Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Morgan St. def. UMES 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Morgan St. 86.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Morgan St. beat visiting UMES 3-1 on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Morgan St.'s Hanna Nemeth led with 16 kills, and Bailey Swinton added 14 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set1*234Sets
UMES212025211
MORGAN242521253
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before this set ended, so the score is partial. The set winner comes from the official result.

Win probability

Morgan St. above 50 · UMES below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.6% UMESrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.6% to UMES — set 4, UMES 13-13 MORGAN. Kill by Malaysia Shaw (set by Kate - Linh Eden). MORGAN win probability 92% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMES 14.3%85.7% MORGAN

UMES wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
7.7%

Morgan St. wins

3-0
38.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.3%
UMES break %
39.0% vs this opp
MORGAN break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Malaysia ShawKill+2.6%

    Kill by Malaysia Shaw (set by Kate - Linh Eden)

    Set 4 · UMES 13-13 MORGAN · UMES 8% → 10%

  2. 02
    Zayda ThomasKill+2.4%

    Kill by Zayda Thomas (set by Bailey Swinton)

    Set 4 · UMES 13-15 MORGAN · MORGAN 92% → 94%

  3. 03

    Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Karielys Melendez)

    Set 4 · UMES 6-4 MORGAN · UMES 11% → 14%

  4. 04
    Dynasty AndrewsAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Dynasty Andrews

    Set 4 · UMES 10-11 MORGAN · MORGAN 89% → 92%

  5. 05

    Kill by Michaela Panekova (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 4 · UMES 15-18 MORGAN · MORGAN 94% → 96%

  6. 06
    Kyra BradfordAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Kyra Bradford

    Set 4 · UMES 11-13 MORGAN · MORGAN 92% → 94%

  7. 07
    Zayda ThomasKill+2.1%

    Kill by Zayda Thomas (set by Isabelle Brown)

    Set 4 · UMES 6-6 MORGAN · MORGAN 88% → 90%

  8. 08
    Tre'Niya MillerAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Tre'Niya Miller

    Set 4 · UMES 4-3 MORGAN · UMES 9% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMESaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416134.4410005010117
49432.1561126220212
4528.3750221040411
410629.1380000000010
43312.000042601018
4004.0002101700000
4003.0004011500000
4002.000000100000
4001.0001301400000
3011-1.000100000000
2000–000120000
1000–000010000
1000–000010000
Team totals4317126.206407946780887
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414530.3000235030319
416636.2781111000017
47529.0690211320009
46411.182000202028
4507.7144402210005
35215.200000000005
4001.000011100001
4001.000200720000
4000–1041400000
4000–000720000
2718.750000100007
1000–310100001
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals6024139.2595171254750595

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMES vs Morgan St.

Season series · Morgan St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UMES · MORGAN 6

Set 1

21-24

Longest run 4 UMESMORGAN 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 UMESMORGAN 6

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 UMESMORGAN 3

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 UMESMORGAN 4

Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
13%1/8
2
38%8/21
38%5/13
3
60%6/10
61%11/18
4
50%6/12
40%4/10
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
56%5/9
33%3/9
All
56%39/70
40%27/67

Morgan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
33%3/9
2
37%7/19
33%4/12
3
64%7/11
61%11/18
4
60%6/10
57%8/14
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
60%40/67
44%31/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#UMES-MORGANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MORGANMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Isabelle Brown+1.3
20-2MORGANMORGANAttack errMalaysia Shaw+1.2
31-2MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.9
41-3UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.9
52-3MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+0.9
62-4UMESMORGAN×3Attack errJayda Hutchins+0.9
72-5MORGANMORGAN×3KillIsabelle Brownset Arianna Warner Torres+1.1
82-6MORGANMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.9
93-6MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.7
103-7UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.7
114-7MORGANUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.7
124-8UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.7
134-9MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Alivia Proctor+0.8
145-9MORGANUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.5
155-10UMESMORGANServe errUMES+0.6
166-10MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.5
176-11UMESMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.6
186-12MORGANMORGAN×3KillIsabelle Brownset Isabelle Brown+0.6
196-13MORGANMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.4
207-13UMES
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
217-14UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.3
228-14MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.3
239-14UMESUMESAttack errHanna Nemeth+0.5
249-15UMESMORGANServe errUMES+0.5
2510-15MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.4
2610-16UMESMORGAN×3KillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.4
2710-17MORGANMORGAN×3KillHanna Nemeth+0.4
2810-18MORGANMORGAN×3KillTre'Niya Miller+0.2
2911-18MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.1
3011-19UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.2
3112-19MORGANUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Jayda Hutchins+0.1
3213-19UMESUMESAceUMESaced Tameary Wardlaw+0.2
3313-20UMESMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Isabelle Brown+0.2
3413-21MORGANMORGANAttack errMalaysia Shaw+0.2
3514-21MORGANUMESAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.1
3614-22UMESMORGANAttack errMalaysia Shaw+0.1
3715-22MORGANUMESAttack errJada Williams·
3815-23UMESMORGANServe errUMES+0.1
3916-23MORGANUMES×4KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres·
4017-23UMESUMES×4BlockedHanna Nemethblk Dynasty Andrews+0.1
4118-23UMESUMES×4Attack errHanna Nemeth+0.1
4219-23UMESUMES×4KillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+0.3
4319-24UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.4
4420-24MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.1
4521-24UMESUMESAttack errHanna Nemeth+0.2
Set 2
11-0UMESUMESBlockedMichaela Panekovablk Dynasty Andrews+1.1
21-1UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.8
31-2MORGANMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.9
42-2MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.8
52-3UMESMORGAN×6KillHanna Nemethset Tameary Wardlaw+0.7
62-4MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Lila Bryant+0.9
72-5MORGANMORGAN×6KillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.8
82-6MORGANMORGAN×6KillIsabelle Brown+0.7
92-7MORGANMORGAN×6KillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.5
102-8MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Lila Bryant+0.4
113-8MORGANUMES×3KillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+0.3
124-8UMESUMES×3BlockedJada Williamsblk Jayda Hutchins+0.5
135-8UMESUMES×3Attack errHanna Nemeth+0.6
145-9UMESMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.5
155-10MORGANMORGAN×3KillIsabelle Brown+0.6
165-11MORGANMORGAN×3KillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.4
176-11MORGANUMESAttack errTre'Niya Miller+0.3
187-11UMESUMESAceUMESaced Michaela Panekova+0.5
197-12UMESMORGANServe errUMES+0.4
208-12MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.4
218-13UMESMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Isabelle Brown+0.4
228-14MORGANMORGANBlockedDynasty Andrewsblk Tre'Niya Miller+0.4
239-14MORGANUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.3
2410-14UMESUMESAttack errTre'Niya Miller+0.5
2510-15UMESMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Isabelle Brown+0.5
2611-15MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.4
2711-16UMESMORGANAttack errRayah Howell+0.5
2812-16MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.4
2912-17UMESMORGAN×4KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.5
3012-18MORGANMORGAN×4KillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.4
3112-19MORGANMORGAN×4KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.3
3212-20MORGANMORGAN×4BlockedMalaysia Shawblk Jada Williams+0.1
3313-20MORGANUMESAttack errJada Williams+0.1
3413-21UMESMORGANBlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Jada Williams+0.1
3513-22MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Jaelyn Stewart·
3614-22MORGANUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden·
3714-23UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown·
3815-23MORGANUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden·
3916-23UMESUMES×3Attack errAubrey Wilson·
4017-23UMESUMES×3KillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden·
4117-24UMESMORGANAttack errShayla Henry+0.1
4218-24MORGANUMES×3KillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden·
4319-24UMESUMES×3BlockedTyrah Weemsblk Shayla Henry·
4420-24UMESUMES×3Attack errTyrah Weems+0.1
4520-25UMESMORGANServe errUMES+0.2
Set 3
11-0MORGANUMESKillDynasty Andrews+0.4
21-1UMESMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.4
31-2MORGANMORGANAceNathalia Moraisaced Jayda Hutchins+0.5
42-2MORGANUMES×3KillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+0.4
53-2UMESUMES×3KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.5
64-2UMESUMES×3KillDynasty Andrewsset Hanna Nemeth+0.6
74-3UMESMORGANServe errUMES+0.4
85-3MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.5
95-4UMESMORGAN×3Serve errUMES+0.4
105-5MORGANMORGAN×3AceJada Williams+0.5
115-6MORGANMORGAN×3KillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.5
126-6MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.4
137-6UMESUMESAttack errTre'Niya Miller+0.6
147-7UMESMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Hanna Nemeth+0.4
158-7MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Karielys Melendez+0.5
168-8UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Tameary Wardlaw+0.4
179-8MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.5
189-9UMESMORGANAttack errMalaysia Shaw+0.5
1910-9MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.5
2011-9UMESUMESBlockedMichaela Panekovablk Rayah Howell+0.8
2111-10UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.5
2212-10MORGANUMES×7KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.6
2313-10UMESUMES×7AceShayla Henryaced Kira Devrieze+0.8
2414-10UMESUMES×7BlockedHanna Nemethblk Dynasty Andrews+0.8
2515-10UMESUMES×7Attack errJada Williams+0.8
2616-10UMESUMES×7KillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+0.7
2717-10UMESUMES×7AceShayla Henryaced Isabelle Brown+0.5
2818-10UMESUMES×7AceShayla Henryaced Tameary Wardlaw+0.4
2918-11UMESMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+0.2
3019-11MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.3
3120-11UMESUMESAceDynasty Andrewsaced Michaela Panekova+0.2
3220-12UMESMORGAN×3KillHanna Nemethset Alaina Walker+0.1
3320-13MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errJayda Hutchins+0.1
3420-14MORGANMORGAN×3Bad setRayah Howell+0.2
3521-14MORGANUMESBad setTre'Niya Miller+0.3
3621-15UMESMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+0.1
3721-16MORGANMORGANKillTyrah Weemsset Isabelle Brown+0.3
3822-16MORGANUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Karielys Melendez+0.4
3922-17UMESMORGANBlockedMalaysia Shawblk Tre'Niya Miller+0.2
4022-18MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.3
4123-18MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.5
4223-19UMESMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.2
4324-19MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.4
4424-20UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.1
4524-21MORGANMORGANAceAlaina Walkeraced Jayda Hutchins+0.3
4625-21MORGANUMESBlockedMichaela Panekovablk Dynasty Andrews+0.5
Set 4
10-1UMESMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.2
21-1MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+1.3
32-1UMESUMESAceShayla Henryaced Kira Devrieze+2.0
42-2UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+1.4
52-3MORGANMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+1.7
63-3MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Rayah Howell+1.4
74-3UMESUMESAttack errTre'Niya Miller+2.1
84-4UMESMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+1.5
95-4MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+1.7
106-4UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Karielys Melendez+2.3
116-5UMESMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+1.6
126-6MORGANMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+2.1
137-6MORGANUMESBlockedZayda Thomasblk Jayda Hutchins+1.8
147-7UMESMORGANKillIsabelle Brown+1.6
158-7MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
168-8UMESMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+1.7
179-8MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+1.9
189-9UMESMORGANAttack errShayla Henry+1.7
1910-9MORGANUMESKillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+2.0
2010-10UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+1.8
2110-11MORGANMORGANAttack errDynasty Andrews+2.3
2211-11MORGANUMESAttack errJada Williams+1.9
2311-12UMESMORGANAttack errJayda Hutchins+1.8
2411-13MORGANMORGANAttack errKyra Bradford+2.2
2512-13MORGANUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+1.6
2613-13UMESUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+2.6
2713-14UMESMORGANServe errUMES+1.9
2813-15MORGANMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Bailey Swinton+2.4
2914-15MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
3014-16UMESMORGANServe errUMES+1.8
3115-16MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+1.9
3215-17UMESMORGAN×4KillZayda Thomasset Isabelle Brown+2.0
3315-18MORGANMORGAN×4KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+2.2
3415-19MORGANMORGAN×4Serve errMorgan St.+1.6
3515-20MORGANMORGAN×4KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.1
3616-20MORGANUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kyra Bradford+0.6
3716-21UMESMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.8
3816-22MORGANMORGANBlockedShayla Henryblk Jada Williams+0.5
3917-22MORGANUMES×4KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.2
4018-22UMESUMES×4KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.5
4119-22UMESUMES×4KillDynasty Andrewsset Karielys Melendez+1.0
4220-22UMESUMES×4KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+1.8
4320-23UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+2.0
4420-24MORGANMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+1.4
4521-24MORGANUMESServe errMorgan St.+0.3
4621-25UMESMORGANKillHanna Nemethset Isabelle Brown+0.7

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).