Utah Valley vs UC San Diego: UC San Diego Wins 3-0 (Oct 10)

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: UC San Diego 86.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC San Diego beat visiting Utah Valley 3-0 (25-18, 25-13, 25-15) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. UC San Diego's Gia Rivera led with 13 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UT VAL	18	13	15	0
UCSD	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.423 and 13 kills for Gia Rivera as UC San Diego rolled past Utah Valley.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.9 points, and Utah Valley's high was 20% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. UC San Diego went in as RallyIQ's 87% pick.

Utah ValleyUC San Diego

Break %+27.7 pts
27.154.8
On serve: 40/73 against 13/48 (Utah Valley sideout 45.2%).
Hitting+.305
.115.420
Kills and errors: 45–8 vs 29–18.
Longest run+1
56
UC San Diego scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 3–7 deficit into a 9–7 lead. That set ended 25–18.

UC San Diego above 50Utah Valley belowMax swing 1.9%

Utah ValleyUC San Diego

Aces: Utah Valley 2·UC San Diego 5
Serve err: Utah Valley 6·UC San Diego 7
Blocks: Utah Valley 5·UC San Diego 42 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Utah Valley 26·UC San Diego 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC San Diego above 50 · Utah Valley below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Utah Valley — set 1, UT VAL 7-3 UCSD. Kill by Chloe Hansen. UCSD win probability 82% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UT VAL 19.4%80.6% UCSD

Utah Valley wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.4%

3-2

9.8%

UC San Diego wins

3-0

32.2%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.1%

UT VAL break %: 39.7% vs this opp
UCSD break %: 46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Chloe HansenKill+1.9%
Kill by Chloe Hansen
Set 1 · UT VAL 7-3 UCSD · UT VAL 18% → 20%
02
Utah ValleyAce+1.8%
Utah Valley ace on Paulina Baillie
Set 1 · UT VAL 6-3 UCSD · UT VAL 17% → 18%
03
Chloe HansenAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Chloe Hansen
Set 1 · UT VAL 7-5 UCSD · UCSD 81% → 83%
04
Olivia GloecknerAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Olivia Gloeckner
Set 1 · UT VAL 7-6 UCSD · UCSD 83% → 84%
05
Chloe HansenKill+1.7%
Kill by Chloe Hansen (set by Lani Toutai)
Set 1 · UT VAL 4-2 UCSD · UT VAL 15% → 16%
06
Gia RiveraKill+1.6%
Kill by Gia Rivera (set by Brynne Mcghie)
Set 1 · UT VAL 7-7 UCSD · UCSD 84% → 86%
07
Molly MccluskeyKill+1.5%
Kill by Molly Mccluskey (set by Brynne Mcghie)
Set 1 · UT VAL 7-8 UCSD · UCSD 86% → 87%
08
Brynne McghieAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Brynne Mcghie
Set 1 · UT VAL 17-19 UCSD · UT VAL 9% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Utah Valleyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Miley ThunstromOH	3	7	7	26	.000	2	0	1	4	2	0	2	1	8
18Brielle RueckertMB	3	6	1	12	.417	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
17Olivia GloecknerOH	3	6	3	18	.167	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
2Alyvia WatkinsMB	3	4	2	17	.118	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
5Chloe HansenOH	3	3	2	13	.077	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
11Evalyn MedarisS	3	2	1	5	.200	21	0	2	7	0	1	0	1	3
19Bree CarsonOH	3	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
12Kenna McclureL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Brooke StaufferS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Kambri KuhniMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Lani ToutaiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0
10Lauren FeilerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15London ArmstrongOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Madi StandifirdOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Maranda WoolfMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Myka ChristensenS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	18	96	.115	27	2	6	26	5	2	6	5	46

UC San Diegohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Molly MccluskeyOH	3	11	4	23	.304	2	2	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
2Ireland McneesS	3	9	0	18	.500	0	1	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
23Lucia BarrosoMB	3	5	0	7	.714	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
7Madison JohnsonMB	3	6	0	9	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
5Dillyn GriffinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	9	0	0	0	0	0
13Marleena CatalanS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
21Gia Rivera—	3	13	2	26	.423	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	13
30Hayden ShanafeltDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
4Brynne McghieS	3	0	2	4	-.500	21	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
8Kylie ParkerOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
12Ahnika SmithDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Jaedyn HoustonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Kaliya NdiayeMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Katelyn HernandezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Maija NepszyS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Paulina BaillieDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	0
20Soraya DennisS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Yasemin ElmasMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	8	88	.420	42	5	7	42	2	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Utah Valley vs UC San Diego

Season series · UC San Diego leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Utah Valley at UC San Diego · UC San Diego won 3-0This match
Thu, Nov 5, 2026UC San Diego at Utah ValleyPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UT VAL · UCSD 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 UT VALUCSD 6

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 UT VALUCSD 6

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 5 UT VALUCSD 4

Bars above the line = UC San Diego leads, below = Utah Valley leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Utah Valley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%4/5	0%0/3
2	67%4/6	0%0/4
3	44%4/9	0%0/4
4	50%4/8	0%0/4
5	36%4/11	50%4/8
6	20%2/10	33%2/6
All	45%22/49	21%6/29

UC San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%4/4	57%4/7
2	100%4/4	0%0/4
3	100%4/4	64%7/11
4	100%4/4	0%0/4
5	40%4/10	64%7/11
6	100%3/3	75%9/12
All	79%23/29	55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#	UT VAL-UCSD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Molly Mccluskey		+1.4
2	1-1	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Molly Mccluskey	+1.0
3	2-1	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.1
4	2-2	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Marleena Catalan	+1.0
5	3-2	UCSD	UT VAL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+1.2
6	4-2	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Lani Toutai	+1.7
7	4-3	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.1
8	5-3	UCSD	UT VAL×3	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.3
9	6-3	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Ace	Utah Valley	aced Paulina Baillie	+1.8
10	7-3	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Chloe Hansen		+1.9
11	7-4	UT VAL	UCSD×6	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.2
12	7-5	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Chloe Hansen		+1.7
13	7-6	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner		+1.7
14	7-7	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.6
15	7-8	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.5
16	7-9	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.4
17	8-9	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Lani Toutai	+1.1
18	8-10	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.0
19	9-10	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.1
20	9-11	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+1.1
21	10-11	UCSD	UT VAL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+1.1
22	10-12	UT VAL	UCSD×3	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+1.1
23	10-13	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+1.3
24	10-14		UCSD	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
25	11-14	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.7
26	12-14	UT VAL	UT VAL	Blocked	Molly Mccluskey	blk Miley Thunstrom, Brielle Rueckert	+1.3
27	12-15	UT VAL	UCSD	Serve err	Utah Valley		+1.0
28	12-16	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Miley Thunstrom	+1.1
29	13-16	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Lani Toutai	+0.7
30	14-16	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Lani Toutai	+1.3
31	14-17	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Brynne Mcghie	+1.1
32	14-18	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Miley Thunstrom	+1.2
33	15-18	UCSD	UT VAL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.7
34	15-19	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.9
35	16-19	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.7
36	17-19	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Brynne Mcghie		+1.4
37	17-20	UT VAL	UCSD	Serve err	Utah Valley		+1.3
38	17-21	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Paulina Baillie	+1.2
39	18-21	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.6
40	18-22	UT VAL	UCSD×4	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.9
41	18-23	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Dillyn Griffin	+0.6
42	18-24	UCSD	UCSD×4	Blocked	Alyvia Watkins	blk Ireland Mcnees, Lucia Barroso	+0.2
43	18-25	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Marleena Catalan	·
Set 2
1	1-0	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.8
2	1-1	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Marleena Catalan	+0.7
3	2-1	UCSD	UT VAL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.8
4	2-2	UT VAL	UCSD×5	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.7
5	2-3	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Brielle Rueckert		+0.9
6	2-4	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Madison Johnson		+0.8
7	2-5	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.7
8	2-6	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+0.6
9	3-6	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.4
10	3-7	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.5
11	4-7	UCSD	UT VAL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.4
12	4-8	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.5
13	5-8	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
14	5-9	UT VAL	UCSD×6	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.5
15	5-10	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+0.5
16	5-11	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Molly Mccluskey	+0.4
17	5-12	UCSD	UCSD×6	Blocked	Chloe Hansen	blk Lucia Barroso, Molly Mccluskey	+0.3
18	5-13	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly Mccluskey		+0.2
19	5-14	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner		+0.1
20	6-14	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Miley Thunstrom	+0.1
21	6-15	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
22	6-16	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
23	7-16	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Evalyn Medaris	·
24	7-17	UT VAL	UCSD	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	·
25	8-17	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	·
26	8-18	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	·
27	8-19	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	UC San Diego		·
28	9-19	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	·
29	9-20	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne Mcghie	·
30	10-20	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	·
31	10-21	UT VAL	UCSD×4	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne Mcghie	·
32	10-22	UCSD	UCSD×4	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Lani Toutai	·
33	10-23	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Brynne Mcghie	·
34	10-24	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Gia Rivera		·
35	11-24	UCSD	UT VAL×3	Serve err	UC San Diego		·
36	12-24	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Brynne Mcghie	blk Alyvia Watkins	·
37	13-24	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Evalyn Medaris	·
38	13-25	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	·
Set 3
1	0-1	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.3
2	1-1	UCSD	UT VAL	Blocked	Molly Mccluskey	blk Brielle Rueckert, Miley Thunstrom	+0.3
3	1-2	UT VAL	UCSD	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.3
4	1-3	UCSD	UCSD	Blocked	Miley Thunstrom	blk Brynne Mcghie	+0.4
5	2-3	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.3
6	2-4	UT VAL	UCSD	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.3
7	3-4	UCSD	UT VAL	Attack err	Molly Mccluskey	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.3
8	3-5	UT VAL	UCSD×4	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.3
9	3-6	UCSD	UCSD×4	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner		+0.4
10	3-7	UCSD	UCSD×4	Ace	UC San Diego		+0.3
11	3-8	UCSD	UCSD×4	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.2
12	4-8	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.2
13	4-9	UT VAL	UCSD×3	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.2
14	4-10	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Molly Mccluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.2
15	4-11	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Gia Rivera		+0.1
16	5-11	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Miley Thunstrom	+0.1
17	5-12	UT VAL	UCSD×3	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
18	5-13	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+0.1
19	5-14	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
20	6-14	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	·
21	6-15	UT VAL	UCSD	Attack err	Evalyn Medaris	set Chloe Hansen	·
22	7-15	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	·
23	7-16	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Paulina Baillie	·
24	7-17	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne Mcghie	·
25	8-17	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	·
26	8-18	UT VAL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland Mcnees	set Paulina Baillie	·
27	9-18	UCSD	UT VAL	Serve err	UC San Diego		·
28	9-19	UT VAL	UCSD	Serve err	Utah Valley		·
29	9-20	UCSD	UCSD	Blocked	Bree Carson	blk Brynne Mcghie, Lucia Barroso	·
30	10-20	UCSD	UT VAL×5	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner	·
31	11-20	UT VAL	UT VAL×5	Kill	Alyvia Watkins		·
32	12-20	UT VAL	UT VAL×5	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	·
33	13-20	UT VAL	UT VAL×5	Kill	Bree Carson	set Evalyn Medaris	·
34	14-20	UT VAL	UT VAL×5	Ace	Utah Valley		+0.1
35	14-21	UT VAL	UCSD×3	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne Mcghie	+0.1
36	14-22	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Alyvia Watkins		·
37	14-23	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Bree Carson		·
38	15-23	UCSD	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	·
39	15-24	UT VAL	UCSD	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	·
40	15-25	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Kylie Parker	set Soraya Dennis	·

Score shown after each rally, Utah Valley first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UC San Diego def. Utah Valley 3–0

.423 and 13 kills for Gia Rivera as UC San Diego rolled past Utah Valley.