CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026
Rutgers logo

AwayBIG-TEN

3:1

Rutgers def. Evansville 31

(25-22, 18-25, 25-22, 25-14)
Set1234Sets
RUTGER251825253
EVANS222522141

RallyIQ model

Win probability

EVANS above 50 · RUTGER below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100EVANSRUTGERBiggest swing +2.2% EVANS · S3 8-11rally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Evansville — set 3, RUTGER 8-11 EVANS. Kill by Wren Jones (set by Lyla Fisher). EVANS win probability 9%11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RUTGER 98.2%1.8% EVANS

Rutgers wins

3-0
68.4%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
5.4%

Evansville wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.2%
RUTGER break %
49.2% vs this opp
EVANS break %
33.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Wren JonesKill+2.2%

    Kill by Wren Jones (set by Lyla Fisher)

    Set 3 · RUTGER 8-11 EVANS · EVANS 9%11%

  2. 02
    Zharia Harris-WaddyAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Zharia Harris-Waddy

    Set 3 · RUTGER 3-7 EVANS · EVANS 9%11%

  3. 03
    Malia RomesKill+1.7%

    Kill by Malia Romes (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 3 · RUTGER 10-11 EVANS · RUTGER 90%92%

  4. 04
    Lyla FisherKill+1.7%

    Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 3 · RUTGER 3-6 EVANS · EVANS 8%9%

  5. 05
    RUTGER serverAce+1.6%

    Rutgers ace on Lyla Fisher

    Set 3 · RUTGER 6-8 EVANS · RUTGER 89%91%

  6. 06
    RUTGER serverAce+1.6%

    Rutgers ace on Kendall Agler

    Set 3 · RUTGER 11-11 EVANS · RUTGER 92%93%

  7. 07
    RUTGER serverAce+1.5%

    Rutgers ace on Lyla Fisher

    Set 3 · RUTGER 7-8 EVANS · RUTGER 91%92%

  8. 08
    Brooke HerdesKill+1.5%

    Kill by Brooke Herdes (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 3 · RUTGER 4-8 EVANS · EVANS 10%12%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414125.52000000132.516.5
410424.25013400010.513.5
49215.4670302010113
45412.083000101227
40002412500001
21615-.333101410001
410427.2220000000010
40002323900002
4000011610001
40002101500001
26112.417002600006
1000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals5522130.25451111348336693
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415433.33320496010.515.5
49116.5000000002110
48529.103000100008
45116.250000201438
45114.28610400111.56.5
4106.1673601500212
4113.0001121010002
4000022300002
40002011610000
3000000100000
Team totals4413117.265423144711210783

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 RUTGER · EVANS 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 RUTGEREVANS 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 RUTGEREVANS 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 RUTGEREVANS 4

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 3 RUTGEREVANS 2

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Rutgers leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%12/12
44%8/18
2
79%11/14
42%8/19
3
53%10/19
45%9/20
4
67%10/15
9%1/11
5
62%8/13
27%3/11
6
73%8/11
38%5/13
All
70%59/84
37%34/92

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
17%2/12
2
48%11/23
8%1/12
3
77%10/13
41%7/17
4
83%10/12
41%7/17
5
57%8/14
33%5/15
6
67%8/12
27%3/11
All
63%58/92
30%25/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

176 rallies

Rally log

#RUTGER-EVANSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willow+0.2
21-1RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Sabrina Ripple+0.2
32-1EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.2
42-2RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
53-2EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.2
63-3RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.2
74-3EVANSRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.2
84-4RUTGEREVANSAttack errMalia Romesblk Lyla Fisher, Makenzie Miller+0.2
94-5EVANSEVANSAttack errSkylar George+0.4
105-5EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.2
115-6RUTGEREVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
125-7EVANSEVANS×3KillSabrina Rippleset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
135-8EVANSEVANS×3Attack errSkylar Georgeblk Ryan Scheu, Sabrina Ripple+0.6
146-8EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.3
157-8RUTGERRUTGERAttack errSabrina Rippleblk Zharia Harris-Waddy+0.5
167-9RUTGEREVANSAttack errAspen Maxwellblk Sabrina Ripple+0.4
178-9EVANSRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
188-10RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
199-10EVANSRUTGER×4KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
2010-10RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errWren Jones+0.5
2111-10RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errWren Jonesblk Aspen Maxwell+0.4
2212-10RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errWren Jonesblk Natalie Robinson, Aspen Maxwell+0.3
2312-11RUTGEREVANSAttack errAspen Maxwell+0.2
2413-11EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
2513-12RUTGEREVANSAttack errKaris Willowblk Makenzie Miller, Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2614-12EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.2
2715-12RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.3
2815-13RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
2915-14EVANSEVANSBad setLily Bolen+0.4
3016-14EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.3
3116-15RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
3217-15EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+0.3
3317-16RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
3417-17EVANSEVANSAttack errAspen Maxwell+0.7
3518-17EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.4
3618-18RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.5
3719-18EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
3819-19RUTGEREVANSKillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
3920-19EVANSRUTGER×4KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
4021-19RUTGERRUTGER×4KillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.7
4122-19RUTGERRUTGER×4KillNatalie Robinson+0.4
4223-19RUTGERRUTGER×4KillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.2
4323-20RUTGEREVANSKillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+0.1
4423-21EVANSEVANSAttack errNatalie Robinson+0.3
4524-21EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.3
4624-22RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.1
4725-22EVANSRUTGERAttack errLyla Fisher+0.3
Set 2
11-0EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Karis Willow+0.1
22-0RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.1
32-1RUTGEREVANSAttack errSkylar George+0.1
43-1EVANSRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Skylar George+0.1
54-1RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.1
65-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillNatalie Robinson+0.1
75-2RUTGEREVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
85-3EVANSEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
95-4EVANSEVANS×3Attack errSkylar Georgeblk Makenzie Miller+0.1
106-4EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.1
116-5RUTGEREVANS×3KillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
126-6EVANSEVANS×3AceEVANS serveraced Team+0.2
136-7EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
147-7EVANSRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.2
157-8RUTGEREVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Lyla Fisher+0.2
167-9EVANSEVANSAttack errMalia Romes+0.3
178-9EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+0.2
188-10RUTGEREVANSAttack errSkylar George+0.3
198-11EVANSEVANSAttack errSkylar George+0.4
209-11EVANSRUTGERAttack errBrooke Herdes+0.2
219-12RUTGEREVANSAttack errAspen Maxwell+0.3
2210-12EVANSRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
2310-13RUTGEREVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2411-13EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.3
2511-14RUTGEREVANSAttack errKaris Willowblk Ryan Scheu, Makenzie Miller+0.4
2612-14EVANSRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
2712-15RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.4
2812-16EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
2913-16EVANSRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
3013-17RUTGEREVANSKillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
3113-18EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
3214-18EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.2
3314-19RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes+0.4
3415-19EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
3515-20RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
3616-20EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
3717-20RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.4
3817-21RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
3917-22EVANSEVANSAttack errKaris Willow+0.6
4018-22EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
4118-23RUTGEREVANS×3KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
4218-24EVANSEVANS×3AceEVANS serveraced Skylar George+0.2
4318-25EVANSEVANS×3Attack errKaris Willowblk Makenzie Miller, Carsyn Kelley+0.1
Set 3
11-0RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Lyla Fisher+0.8
21-1RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.6
32-1EVANSRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.5
42-2RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
52-3EVANSEVANSAttack errMalia Romes+1.1
63-3EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+0.7
73-4RUTGEREVANS×4KillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.8
83-5EVANSEVANS×4Attack errAvery Jesewitz+1.4
93-6EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.7
103-7EVANSEVANS×4Attack errZharia Harris-Waddy+1.9
114-7EVANSRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+1.1
124-8RUTGEREVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
135-8EVANSRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.1
146-8RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Lyla Fisher+1.6
157-8RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Lyla Fisher+1.5
167-9RUTGEREVANSKillSabrina Rippleset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
178-9EVANSRUTGERAttack errLyla Fisherblk Aspen Maxwell, Natalie Robinson+1.0
188-10RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+1.4
198-11EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Lyla Fisher+2.2
209-11EVANSRUTGER×3Serve errEVANS server+1.2
2110-11RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.7
2211-11RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Kendall Agler+1.6
2311-12RUTGEREVANSKillSabrina Rippleset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
2412-12EVANSRUTGER×3Serve errEVANS server+1.1
2513-12RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.5
2614-12RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAvery Jesewitzset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.2
2714-13RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
2815-13EVANSRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Lily Bolen+0.8
2915-14RUTGEREVANSKillWren Jonesset Kaila Kalama-Bajet+0.9
3016-14EVANSRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.9
3116-15RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
3217-15EVANSRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
3317-16RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
3418-16EVANSRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
3518-17RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
3619-17EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+1.1
3720-17RUTGERRUTGERAttack errWren Jones+1.2
3820-18RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.7
3921-18EVANSRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.9
4022-18RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Lyla Fisher+0.7
4122-19RUTGEREVANSKillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+0.3
4222-20EVANSEVANSAttack errMalia Romes+0.9
4323-20EVANSRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.9
4423-21RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.6
4524-21EVANSRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
4624-22RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
4725-22EVANSRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
Set 4
11-0EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.3
21-1RUTGEREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
32-1EVANSRUTGER×3Serve errEVANS server+0.4
43-1RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errWren Jones+0.5
54-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.4
64-2RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.3
74-3EVANSEVANSAceEVANS serveraced Kaila Kalama-Bajet+0.5
85-3EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.3
95-4RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.4
106-4EVANSRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
116-5RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
126-6EVANSEVANSKillSabrina Ripple+0.7
137-6EVANSRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
148-6RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.6
159-6RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Brooke Herdes+0.5
169-7RUTGEREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
1710-7EVANSRUTGER×3KillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.3
1811-7RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errLyla Fisher+0.4
1912-7RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Lyla Fisher+0.3
2012-8RUTGEREVANSKillSabrina Rippleset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
2113-8EVANSRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.2
2213-9RUTGEREVANSAttack errZharia Harris-Waddy+0.2
2314-9EVANSRUTGER×3Attack errRyan Scheu+0.2
2415-9RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
2516-9RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Lyla Fisher+0.1
2616-10RUTGEREVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2717-10EVANSRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+0.1
2817-11RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.1
2918-11EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.1
3019-11RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMakenzie Millerblk Natalie Robinson, Karis Willow+0.0
3119-12RUTGEREVANSKillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.0
3220-12EVANSRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.0
3321-12RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errLyla Fisherblk Natalie Robinson+0.0
3422-12RUTGERRUTGER×3KillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.0
3522-13RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.0
3623-13EVANSRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.0
3724-13RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.0
3824-14RUTGEREVANSServe errRUTGER server+0.0
3925-14EVANSRUTGERServe errEVANS server+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Rutgers first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.