UC San Diego vs Utah Valley Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 5, 2026ESPN+

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UC San Diego (10-13) at Utah Valley (8-16), Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UC San Diego a 69% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UC San Diego won 3-0 on Oct 10.

Data through Nov 3, 10:15 PM CT

Match prediction

UCSD 68.6%31.4% UT VAL

UC San Diego wins

3-0

22.3%

3-1

26.4%

3-2

20.0%

Utah Valley wins

3-0

6.1%

3-1

11.1%

3-2

14.2%

UCSD break %: 44.8% vs this opp
UT VAL break %: 41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.