CSU Bakersfield def. UC San Diego 3-1 Volleyball (Oct 17)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: UC San Diego 75.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

CSU Bakersfield beat visiting UC San Diego 3-1 (25-21, 25-20, 20-25, 26-24) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. CSU Bakersfield's Jordyn Waite-Ward led with 20 kills, and Analiese Gagliano added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UCSD	21	20	25	24	1
CSUBAK	25	25	20	26	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.500 on 32 swings: Jordyn Waite-ward and CSU Bakersfield edged UC San Diego.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are CSU Bakersfield's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. UC San Diego went in at 76% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · UC San Diego 18–19 CSU Bakersfield
UC San Diego scored 6 straight to turn an 18–19 deficit into a 24–19 lead.
CSU Bakersfield 81% → 60%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · UC San Diego 7–8 CSU Bakersfield
CSU Bakersfield scored 4 straight to stretch an 8–7 lead to 12–7.
CSU Bakersfield 66% → 85%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · UC San Diego 23–23 CSU Bakersfield
3 of the last 4 rallies went to CSU Bakersfield, enough to take the set 26–24 and win the match 3–1.
CSU Bakersfield 68% → >99%

CSU Bakersfield above 50UC San Diego belowMax swing 19.6%

UC San DiegoCSU Bakersfield

Sideout %: UC San Diego 51.6·CSU Bakersfield 54.9
Break %: UC San Diego 45.1·CSU Bakersfield 48.4
Hitting: UC San Diego .197·CSU Bakersfield .276
Longest run: UC San Diego 6·CSU Bakersfield 6

Jordyn Waite-Ward
3 kills inside the turning points, 20 K and .500 for the match (21 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

CSU Bakersfield above 50 · UC San Diego below

Biggest swing: 19.6% to CSU Bakersfield — set 4, UCSD 24-26 CSUBAK. Molly McCluskey stuffed by Leylah Duran & Suelen Lima. CSUBAK win probability 80% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSD 68.9%31.1% CSUBAK

UC San Diego wins

3-0

22.5%

3-1

26.4%

3-2

19.9%

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

6.0%

3-1

11.0%

3-2

14.1%

UCSD break %: 44.5% vs this opp
CSUBAK break %: 40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Leylah Duran&Suelen LimaBlock+19.6%
Molly McCluskey stuffed by Leylah Duran & Suelen Lima
Set 4 · UCSD 24-26 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 80% → 100%
02
Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+13.0%
Point UC San Diego (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 4 · UCSD 23-23 CSUBAK · UCSD 19% → 32%
03
Gia Rivera&Lucia BarrosoBlock+12.8%
Analiese Gagliano stuffed by Gia Rivera & Lucia Barroso
Set 4 · UCSD 24-24 CSUBAK · UCSD 20% → 32%
04
Jordyn Waite-WardKill+12.8%
Kill by Jordyn Waite-Ward (set by Luiza Da Cruz)
Set 4 · UCSD 24-25 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 68% → 80%
05
Jordyn Waite-WardKill+12.8%
Kill by Jordyn Waite-Ward (set by Luiza Da Cruz)
Set 4 · UCSD 23-24 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 68% → 80%
06
Gia RiveraKill+8.5%
Kill by Gia Rivera (set by Molly McCluskey)
Set 4 · UCSD 22-23 CSUBAK · UCSD 11% → 19%
07
CSU BakersfieldAce+5.8%
CSU Bakersfield ace on Molly McCluskey
Set 2 · UCSD 17-19 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 52% → 58%
08
Jordyn Waite-WardKill+5.8%
Kill by Jordyn Waite-Ward (set by Analiese Gagliano)
Set 2 · UCSD 18-21 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 59% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UC San Diegoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Ireland McNeesS	4	16	5	45	.244	1	1	0	10	2	0	1	0.5	17.5
6Molly McCluskeyOH	4	11	6	32	.156	1	1	0	13	1	1	0	1	13
21Gia Rivera	4	11	4	30	.233	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
23Lucia BarrosoMB	4	4	2	7	.286	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	2	6
7Madison JohnsonMB	4	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
18Jaedyn HoustonDS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
13Marleena CatalanS	4	2	0	6	.333	23	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	3
9Paulina BaillieDS	4	0	0	4	.000	2	3	1	10	0	0	0	0	3
4Brynne McGhieS	4	1	0	4	.250	11	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
16Yasemin ElmasMB	3	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Dillyn GriffinL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
30Hayden ShanafeltDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Katelyn HernandezOH	1	1	3	5	-.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		52	22	152	.197	44	7	5	51	6	1	10	6	90

CSU Bakersfieldhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	4	20	4	32	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	21
7Suelen LimaOH	4	9	6	27	.111	1	0	0	4	1	0	7	3.5	12.5
19Leylah DuranMB	4	5	0	12	.417	0	0	1	1	0	0	8	4	9
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	4	7	4	25	.120	0	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	7
14Defne YanikMB	4	3	0	7	.429	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	6.5
1Luiza Da CruzS	4	1	0	7	.143	22	2	1	11	0	0	0	0	3
6Anna BacchinOH	4	11	2	28	.321	0	0	0	5	0	0	4	2	13
15Samantha CapinpinS	4	1	0	4	.250	14	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	2
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	4	2	0	4	1	0	0	0	2
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	4	0	1	2	-.500	8	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		57	17	145	.276	50	6	4	54	7	1	26	14	96

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC San Diego vs CSU Bakersfield

Season series · CSU Bakersfield leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 17, 2026UC San Diego at CSU Bakersfield · CSU Bakersfield won 3-1This match
Fri, Nov 13, 2026CSU Bakersfield at UC San DiegoPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UCSD · CSUBAK 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 UCSDCSUBAK 6

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 UCSDCSUBAK 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 UCSDCSUBAK 5

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 5 UCSDCSUBAK 5

Bars above the line = CSU Bakersfield leads, below = UC San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%4/9	0%0/5
2	67%4/6	50%4/8
3	33%4/12	56%5/9
4	80%4/5	50%4/8
5	57%4/7	33%2/6
6	40%4/10	33%2/6
All	49%24/49	40%17/42

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	56%5/9
2	80%4/5	50%4/8
3	33%4/12	64%7/11
4	57%4/7	33%2/6
5	80%4/5	33%2/6
6	80%4/5	56%5/9
All	60%25/42	51%25/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#	UCSD-CSUBAK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Lucia Barroso	+1.4
2	1-1	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.4
3	2-1	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	+1.4
4	2-2	UCSD	CSUBAK	Attack err	Ireland McNees		+1.5
5	2-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Molly McCluskey	+2.2
6	3-3	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Kill	Brynne McGhie		+1.5
7	4-3	UCSD	UCSD×3	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Samantha Capinpin	+2.0
8	5-3	UCSD	UCSD×3	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Madison Johnson, Brynne McGhie	+1.9
9	5-4	UCSD	CSUBAK	Attack err	Molly McCluskey		+1.4
10	6-4	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+1.4
11	7-4	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+1.7
12	8-4	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Gia Rivera	+1.5
13	8-5	UCSD	CSUBAK	Bad set	Brynne McGhie		+1.0
14	9-5	CSUBAK	UCSD	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.1
15	9-6	UCSD	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.0
16	9-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Lucia Barroso	blk Defne Yanik, Suelen Lima	+1.7
17	9-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Defne Yanik	+2.1
18	9-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Molly McCluskey		+2.4
19	10-9	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Gia Rivera	+1.7
20	10-10	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.8
21	11-10	CSUBAK	UCSD×4	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+1.8
22	12-10	UCSD	UCSD×4	Bad set	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+2.3
23	13-10	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Ireland McNees	+2.1
24	14-10	UCSD	UCSD×4	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Ana Franca Benjamin	+1.7
25	14-11	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.1
26	14-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.9
27	15-12	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+1.6
28	15-13	UCSD	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.5
29	15-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Boden Liljedahl	+2.5
30	15-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Blocked	Ireland McNees	blk Anna Bacchin, Leylah Duran	+3.1
31	15-16	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Jaedyn Houston	+3.5
32	15-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Leylah Duran		+3.7
33	15-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Blocked	Ireland McNees	blk Anna Bacchin, Leylah Duran	+3.6
34	16-18	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Brynne McGhie	+2.1
35	17-18	UCSD	UCSD	Bad set	Samantha Capinpin		+3.4
36	17-19	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.1
37	18-19	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+2.6
38	18-20	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.3
39	18-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+4.2
40	19-21	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Brynne McGhie	+2.1
41	20-21	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+4.0
42	20-22	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.0
43	21-22	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+3.0
44	21-23	UCSD	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.6
45	21-24	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.8
46	21-25	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran	+2.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UCSD	CSUBAK	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran	+2.1
2	1-1	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+2.0
3	2-1	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Analiese Gagliano	+2.7
4	2-2	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.0
5	3-2	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	+2.0
6	4-2	UCSD	UCSD×3	Bad set	Samantha Capinpin		+2.6
7	5-2	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.3
8	5-3	UCSD	CSUBAK	Attack err	Madison Johnson		+1.7
9	5-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Suelen Lima	+2.6
10	6-4	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Jaedyn Houston	+1.9
11	7-4	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.4
12	7-5	UCSD	CSUBAK	Attack err	Madison Johnson		+1.7
13	8-5	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+1.8
14	8-6	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.8
15	8-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Lucia Barroso	blk Suelen Lima, Defne Yanik	+2.8
16	9-7	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+2.1
17	10-7	UCSD	UCSD	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+2.6
18	10-8	UCSD	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Luiza Da Cruz		+1.8
19	10-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.0
20	10-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+3.5
21	10-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran	+3.9
22	11-11	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+2.7
23	11-12	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.0
24	11-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Ireland McNees		+4.3
25	12-13	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Marleena Catalan	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.8
26	12-14	UCSD	CSUBAK	Serve err	Paulina Baillie		+3.3
27	12-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Ireland McNees	+4.4
28	13-15	CSUBAK	UCSD×4	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+2.7
29	14-15	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Jaedyn Houston	+4.2
30	15-15	UCSD	UCSD×4	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Boden Liljedahl	+4.4
31	16-15	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Jaedyn Houston	+4.4
32	16-16	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.3
33	16-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+5.1
34	17-17	CSUBAK	UCSD	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+3.6
35	17-18	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.1
36	17-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Molly McCluskey	+5.8
37	18-19	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+3.6
38	18-20	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Boden Liljedahl	+4.7
39	18-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+5.8
40	19-21	CSUBAK	UCSD	Bad set	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+3.0
41	19-22	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+4.6
42	20-22	CSUBAK	UCSD	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.9
43	20-23	UCSD	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.8
44	20-24	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Ireland McNees	blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran	+3.9
45	20-25	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.3
Set 3
1	1-0	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Paulina Baillie	+1.7
2	1-1	UCSD	CSUBAK×5	Serve err	Lucia Barroso		+1.8
3	1-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Ireland McNees	+2.7
4	1-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.8
5	1-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Bad set	Marleena Catalan		+2.9
6	1-5	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Bad set	Yasemin Elmas		+2.9
7	2-5	CSUBAK	UCSD	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.8
8	2-6	UCSD	CSUBAK	Bad set	Dillyn Griffin		+2.2
9	2-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Boden Liljedahl	+2.8
10	3-7	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Brynne McGhie	+1.7
11	4-7	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+2.6
12	4-8	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.3
13	5-8	CSUBAK	UCSD	Bad set	Leylah Duran		+1.9
14	5-9	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.4
15	6-9	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+2.0
16	6-10	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.4
17	6-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik		+3.0
18	7-11	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Katelyn Hernandez	set Marleena Catalan	+1.8
19	8-11	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+2.8
20	8-12	UCSD	CSUBAK	Serve err	Dillyn Griffin		+2.5
21	9-12	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+2.0
22	10-12	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Ireland McNees	+3.2
23	11-12		UCSD	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.4
24	11-13	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.9
25	12-13	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Molly McCluskey	+2.5
26	13-13	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+3.6
27	13-14	UCSD	CSUBAK	Bad set	Ireland McNees		+2.9
28	14-14	CSUBAK	UCSD	Bad set	Anna Bacchin		+2.7
29	14-15	UCSD	CSUBAK	Blocked	Katelyn Hernandez	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+3.1
30	14-16	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.4
31	15-16	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Kill	Yasemin Elmas	set Marleena Catalan	+2.8
32	16-16	UCSD	UCSD×3	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Ana Franca Benjamin	+4.2
33	17-16	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Marleena Catalan		+4.2
34	17-17	UCSD	CSUBAK	Blocked	Katelyn Hernandez	blk Defne Yanik, Anna Bacchin	+3.2
35	17-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Katelyn Hernandez	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	+5.0
36	18-18	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Marleena Catalan	+3.4
37	18-19	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Boden Liljedahl	+4.0
38	19-19	CSUBAK	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+3.7
39	20-19	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+5.3
40	21-19	UCSD	UCSD×6	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+4.9
41	22-19	UCSD	UCSD×6	Ace	Dillyn Griffin		+3.8
42	23-19	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+2.3
43	24-19	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.0
44	24-20	UCSD	CSUBAK	Serve err	Dillyn Griffin		+0.2
45	25-20	CSUBAK	UCSD	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.4
Set 4
1	1-0	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+3.7
2	2-0	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	Marleena Catalan		+3.4
3	2-1	UCSD	CSUBAK	Serve err	Marleena Catalan		+2.5
4	2-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran		+3.9
5	3-2	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+2.8
6	3-3	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.9
7	3-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Bad set	Marleena Catalan		+4.3
8	4-4	CSUBAK	UCSD	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Lucia Barroso, Ireland McNees	+3.0
9	4-5	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.3
10	5-5	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+3.1
11	6-5	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+4.2
12	6-6	UCSD	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+3.2
13	6-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Defne Yanik	+4.7
14	6-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+5.0
15	7-8	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+3.4
16	7-9	UCSD	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.9
17	7-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+5.3
18	7-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+5.1
19	7-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	+4.8
20	8-12	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+2.7
21	8-13	UCSD	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.6
22	8-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.1
23	8-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Gia Rivera		+3.3
24	8-16	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+2.5
25	8-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.7
26	9-17	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Paulina Baillie	+0.7
27	10-17	UCSD	UCSD	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Lucia Barroso, Gia Rivera	+1.4
28	10-18	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.6
29	10-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Molly McCluskey		+1.3
30	11-19	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Marleena Catalan	+0.5
31	11-20	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.8
32	12-20	CSUBAK	UCSD	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Marleena Catalan	+0.4
33	12-21	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Boden Liljedahl	+0.7
34	13-21	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+0.2
35	14-21	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.6
36	15-21	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Dillyn Griffin	+1.0
37	15-22	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.3
38	16-22	CSUBAK	UCSD×3	Bad set	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+0.5
39	17-22	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+1.2
40	18-22	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+2.1
41	18-23	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.9
42	19-23	CSUBAK	UCSD×5	Bad set	Suelen Lima		+1.1
43	20-23	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+2.8
44	21-23	UCSD	UCSD×5	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Lucia Barroso, Gia Rivera	+5.0
45	22-23	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Molly McCluskey	+8.5
46	23-23		UCSD	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+13.0
47	23-24	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+12.8
48	24-24	CSUBAK	UCSD	Blocked	Analiese Gagliano	blk Gia Rivera, Lucia Barroso	+12.8
49	24-25	UCSD	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+12.8
50	24-26	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Leylah Duran, Suelen Lima	+19.6

Score shown after each rally, UC San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

CSU Bakersfield def. UC San Diego 3–1

.500 on 32 swings: Jordyn Waite-ward and CSU Bakersfield edged UC San Diego.