FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeCAA

Towson def. Saint Peter's 3–0

(25-20, 25-20, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ST PTR	20	20	16	0
TOWSON	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TOWSON above 50 · ST PTR below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Saint Peter's — set 1, ST PTR 20-21 TOWSON. Attack error by Ava Drye. TOWSON win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ST PTR 0.8%99.2% TOWSON

Saint Peter's wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

Towson wins

3-0

75.9%

3-1

20.0%

3-2

3.3%

ST PTR break %: 32.4% vs this opp
TOWSON break %: 50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ava DryeAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Ava Drye
Set 1 · ST PTR 20-21 TOWSON · ST PTR 1% → 1%
02
Elina ArsovAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Elina Arsov
Set 1 · ST PTR 20-22 TOWSON · TOWSON 99% → 99%
03
Addison BaglioAttack error+0.3%
Addison Baglio stuffed by Anna Rice & Malinah Purcell-Telefoni
Set 1 · ST PTR 20-23 TOWSON · TOWSON 99% → 99%
04
ST PTR serverAce+0.2%
Saint Peter's ace on Evi Priniotaki
Set 1 · ST PTR 19-21 TOWSON · ST PTR 1% → 1%
05
Elina ArsovKill+0.2%
Kill by Elina Arsov (set by Alondra Fargas)
Set 1 · ST PTR 2-1 TOWSON · ST PTR 1% → 1%
06
ST PTR serverAce+0.1%
Saint Peter's ace on Team
Set 1 · ST PTR 7-8 TOWSON · ST PTR 1% → 1%
07
ST PTR serverAce+0.1%
Saint Peter's ace on Taylor Pagan
Set 2 · ST PTR 7-6 TOWSON · ST PTR 0% → 1%
08
Anna RiceKill+0.1%
Kill by Anna Rice (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 1 · ST PTR 2-3 TOWSON · TOWSON 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Saint Peter'saway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Victoria PruvostOH	3	9	1	21	.381	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Elina ArsovOH	3	5	5	24	.000	0	1	1	5	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Karolina T. Rodriguez MendezMB	3	4	0	13	.308	0	2	0	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
21Julia WhaleyMB	3	3	1	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
3Alondra FargasS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	1	0	8	0	0	0	2
20Addison BaglioOH	1	1	3	9	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Valeria Pagan MunozOH	3	3	3	18	.000	0	0	2	7	2	1	0.5	3.5
1Indira T. Benitez DumengOPP	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Ioanna VerverakiL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	1	0	6	0	0	0	1
6Meleksu OzmenS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
17Kylee GilbertL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
13Eden HarrisOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Natasha TejadaOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Zumra YavuzS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	14	113	.133	28	5	5	41	2	8	4	56

Towsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Anna RiceOH	3	14	2	26	.462	0	0	1	5	0	4	2	16
6Malinah Purcell-TelefoniOPP	3	11	0	18	.611	0	0	2	5	0	4	2	13
23Clara VorelMB	3	7	0	10	.700	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	9
16Taylor PaganOH	3	6	2	13	.308	0	0	1	9	2	1	0.5	6.5
22Kaitlyn MoranS	3	1	0	2	.500	26	1	0	10	0	0	0	2
14Evi PriniotakiOH	2	1	1	9	.000	1	0	1	8	1	0	0	1
4Ava DryeOPP	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
11Peyton MeyerS	3	1	1	4	.000	17	0	0	4	0	0	0	1
3Natalia PebenitoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	10	0	0	0	1
18Destini PickettOH	2	4	2	11	.182	0	0	1	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Megan PlattL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
1Lilia DuczekMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	11	111	.369	46	2	9	61	5	16	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ST PTR · TOWSON 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 ST PTRTOWSON 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 ST PTRTOWSON 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 ST PTRTOWSON 5

Bars above the line = Towson leads, below = Saint Peter's leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Saint Peter's

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	13%1/8
2	50%8/16	20%2/10
3	53%8/15	33%4/12
4	55%6/11	33%4/12
5	67%6/9	14%1/7
6	45%5/11	33%3/9
All	56%41/73	26%15/58

Towson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%8/8	50%6/12
2	57%8/14	20%2/10
3	100%8/8	50%8/16
4	64%7/11	42%5/12
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	60%6/10	50%6/12
All	74%43/58	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	ST PTR-TOWSON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
2	1-1	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.1
3	2-1	ST PTR	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Alondra Fargas	+0.2
4	2-2	ST PTR	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Elina Arsov		+0.1
5	2-3	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
6	2-4	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
7	2-5	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Elina Arsov	blk Anna Rice, Clara Vorel	+0.1
8	2-6	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
9	3-6	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
10	3-7	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
11	4-7	TOWSON	ST PTR	Bad set	Megan Platt		+0.0
12	5-7	ST PTR	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Kylee Gilbert	+0.1
13	5-8	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
14	6-8	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.1
15	7-8	ST PTR	ST PTR	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Team	+0.1
16	7-9	ST PTR	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Addison Baglio		+0.1
17	7-10	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Bad set	Meleksu Ozmen		+0.1
18	7-11	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
19	8-11	TOWSON	ST PTR	Attack err	Ava Drye		+0.1
20	8-12	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Peyton Meyer	set Evi Priniotaki	+0.1
21	9-12	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.1
22	9-13	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
23	10-13	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.1
24	10-14	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
25	10-15	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Julia Whaley	blk Anna Rice, Clara Vorel	+0.1
26	11-15	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
27	11-16	ST PTR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
28	11-17	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
29	11-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
30	12-18	TOWSON	ST PTR×4	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
31	13-18	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Peyton Meyer		+0.0
32	14-18	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki	blk Indira T. Benitez Dumeng, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	+0.1
33	15-18	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Ava Drye		+0.1
34	15-19	ST PTR	TOWSON	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.1
35	16-19	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.1
36	16-20	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
37	16-21	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Addison Baglio	blk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Ava Drye	+0.1
38	17-21	TOWSON	ST PTR×4	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
39	18-21	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Team	+0.1
40	19-21	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Evi Priniotaki	+0.2
41	20-21	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Ava Drye		+0.3
42	20-22	ST PTR	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Elina Arsov		+0.3
43	20-23	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Addison Baglio	blk Anna Rice, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+0.3
44	20-24	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
45	20-25	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	blk Taylor Pagan, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Valeria Pagan Munoz	+0.1
2	1-1	TOWSON	ST PTR	Attack err	Taylor Pagan	blk Julia Whaley, Victoria Pruvost	+0.1
3	1-2	ST PTR	TOWSON	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.0
4	2-2	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.1
5	2-3	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
6	3-3	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Ioanna Ververaki	+0.1
7	3-4	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
8	4-4	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.1
9	4-5	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
10	5-5	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.1
11	5-6	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
12	6-6	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Valeria Pagan Munoz	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.1
13	7-6	ST PTR	ST PTR	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Taylor Pagan	+0.1
14	7-7	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
15	8-7	TOWSON	ST PTR	Attack err	Anna Rice	blk Julia Whaley, Valeria Pagan Munoz	+0.1
16	8-8	ST PTR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
17	8-9	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Elina Arsov		+0.1
18	8-10	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Megan Platt	+0.1
19	9-10	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.1
20	10-10	ST PTR	ST PTR	Bad set	Kaitlyn Moran		+0.1
21	10-11	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
22	10-12	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Victoria Pruvost	blk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Destini Pickett	+0.1
23	11-12	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.1
24	11-13	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
25	12-13	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Alondra Fargas	+0.1
26	12-14	ST PTR	TOWSON	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.1
27	13-14	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Ioanna Ververaki	+0.1
28	13-15	ST PTR	TOWSON×4	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
29	13-16	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
30	13-17	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
31	13-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz	blk Ava Drye, Clara Vorel	+0.0
32	14-18	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
33	14-19	ST PTR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
34	14-20	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
35	14-21	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz	blk Clara Vorel, Anna Rice	+0.0
36	15-21	TOWSON	ST PTR	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+0.0
37	15-22	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
38	16-22	TOWSON	ST PTR×4	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
39	17-22	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+0.0
40	18-22	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Kill	Alondra Fargas	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
41	19-22	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Taylor Pagan	+0.0
42	19-23	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
43	19-24	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Valeria Pagan Munoz	+0.0
44	20-24	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
45	20-25	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
2	1-1	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
3	1-2	ST PTR	TOWSON	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.0
4	2-2	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
5	2-3	ST PTR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
6	2-4	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni		+0.0
7	2-5	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
8	3-5	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
9	3-6	ST PTR	TOWSON	Bad set	Valeria Pagan Munoz		+0.0
10	3-7	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Elina Arsov	+0.0
11	4-7	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.0
12	4-8	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
13	5-8	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Valeria Pagan Munoz	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.0
14	5-9	ST PTR	TOWSON	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz		+0.0
15	6-9	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.0
16	6-10	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Kaitlyn Moran	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
17	7-10	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Valeria Pagan Munoz	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
18	8-10	ST PTR	ST PTR	Attack err	Anna Rice	blk Julia Whaley, Elina Arsov	+0.0
19	8-11	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
20	8-12	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Valeria Pagan Munoz	+0.0
21	9-12	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
22	9-13	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
23	9-14	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni		+0.0
24	10-14	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
25	10-15	ST PTR	TOWSON×5	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
26	10-16	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Ava Drye	set Natalia Pebenito	+0.0
27	10-17	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Elina Arsov		+0.0
28	10-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
29	10-19	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
30	11-19	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
31	11-20	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
32	12-20	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
33	12-21	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0
34	13-21	TOWSON	ST PTR	Attack err	Taylor Pagan		+0.0
35	13-22	ST PTR	TOWSON	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.0
36	14-22	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.0
37	14-23	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
38	15-23	TOWSON	ST PTR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.0
39	15-24	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
40	16-24	TOWSON	ST PTR	Kill	Eden Harris	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.0
41	16-25	ST PTR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Saint Peter's first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.