Nicholls vs Wiley Volleyball: Nicholls Wins 3-0 (Sep 5)

FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

3:0

WIL

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Nicholls beat Wiley 3-0 (25-6, 25-21, 25-14) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Nicholls' Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie led with 13 kills, and Natalia Navarro added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NICHST	25	25	25	3
WILEY	6	21	14	0

Win probability

Wiley above 50 · Nicholls below

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Nicholls — set 2, NICHST 23-21 WILEY. Kill by Mckenzie Mitchell (set by Isabella Padilla). WILEY win probability 19% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NICHST 61.7%38.3% WILEY

Nicholls wins

3-0

18.1%

3-1

23.6%

3-2

20.0%

Wiley wins

3-0

8.2%

3-1

13.9%

3-2

16.2%

NICHST break %: 46.1% vs this opp
WILEY break %: 43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Mckenzie MitchellKill+5.1%
Kill by Mckenzie Mitchell (set by Isabella Padilla)
Set 2 · NICHST 23-21 WILEY · NICHST 81% → 86%
02
Cameron JohnsonKill+4.7%
Kill by Cameron Johnson (set by Coryn Baily)
Set 2 · NICHST 21-21 WILEY · WILEY 18% → 23%
03
WileyService error+4.4%
Wiley service error
Set 2 · NICHST 22-21 WILEY · NICHST 77% → 81%
04
Kymberly SheppardAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Kymberly Sheppard
Set 2 · NICHST 19-18 WILEY · NICHST 76% → 80%
05
Maya SchirmerKill+3.8%
Kill by Maya Schirmer (set by Harmonee Bryant)
Set 2 · NICHST 20-18 WILEY · NICHST 80% → 84%
06
Harper HoldenKill+3.7%
Kill by Harper Holden (set by Isabella Padilla)
Set 2 · NICHST 24-21 WILEY · NICHST 86% → 90%
07
Maya SchirmerBlock+3.5%
Cameron Johnson stuffed by Maya Schirmer
Set 2 · NICHST 17-17 WILEY · NICHST 73% → 76%
08
Maya SchirmerBlock+3.3%
Kiera Jones stuffed by Maya Schirmer
Set 2 · NICHST 21-19 WILEY · NICHST 81% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Nichollsaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Harper HoldenMB	3	8	0	11	.727	1	4	1	2	0	1	0	1	13
16Mckenzie MitchellOH	3	8	3	23	.217	0	3	1	7	1	0	0	0	11
5Maya SchirmerMB	3	3	1	6	.333	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	6.5
18Kera ArringtonOH	3	6	4	16	.125	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	6
8Isabella PadillaS	3	3	2	17	.059	28	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	4
2Ava-Claire CalaisS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
3Zahahrah Edwards-WyllieOH	3	13	2	17	.647	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
11Natalia NavarroL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	2	0	2	15	0	0	0	0	0
1Lizzie KraftDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
6Karina SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
14Beryn HylandOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	13	98	.286	39	9	8	43	2	4	2	5	75

Wileyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
12Jakayla Collins	3	4	5	15	-.067	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	4
10Kymberly Sheppard	3	1	3	8	-.250	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	3
3Kiera Jones	3	2	1	18	.056	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	2
23Jae Jemmott	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2Lynnetra Taylor	3	1	1	7	.000	5	1	0	1	0	0	0	2
15Cameron Johnson	2	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	4
8LaDaejah Edwards	3	1	1	3	.000	6	1	0	6	0	0	0	2
11Uriah Larry	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	2
9Asia Griffiths	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0
19Jacque'lene Jones	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Coryn Baily	2	0	1	3	-.333	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
22Harmonee Bryant	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0
4T'aja Hardy	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
24Kennedy Meeks	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Morgan Sellers	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		15	16	83	-.012	14	2	4	27	9	5	5	41

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 NICHST · WILEY 6

Set 1

25-6

Longest run 9 NICHSTWILEY 2

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 NICHSTWILEY 6

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 NICHSTWILEY 2

Bars above the line = Wiley leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nicholls

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	71%10/14
2	71%5/7	67%10/15
3	83%5/6	44%4/9
4	50%5/10	64%9/14
5	80%4/5	67%8/12
6	33%2/6	80%8/10
All	62%26/42	66%49/74

Wiley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%5/14	40%2/5
2	33%5/15	38%3/8
3	56%5/9	17%1/6
4	42%5/12	55%6/11
5	19%3/16	17%1/6
6	25%2/8	50%3/6
All	34%25/74	38%16/42

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

116 rallies

#	NICHST-WILEY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Ace	Nicholls	aced Cameron Johnson	+2.2
2	2-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Attack err	Lynnetra Taylor		+2.2
3	3-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	+2.0
4	4-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Attack err	Jakayla Collins		+1.9
5	5-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+1.7
6	6-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	+1.5
7	7-0	NICHST	NICHST×7	Ace	Nicholls	aced Asia Griffiths	+1.2
8	7-1	NICHST	WILEY	Attack err	Mckenzie Mitchell		+0.8
9	7-2	WILEY	WILEY	Blocked	Isabella Padilla	blk Kymberly Sheppard	+1.3
10	8-2	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+1.2
11	9-2	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls	aced Kiera Jones	+1.2
12	9-3	NICHST	WILEY	Attack err	Maya Schirmer		+0.8
13	10-3	WILEY	NICHST	Serve err	Wiley		+1.0
14	10-4	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Cameron Johnson	set Jakayla Collins	+0.8
15	11-4	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+1.0
16	12-4	NICHST	NICHST×3	Bad set	Cameron Johnson		+0.9
17	13-4	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Harper Holden	set Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	+0.7
18	13-5	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		+0.4
19	14-5	WILEY	NICHST×9	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+0.5
20	15-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Bad set	LaDaejah Edwards		+0.4
21	16-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+0.3
22	17-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	+0.1
23	18-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Natalia Navarro	+0.1
24	19-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Attack err	Jae Jemmott		·
25	20-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	·
26	21-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla	·
27	22-5	NICHST	NICHST×9	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	·
28	22-6	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		·
29	23-6	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	·
30	24-6	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Isabella Padilla	set Ava-Claire Calais	·
31	25-6	NICHST	NICHST×3	Ace	Nicholls		·
Set 2
1	0-1	WILEY	WILEY	Kill	Jacque'lene Jones	set Lynnetra Taylor	+2.1
2	1-1	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Maya Schirmer	+1.7
3	2-1	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Harper Holden	+2.0
4	3-1	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Ava-Claire Calais	+2.0
5	3-2	NICHST	WILEY	Blocked	Beryn Hyland	blk Cameron Johnson	+1.6
6	3-3	WILEY	WILEY	Attack err	Kera Arrington		+2.1
7	4-3	WILEY	NICHST	Serve err	Wiley		+1.7
8	4-4	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Jakayla Collins	set Lynnetra Taylor	+1.8
9	5-4	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+1.8
10	5-5	NICHST	WILEY×6	Blocked	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	blk Kymberly Sheppard	+1.8
11	5-6	WILEY	WILEY×6	Blocked	Mckenzie Mitchell	blk Uriah Larry	+2.3
12	5-7	WILEY	WILEY×6	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		+2.4
13	5-8	WILEY	WILEY×6	Ace	Wiley	aced Mckenzie Mitchell	+2.4
14	5-9	WILEY	WILEY×6	Kill	LaDaejah Edwards		+2.2
15	5-10	WILEY	WILEY×6	Kill	Jakayla Collins	set Kymberly Sheppard	+2.1
16	6-10	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+1.4
17	6-11	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Lynnetra Taylor	set LaDaejah Edwards	+1.7
18	7-11	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Harper Holden	set Ava-Claire Calais	+1.4
19	8-11	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla	+2.0
20	9-11	NICHST	NICHST×3	Blocked	Kymberly Sheppard	blk Harper Holden	+2.3
21	9-12	NICHST	WILEY×4	Serve err	Nicholls		+2.2
22	9-13	WILEY	WILEY×4	Kill	Cameron Johnson	set LaDaejah Edwards	+2.5
23	9-14	WILEY	WILEY×4	Attack err	Mckenzie Mitchell		+2.2
24	9-15	WILEY	WILEY×4	Attack err	Isabella Padilla		+1.8
25	10-15	WILEY	NICHST×4	Attack err	Asia Griffiths		+1.1
26	11-15	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Jakayla Collins		+1.7
27	12-15	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Jakayla Collins		+2.1
28	13-15	NICHST	NICHST×4	Ace	Nicholls		+2.5
29	13-16	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		+2.5
30	14-16	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+2.1
31	14-17	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Jakayla Collins	set Lynnetra Taylor	+2.6
32	15-17	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla	+2.2
33	16-17	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Kera Arrington	+3.1
34	17-17	NICHST	NICHST×3	Blocked	Cameron Johnson	blk Maya Schirmer	+3.5
35	17-18	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		+3.1
36	18-18	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+3.0
37	19-18	NICHST	NICHST×3	Attack err	Kymberly Sheppard		+3.9
38	20-18	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Harmonee Bryant	+3.8
39	20-19	NICHST	WILEY	Bad set	Mckenzie Mitchell		+2.8
40	21-19	WILEY	NICHST	Blocked	Kiera Jones	blk Maya Schirmer	+3.3
41	21-20	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		+2.9
42	21-21	WILEY	WILEY	Kill	Cameron Johnson	set Coryn Baily	+4.7
43	22-21	WILEY	NICHST×4	Serve err	Wiley		+4.4
44	23-21	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla	+5.1
45	24-21	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	+3.7
46	25-21	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla	+1.5
Set 3
1	0-1	NICHST	WILEY	Bad set	Kera Arrington		+1.0
2	1-1	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Isabella Padilla		+1.0
3	2-1	NICHST	NICHST×3	Ace	Nicholls	aced Kiera Jones	+1.2
4	3-1	NICHST	NICHST×3	Ace	Nicholls	aced Jakayla Collins	+1.2
5	3-2	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		+0.9
6	3-3	WILEY	WILEY	Bad set	Mckenzie Mitchell		+1.2
7	4-3	WILEY	NICHST×3	Kill	Isabella Padilla	set Kera Arrington	+1.0
8	5-3	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Natalia Navarro	+1.2
9	6-3	NICHST	NICHST×3	Ace	Nicholls	aced Harmonee Bryant	+1.2
10	6-4	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Kiera Jones	set Lynnetra Taylor	+0.9
11	6-5	WILEY	WILEY	Blocked	Kera Arrington	blk Uriah Larry	+1.2
12	7-5	WILEY	NICHST×5	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+1.0
13	8-5	NICHST	NICHST×5	Blocked	Kymberly Sheppard	blk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Maya Schirmer	+1.2
14	9-5	NICHST	NICHST×5	Blocked	LaDaejah Edwards	blk Maya Schirmer	+1.1
15	10-5	NICHST	NICHST×5	Attack err	Uriah Larry		+1.0
16	11-5	NICHST	NICHST×5	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+0.8
17	11-6	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Kiera Jones	set LaDaejah Edwards	+0.5
18	12-6	WILEY	NICHST	Serve err	Wiley		+0.6
19	12-7	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Jae Jemmott	set LaDaejah Edwards	+0.5
20	13-7	WILEY	NICHST	Bad set	LaDaejah Edwards		+0.6
21	14-7	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	+0.6
22	14-8	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Jae Jemmott	set LaDaejah Edwards	+0.4
23	14-9	WILEY	WILEY	Ace	Wiley		+0.6
24	15-9	WILEY	NICHST	Bad set	Jae Jemmott		+0.6
25	15-10	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Jakayla Collins	set Lynnetra Taylor	+0.5
26	15-11	WILEY	WILEY	Attack err	Kera Arrington		+0.8
27	16-11	WILEY	NICHST×6	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla	+0.8
28	17-11	NICHST	NICHST×6	Attack err	Jakayla Collins		+0.8
29	18-11	NICHST	NICHST×6	Ace	Nicholls	aced Kiera Jones	+0.5
30	19-11	NICHST	NICHST×6	Attack err	Coryn Baily		+0.3
31	20-11	NICHST	NICHST×6	Attack err	Jakayla Collins		+0.2
32	21-11	NICHST	NICHST×6	Bad set	Lynnetra Taylor		+0.1
33	21-12	NICHST	WILEY	Attack err	Kera Arrington		·
34	22-12	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla	+0.1
35	22-13	NICHST	WILEY	Serve err	Nicholls		·
36	23-13	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	·
37	24-13	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Lizzie Kraft	·
38	24-14	NICHST	WILEY	Kill	Kymberly Sheppard	set LaDaejah Edwards	·
39	25-14	WILEY	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	·

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Nicholls def. Wiley 3–0