Kansas City vs St. Thomas (MN) Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026Midco Sports+

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Kansas City (11-13) at St. Thomas (MN) (10-11), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM CT on Midco Sports+. RallyIQ gives St. Thomas (MN) a 91% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, St. Thomas (MN) won 3-0 on Oct 15.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

KC 8.7%91.3% STTHOM

Kansas City wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0

46.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.1%

KC break %: 40.6% vs this opp
STTHOM break %: 51.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.