FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Quinnipiac def. Manhattan 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Quinnipiac 88.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Quinnipiac beat visiting Manhattan 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-18) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Quinnipiac's Vittoria Tonelli led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
MANHAT1819180
QUINN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Quinnipiac held Manhattan under 20 in every set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.4 points. Manhattan peaked at 13% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Quinnipiac at 88%.

ManhattanQuinnipiac
  • Break %+18.1 pts
    29.847.9

    Points won on own serve: 35 of 73 vs 17 of 57. Manhattan sided out 52.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.096
    .173.269

    Kills and errors: 44–16 vs 34–16.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    Up 6–3 in the first set, Quinnipiac scored 5 straight to make it 11–3. That set ended 25–18.

Quinnipiac above 50Manhattan belowMax swing 1.4%

ManhattanQuinnipiac

Aces
Manhattan 2·Quinnipiac 8
Serve err
Manhattan 4·Quinnipiac 2
Blocks
Manhattan 6·Quinnipiac 75 BS · 2 BA vs 4 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Manhattan 38·Quinnipiac 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Quinnipiac above 50 · Manhattan below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.4% MANHATrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Manhattan — set 2, MANHAT 15-15 QUINN. Attack error by Sophia Minlend. QUINN win probability 94% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MANHAT 11.8%88.2% QUINN

Manhattan wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
6.5%

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
41.5%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.0%
MANHAT break %
37.5% vs this opp
QUINN break %
46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophia MinlendAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Sophia Minlend

    Set 2 · MANHAT 15-15 QUINN · MANHAT 6% → 7%

  2. 02
    Asia BelliKill+1.4%

    Kill by Asia Belli (set by Sophia Minlend)

    Set 2 · MANHAT 16-18 QUINN · QUINN 94% → 95%

  3. 03
    Lyla AuthKill+1.4%

    Kill by Lyla Auth (set by Julia Pfleger)

    Set 1 · MANHAT 1-0 QUINN · MANHAT 12% → 13%

  4. 04
    Giulia RagusaKill+1.2%

    Kill by Giulia Ragusa (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 1 · MANHAT 1-2 QUINN · QUINN 88% → 89%

  5. 05
    ManhattanAce+1.1%

    Manhattan ace

    Set 2 · MANHAT 14-15 QUINN · MANHAT 4% → 6%

  6. 06
    QuinnipiacService error+1.1%

    Quinnipiac service error

    Set 2 · MANHAT 16-16 QUINN · MANHAT 6% → 7%

  7. 07
    Asia BelliKill+1.1%

    Kill by Asia Belli (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 2 · MANHAT 16-19 QUINN · QUINN 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    Asia BelliKill+1.1%

    Kill by Asia Belli (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 2 · MANHAT 16-17 QUINN · QUINN 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36416.12500012010.56.5
36523.043001230006
33214.07101010111.55.5
3306.500000002025
3002.0001101900000
26113.385000000006
37319.211000201018
3001.0001312400001
3000–300600000
3000–100500000
2319.222000201014
2001.000100320000
1000–000300000
Team totals3416104.173292438852655
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313426.346110120010.514.5
311327.29602010000013
37112.50003050010.510.5
37625.040110500008
3327.143011003248
3003.000280150111.51.5
3000–400610000
1304.75000000010.53.5
1000–600000000
Team totals4416104.269408243246775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Manhattan vs Quinnipiac

Season series · Quinnipiac leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MANHAT · QUINN 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 MANHATQUINN 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 MANHATQUINN 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 MANHATQUINN 5

Bars above the line = Quinnipiac leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
20%2/10
2
67%6/9
27%3/11
3
40%6/15
40%4/10
4
60%6/10
50%6/12
5
46%6/13
14%1/7
6
67%6/9
14%1/7
All
52%38/73
30%17/57

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
22%2/9
2
64%7/11
53%8/15
3
46%6/13
50%6/12
4
75%6/8
57%8/14
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
100%6/6
45%5/11
All
70%40/57
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#MANHAT-QUINNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MANHATMANHATKillLyla Authset Julia Pfleger+1.4
21-1MANHATQUINN×3Attack errEmma Francesconi+0.9
31-2QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.2
41-3QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiacaced Katie Powers+1.1
52-3QUINNMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.8
62-4MANHATQUINN×3BlockedKatie Powersblk Sophia Gisslen, Sila Yildiz+0.8
72-5QUINNQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+1.0
82-6QUINNQUINN×3Attack errKatie Powers+0.8
93-6QUINNMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emma Francesconi+0.6
103-7MANHATQUINN×5KillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
113-8QUINNQUINN×5AceQuinnipiacaced Katie Powers+0.7
123-9QUINNQUINN×5KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
133-10QUINNQUINN×5KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
143-11QUINNQUINN×5KillVittoria Tonelli+0.3
154-11QUINNMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+0.1
165-11MANHATMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
175-12MANHATQUINNServe errManhattan+0.3
186-12QUINNMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.2
196-13MANHATQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
206-14QUINNQUINNBlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Vittoria Tonelli, Asia Belli+0.2
217-14QUINNMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
227-15MANHATQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
238-15QUINNMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
249-15MANHATMANHATAttack errAsia Belli+0.2
259-16MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
269-17QUINNQUINNBlockedAbby Morrealeblk Sila Yildiz+0.2
2710-17QUINNMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+0.1
2810-18MANHATQUINNServe errManhattan+0.1
2911-18QUINNMANHAT×3Serve errQuinnipiac+0.1
3012-18MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errSophia Minlend+0.2
3113-18MANHATMANHAT×3KillLyla Auth+0.3
3213-19MANHATQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.3
3313-20QUINNQUINNAttack errLyla Auth+0.3
3414-20QUINNMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+0.1
3515-20MANHATMANHATBlockedSila Yildizblk Helenn Montilla+0.3
3615-21MANHATQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Carola Negron Diaz+0.3
3715-22QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
3816-22QUINNMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
3916-23MANHATQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Carola Negron Diaz+0.1
4017-23QUINNMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar·
4117-24MANHATQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
4218-24QUINNMANHATAttack errVittoria Tonelli·
4318-25MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Carola Negron Diaz·
Set 2
11-0QUINNMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.7
21-1MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
32-1QUINNMANHATAttack errSophia Minlend+0.7
42-2MANHATQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
52-3QUINNQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelli+0.9
62-4QUINNQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
73-4QUINNMANHATAttack errVittoria Tonelli+0.6
84-4MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.9
94-5MANHATQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
104-6QUINNQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
114-7QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiac+0.7
125-7QUINNMANHATBlockedSophia Minlendblk Hanna Kaczynska+0.5
135-8MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
146-8QUINNMANHATKillLaura Hernandezset Emilia Kuzniar+0.5
157-8MANHATMANHATKillLaura Hernandezset Anna Duncan+0.9
167-9MANHATQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
177-10QUINNQUINN×3KillAsia Belliset Giulia Ragusa+0.8
187-11QUINNQUINN×3Attack errEmma Francesconi+0.6
198-11QUINNMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+0.4
208-12MANHATQUINNServe errManhattan+0.4
219-12QUINNMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+0.4
229-13MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
2310-13QUINNMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.4
2411-13MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Carola Negron Diaz+0.8
2511-14MANHATQUINNAttack errHanna Kaczynska+0.6
2611-15QUINNQUINNAceQuinnipiacaced Emma Francesconi+0.7
2712-15QUINNMANHAT×4KillHanna Kaczynskaset Anna Duncan+0.4
2813-15MANHATMANHAT×4KillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.8
2914-15MANHATMANHAT×4AceManhattan+1.1
3015-15MANHATMANHAT×4Attack errSophia Minlend+1.4
3115-16MANHATQUINNServe errManhattan+1.0
3216-16QUINNMANHATServe errQuinnipiac+1.1
3316-17MANHATQUINN×5KillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
3416-18QUINNQUINN×5KillAsia Belliset Sophia Minlend+1.4
3516-19QUINNQUINN×5KillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
3616-20QUINNQUINN×5Bad setEmilia Kuzniar+0.8
3716-21QUINNQUINN×5KillGiulia Ragusaset Vittoria Tonelli+0.5
3817-21QUINNMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+0.2
3917-22MANHATQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.3
4018-22QUINNMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+0.2
4118-23MANHATQUINNBlockedEmma Francesconiblk Sophia Gisslen+0.3
4218-24QUINNQUINNAceQuinnipiacaced Emma Francesconi+0.1
4319-24QUINNMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Anna Duncan·
4419-25MANHATQUINNBad setJulia Pfleger·
Set 3
10-1MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.3
21-1QUINNMANHAT×4Attack errGiulia Ragusa+0.3
32-1MANHATMANHAT×4Attack errVittoria Tonelli+0.5
43-1MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedSila Yildizblk Abby Morreale+0.5
54-1MANHATMANHAT×4KillKatie Powersset Julia Pfleger+0.6
64-2MANHATQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
74-3QUINNQUINNAttack errKatie Powers+0.5
85-3QUINNMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Mikalah Curran+0.4
96-3MANHATMANHATAttack errSophia Minlend+0.6
106-4MANHATQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
116-5QUINNQUINNBlockedAbby Morrealeblk Sila Yildiz+0.5
127-5QUINNMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+0.4
137-6MANHATQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
148-6QUINNMANHATKillKatie Powersset Sila Yildiz+0.5
159-6MANHATMANHATAttack errSophia Minlend+0.7
169-7MANHATQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Carola Negron Diaz+0.4
179-8QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiacaced Emma Francesconi+0.6
189-9QUINNQUINN×3Attack errLaura Hernandez+0.6
1910-9QUINNMANHATBlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Helenn Montilla+0.5
2010-10MANHATQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.4
2110-11QUINNQUINNAceQuinnipiacaced Mikalah Curran+0.6
2211-11QUINNMANHATBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Laura Hernandez+0.4
2311-12MANHATQUINNBad setEmilia Kuzniar+0.4
2411-13QUINNQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+0.5
2512-13QUINNMANHATBad setKlara Olszewska+0.4
2612-14MANHATQUINNBlockedEmma Francesconiblk Sila Yildiz+0.4
2713-14QUINNMANHATBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Katie Powers, Abby Morreale+0.4
2813-15MANHATQUINNKillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
2914-15QUINNMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.4
3014-16MANHATQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
3114-17QUINNQUINNAttack errHanna Kaczynska+0.5
3215-17QUINNMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+0.3
3315-18MANHATQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
3416-18QUINNMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
3516-19MANHATQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.4
3617-19QUINNMANHATKillLaura Hernandezset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
3717-20MANHATQUINN×5KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.4
3817-21QUINNQUINN×5KillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+0.4
3917-22QUINNQUINN×5KillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+0.2
4017-23QUINNQUINN×5Attack errKatie Powers+0.1
4117-24QUINNQUINN×5AceQuinnipiacaced Mikalah Curran·
4218-24QUINNMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger·
4318-25MANHATQUINNBlockedEmma Francesconiblk Farah Sherif, Sila Yildiz·

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).