Final · 5 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Morgan St. def. South Carolina St. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Morgan St. 79.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Morgan St. won at South Carolina St. 3-2 (23-25, 25-17, 21-25, 25-18, 15-13) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Michaela Panekova led Morgan St. with 12 kills; South Carolina St.'s Jessika Martinez had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set12345Sets
MORGAN23252125153
SC ST25172518132

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Morgan St. finished off South Carolina St. 15–13 in the fifth.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Morgan St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Morgan St. 80% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Morgan St. 22–22 South Carolina St.

    South Carolina St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.

    Morgan St. 76% → 59%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Morgan St. 0–1 South Carolina St.

    Down 0–1, Morgan St. scored 3 straight to lead 3–1.

    Morgan St. 57% → 78%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Morgan St. 12–10 South Carolina St.

    3 straight South Carolina St. points turned a 10–12 deficit into a 13–12 lead. The match swung to South Carolina St.

    Morgan St. 84% → 38%

South Carolina St. above 50Morgan St. belowMax swing 24.6%

Morgan St.South Carolina St.

Sideout %
Morgan St. 66.3·South Carolina St. 59.6
Break %
Morgan St. 40.4·South Carolina St. 33.7
Hitting
Morgan St. .173·South Carolina St. .167
Longest run
Morgan St. 6·South Carolina St. 5

Michaela Panekova
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .290, 13 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Carolina St. above 50 · Morgan St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+24.6% MORGANrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 24.6% to Morgan St. — set 5, MORGAN 14-13 SC ST. Morgan St. ace. SC ST win probability 46% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MORGAN 85.2%14.8% SC ST

Morgan St. wins

3-0
37.3%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.5%

South Carolina St. wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.7%
3-2
7.9%
MORGAN break %
48.3% vs this opp
SC ST break %
40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Morgan St.Ace+24.6%

    Morgan St. ace

    Set 5 · MORGAN 14-13 SC ST · MORGAN 54% → 79%

  2. 02
    Isabelle BrownBad set+21.5%

    Bad set by Isabelle Brown

    Set 5 · MORGAN 12-13 SC ST · SC ST 40% → 62%

  3. 03
    Jessika MartinezAttack error+21.3%

    Attack error by Jessika Martinez

    Set 5 · MORGAN 15-13 SC ST · MORGAN 79% → 100%

  4. 04
    Tre'Niya MillerAttack error+16.1%

    Attack error by Tre'Niya Miller

    Set 5 · MORGAN 12-12 SC ST · SC ST 24% → 40%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+16.0%

    Point Morgan St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · MORGAN 13-13 SC ST · MORGAN 38% → 54%

  6. 06
    South Carolina St.Ace+10.0%

    South Carolina St. ace on Michaela Panekova

    Set 5 · MORGAN 11-10 SC ST · SC ST 16% → 26%

  7. 07
    Jada WilliamsKill+9.9%

    Kill by Jada Williams (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 5 · MORGAN 12-10 SC ST · MORGAN 74% → 84%

  8. 08
    Nathalia MoraisAttack error+8.5%

    Attack error by Nathalia Morais

    Set 5 · MORGAN 12-11 SC ST · SC ST 16% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512331.2902026210113
5228.000132204049
58321.238101800008
54313.077231711018
50012.0002532600003
4419.333000400004
5002.0002001200000
5001.000103800000
3607.857000400006
33613-.231000000003
3004.000511100001
23112.167100101014
1000–000000000
Team totals4219133.173401012595707109
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514632.2501010300014
5427.286100503037
55315.133000100005
51212-.0831620100003
5000–201310000
2203.667301300002
510531.1610015110111
511529.2070003100011
5001.000115500001
5017-.1432011820000
41011.0911710100002
4003.000410000001
3204.500101300002
1001.000000300000
Team totals5024156.16748511511040498

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Morgan St. vs South Carolina St.

Season series · Morgan St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MORGAN · SC ST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 2 MORGANSC ST 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 MORGANSC ST 2

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 MORGANSC ST 5

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 6 MORGANSC ST 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 3 MORGANSC ST 3

Bars above the line = South Carolina St. leads, below = Morgan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morgan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
40%6/15
2
77%10/13
33%5/15
3
56%9/16
29%4/14
4
75%9/12
50%9/18
5
69%9/13
25%3/12
6
64%7/11
60%12/20
All
65%55/85
41%39/94

South Carolina St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
53%10/19
2
71%10/14
15%2/13
3
60%9/15
44%7/16
4
53%9/17
31%4/13
5
75%9/12
18%2/11
6
35%7/20
38%5/13
All
59%55/94
35%30/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#MORGAN-SC STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Michaela Panekova+1.3
21-1MORGANSC STAttack errMichaela Panekova+1.4
32-1SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+1.3
42-2MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Ki'ra Wright+1.4
53-2SC STMORGANAttack errDe'Oni McPhearson+1.3
64-2MORGANMORGANAttack errJessika Martinez+1.6
74-3MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Ki'ra Wright+1.3
85-3SC STMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset De'Oni McPhearson+1.3
95-4MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+1.3
106-4SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.3
116-5MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Kiyla Mighty+1.3
126-6SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Michaela Panekova+1.9
137-6SC STMORGANKillChloe Scottset Isabelle Brown+1.5
148-6MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Amani Hawkins+1.8
158-7MORGANSC STBad setJada Williams+1.4
168-8SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Jordan Dalland+2.0
179-8SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+1.6
1810-8MORGANMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Michaela Panekova+1.9
1910-9MORGANSC STAttack errTyrah Weems+1.5
2010-10SC STSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Taelyn Graham+2.2
2111-10SC STMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Isabelle Brown+1.7
2211-11MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+1.8
2311-12SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Kiyla Mighty+2.6
2412-12SC STMORGANBad setKi'ra Wright+1.9
2512-13MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+2.1
2613-13SC STMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Nathalia Morais+2.0
2713-14MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+2.3
2814-14SC STMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+2.1
2915-14MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Jada Williams+2.6
3015-15MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Kiyla Mighty+2.2
3116-15SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+2.2
3216-16MORGANSC ST×3KillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+2.3
3316-17SC STSC ST×3Attack errMichaela Panekova+3.3
3416-18SC STSC ST×3KillTaelyn Grahamset De'Oni McPhearson+3.5
3517-18SC STMORGANAttack errJessika Martinez+2.4
3617-19MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+3.1
3718-19SC STMORGANBad setTaelyn Graham+2.6
3819-19MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Jessika Martinez+3.6
3919-20MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+3.4
4020-20SC STMORGANBad setDe'Oni McPhearson+3.1
4120-21MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Kiyla Mighty+3.7
4220-22SC STSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Kiyla Mighty+5.0
4321-22SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+3.1
4422-22MORGANMORGANBad setArianna James+5.1
4522-23MORGANSC STBad setJada Williams+5.1
4622-24SC STSC STKillTaelyn Grahamset Isabelle Brown+6.8
4723-24SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+3.1
4823-25MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Kiyla Mighty+7.6
Set 2
11-0MORGANMORGANAttack errKenna Harris+2.4
22-0MORGANMORGANAttack errJessika Martinez+2.3
32-1MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+1.8
43-1SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.8
54-1MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Jessika Martinez+2.1
64-2MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Taelyn Graham+1.6
75-2SC STMORGANBad setKenna Harris+1.7
85-3MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+1.7
95-4SC STSC STBad setAlaina Walker+2.5
106-4SC STMORGAN×4Serve errSouth Carolina St.+2.0
117-4MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errHedia Lewis+2.2
128-4MORGANMORGAN×4KillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+1.9
139-4MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errDe'Oni McPhearson+1.6
149-5MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+1.2
1510-5SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Kiyla Mighty+1.3
1611-5MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Alaina Walker+1.3
1711-6MORGANSC STBad setAlaina Walker+0.9
1811-7SC STSC STAttack errChloe Scott+1.5
1912-7SC STMORGAN×3KillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+1.3
2013-7MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errKenna Harris+1.3
2114-7MORGANMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.0
2214-8MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.6
2314-9SC STSC STBad setIsabelle Brown+1.0
2415-9SC STMORGANBad setJessika Martinez+1.0
2515-10MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.8
2616-10SC STMORGANBad setTaelyn Graham+1.0
2717-10MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.+0.9
2817-11MORGANSC STKillArianna Jamesset Kiyla Mighty+0.5
2918-11SC STMORGAN×4KillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+0.7
3019-11MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errJessika Martinez+0.5
3120-11MORGANMORGAN×4KillZayda Thomasset Bailey Swinton+0.3
3221-11MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Jordan Dalland+0.1
3321-12MORGANSC STBad setAlaina Walker·
3421-13SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.+0.1
3522-13SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+0.1
3622-14MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Kiyla Mighty·
3722-15SC STSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+0.1
3823-15SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+0.2
3923-16MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.1
4023-17SC STSC STKillKiyla Mightyset Taelyn Graham+0.1
4124-17SC STMORGANBad setKiyla Mighty+0.2
4225-17MORGANMORGANAttack errKi'ra Wright·
Set 3
11-0SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.9
22-0MORGANMORGANBad setArianna James+2.3
32-1MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+1.9
43-1SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.8
53-2MORGANSC STAttack errTyrah Weems+1.9
63-3SC STSC STAttack errTyrah Weems+2.7
74-3SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+2.1
85-3MORGANMORGANBad setKiyla Mighty+2.5
95-4MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Jade Robinson+2.0
105-5SC STSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Chloe Neal+2.8
116-5SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+2.2
126-6MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+2.4
137-6SC STMORGANBad setJade Robinson+2.3
147-7MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+2.4
157-8SC STSC STAttack errJada Williams+3.4
168-8SC STMORGAN×3KillAubrey Wilsonset Tameary Wardlaw+2.5
179-8MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errKenna Harris+3.1
1810-8MORGANMORGAN×3Bad setJade Robinson+2.9
1910-9MORGANSC ST×5Attack errArianna James+2.3
2010-10SC STSC ST×5Attack errTyrah Weems+3.3
2110-11SC STSC ST×5KillKenna Harrisset Jordan Dalland+3.7
2210-12SC STSC ST×5Attack errChloe Scott+4.0
2310-13SC STSC ST×5Attack errTyrah Weems+4.1
2411-13SC STMORGANBad setJessika Martinez+2.8
2511-14MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+3.4
2612-14SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+2.9
2712-15MORGANSC ST×3KillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+3.6
2812-16SC STSC ST×3Attack errTyrah Weems+4.2
2912-17SC STSC ST×3BlockedAubrey Wilsonblk De'Oni McPhearson+3.8
3013-17SC STMORGANBad setJessika Martinez+2.1
3114-17MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Nathalia Morais+3.4
3214-18MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+3.6
3315-18SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+2.6
3416-18MORGANMORGANBad setHedia Lewis+4.1
3516-19MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Kiyla Mighty+4.3
3617-19SC STMORGANKillChloe Scottset Isabelle Brown+3.3
3718-19MORGANMORGANAttack errAmani Hawkins+5.0
3818-20MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+5.0
3919-20SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+4.1
4019-21MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+5.5
4119-22SC STSC STAttack errJada Williams+6.3
4220-22SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+3.3
4320-23MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Arianna James+5.4
4421-23SC STMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+3.0
4521-24MORGANSC STKillJade Robinsonset Jessika Martinez+5.7
4621-25SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Nathalia Morais+3.2
Set 4
10-1MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+3.2
20-2SC STSC STAttack errNathalia Morais+4.2
31-2SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+3.1
42-2MORGANMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Chloe Scott+3.9
52-3MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+3.3
63-3SC STMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Tre'Niya Miller+3.1
73-4MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+3.4
84-4SC STMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+3.2
94-5MORGANSC STBlockedMichaela Panekovablk De'Oni McPhearson+3.5
105-5SC STMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+3.3
115-6MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Kiyla Mighty+3.6
125-7SC STSC STBad setIsabelle Brown+4.8
136-7SC STMORGAN×3BlockedArianna Jamesblk Chloe Scott+3.5
147-7MORGANMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+4.4
158-7MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedArianna Jamesblk Chloe Scott+4.3
168-8MORGANSC STKillJade Robinsonset Macey McCoy+3.6
179-8SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+3.5
189-9MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+3.7
1910-9SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+3.6
2010-10MORGANSC ST×3Bad setNathalia Morais+3.8
2110-11SC STSC ST×3KillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+5.3
2210-12SC STSC ST×3BlockedJada Williamsblk Amani Hawkins+5.7
2311-12SC STMORGANBlockedHedia Lewisblk Tre'Niya Miller+4.1
2411-13MORGANSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Isabelle Brown+4.8
2512-13SC STMORGAN×4Attack errAmani Hawkins+4.3
2613-13MORGANMORGAN×4BlockedHedia Lewisblk Nathalia Morais+5.6
2714-13MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errAmani Hawkins+5.4
2815-13MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Ki'ra Wright+5.0
2915-14MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+3.9
3016-14SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+4.1
3116-15MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+4.1
3217-15SC STMORGAN×6Attack errAmani Hawkins+4.3
3318-15MORGANMORGAN×6BlockedHedia Lewisblk Michaela Panekova+4.7
3419-15MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Ki'ra Wright+3.7
3520-15MORGANMORGAN×6Bad setHedia Lewis+2.5
3621-15MORGANMORGAN×6KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.5
3722-15MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Jessika Martinez+0.8
3822-16MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.3
3922-17SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.+0.7
4023-17SC STMORGANAttack errJessika Martinez+0.9
4124-17MORGANMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+0.4
4224-18MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+0.1
4325-18SC STMORGANBlockedAmani Hawkinsblk Chloe Scott+0.7
Set 5
10-1MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+6.7
21-1SC STMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+6.2
32-1MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedAmani Hawkinsblk Chloe Scott+7.7
43-1MORGANMORGAN×3Bad setArianna James+7.1
53-2MORGANSC STBlockedNathalia Moraisblk De'Oni McPhearson+5.7
64-2SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+5.8
74-3MORGANSC STKillAmani Hawkinsset Arianna James+5.9
85-3SC STMORGANAttack errIsabelle Brown+6.1
96-3MORGANMORGANAttack errHedia Lewis+6.7
106-4MORGANSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+4.9
117-4SC STMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Tameary Wardlaw+5.5
127-5MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy+5.0
138-5SC STMORGANBad setJayden Mathis+5.7
148-6MORGANSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy+5.2
159-6SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+6.0
169-7MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+5.2
1710-7SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+6.3
1810-8MORGANSC STAttack errJada Williams+5.3
1911-8SC STMORGANBad setArianna James+6.7
2011-9MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+5.3
2111-10SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Michaela Panekova+10.0
2212-10SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+9.9
2312-11MORGANSC ST×3Attack errNathalia Morais+8.5
2412-12SC STSC ST×3Attack errTre'Niya Miller+16.1
2512-13SC STSC ST×3Bad setIsabelle Brown+21.5
2613-13MORGAN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+16.0
2714-13MORGANMORGAN×3AceMorgan St.+24.6
2815-13MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errJessika Martinez+21.3

Score shown after each rally, Morgan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).