FinalTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwayCIAA

0:3

HomeMEAC

South Carolina St. def. Claflin 3–0

(25-23, 25-12, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CLAFLN	23	12	23	0
SC ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SC ST above 50 · CLAFLN below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to South Carolina St. — set 1, CLAFLN 23-24 SC ST. Taylor Miller stuffed by De'Oni McPhearson. SC ST win probability 53% → 63%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CLAFLN 44.9%55.1% SC ST

Claflin wins

3-0

10.5%

3-1

16.6%

3-2

17.8%

South Carolina St. wins

3-0

14.7%

3-1

20.9%

3-2

19.5%

CLAFLN break %: 44.7% vs this opp
SC ST break %: 45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Taylor MillerAttack error+9.7%
Taylor Miller stuffed by De'Oni McPhearson
Set 1 · CLAFLN 23-24 SC ST · SC ST 53% → 63%
02
Zaniya HarrisAttack error+9.5%
Attack error by Zaniya Harris
Set 1 · CLAFLN 23-25 SC ST · SC ST 63% → 72%
03
Ki'ra WrightAttack error+7.6%
Ki'ra Wright stuffed by Taylor Miller
Set 1 · CLAFLN 23-22 SC ST · CLAFLN 45% → 53%
04
Aryanna ConnellAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Aryanna Connell
Set 1 · CLAFLN 21-22 SC ST · SC ST 54% → 60%
05
Ki'ra WrightKill+6.1%
Kill by Ki'ra Wright (set by Macey McCoy)
Set 1 · CLAFLN 23-23 SC ST · SC ST 47% → 53%
06
Ki'ra WrightKill+5.9%
Kill by Ki'ra Wright (set by Arianna James)
Set 3 · CLAFLN 23-24 SC ST · SC ST 88% → 94%
07
Kenna HarrisKill+5.8%
Kill by Kenna Harris (set by Arianna James)
Set 3 · CLAFLN 23-25 SC ST · SC ST 94% → 100%
08
Macey McCoyBad set+5.1%
Bad set by Macey McCoy
Set 1 · CLAFLN 22-22 SC ST · CLAFLN 40% → 45%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Claflinaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Zaniya HarrisOH	3	13	6	28	.250	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
9Aryanna ConnellOH	3	6	4	18	.111	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
21Monica BurnsMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4
11Taylor MillerMB	3	1	1	5	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
1Nadia EmbryS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
25Jamila LewisMB	2	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
2Joi TinsleyOH	3	1	0	2	.500	11	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
18Jadah RasoolDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	1
15Nala CalvinOH	3	0	1	5	-.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Abigail WattsDS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	1	7	1	0	0	0	0
8Grayson GrahamOH	2	0	2	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Nylah HolmesL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
13Danielle DaisOH	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
16Mya SumterOH	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	20	88	.114	28	2	4	31	4	1	2	2	58

South Carolina St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Kenna HarrisOH	3	11	3	18	.444	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
3Amani HawkinsOH	3	10	2	21	.381	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	10
7Taelyn GrahamMB	3	7	0	14	.500	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	8
1Ki'ra WrightL/DS	3	6	3	12	.250	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	0	7
4De'Oni McPhearsonMB	3	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	3.5
6Macey McCoyS	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
5Hedia LewisOH	3	8	2	14	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
19Arianna JamesS	3	2	0	5	.400	20	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	2
14Jordan DallandL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
20Chloe NealL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
17Carra Pierre-LouisOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Jade RobinsonMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Kiyla MightyS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	12	93	.366	40	4	11	35	2	3	2	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 CLAFLN · SC ST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 CLAFLNSC ST 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 CLAFLNSC ST 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 2 CLAFLNSC ST 4

Bars above the line = South Carolina St. leads, below = Claflin leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Claflin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	22%2/9
2	73%8/11	20%2/10
3	57%8/14	20%2/10
4	54%7/13	20%2/10
5	50%5/10	50%7/14
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	56%41/73	28%17/60

South Carolina St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	54%7/13
2	80%8/10	47%7/15
3	80%8/10	33%4/12
4	67%8/12	47%7/15
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	71%5/7	38%3/8
All	72%43/60	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	CLAFLN-SC ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	Kenna Harris		+2.4
2	1-1	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+1.9
3	2-1	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Monica Burns	set Nadia Embry	+2.0
4	2-2	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+2.0
5	3-2	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+2.0
6	4-2	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	Ki'ra Wright		+2.5
7	4-3	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	De'Oni McPhearson	set Macey McCoy	+2.0
8	5-3	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Jamila Lewis	set Nadia Embry	+2.1
9	5-4	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Arianna James	+2.0
10	6-4	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Joi Tinsley	+2.2
11	7-4	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Aryanna Connell	set Joi Tinsley	+2.6
12	7-5	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+1.9
13	8-5	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+2.2
14	8-6	CLAFLN	SC ST×4	Serve err	CLAFLN server		+2.0
15	8-7	SC ST	SC ST×4	Attack err	Mya Sumter		+2.6
16	8-8	SC ST	SC ST×4	Attack err	Monica Burns		+2.8
17	8-9	SC ST	SC ST×4	Kill	Taelyn Graham		+2.8
18	9-9	SC ST	CLAFLN	Attack err	Amani Hawkins		+2.4
19	10-9	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Jamila Lewis	set Nylah Holmes	+3.0
20	10-10	CLAFLN	SC ST	Attack err	Mya Sumter		+2.4
21	11-10	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Aryanna Connell	set Nadia Embry	+2.6
22	11-11	CLAFLN	SC ST	Attack err	Jamila Lewis		+2.5
23	12-11	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+2.6
24	12-12	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+2.6
25	13-12	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Arianna James	+2.8
26	13-13	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Arianna James	+2.7
27	14-13	SC ST	CLAFLN×3	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Joi Tinsley	+2.9
28	15-13	CLAFLN	CLAFLN×3	Ace	CLAFLN server	aced Amani Hawkins	+3.5
29	16-13	CLAFLN	CLAFLN×3	Bad set	Hedia Lewis		+3.3
30	16-14	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Arianna James		+2.4
31	16-15	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+3.4
32	17-15	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Aryanna Connell	set Joi Tinsley	+3.2
33	18-15	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nala Calvin	+3.6
34	18-16	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Arianna James		+2.5
35	19-16	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Aryanna Connell	set Abigail Watts	+3.1
36	19-17	CLAFLN	SC ST×3	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+2.5
37	19-18	SC ST	SC ST×3	Ace	SC ST server	aced Zaniya Harris	+3.9
38	19-19	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Aryanna Connell		+4.6
39	20-19	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+4.2
40	20-20	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Macey McCoy	set Macey McCoy	+4.1
41	21-20	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Monica Burns	set Nadia Embry	+4.6
42	21-21	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+4.5
43	21-22	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Aryanna Connell		+6.3
44	22-22	SC ST	CLAFLN	Bad set	Macey McCoy		+5.1
45	23-22	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	Ki'ra Wright	blk Taylor Miller	+7.6
46	23-23	CLAFLN	SC ST×3	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+6.1
47	23-24	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Taylor Miller	blk De'Oni McPhearson	+9.7
48	23-25	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Zaniya Harris		+9.5
Set 2
1	0-1	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Jamila Lewis	blk Kenna Harris, De'Oni McPhearson	+2.2
2	0-2	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Aryanna Connell		+2.2
3	0-3	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Zaniya Harris		+2.1
4	1-3	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.6
5	1-4	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Monica Burns	+1.8
6	1-5	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Zaniya Harris	blk De'Oni McPhearson	+2.0
7	2-5	SC ST	CLAFLN	Attack err	Kenna Harris		+1.5
8	2-6	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+1.7
9	3-6	SC ST	CLAFLN	Attack err	Kenna Harris	blk Zaniya Harris, Taylor Miller	+1.5
10	3-7	CLAFLN	SC ST×5	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+1.7
11	3-8	SC ST	SC ST×5	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+1.8
12	3-9	SC ST	SC ST×5	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.6
13	3-10	SC ST	SC ST×5	Ace	SC ST server	aced Team	+1.3
14	3-11	SC ST	SC ST×5	Attack err	Nala Calvin		+1.0
15	4-11	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+0.7
16	5-11	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	Hedia Lewis		+1.0
17	5-12	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Macey McCoy	+1.1
18	6-12	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Danielle Dais	set Joi Tinsley	+0.8
19	6-13	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Danielle Dais	+1.1
20	7-13	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Danielle Dais	set Joi Tinsley	+0.8
21	7-14	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Macey McCoy	+1.0
22	7-15	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+0.9
23	8-15	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+0.5
24	8-16	CLAFLN	SC ST	Serve err	CLAFLN server		+0.7
25	8-17	SC ST	SC ST	Ace	SC ST server	aced Abigail Watts	+0.6
26	9-17	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+0.3
27	9-18	CLAFLN	SC ST×4	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+0.4
28	9-19	SC ST	SC ST×4	Attack err	Zaniya Harris	blk Taelyn Graham	+0.3
29	9-20	SC ST	SC ST×4	Attack err	Zaniya Harris		+0.2
30	9-21	SC ST	SC ST×4	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Kiyla Mighty	+0.1
31	10-21	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+0.0
32	10-22	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Kiyla Mighty	+0.0
33	11-22	SC ST	CLAFLN	Attack err	Amani Hawkins		+0.0
34	12-22	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Aryanna Connell	set Nadia Embry	+0.0
35	12-23	CLAFLN	SC ST×3	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Amani Hawkins	+0.0
36	12-24	SC ST	SC ST×3	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+0.0
37	12-25	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Aryanna Connell		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+1.2
2	1-1	SC ST	CLAFLN	Attack err	De'Oni McPhearson		+1.2
3	2-1	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Monica Burns		+1.5
4	2-2	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+1.2
5	3-2	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+1.2
6	3-3	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+1.2
7	3-4	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Macey McCoy	+1.5
8	4-4	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+1.3
9	5-4	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Ace	CLAFLN server	aced Ki'ra Wright	+1.6
10	5-5	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Macey McCoy	+1.3
11	6-5	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.3
12	7-5	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	Ki'ra Wright		+1.6
13	7-6	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+1.3
14	8-6	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Aryanna Connell	set Joi Tinsley	+1.4
15	8-7	CLAFLN	SC ST	Attack err	Monica Burns		+1.3
16	9-7	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Monica Burns	set Joi Tinsley	+1.4
17	9-8	CLAFLN	SC ST	Attack err	Grayson Graham		+1.4
18	10-8	SC ST	CLAFLN	Attack err	Amani Hawkins		+1.5
19	10-9	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+1.4
20	10-10	SC ST	SC ST	Ace	SC ST server	aced Jadah Rasool	+1.8
21	11-10	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+1.6
22	11-11	CLAFLN	SC ST	Serve err	CLAFLN server		+1.5
23	12-11	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Nadia Embry	+1.6
24	12-12	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Macey McCoy	+1.6
25	13-12	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Joi Tinsley	+1.7
26	13-13	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Macey McCoy	+1.7
27	14-13	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Joi Tinsley	set Abigail Watts	+1.8
28	15-13	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	Hedia Lewis		+2.1
29	15-14	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Macey McCoy	+1.6
30	16-14	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.8
31	16-15	CLAFLN	SC ST×4	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+1.7
32	16-16	SC ST	SC ST×4	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+2.3
33	16-17	SC ST	SC ST×4	Attack err	Grayson Graham		+2.4
34	16-18	SC ST	SC ST×4	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+2.4
35	17-18	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.8
36	18-18	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Attack err	De'Oni McPhearson		+2.6
37	18-19	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+2.3
38	19-19	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+2.3
39	20-19	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Jadah Rasool	set Taylor Miller	+3.1
40	20-20	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+2.5
41	20-21	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Zaniya Harris		+3.4
42	21-21	SC ST	CLAFLN	Serve err	SC ST server		+2.8
43	21-22	CLAFLN	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+3.2
44	22-22	SC ST	CLAFLN	Kill	Zaniya Harris	set Joi Tinsley	+3.1
45	23-22	CLAFLN	CLAFLN	Kill	Taylor Miller	set Joi Tinsley	+4.7
46	23-23	CLAFLN	SC ST×3	Serve err	CLAFLN server		+3.7
47	23-24	SC ST	SC ST×3	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Arianna James	+5.9
48	23-25	SC ST	SC ST×3	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Arianna James	+5.8

Score shown after each rally, Claflin first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.