FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayIVY-LEAGUE

3:0

HomeMETRO

Princeton def. Saint Peter's 3–0

(25-11, 25-21, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PRINCE	25	25	26	3
ST PTR	11	21	24	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ST PTR above 50 · PRINCE below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to Princeton — set 3, PRINCE 24-23 ST PTR. Kill by Erin McNair (set by Sydney Bold). ST PTR win probability 1% → 1%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PRINCE 96.6%3.4% ST PTR

Princeton wins

3-0

60.7%

3-1

27.9%

3-2

8.0%

Saint Peter's wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

PRINCE break %: 48.0% vs this opp
ST PTR break %: 34.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Erin McNairKill+0.8%
Kill by Erin McNair (set by Sydney Bold)
Set 3 · PRINCE 24-23 ST PTR · PRINCE 99% → 99%
02
Erin McNairKill+0.7%
Kill by Erin McNair (set by Sydney Draper)
Set 3 · PRINCE 23-23 ST PTR · PRINCE 98% → 99%
03
Jackie OnyechiAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Jackie Onyechi
Set 2 · PRINCE 7-11 ST PTR · ST PTR 3% → 4%
04
Ashtyn SimsAttack error+0.7%
Ashtyn Sims stuffed by Addison Baglio & Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez
Set 3 · PRINCE 20-22 ST PTR · ST PTR 1% → 2%
05
Ava HarringtonAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Ava Harrington
Set 2 · PRINCE 7-10 ST PTR · ST PTR 3% → 3%
06
Addison BaglioKill+0.6%
Kill by Addison Baglio (set by Meleksu Ozmen)
Set 2 · PRINCE 5-8 ST PTR · ST PTR 3% → 3%
07
Addison BaglioAttack error+0.6%
Addison Baglio stuffed by Ava Harrington & Jackie Onyechi
Set 2 · PRINCE 9-11 ST PTR · PRINCE 96% → 97%
08
PRINCE serverService error+0.6%
Princeton service error
Set 3 · PRINCE 21-23 ST PTR · ST PTR 2% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Princetonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ashtyn SimsOH	3	17	7	34	.294	1	0	4	4	2	0	2	1	18
13Erin McNairOH	3	16	3	31	.419	1	0	1	6	0	0	3	1.5	17.5
10Jackie OnyechiMB	3	5	2	9	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	8	4	9
24Ava HarringtonMB	3	5	3	21	.095	0	1	2	7	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
9Shelby BurrissMB	3	3	1	8	.250	1	0	0	3	0	1	5	3.5	6.5
19Sydney DraperS	3	5	0	7	.714	34	0	1	9	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
1Sydney BoldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
8Natalie SurgesOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	16	110	.318	47	1	10	46	2	1	26	14	76

Saint Peter'shome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Karolina T. Rodriguez MendezMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
21Julia WhaleyMB	3	4	1	13	.231	2	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Valeria Pagan MunozOH	3	2	4	13	-.154	1	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	3
7Victoria PruvostOH	3	2	4	13	-.154	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
3Alondra FargasS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
4Elina ArsovOH	2	4	3	12	.083	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	4
20Addison BaglioOH	3	6	6	20	.000	0	0	1	3	0	0	2	1	7
9Ioanna VerverakiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
1Indira T. Benitez DumengOPP	2	5	1	18	.222	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
6Meleksu OzmenS	2	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
17Kylee GilbertL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Drew LeonardisL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Eden HarrisOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Zumra YavuzS	1	0	0	0	–	7	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	20	103	.068	27	2	3	37	1	1	10	6	56

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 PRINCE · ST PTR 4

Set 1

25-11

Longest run 8 PRINCEST PTR 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 PRINCEST PTR 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 PRINCEST PTR 4

Bars above the line = Saint Peter's leads, below = Princeton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Princeton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	60%9/15
2	70%7/10	53%8/15
3	100%7/7	13%1/8
4	75%6/8	65%11/17
5	56%5/9	50%5/10
6	56%5/9	44%4/9
All	66%38/58	51%38/74

Saint Peter's

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	56%9/16
2	100%7/7	36%4/11
3	41%7/17	0%0/7
4	56%5/9	13%1/8
5	45%5/11	44%4/9
6	42%5/12	29%2/7
All	49%36/74	34%20/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	PRINCE-ST PTR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ST PTR	ST PTR	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Ashtyn Sims	+0.5
2	1-1	ST PTR	PRINCE×5	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
3	2-1	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	blk Ava Harrington, Jackie Onyechi	+0.4
4	3-1	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Kill	Jackie Onyechi	set Sydney Draper	+0.4
5	4-1	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz	blk Ashtyn Sims, Jackie Onyechi	+0.3
6	5-1	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Victoria Pruvost		+0.2
7	5-2	PRINCE	ST PTR	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims		+0.2
8	5-3	ST PTR	ST PTR	Attack err	Ava Harrington		+0.3
9	6-3	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Jackie Onyechi	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
10	6-4	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Victoria Pruvost	+0.2
11	7-4	ST PTR	PRINCE×8	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Bold	+0.2
12	8-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Attack err	Elina Arsov	blk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington	+0.3
13	9-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Kill	Sydney Draper	set Victoria Pruvost	+0.2
14	10-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Kill	Sydney Draper	set Sydney Bold	+0.1
15	11-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Attack err	Julia Whaley	blk Shelby Burriss	+0.1
16	12-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Attack err	Victoria Pruvost	blk Erin McNair, Shelby Burriss	+0.1
17	13-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Attack err	Victoria Pruvost	blk Shelby Burriss, Erin McNair	+0.0
18	14-4	PRINCE	PRINCE×8	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Bold	+0.0
19	14-5	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
20	15-5	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.0
21	15-6	PRINCE	ST PTR×3	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.0
22	15-7	ST PTR	ST PTR×3	Attack err	Erin McNair	blk Julia Whaley, Addison Baglio	+0.0
23	15-8	ST PTR	ST PTR×3	Attack err	Shelby Burriss		+0.0
24	16-8	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.0
25	17-8	PRINCE	PRINCE	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+0.0
26	17-9	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.0
27	17-10	ST PTR	ST PTR	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims		+0.0
28	18-10	ST PTR	PRINCE×5	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.0
29	19-10	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Addison Baglio	blk Ashtyn Sims, Jackie Onyechi	+0.0
30	20-10	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz	blk Sydney Draper, Jackie Onyechi	+0.0
31	21-10	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Kill	Sydney Draper	set Shelby Burriss	+0.0
32	22-10	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Erin McNair	+0.0
33	22-11	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.0
34	23-11	ST PTR	PRINCE×3	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Bold	+0.0
35	24-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.0
36	25-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Jackie Onyechi		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Valeria Pagan Munoz	set Alondra Fargas	+0.2
2	0-2	ST PTR	ST PTR	Attack err	Jackie Onyechi	blk Victoria Pruvost, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	+0.4
3	1-2	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
4	1-3	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.3
5	2-3	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
6	2-4	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.3
7	3-4	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
8	3-5	PRINCE	ST PTR	Attack err	Erin McNair	blk Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	+0.3
9	3-6	ST PTR	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Julia Whaley	+0.5
10	4-6	ST PTR	PRINCE	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.3
11	5-6	PRINCE	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.4
12	5-7	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.4
13	5-8	ST PTR	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.6
14	6-8	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Sydney Draper	set Ashtyn Sims	+0.3
15	7-8	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Addison Baglio	blk Jackie Onyechi, Sydney Draper	+0.5
16	7-9	PRINCE	ST PTR×3	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.4
17	7-10	ST PTR	ST PTR×3	Attack err	Ava Harrington		+0.6
18	7-11	ST PTR	ST PTR×3	Attack err	Jackie Onyechi		+0.7
19	8-11	ST PTR	PRINCE×4	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Jackie Onyechi	+0.4
20	9-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×4	Attack err	Addison Baglio	blk Ava Harrington, Jackie Onyechi	+0.6
21	10-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×4	Kill	Ava Harrington		+0.5
22	11-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×4	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+0.5
23	11-12	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Alondra Fargas	+0.4
24	12-12	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.4
25	12-13	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Valeria Pagan Munoz	+0.4
26	13-13	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+0.4
27	13-14	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Ioanna Ververaki	+0.5
28	14-14	ST PTR	PRINCE×3	Attack err	Elina Arsov		+0.4
29	15-14	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Ace	PRINCE server	aced Ioanna Ververaki	+0.5
30	16-14	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.4
31	16-15	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Elina Arsov	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.3
32	17-15	ST PTR	PRINCE×3	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
33	18-15	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Attack err	Addison Baglio		+0.4
34	19-15	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
35	19-16	PRINCE	ST PTR	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims		+0.1
36	20-16	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Sydney Draper	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.2
37	20-17	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Meleksu Ozmen	+0.1
38	20-18	ST PTR	ST PTR	Attack err	Erin McNair	blk Victoria Pruvost, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	+0.3
39	21-18	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
40	21-19	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Victoria Pruvost	+0.2
41	22-19	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Jackie Onyechi	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
42	22-20	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.2
43	23-20	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Jackie Onyechi	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
44	24-20	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Elina Arsov	blk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington	+0.2
45	24-21	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Alondra Fargas	+0.0
46	25-21	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Bold	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.1
2	2-0	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz	blk Ava Harrington, Jackie Onyechi	+0.1
3	2-1	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.1
4	2-2	ST PTR	ST PTR	Ace	ST PTR server	aced Ashtyn Sims	+0.1
5	3-2	ST PTR	PRINCE	Attack err	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng		+0.1
6	3-3	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.1
7	4-3	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.1
8	4-4	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.1
9	4-5	ST PTR	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Alondra Fargas	+0.2
10	5-5	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Bold	+0.1
11	5-6	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.1
12	6-6	ST PTR	PRINCE	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.1
13	7-6	PRINCE	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Bold	+0.2
14	7-7	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Alondra Fargas	+0.1
15	8-7	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.1
16	8-8	PRINCE	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims		+0.1
17	8-9	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims	blk Indira T. Benitez Dumeng, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	+0.2
18	8-10	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Attack err	Ava Harrington		+0.3
19	8-11	ST PTR	ST PTR×4	Kill	Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.3
20	9-11	ST PTR	PRINCE	Serve err	ST PTR server		+0.2
21	9-12	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.2
22	10-12	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
23	10-13	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.2
24	11-13	ST PTR	PRINCE	Attack err	Addison Baglio		+0.2
25	11-14	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Indira T. Benitez Dumeng	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.3
26	12-14	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
27	13-14	PRINCE	PRINCE	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
28	13-15	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.3
29	13-16	ST PTR	ST PTR	Bad set	Sydney Draper		+0.4
30	14-16	ST PTR	PRINCE	Attack err	Victoria Pruvost	blk Shelby Burriss, Erin McNair	+0.2
31	15-16	PRINCE	PRINCE	Bad set	Ioanna Ververaki		+0.3
32	15-17	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Addison Baglio	set Julia Whaley	+0.3
33	16-17	ST PTR	PRINCE×3	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
34	17-17	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Attack err	Valeria Pagan Munoz	blk Sydney Draper, Jackie Onyechi	+0.3
35	18-17	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
36	18-18	PRINCE	ST PTR×3	Kill	Victoria Pruvost	set Alondra Fargas	+0.2
37	18-19	ST PTR	ST PTR×3	Kill	Valeria Pagan Munoz	set Ioanna Ververaki	+0.4
38	18-20	ST PTR	ST PTR×3	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims		+0.5
39	19-20	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Bold	+0.3
40	20-20	PRINCE	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.5
41	20-21	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.4
42	20-22	ST PTR	ST PTR	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims	blk Addison Baglio, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez	+0.7
43	21-22	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
44	21-23	PRINCE	ST PTR	Serve err	PRINCE server		+0.6
45	22-23	ST PTR	PRINCE×3	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.3
46	23-23	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Draper	+0.7
47	24-23	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Erin McNair	set Sydney Bold	+0.8
48	24-24	PRINCE	ST PTR	Kill	Julia Whaley	set Zumra Yavuz	+0.5
49	25-24	ST PTR	PRINCE	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+0.5
50	26-24	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Addison Baglio		+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Princeton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.