Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Dayton def. Santa Clara 3–1

Dayton beat visiting Santa Clara 3-1 (20-25, 25-19, 25-23, 25-21) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Kamryn Hunt led Dayton with 18 kills; Santa Clara's Morgan Hayes had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
STCLAR251923211
DAYTON202525253

Win probability

Dayton above 50 · Santa Clara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.8% DAYTONrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.8% to Dayton — set 3, STCLAR 23-25 DAYTON. Dayton ace. DAYTON win probability 75% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STCLAR 25.7%74.3% DAYTON

Santa Clara wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.8%
3-2
12.3%

Dayton wins

3-0
26.4%
3-1
28.4%
3-2
19.4%
STCLAR break %
37.3% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    DaytonAce+10.8%

    Dayton ace

    Set 3 · STCLAR 23-25 DAYTON · DAYTON 75% → 86%

  2. 02
    Gabriela Machin BorgesAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Gabriela Machin Borges

    Set 3 · STCLAR 23-23 DAYTON · STCLAR 24% → 33%

  3. 03
    Morgan HayesAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Morgan Hayes

    Set 3 · STCLAR 23-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 67% → 75%

  4. 04
    Kamryn HuntKill+6.1%

    Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 3 · STCLAR 18-19 DAYTON · DAYTON 65% → 71%

  5. 05
    Morgan HayesAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Morgan Hayes

    Set 3 · STCLAR 19-21 DAYTON · DAYTON 71% → 77%

  6. 06
    Morgan HayesAttack error+5.9%

    Attack error by Morgan Hayes

    Set 3 · STCLAR 18-18 DAYTON · DAYTON 59% → 65%

  7. 07
    Kamryn HuntKill+5.5%

    Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Emily Harden)

    Set 4 · STCLAR 19-20 DAYTON · DAYTON 83% → 88%

  8. 08
    Morgan HayesAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Morgan Hayes

    Set 3 · STCLAR 18-17 DAYTON · DAYTON 54% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419937.2700133004222
411430.23301071010.512.5
410628.14300122010.510.5
43110.20000000073.56.5
44315.067000100004
4207.286431160010.53.5
4000–011000001
4000–0122110001
3000–000200000
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
2000–100210000
1012-.500001000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4924129.1944459446014788
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418740.27501342010.519.5
412738.132111111010.513.5
48518.16700020031.59.5
4406.667000100426
4508.62510010010.55.5
4000–1931600003
49218.389100200009
4000–311500001
4002.00021021100000
4000–101100000
4000–001400000
1000–100000000
Team totals5621130.26948610485010595

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STCLAR · DAYTON 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 STCLARDAYTON 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 STCLARDAYTON 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 STCLARDAYTON 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 STCLARDAYTON 4

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Santa Clara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
40%6/15
2
50%9/18
60%15/25
3
53%9/17
31%4/13
4
67%8/12
40%6/15
5
44%7/16
30%3/10
6
50%7/14
36%4/11
All
53%50/94
43%38/89

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
43%6/14
2
45%10/22
55%12/22
3
75%9/12
44%7/16
4
50%8/16
38%5/13
5
78%7/9
43%6/14
6
78%7/9
53%8/15
All
57%51/89
47%44/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#STCLAR-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STCLARSTCLARAttack errSidney Sprada+2.2
22-0STCLARSTCLARAttack errSidney Sprada+2.4
32-1STCLARDAYTONBlockedCate Shanahanblk Charlotte Vinson, Ava Liening+1.4
43-1DAYTONSTCLAR×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Bryn Shankle, Morgan Hayes+1.6
54-1STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errKamryn Hunt+2.5
65-1STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Bryn Shankle, Selin Aslayan+2.5
75-2STCLARDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.4
86-2DAYTONSTCLARKillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
97-2STCLARSTCLARAttack errKamryn Hunt+2.4
107-3STCLARDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.3
117-4DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+2.2
127-5DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentine+2.4
138-5DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.8
149-5STCLARSTCLARAceSanta Clara+2.7
159-6STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+1.5
1610-6DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.8
1710-7STCLARDAYTON×3Attack errMorgan Hayes+1.5
1810-8DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Lexi Trapani+2.6
1910-9DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errCate Shanahan+2.7
2011-9DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+2.0
2112-9STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.1
2212-10STCLARDAYTON×3Serve errSanta Clara+1.7
2312-11DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Selin Aslayan+2.9
2412-12DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Selin Aslayan+3.0
2513-12DAYTONSTCLAR×3KillMacy Hinshaw+2.2
2614-12STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Morgan Hayes, Bryn Shankle+3.4
2715-12STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.4
2815-13STCLARDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.8
2915-14DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAva Liening+3.2
3015-15DAYTONDAYTON×4KillCharlotte Vinsonset Lily Barry+3.4
3115-16DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Hunt+3.4
3216-16DAYTONSTCLAR×4Serve errDayton+2.3
3317-16STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Kamryn Hunt+4.0
3418-16STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+4.2
3519-16STCLARSTCLAR×4BlockedKamryn Huntblk Morgan Hayes, Bryn Shankle+4.0
3619-17STCLARDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.0
3720-17DAYTONSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+2.8
3821-17STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayes+3.3
3921-18STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+1.3
4022-18DAYTONSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
4123-18STCLARSTCLAR×3Bad setRylee Sloss+1.9
4224-18STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errKamryn Hunt+0.7
4324-19STCLARDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.1
4424-20DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Cate Shanahan+0.3
4525-20DAYTONSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
Set 2
10-1DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSelin Aslayan+2.8
20-2DAYTONDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Macy Hinshaw+2.6
31-2DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+1.7
41-3STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.7
52-3DAYTONSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.8
62-4STCLARDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.8
72-5DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+2.5
82-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.1
93-6DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+1.3
104-6STCLARSTCLARAttack errKamryn Hunt+2.4
114-7STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+1.7
125-7DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahan+1.6
135-8STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.7
146-8DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
156-9STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+1.7
167-9DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+1.7
177-10STCLARDAYTONAttack errMorgan Hayes+1.8
188-10DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
198-11STCLARDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.8
208-12DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMorgan Hayes+2.4
218-13DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Morgan Asleson+1.9
229-13DAYTONSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
239-14STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.2
249-15DAYTONDAYTONBlockedDanielle Brownblk Charlotte Vinson, Ava Liening+1.4
2510-15DAYTONSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
2610-16STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+0.9
2710-17DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Tia Kapihe+0.9
2811-17DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2911-18STCLARDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.5
3011-19DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.4
3112-19DAYTONSTCLAR×3Serve errDayton+0.1
3213-19STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Bryn Shankle, Cate Shanahan+0.4
3314-19STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
3414-20STCLARDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
3515-20DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+0.4
3615-21STCLARDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.6
3716-21DAYTONSTCLARKillMacy Hinshaw+0.3
3817-21STCLARSTCLARAttack errSidney Sprada+0.9
3917-22STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.0
4017-23DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
4118-23DAYTONSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4218-24STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+0.3
4319-24DAYTONSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4419-25STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.1
Set 3
11-0STCLARSTCLARAceSanta Claraaced Kamryn Hunt+3.2
21-1STCLARDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Addi Gallentine+2.0
32-1DAYTONSTCLARKillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
43-1STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.5
53-2STCLARDAYTONAttack errMorgan Hayes+2.1
63-3DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSelin Aslayan+3.3
74-3DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.3
84-4STCLARDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Natalie Harrington+2.2
95-4DAYTONSTCLARAttack errCharlotte Vinson+2.4
105-5STCLARDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.2
116-5DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
126-6STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.3
137-6DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+2.5
148-6STCLARSTCLARAceSanta Clara+4.0
158-7STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.4
169-7DAYTONSTCLARServe errDayton+2.8
1710-7STCLARSTCLARServe errSanta Clara+4.2
1810-8STCLARDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.4
1910-9DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+4.0
2010-10DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+4.1
2111-10DAYTONSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.9
2212-10STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errSidney Sprada+4.6
2313-10STCLARSTCLAR×3Bad setRylee Sloss+4.6
2413-11STCLARDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.5
2514-11DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.2
2614-12STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.6
2714-13DAYTONDAYTONBlockedSelin Aslayanblk Ava Liening, Charlotte Vinson+4.5
2815-13DAYTONSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+3.5
2916-13STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+5.1
3017-13STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+4.6
3117-14STCLARDAYTONServe errSanta Clara+2.2
3217-15DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Lexi Trapani+4.3
3318-15DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.7
3418-16STCLARDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.8
3518-17DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+5.3
3618-18DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+5.9
3718-19DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+6.1
3819-19DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+4.1
3919-20STCLARDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+4.3
4019-21DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMorgan Hayes+6.0
4119-22DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentine+4.5
4220-22DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.9
4320-23STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+3.0
4421-23DAYTONSTCLAR×3KillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
4522-23STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedSidney Spradablk Morgan Hayes, Bryn Shankle+5.0
4623-23STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errGabriela Machin Borges+9.2
4723-24STCLARDAYTONAttack errMorgan Hayes+7.9
4823-25DAYTONDAYTONAceDayton+10.8
Set 4
11-0DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.8
22-0STCLARSTCLARAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+2.8
32-1STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+1.7
42-2DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.7
53-2DAYTONSTCLAR×3Serve errDayton+1.9
64-2STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+3.0
75-2STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Tia Kapihe+3.0
85-3STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.8
95-4DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSelin Aslayan+2.9
106-4DAYTONSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
116-5STCLARDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Natalie Harrington+1.9
126-6DAYTONDAYTONAttack errCate Shanahan+3.0
137-6DAYTONSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
148-6STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errSidney Sprada+3.3
159-6STCLARSTCLAR×4BlockedKamryn Huntblk Macy Hinshaw, Bryn Shankle+3.3
1610-6STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errCharlotte Vinson+3.2
1710-7STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.8
1811-7DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
1911-8STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+1.8
2011-9DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+3.1
2112-9DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.4
2212-10STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.0
2313-10DAYTONSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
2414-10STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errSidney Sprada+3.5
2515-10STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.1
2616-10STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Sidney Sprada+2.5
2716-11STCLARDAYTON×4Serve errSanta Clara+1.1
2816-12DAYTONDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Sidney Sprada+2.2
2916-13DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedMorgan Hayesblk Ava Liening, Sidney Sprada+2.8
3016-14DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+3.5
3117-14DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.9
3217-15STCLARDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.3
3317-16DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSelin Aslayan+4.2
3418-16DAYTONSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+3.3
3518-17STCLARDAYTONAttack errSelin Aslayan+2.8
3619-17DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.6
3719-18STCLARDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.9
3819-19DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAddi Gallentine+5.3
3919-20DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Emily Harden+5.5
4019-21DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedBryn Shankleblk Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine+5.0
4120-21DAYTONSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.7
4220-22STCLARDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+3.5
4320-23DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errCate Shanahan+3.8
4420-24DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Gabriela Machin Borges+1.9
4521-24DAYTONSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
4621-25STCLARDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Santa Clara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).