CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 16, 2026

Claflin def. South Carolina St. 31

(26-24, 21-25, 25-23, 25-21)
Set1234Sets
SC ST242523211
CLAFLN262125253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CLAFLN above 50 · SC ST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100CLAFLNSC STBiggest swing +12.3% CLAFLN · S3 23-25rally 190 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.3% to Claflin — set 3, SC ST 23-25 CLAFLN. Kill by Aryanna Connell (set by Joi Tinsley). CLAFLN win probability 67%79%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SC ST 40.7%59.3% CLAFLN

South Carolina St. wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.9%

Claflin wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%
SC ST break %
44.3% vs this opp
CLAFLN break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Aryanna ConnellKill+12.3%

    Kill by Aryanna Connell (set by Joi Tinsley)

    Set 3 · SC ST 23-25 CLAFLN · CLAFLN 67%79%

  2. 02
    Zaniya HarrisKill+10.5%

    Kill by Zaniya Harris (set by Joi Tinsley)

    Set 3 · SC ST 23-24 CLAFLN · CLAFLN 56%67%

  3. 03
    SC ST serverAce+9.6%

    South Carolina St. ace on Jadah Rasool

    Set 3 · SC ST 23-23 CLAFLN · SC ST 34%44%

  4. 04
    Ki'ra WrightKill+9.4%

    Kill by Ki'ra Wright (set by Macey McCoy)

    Set 1 · SC ST 24-24 CLAFLN · SC ST 32%41%

  5. 05
    Joi TinsleyKill+9.1%

    Kill by Joi Tinsley (set by Abigail Watts)

    Set 1 · SC ST 24-26 CLAFLN · CLAFLN 66%76%

  6. 06
    Ki'ra WrightAttack error+7.8%

    Ki'ra Wright stuffed by Taylor Miller

    Set 1 · SC ST 24-25 CLAFLN · CLAFLN 59%66%

  7. 07
    Zaniya HarrisKill+6.5%

    Kill by Zaniya Harris (set by Nadia Embry)

    Set 3 · SC ST 21-23 CLAFLN · CLAFLN 64%71%

  8. 08
    SC ST serverService error+6.0%

    South Carolina St. service error

    Set 4 · SC ST 21-23 CLAFLN · CLAFLN 86%92%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414527.3330002000014
48730.03331410010110
45110.40000010010.55.5
4439.111000101015
4003.0002321600002
312430.2670002100012
45723-.08700050010.55.5
41011.0003311610004
4001.0002321600002
4001.0000211010002
1214.250011000003
1136-.333000000001
Team totals5231145.1455211959422393
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414539.231021102010.516.5
49422.22700130456.515.5
47112.5000000034512
47430.1000212104211
4002.0002400100000
34218.111100200215
4204.5001603400002
4135-.400100000001
41011.000000510001
41011.000000300001
4003.0002012260000
33211.091000300214
2000000100000
Team totals4921148.189444756117181697

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 SC ST · CLAFLN 7

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 SC STCLAFLN 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 SC STCLAFLN 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 8 SC STCLAFLN 7

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 SC STCLAFLN 4

Bars above the line = Claflin leads, below = South Carolina St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

South Carolina St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
40%6/15
2
60%9/15
50%10/20
3
75%9/12
36%5/14
4
44%7/16
47%8/17
5
50%7/14
46%6/13
6
44%7/16
53%8/15
All
52%50/96
46%43/94

Claflin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
44%7/16
2
50%9/18
59%13/22
3
50%9/18
36%5/14
4
60%9/15
36%5/14
5
50%7/14
61%11/18
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
54%51/94
48%46/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

190 rallies

Rally log

#SC ST-CLAFLNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SC STSC STAceSC ST serveraced Abigail Watts+2.3
21-1SC STCLAFLNAttack errAmani Hawkins+1.9
31-2CLAFLNCLAFLNKillJamila Lewisset Nadia Embry+2.3
42-2CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+1.9
52-3SC STCLAFLN×3Serve errSC ST server+1.9
62-4CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errKi'ra Wright+2.3
72-5CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errKi'ra Wrightblk Taylor Miller, Jamila Lewis+2.2
83-5CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Macey McCoy+1.7
94-5SC STSC STAceSC ST serveraced Zaniya Harris+2.3
104-6SC STCLAFLNServe errSC ST server+2.0
115-6CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Macey McCoy+2.0
125-7SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Joi Tinsley+2.0
136-7CLAFLNSC STKillHedia Lewisset Arianna James+2.0
147-7SC STSC STKillTaelyn Grahamset Arianna James+2.6
157-8SC STCLAFLNKillNala Calvinset Joi Tinsley+2.2
168-8CLAFLNSC ST×4KillTaelyn Grahamset Arianna James+2.2
179-8SC STSC ST×4KillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+2.9
1810-8SC STSC ST×4Attack errNala Calvin+2.9
1911-8SC STSC ST×4KillHedia Lewisset Arianna James+2.8
2011-9SC STCLAFLN×3KillAryanna Connellset Joi Tinsley+2.1
2111-10CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errHedia Lewisblk Monica Burns, Aryanna Connell+2.8
2211-11CLAFLNCLAFLN×3KillJamila Lewisset Nadia Embry+3.0
2312-11CLAFLNSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Arianna James+2.6
2412-12SC STCLAFLN×3KillMya Sumter+2.6
2512-13CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errKenna Harrisblk Monica Burns+3.2
2612-14CLAFLNCLAFLN×3KillZaniya Harris+3.1
2713-14CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+2.5
2813-15SC STCLAFLNKillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+2.7
2914-15CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Macey McCoy+2.5
3014-16SC STCLAFLNAttack errKenna Harris+2.8
3114-17CLAFLNCLAFLNKillTaylor Millerset Nadia Embry+3.1
3215-17CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Macey McCoy+2.2
3315-18SC STCLAFLNAttack errHedia Lewis+2.7
3416-18CLAFLNSC STAttack errNala Calvin+2.3
3517-18SC STSC STAttack errAryanna Connellblk Taelyn Graham, Hedia Lewis+3.5
3617-19SC STCLAFLNServe errSC ST server+3.3
3718-19CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+3.0
3818-20SC STCLAFLNKillAryanna Connellset Joi Tinsley+3.6
3919-20CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+3.2
4019-21SC STCLAFLNKillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+3.9
4120-21CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+3.4
4220-22SC STCLAFLNKillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+4.3
4320-23CLAFLNCLAFLNKillJadah Rasoolset Macey McCoy+4.1
4421-23CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Macey McCoy+2.1
4522-23SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Jordan Dalland+4.4
4622-24SC STCLAFLNKillJamila Lewisset Nadia Embry+5.7
4723-24CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Macey McCoy+3.4
4824-24SC STSC STKillKi'ra Wrightset Macey McCoy+9.4
4924-25SC STCLAFLNAttack errKi'ra Wrightblk Taylor Miller+7.8
5024-26CLAFLNCLAFLNKillJoi Tinsleyset Abigail Watts+9.1
Set 2
11-0CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+1.8
21-1SC STCLAFLNKillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+1.7
32-1CLAFLNSC STKillKi'ra Wrightset Arianna James+1.8
42-2SC STCLAFLN×3Bad setKi'ra Wright+1.8
52-3CLAFLNCLAFLN×3KillZaniya Harrisset Jamila Lewis+2.2
62-4CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errKi'ra Wrightblk Jamila Lewis, Taylor Miller+2.1
73-4CLAFLNSC ST×6KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+1.7
84-4SC STSC ST×6Attack errJamila Lewis+2.2
95-4SC STSC ST×6KillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Ki'ra Wright+2.3
106-4SC STSC ST×6KillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Jordan Dalland+2.4
117-4SC STSC ST×6Attack errJamila Lewis+2.3
128-4SC STSC ST×6Attack errTaylor Miller+2.2
138-5SC STCLAFLNKillJamila Lewisset Nadia Embry+1.6
149-5CLAFLNSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+1.9
159-6SC STCLAFLNServe errSC ST server+1.7
1610-6CLAFLNSC ST×4Attack errNala Calvin+1.9
1711-6SC STSC ST×4Attack errAryanna Connell+2.1
1812-6SC STSC ST×4AceSC ST serveraced Abigail Watts+1.8
1913-6SC STSC ST×4AceSC ST serveraced Abigail Watts+1.5
2013-7SC STCLAFLNKillTaylor Millerset Joi Tinsley+0.9
2114-7CLAFLNSC STKillTaelyn Grahamset Macey McCoy+1.2
2214-8SC STCLAFLNServe errSC ST server+0.9
2314-9CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errKenna Harrisblk Monica Burns+1.4
2415-9CLAFLNSC STKillTaelyn Grahamset Arianna James+1.5
2515-10SC STCLAFLNKillAryanna Connellset Nadia Embry+1.1
2615-11CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errKi'ra Wrightblk Grayson Graham, Monica Burns+1.7
2716-11CLAFLNSC ST×3KillKi'ra Wrightset Arianna James+1.8
2817-11SC STSC ST×3Attack errZaniya Harris+1.8
2918-11SC STSC ST×3Attack errMonica Burnsblk Ki'ra Wright+1.3
3018-12SC STCLAFLNAttack errGrayson Graham+0.7
3119-12CLAFLNSC STKillKi'ra Wrightset Arianna James+1.0
3219-13SC STCLAFLN×4Serve errSC ST server+0.6
3319-14CLAFLNCLAFLN×4KillTaylor Millerset Joi Tinsley+1.1
3419-15CLAFLNCLAFLN×4KillTaylor Millerset Abigail Watts+1.6
3519-16CLAFLNCLAFLN×4Attack errDe'Oni McPhearsonblk Taylor Miller+2.1
3620-16CLAFLNSC ST×3KillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy+2.4
3721-16SC STSC ST×3AceSC ST serveraced Abigail Watts+2.2
3822-16SC STSC ST×3Attack errZaniya Harris+1.3
3922-17SC STCLAFLNAttack errAmani Hawkins+0.5
4022-18CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errHedia Lewisblk Aryanna Connell, Taylor Miller+1.1
4123-18CLAFLNSC STServe errCLAFLN server+1.5
4223-19SC STCLAFLNKillJoi Tinsleyset Abigail Watts+0.6
4323-20CLAFLNCLAFLNKillMonica Burnsset Joi Tinsley+1.4
4424-20CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+2.2
4524-21SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Joi Tinsley+0.7
4625-21CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+1.6
Set 3
11-0SC STSC ST×4Bad setNadia Embry+3.2
22-0SC STSC ST×4Attack errAryanna Connell+3.2
33-0SC STSC ST×4AceSC ST serveraced Team+3.2
44-0SC STSC ST×4AceSC ST serveraced Zaniya Harris+3.1
54-1SC STCLAFLN×7KillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+2.3
64-2CLAFLNCLAFLN×7AceCLAFLN serveraced Jordan Dalland+3.0
74-3CLAFLNCLAFLN×7KillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+3.2
84-4CLAFLNCLAFLN×7Attack errJessika Martinez+3.3
94-5CLAFLNCLAFLN×7KillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+3.3
104-6CLAFLNCLAFLN×7AceCLAFLN serveraced Team+3.3
114-7CLAFLNCLAFLN×7KillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+3.1
125-7CLAFLNSC STKillTaelyn Grahamset Arianna James+2.4
135-8SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+2.6
146-8CLAFLNSC STKillKi'ra Wrightset Arianna James+2.5
157-8SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+3.4
167-9SC STCLAFLNBad setChloe Neal+2.9
178-9CLAFLNSC STServe errCLAFLN server+2.8
188-10SC STCLAFLN×4KillZaniya Harrisset Joi Tinsley+3.0
198-11CLAFLNCLAFLN×4KillAryanna Connellset Joi Tinsley+3.4
208-12CLAFLNCLAFLN×4AceCLAFLN serveraced Chloe Neal+3.1
218-13CLAFLNCLAFLN×4Attack errDe'Oni McPhearson+2.6
229-13CLAFLNSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+1.8
239-14SC STCLAFLNServe errSC ST server+2.2
249-15CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errHedia Lewisblk Monica Burns, Aryanna Connell+2.1
2510-15CLAFLNSC STServe errCLAFLN server+1.3
2610-16SC STCLAFLN×4KillMonica Burnsset Joi Tinsley+1.7
2710-17CLAFLNCLAFLN×4Attack errJessika Martinezblk Monica Burns, Grayson Graham+1.5
2810-18CLAFLNCLAFLN×4Attack errHedia Lewis+1.0
2910-19CLAFLNCLAFLN×4KillGrayson Grahamset Nadia Embry+0.6
3011-19CLAFLNSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy+0.3
3112-19SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.5
3212-20SC STCLAFLNKillGrayson Grahamset Nadia Embry+0.7
3312-21CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errJessika Martinez+0.4
3413-21CLAFLNSC ST×8Serve errCLAFLN server+0.2
3514-21SC STSC ST×8KillKenna Harrisset Jordan Dalland+0.3
3615-21SC STSC ST×8Attack errGrayson Graham+0.6
3716-21SC STSC ST×8AceSC ST serveraced Abigail Watts+1.0
3817-21SC STSC ST×8Attack errZaniya Harris+1.6
3918-21SC STSC ST×8KillKi'ra Wrightset Arianna James+2.5
4019-21SC STSC ST×8Attack errMonica Burns+3.8
4120-21SC STSC ST×8Attack errMonica Burns+5.5
4220-22SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+5.8
4321-22CLAFLNSC STKillKi'ra Wrightset Arianna James+4.8
4421-23SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+6.5
4522-23CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+4.9
4623-23SC STSC STAceSC ST serveraced Jadah Rasool+9.6
4723-24SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Joi Tinsley+10.5
4823-25CLAFLNCLAFLNKillAryanna Connellset Joi Tinsley+12.3
Set 4
11-0CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.4
21-1SC STCLAFLNAttack errKi'ra Wrightblk Monica Burns+2.4
32-1CLAFLNSC STAttack errZaniya Harris+2.5
42-2SC STCLAFLNAttack errKi'ra Wright+2.4
53-2CLAFLNSC STServe errCLAFLN server+2.5
64-2SC STSC STAttack errZaniya Harrisblk De'Oni McPhearson+3.1
74-3SC STCLAFLNKillTaylor Millerset Nadia Embry+2.4
85-3CLAFLNSC STServe errCLAFLN server+2.6
95-4SC STCLAFLN×3KillTaylor Millerset Joi Tinsley+2.5
105-5CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errHedia Lewisblk Taylor Miller, Aryanna Connell+3.1
115-6CLAFLNCLAFLN×3KillTaylor Millerset Joi Tinsley+3.2
126-6CLAFLNSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+2.7
137-6SC STSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+3.4
147-7SC STCLAFLNAttack errAmani Hawkins+2.7
157-8CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errTaelyn Grahamblk Monica Burns+3.4
168-8CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Ki'ra Wright+2.8
178-9SC STCLAFLNKillAryanna Connellset Nala Calvin+2.8
189-9CLAFLNSC ST×3Attack errGrayson Graham+2.9
1910-9SC STSC ST×3AceSC ST serveraced Aryanna Connell+3.7
2011-9SC STSC ST×3Attack errMonica Burns+3.8
2111-10SC STCLAFLNKillGrayson Grahamset Nadia Embry+2.9
2212-10CLAFLNSC STKillKenna Harrisset Ki'ra Wright+3.2
2312-11SC STCLAFLNKillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+3.0
2413-11CLAFLNSC STBad setNadia Embry+3.3
2513-12SC STCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Nadia Embry+3.1
2613-13CLAFLNCLAFLNKillZaniya Harrisset Joi Tinsley+4.0
2714-13CLAFLNSC ST×3Serve errCLAFLN server+3.6
2815-13SC STSC ST×3KillKi'ra Wrightset Macey McCoy+4.4
2916-13SC STSC ST×3KillJordan Dallandset Macey McCoy+4.2
3016-14SC STCLAFLN×4Serve errSC ST server+3.0
3116-15CLAFLNCLAFLN×4AceCLAFLN serveraced Amani Hawkins+4.2
3216-16CLAFLNCLAFLN×4KillAryanna Connellset Macey McCoy+4.7
3316-17CLAFLNCLAFLN×4Attack errDe'Oni McPhearsonblk Taylor Miller+4.9
3417-17CLAFLNSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Macey McCoy+4.0
3518-17SC STSC STAttack errAryanna Connell+5.3
3618-18SC STCLAFLN×3Attack errTaelyn Graham+4.3
3718-19CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errHedia Lewis+5.6
3818-20CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errAmani Hawkins+5.4
3919-20CLAFLNSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+4.0
4019-21SC STCLAFLNAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis+4.8
4119-22CLAFLNCLAFLNAttack errKenna Harris+4.9
4220-22CLAFLNSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+2.9
4321-22SC STSC STAceSC ST serveraced Abigail Watts+5.3
4421-23SC STCLAFLN×3Serve errSC ST server+6.0
4521-24CLAFLNCLAFLN×3Attack errKenna Harrisblk Zaniya Harris, Monica Burns+5.3
4621-25CLAFLNCLAFLN×3KillMonica Burnsset Nadia Embry+2.2

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.