69%34/49

Kansas City

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%4/12	40%2/5
2	33%3/9	0%0/4
3	29%2/7	0%0/3
4	100%2/2	67%4/6
5	29%2/7	0%0/2
6	17%2/12	33%1/3
All	31%15/49	30%7/23

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

116 rallies

#	STTHOM-KC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STTHOM	STTHOM	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+1.4
2	2-0	STTHOM	STTHOM	Blocked	Mila Zoric	blk Reilly Kurth	+1.3
3	2-1	STTHOM	KC×5	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.1
4	2-2	KC	KC×5	Kill	Emry Brown	set Mila Zoric	+1.5
5	2-3	KC	KC×5	Attack err	Ellie Gustafson		+1.7
6	2-4	KC	KC×5	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.8
7	2-5	KC	KC×5	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.9
8	3-5	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Anya Schmidt	+1.4
9	3-6	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.6
10	3-7	KC	KC	Ace	Mila Zoric		+2.0
11	4-7	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Emory Brosnahan	set Taylor McNear	+1.4
12	5-7	STTHOM	STTHOM	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Morgan Kealy	+1.8
13	5-8	STTHOM	KC	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.7
14	5-9	KC	KC	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Morgan Kealy	+2.1
15	6-9	KC	STTHOM×5	Serve err	Kansas City		+1.5
16	7-9	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Attack err	Emry Brown		+1.9
17	8-9	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.9
18	9-9	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Heidi Wingate	set Morgan Kealy	+1.9
19	10-9	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Taylor McNear	set Savy Repinski	+1.8
20	10-10	STTHOM	KC×3	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+1.6
21	10-11	KC	KC×3	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+2.2
22	10-12	KC	KC×3	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+2.4
23	11-12	KC	STTHOM×4	Serve err	Kansas City		+1.7
24	12-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Taylor McNear	+2.2
25	13-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Blocked	Natalie Ptacek	blk Reilly Kurth, Anya Schmidt	+2.1
26	14-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+1.9
27	14-13	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+1.6
28	15-13	KC	STTHOM×3	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.6
29	16-13	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.7
30	17-13	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.4
31	17-14	STTHOM	KC	Attack err	Reilly Kurth		+1.0
32	18-14	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+1.1
33	19-14	STTHOM	STTHOM	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Megan Lawson	+1.0
34	19-15	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.6
35	19-16	KC	KC	Attack err	Reilly Kurth		+1.1
36	20-16	KC	STTHOM×4	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.2
37	21-16	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Morgan Kealy	+1.0
38	22-16	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Anya Schmidt	+0.5
39	23-16	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Emry Brown	+0.2
40	23-17	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.1
41	24-17	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Ellie Gustafson	+0.1
42	24-18		KC	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
43	24-19	KC	KC	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.1
44	25-19	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Morgan Kealy	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	KC	KC	Attack err	Audrey Kocon		+1.2
2	0-2	KC	KC	Blocked	Audrey Kocon	blk Mila Zoric, Mia Weaver	+1.3
3	1-2	KC	STTHOM×3	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Morgan Kealy	+0.9
4	2-2	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Emry Brown	+1.1
5	3-2	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Kill	Heidi Wingate		+1.1
6	3-3	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
7	4-3	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Heidi Wingate	+0.9
8	5-3	STTHOM	STTHOM	Bad set	Coco Buschhorn		+1.0
9	5-4	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
10	6-4	KC	STTHOM	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.8
11	6-5	STTHOM	KC×5	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
12	6-6	KC	KC×5	Ace	Savy Repinski	aced Ellie Gustafson	+1.2
13	6-7	KC	KC×5	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+1.4
14	6-8	KC	KC×5	Ace	Savy Repinski	aced Kira Brundage	+1.5
15	6-9	KC	KC×5	Blocked	Anya Schmidt	blk Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith	+1.6
16	7-9	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.1
17	7-10	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+1.4
18	8-10	KC	STTHOM×5	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Ellie Gustafson	+1.2
19	9-10	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Anya Schmidt	+1.5
20	10-10	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Bad set	Savy Repinski		+1.5
21	11-10	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Savy Repinski	+1.4
22	12-10	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Blocked	Stella Smith	blk Anya Schmidt, Reilly Kurth	+1.3
23	12-11	STTHOM	KC	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.1
24	12-12	KC	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric		+1.5
25	13-12	KC	STTHOM×5	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+1.2
26	14-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.4
27	15-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Morgan Kealy	+1.2
28	16-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+1.0
29	17-12	STTHOM	STTHOM×5	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+0.7
30	17-13	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Mila Zoric	+0.5
31	18-13	KC	STTHOM×4	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.6
32	19-13	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+0.5
33	20-13	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+0.3
34	21-13	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Megan Lawson	+0.2
35	21-14	STTHOM	KC	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+0.1
36	22-14	KC	STTHOM×4	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.1
37	23-14	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Emry Brown	·
38	24-14	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Mia Weaver	·
39	25-14	STTHOM	STTHOM×4	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Mia Weaver	·
Set 3
1	1-0	STTHOM	STTHOM	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Chloe Kaminski	+0.5
2	1-1	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.4
3	2-1	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+0.4
4	3-1	STTHOM	STTHOM	Blocked	Emry Brown	blk Audrey Kocon, Heidi Wingate	+0.5
5	3-2	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.4
6	4-2	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Heidi Wingate	+0.4
7	4-3	STTHOM	KC	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+0.4
8	5-3	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Heidi Wingate	set Morgan Kealy	+0.4
9	5-4	STTHOM	KC	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+0.4
10	6-4	KC	STTHOM	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.4
11	7-4	STTHOM	STTHOM	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Clarke Henry	+0.5
12	7-5	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+0.4
13	8-5	KC	STTHOM×7	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Kira Brundage	+0.4
14	9-5	STTHOM	STTHOM×7	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+0.4
15	10-5	STTHOM	STTHOM×7	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Audrey Kocon	+0.3
16	11-5	STTHOM	STTHOM×7	Attack err	Emry Brown		+0.3
17	12-5	STTHOM	STTHOM×7	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+0.2
18	13-5	STTHOM	STTHOM×7	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+0.1
19	14-5	STTHOM	STTHOM×7	Kill	Reilly Kurth	set Morgan Kealy	+0.1
20	14-6	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Coco Buschhorn	set Savy Repinski	+0.1
21	15-6	KC	STTHOM×3	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+0.1
22	16-6	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+0.1
23	17-6	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Clarke Henry	·
24	17-7	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	·
25	18-7	KC	STTHOM	Kill	Maddy Benka	set Audrey Kocon	·
26	19-7	STTHOM	STTHOM	Kill	Heidi Wingate	set Coco Buschhorn	·
27	19-8	STTHOM	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Chloe Kaminski	·
28	20-8	KC	STTHOM×6	Serve err	Kansas City		·
29	21-8	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Heidi Wingate	set Morgan Kealy	·
30	22-8	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Kira Brundage	·
31	23-8	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	·
32	24-8	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Maddy Benka	set Morgan Kealy	·
33	25-8	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		·

Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

St. Thomas (MN) def. Kansas City 3–0

Kansas City never reached 20 in a set against St. Thomas (MN).