FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Morgan St. def. South Carolina St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Morgan St. 91.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 10:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Morgan St. beat visiting South Carolina St. 3-0 (25-13, 25-20, 25-20) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Morgan St.'s Hanna Nemeth led with 12 kills, and Bailey Swinton added 8 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set123Sets
SC ST1320200
MORGAN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Morgan St. swept South Carolina St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.0 points. South Carolina St. peaked at 10% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Morgan St. went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

South Carolina St.Morgan St.
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    36.454.8

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 20 of 55. South Carolina St. sided out 45.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.167
    .266.433

    50 kills, 11 errors vs 32 kills, 11 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    7 straight Morgan St. points in the first set stretched a 10–5 lead to 17–5. Final score of the set: 25–13.

Morgan St. above 50South Carolina St. belowMax swing 1.0%

South Carolina St.Morgan St.

Aces
South Carolina St. 0·Morgan St. 10
Serve err
South Carolina St. 3·Morgan St. 7
Blocks
South Carolina St. 3·Morgan St. 43 BS · 0 BA vs 3 BS · 2 BA
Digs
South Carolina St. 25·Morgan St. 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Morgan St. above 50 · South Carolina St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% SC STrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to South Carolina St. — set 1, SC ST 1-0 MORGAN. Attack error by Hanna Nemeth. MORGAN win probability 91% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SC ST 7.7%92.3% MORGAN

South Carolina St. wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%

Morgan St. wins

3-0
48.7%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
12.4%
SC ST break %
38.8% vs this opp
MORGAN break %
49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hanna NemethAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Hanna Nemeth

    Set 1 · SC ST 1-0 MORGAN · SC ST 9% → 10%

  2. 02
    Kenna HarrisKill+1.0%

    Kill by Kenna Harris (set by Arianna James)

    Set 1 · SC ST 3-3 MORGAN · SC ST 8% → 9%

  3. 03
    Hanna NemethKill+0.9%

    Kill by Hanna Nemeth (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 1 · SC ST 1-2 MORGAN · MORGAN 91% → 92%

  4. 04
    Zayda ThomasAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Zayda Thomas

    Set 2 · SC ST 5-3 MORGAN · SC ST 5% → 6%

  5. 05

    Kill by Tre'Niya Miller (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 1 · SC ST 3-5 MORGAN · MORGAN 92% → 93%

  6. 06
    Jada WilliamsKill+0.8%

    Kill by Jada Williams (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 1 · SC ST 1-3 MORGAN · MORGAN 92% → 93%

  7. 07
    Kenna HarrisKill+0.8%

    Kill by Kenna Harris

    Set 2 · SC ST 2-0 MORGAN · SC ST 5% → 6%

  8. 08

    Kill by Michaela Panekova (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 2 · SC ST 6-6 MORGAN · MORGAN 95% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312119.5790000000012
36317.176000200006
3517.5711600401016
3034-.750000002022
3003.000000000000
3000–000120000
39221.333000330009
3002.000002220000
3002.0003001020000
3011-1.0001001300000
2003.000000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals321179.2662903251030353
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311015.7331323020216
312424.3330023000012
311118.5563104000012
3214.250383130010.55.5
34110.300000100004
3000–000700000
38214.429000101019
3000–122800002
3000–010200001
3000–100100000
2113.000000000001
2112.000000000001
2000–300100000
1000–00000010.50.5
Team totals501190.4334710734032475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Carolina St. vs Morgan St.

Season series · Morgan St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SC ST · MORGAN 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 SC STMORGAN 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 SC STMORGAN 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 SC STMORGAN 4

Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = South Carolina St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Carolina St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%6/14
22%2/9
2
38%6/16
50%6/12
3
86%6/7
40%4/10
4
45%5/11
40%4/10
5
45%5/11
38%3/8
6
36%5/14
17%1/6
All
45%33/73
36%20/55

Morgan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
55%6/11
2
55%6/11
67%12/18
3
46%6/13
54%7/13
4
67%6/9
0%0/6
5
71%5/7
69%11/16
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
64%35/55
55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#SC ST-MORGANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SC STSC STAttack errHanna Nemeth+1.0
21-1SC STMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.7
31-2MORGANMORGAN×3KillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.9
41-3MORGANMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.8
52-3MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.7
63-3SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+1.0
73-4SC STMORGAN×6KillHanna Nemethset Michaela Panekova+0.7
83-5MORGANMORGAN×6KillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.8
93-6MORGANMORGAN×6BlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Zayda Thomas+0.7
103-7MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Carra Pierre-Louis+0.6
113-8MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Carra Pierre-Louis+0.5
123-9MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Ki'ra Wright+0.4
134-9MORGANSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+0.3
144-10SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Michaela Panekova+0.3
155-10MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.3
165-11SC STMORGAN×7KillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+0.3
175-12MORGANMORGAN×7BlockedDe'Oni McPhearsonblk Jada Williams+0.3
185-13MORGANMORGAN×7KillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+0.2
195-14MORGANMORGAN×7KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.1
205-15MORGANMORGAN×7AceMorgan St.aced Chloe Neal+0.1
215-16MORGANMORGAN×7KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown·
225-17MORGANMORGAN×7AceMorgan St.aced Carra Pierre-Louis·
236-17MORGANSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy·
246-18SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown·
257-18MORGANSC STBlockedMichaela Panekovablk De'Oni McPhearson·
267-19SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown·
277-20MORGANMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown·
288-20MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy·
298-21SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Alaina Walker·
309-21MORGANSC ST×3Attack errHanna Nemeth·
3110-21SC STSC ST×3Attack errChloe Scott·
3211-21SC STSC ST×3KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James·
3311-22SC STMORGANServe errChloe Neal·
3411-23MORGANMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Michaela Panekova·
3512-23MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.·
3612-24SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown·
3713-24MORGANSC STBad setBailey Swinton·
3813-25SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown·
Set 2
11-0MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.6
22-0SC STSC STKillKenna Harris+0.8
32-1SC STMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.6
43-1MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+0.7
53-2SC STMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Tameary Wardlaw+0.6
63-3MORGANMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.7
74-3MORGANSC STAttack errHanna Nemeth+0.6
85-3SC STSC STAttack errZayda Thomas+0.9
95-4SC STMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.6
106-4MORGANSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+0.7
116-5SC STMORGAN×6KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.6
126-6MORGANMORGAN×6KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.8
136-7MORGANMORGAN×6KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.7
146-8MORGANMORGAN×6Attack errMacey McCoy+0.6
156-9MORGANMORGAN×6KillMichaela Panekovaset Bailey Swinton+0.5
166-10MORGANMORGAN×6KillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+0.4
177-10MORGANSC STServe errBailey Swinton+0.3
188-10SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Ki'ra Wright+0.5
198-11SC STMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.4
208-12MORGANMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.5
218-13MORGANMORGAN×3AceNathalia Moraisaced Chloe Neal+0.4
229-13MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.3
2310-13SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.4
2410-14SC STMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.4
2511-14MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+0.4
2611-15SC STMORGAN×5KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.4
2711-16MORGANMORGAN×5Bad setArianna James+0.4
2811-17MORGANMORGAN×5KillMichaela Panekovaset Jada Williams+0.3
2911-18MORGANMORGAN×5KillTre'Niya Millerset Arianna James+0.2
3011-19MORGANMORGAN×5AceMorgan St.aced Jayden Mathis+0.1
3112-19MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Ki'ra Wright·
3212-20SC STMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.1
3313-20MORGANSC ST×3KillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy·
3414-20SC STSC ST×3Bad setIsabelle Brown+0.1
3515-20SC STSC ST×3Attack errHanna Nemeth+0.1
3615-21SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+0.2
3716-21MORGANSC ST×3Serve errMorgan St.+0.1
3817-21SC STSC ST×3BlockedJenae Masonblk Arianna James+0.2
3918-21SC STSC ST×3KillArianna Jamesset Macey McCoy+0.4
4018-22SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+0.5
4119-22MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.3
4219-23SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+0.4
4319-24MORGANMORGANBlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Isabelle Brown, Aubrey Wilson+0.2
4420-24MORGANSC STBad setJenae Mason+0.1
4520-25SC STMORGANKillJenae Masonset Isabelle Brown+0.1
Set 3
10-1SC STMORGAN×4KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.2
20-2MORGANMORGAN×4KillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.2
30-3MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errDe'Oni McPhearson+0.2
40-4MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Ki'ra Wright+0.2
51-4MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.1
62-4SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.2
72-5SC STMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.2
83-5MORGANSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.2
93-6SC STMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+0.2
104-6MORGANSC STServe errMorgan St.+0.2
115-6SC STSC STAttack errZayda Thomas+0.3
125-7SC STMORGANAttack errArianna James+0.2
136-7MORGANSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+0.2
146-8SC STMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.2
156-9MORGANMORGANBlockedJessika Martinezblk Jada Williams+0.3
167-9MORGANSC STAttack errIsabelle Brown+0.2
177-10SC STMORGAN×4KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.2
187-11MORGANMORGAN×4KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.2
197-12MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Jordan Dalland+0.2
207-13MORGANMORGAN×4KillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.1
218-13MORGANSC STKillArianna Jamesset Macey McCoy+0.1
228-14SC STMORGAN×4Attack errKenna Harris+0.1
238-15MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errJessika Martinez+0.1
248-16MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Jordan Dalland+0.1
258-17MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errJessika Martinez·
269-17MORGANSC STKillArianna James·
2710-17SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James·
2810-18SC STMORGANKillIsabelle Brownset Ki'ra Wright·
2911-18MORGANSC ST×5BlockedTre'Niya Millerblk De'Oni McPhearson·
3012-18SC STSC ST×5KillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+0.1
3113-18SC STSC ST×5KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+0.1
3214-18SC STSC ST×5KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+0.1
3315-18SC STSC ST×5KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+0.2
3415-19SC STMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Alaina Walker+0.2
3516-19MORGANSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+0.2
3616-20SC STMORGANServe errSouth Carolina St.+0.2
3717-20MORGANSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+0.2
3818-20SC STSC STKillArianna Jamesset Ki'ra Wright+0.3
3918-21SC STMORGANKillChloe Scottset Alaina Walker+0.3
4019-21MORGANSC STKillArianna Jamesset Macey McCoy+0.3
4119-22SC STMORGAN×3KillIsabelle Brown+0.4
4219-23MORGANMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.3
4319-24MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errDe'Oni McPhearson+0.1
4420-24MORGANSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy·
4520-25SC STMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.1

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).