Merrimack vs Southern Ill.: Southern Ill. Wins 3-1 (Sep 4)

Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

1:3

Southern Ill. beat visiting Merrimack 3-1 (23-25, 26-24, 25-17, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Southern Ill.'s Ella Swansiger led with 13 kills, and Ella McFarland added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 4

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MERMCK	25	24	17	23	1
SIU	23	26	25	25	3

Win probability

Southern Ill. above 50 · Merrimack below

Biggest swing: 8.7% to Southern Ill. — set 2, MERMCK 23-24 SIU. Southern Ill. ace on Sienna Franks. SIU win probability 74% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERMCK 5.4%94.6% SIU

Merrimack wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.5%

3-2

3.2%

Southern Ill. wins

3-0

54.3%

3-1

30.0%

3-2

10.3%

MERMCK break %: 39.3% vs this opp
SIU break %: 51.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Southern Ill.Ace+8.7%
Southern Ill. ace on Sienna Franks
Set 2 · MERMCK 23-24 SIU · SIU 74% → 83%
02
Mckenna ShotwellKill+8.0%
Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 2 · MERMCK 23-21 SIU · MERMCK 30% → 38%
03
Natalie Vance&Beatriz PiaiaBlock+7.8%
Mckenna Shotwell stuffed by Natalie Vance & Beatriz Piaia
Set 2 · MERMCK 23-23 SIU · SIU 66% → 74%
04
Kaitlyn Oxceus&Mckenna ShotwellBlock+7.0%
Natalie Vance stuffed by Kaitlyn Oxceus & Mckenna Shotwell
Set 2 · MERMCK 24-24 SIU · MERMCK 17% → 24%
05
Beatriz PiaiaKill+7.0%
Kill by Beatriz Piaia (set by Ella McFarland)
Set 2 · MERMCK 24-25 SIU · SIU 76% → 83%
06
Jocelyn HammerstrandKill+6.9%
Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Ella Maldonado)
Set 2 · MERMCK 22-21 SIU · MERMCK 23% → 30%
07
Southern Ill.Ace+6.6%
Southern Ill. ace on Natalia Zelubowski
Set 2 · MERMCK 24-26 SIU · SIU 83% → 89%
08
Natalia ZelubowskiKill+4.7%
Kill by Natalia Zelubowski (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 1 · MERMCK 25-23 SIU · MERMCK 13% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merrimackaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	4	10	7	43	.070	0	3	3	9	2	0	3	1.5	14.5
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	4	10	7	28	.107	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	11
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	4	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	8.5
1Naomi VajdaMB	4	2	2	6	.000	1	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	4
3Sophia DeBonisS	4	1	0	4	.250	23	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	1
2Natalia Zelubowski	3	6	6	14	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
15Gabrielle Moore	4	0	0	0	–	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	16	1	0	0	0	0
18Sienna Franks	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
14Maiella Blandin	3	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
20Devon Lowe	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
7Tamilore Afolalu	2	8	1	23	.304	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	8
9Avry BryantOPP	2	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Elizabeth KenneyS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Maddy FennessyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	27	140	.121	43	6	9	53	7	1	14	8	89

Southern Ill.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Chloe AndersonMB	4	11	1	21	.476	0	1	1	4	0	1	5	3.5	15.5
2Natalie VanceOPP	4	10	5	29	.172	0	0	0	4	0	0	5	2.5	12.5
13Beatriz PiaiaMB	4	8	1	15	.467	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	10
12Carlota MoraOH	4	5	5	20	.000	0	1	0	12	4	0	1	0.5	6.5
3McKenzie MoellerOH	4	6	8	19	-.105	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
4Ella McFarlandOPP	4	0	0	2	.000	23	1	2	13	1	0	0	0	1
14Ella SwansigerOH	4	13	3	26	.385	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	14
11Jillian ShaneyfeltL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	4	2	1	12	0	0	0	0	2
9Lillian DempkeyS	4	0	0	1	.000	20	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
21Isabella Del RealL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	0	1
8Alexandria ArringtonS	2	2	1	10	.100	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
20Valentina ZevallosMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		55	24	144	.215	49	7	7	59	6	1	19	10.5	99

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MERMCK · SIU 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 MERMCKSIU 3

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 5 MERMCKSIU 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKSIU 6

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 MERMCKSIU 4

Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	52%11/21
2	82%9/11	50%10/20
3	43%9/21	31%4/13
4	40%8/20	27%3/11
5	57%8/14	43%6/14
6	57%8/14	27%3/11
All	53%52/98	41%37/90

Southern Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	48%11/23	47%8/17
2	53%10/19	33%5/15
3	73%8/11	40%6/15
4	73%8/11	64%14/22
5	62%8/13	50%8/16
6	62%8/13	38%5/13
All	59%53/90	47%46/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#	MERMCK-SIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SIU	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+0.6
2	0-2	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Chloe Anderson, Natalie Vance	+0.5
3	1-2	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
4	1-3	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+0.4
5	2-3	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.5
6	2-4	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.4
7	3-4	SIU	MERMCK	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+0.5
8	3-5	MERMCK	SIU	Attack err	Natalia Zelubowski		+0.4
9	3-6	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Natalia Zelubowski	blk Carlota Mora, Beatriz Piaia	+0.5
10	4-6	SIU	MERMCK	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+0.4
11	4-7	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.4
12	4-8	SIU	SIU	Kill	Carlota Mora	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+0.4
13	5-8	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Devon Lowe	+0.3
14	5-9	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Carlota Mora	set Ella McFarland	+0.3
15	6-9	SIU	MERMCK×3	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+0.3
16	7-9	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Blocked	Beatriz Piaia	blk Kaitlyn Oxceus	+0.5
17	8-9	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Blocked	McKenzie Moeller	blk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+0.7
18	8-10	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+0.6
19	8-11	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Kaitlyn Oxceus	blk Chloe Anderson	+0.6
20	9-11	SIU	MERMCK×3	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+0.5
21	10-11	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Natalie Vance		+0.7
22	11-11	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Merrimack	aced Carlota Mora	+0.9
23	11-12	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+0.7
24	12-12	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.8
25	13-12	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Ella Swansiger		+1.2
26	13-13	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.9
27	14-13	SIU	MERMCK	Attack err	Carlota Mora		+1.1
28	14-14	MERMCK	SIU×3	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.0
29	14-15	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.1
30	14-16	SIU	SIU×3	Blocked	Avry Bryant	blk Beatriz Piaia, Ella Swansiger	+0.9
31	15-16	SIU	MERMCK×3	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
32	16-16	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+1.3
33	17-16	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+1.6
34	17-17	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.2
35	17-18	SIU	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+1.3
36	18-18	SIU	MERMCK	Bad set	Ella McFarland		+1.2
37	19-18	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Carlota Mora	blk Avry Bryant, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+1.8
38	19-19	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.4
39	20-19	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+1.7
40	21-19	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+2.4
41	21-20	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+1.6
42	21-21	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+2.1
43	22-21	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Sophia DeBonis	set Sienna Franks	+2.3
44	22-22	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+2.0
45	23-22	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.7
46	24-22	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Gabrielle Moore	+3.8
47	24-23	MERMCK	SIU	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+1.9
48	25-23	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Sophia DeBonis	+4.7
Set 2
1	1-0	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Carlota Mora	blk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+1.8
2	1-1	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.4
3	2-1	SIU	MERMCK	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+1.6
4	3-1	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Carlota Mora	+2.2
5	3-2	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.6
6	4-2	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.9
7	4-3	MERMCK	SIU×4	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+1.7
8	4-4	SIU	SIU×4	Ace	Southern Ill.		+1.9
9	4-5	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Naomi Vajda		+1.7
10	4-6	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+1.5
11	5-6	SIU	MERMCK	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+1.3
12	6-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Naomi Vajda	+1.9
13	6-7	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.5
14	6-8	SIU	SIU	Ace	Southern Ill.		+1.6
15	7-8	SIU	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+1.4
16	8-8	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Carlota Mora		+2.1
17	9-8	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+2.5
18	10-8	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack		+2.9
19	11-8	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Ella Swansiger	blk Mckenna Shotwell, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+3.3
20	11-9	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.2
21	11-10	SIU	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.7
22	12-10	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+2.7
23	12-11	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.3
24	12-12	SIU	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+2.7
25	13-12	SIU	MERMCK	Bad set	Ella McFarland		+2.6
26	13-13	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.3
27	14-13	SIU	MERMCK×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.8
28	15-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Bad set	Ella McFarland		+3.8
29	16-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Merrimack	aced Carlota Mora	+4.2
30	16-14	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+2.8
31	16-15	SIU	SIU	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Mckenna Shotwell	+3.5
32	17-15	SIU	MERMCK	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+3.7
33	18-15	MERMCK	MERMCK	Bad set	Ella McFarland		+4.7
34	18-16	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+3.0
35	18-17	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Natalia Zelubowski		+4.0
36	19-17	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+4.3
37	19-18	MERMCK	SIU×3	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+3.4
38	19-19	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+4.4
39	19-20	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+4.2
40	20-20	SIU	MERMCK	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+3.8
41	20-21	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+3.8
42	21-21	SIU	MERMCK×3	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+4.3
43	22-21	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Ella Maldonado	+6.9
44	23-21	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+8.0
45	23-22	MERMCK	SIU×3	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+4.7
46	23-23	SIU	SIU×3	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia	+7.8
47	23-24	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Sienna Franks	+8.7
48	24-24	SIU	MERMCK	Blocked	Natalie Vance	blk Kaitlyn Oxceus, Mckenna Shotwell	+7.0
49	24-25	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+7.0
50	24-26	SIU	SIU	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Natalia Zelubowski	+6.6
Set 3
1	1-0	SIU	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.3
2	2-0	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Natalie Vance		+1.8
3	3-0	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus		+2.1
4	3-1	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Carlota Mora	set Ella McFarland	+1.5
5	4-1	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+1.8
6	5-1	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Carlota Mora	+2.3
7	5-2	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+1.6
8	6-2	SIU	MERMCK×3	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.0
9	7-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Gabrielle Moore	+2.5
10	8-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+2.6
11	8-3	MERMCK	SIU×4	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+1.6
12	8-4	SIU	SIU×4	Bad set	Sophia DeBonis		+2.1
13	8-5	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+2.1
14	8-6	SIU	SIU×4	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk McKenzie Moeller, Chloe Anderson	+2.1
15	9-6	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.2
16	9-7	MERMCK	SIU	Blocked	Natalia Zelubowski	blk Ella Swansiger, Chloe Anderson	+1.8
17	9-8	SIU	SIU	Kill	Carlota Mora		+2.1
18	10-8	SIU	MERMCK	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.1
19	10-9	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.8
20	11-9	SIU	MERMCK	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.2
21	11-10	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.9
22	12-10	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Elizabeth Kenney	+2.4
23	12-11	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+2.0
24	12-12	SIU	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Beatriz Piaia	+2.3
25	13-12	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+2.3
26	13-13	MERMCK	SIU×6	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.0
27	13-14	SIU	SIU×6	Blocked	Natalia Zelubowski	blk Chloe Anderson, Natalie Vance	+2.2
28	13-15	SIU	SIU×6	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+2.0
29	13-16	SIU	SIU×6	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Mckenna Shotwell	+1.6
30	13-17	SIU	SIU×6	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+1.2
31	13-18	SIU	SIU×6	Blocked	Natalia Zelubowski	blk Chloe Anderson, Natalie Vance	+0.9
32	14-18	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.6
33	14-19	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+0.7
34	14-20	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.5
35	15-20	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.3
36	15-21	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.4
37	16-21	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.3
38	16-22	MERMCK	SIU×3	Kill	Chloe Anderson		+0.4
39	16-23	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.2
40	16-24	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Naomi Vajda		+0.1
41	17-24	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	·
42	17-25	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Carlota Mora	set Ella Swansiger	·
Set 4
1	1-0	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
2	2-0	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.3
3	3-0	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Natalie Vance		+1.5
4	3-1	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+1.0
5	4-1	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.3
6	4-2	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+1.1
7	5-2	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.3
8	5-3	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.1
9	6-3	SIU	MERMCK	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+1.4
10	6-4	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.2
11	6-5	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+1.4
12	7-5	SIU	MERMCK	Blocked	Carlota Mora	blk Naomi Vajda, Maiella Blandin	+1.4
13	7-6	MERMCK	SIU×3	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.2
14	7-7	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+1.3
15	7-8	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+1.2
16	8-8	SIU	MERMCK	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+1.1
17	8-9	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+1.0
18	8-10	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia, Alexandria Arrington	+1.1
19	9-10	SIU	MERMCK×5	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sienna Franks	+1.0
20	10-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Ella McFarland	+1.4
21	11-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.7
22	12-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Natalie Vance		+2.0
23	13-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.2
24	13-11	MERMCK	SIU×4	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+1.5
25	13-12	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+1.8
26	13-13	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+1.8
27	13-14	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+1.6
28	14-14	SIU	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.5
29	15-14	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Alexandria Arrington		+2.2
30	16-14	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Chloe Anderson		+2.5
31	16-15	MERMCK	SIU	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.8
32	17-15	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.3
33	17-16	MERMCK	SIU×4	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.9
34	17-17	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.3
35	17-18	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.1
36	17-19	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.8
37	18-19	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Devon Lowe	+1.5
38	18-20	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.6
39	18-21	SIU	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.5
40	19-21	SIU	MERMCK	Blocked	Ella Swansiger	blk Naomi Vajda, Mckenna Shotwell	+1.1
41	19-22	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.3
42	20-22	SIU	MERMCK	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+1.0
43	20-23	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+1.4
44	21-23	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.9
45	21-24	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+1.4
46	22-24	SIU	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.7
47	23-24	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+2.0
48	23-25	MERMCK	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+3.3

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southern Ill. def. Merrimack 3–1