CSU Bakersfield vs UC San Diego Prediction

ScheduledFri, Nov 13, 2026ESPN+

–:–

CSU Bakersfield (13-13) at UC San Diego (11-14), Fri, Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UC San Diego an 80% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, CSU Bakersfield won 3-1 on Oct 17.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

CSUBAK 20.0%80.0% UCSD

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

3.2%

3-1

6.6%

3-2

10.1%

UC San Diego wins

3-0

31.6%

3-1

30.2%

3-2

18.2%

CSUBAK break %: 39.2% vs this opp
UCSD break %: 45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.